With the polls opening tomorrow, time is running out for the oft-predicted October Surprise. Talkleft isn’t ready to give up, though:
We won’t be suprised if Osama turns up between now and Monday night. Particularly if he turns up dead. The [recent bin Laden] tape is too strange. In addition to the physical and situational differences we pointed out [earlier], the text of the tape reads like a campaign ad. His reference to Michael Moore’s film is strange. . . .
Maybe he was captured months ago and told he would be killed if he didn’t make this tape. Maybe he will be killed after making the tape. Between Pakistan and Karl Rove, there’s no telling what Hollywood ending may be in store for us.
The absence of a last-minute October Surprise won’t convince anyone of anything, of course. Bush supporters will see its absence as proof of the Administration’s good faith; Bush opponents will suspect that the drumbeat of critical attention to a possible October Suprise persuaded the Administration to shelve it.
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