More on the Pledge Case,
from Howard Bashman. Technical but very interesting analysis of what precedential effect the substantive part of the Ninth Circuit decision -- which was reversed on procedural grounds -- should have.
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I'm not sure it's that simple. A good number of cases have just one main component, but it is composed of several interdependent sub-components, such as a multi-part test. For example, sexual harassment--for simplicity's sake, let's boil it down to just two parts, in that the alleged conduct must be both subjectively unwelcome and objectively of some threshold severity and/or duration.
Now suppose that an intermediate appellate court finds that both parts of this test have been met, and upholds the lower court's judgment for the plaintiff. In the process, it announces some new, more comprehensive means of ascertaining the second (objective) component, because previously used means can't be applied to the facts of the case.
Now the supreme court (federal or state) takes the case and reverses on the first part of the ruling (subjective welcomeness). It then declines to review the second part of the intermediate appellate decision because there is no need to reach that question. The judgment is reversed.
Now does the intermediate court's new test for determining objective severity stand as precedent? The supreme court is saying, sub silentio, that the intermediate court need not have reached the objective question if it had correctly determined the subjective question--just as the 9th circuit need not have reached the merits if it had correctly determined the standing question. But the two questions are not truly independent like Bashman's math and colors hypothetical, because a negative answer on either one means, ultimately, judgment for the defendant. Because the two questions are not truly independent, this is not a reversal in part.
And suppose that the supreme court didn't just bypass the objective part from lack of need to reach it, but had granted cert only on the subjective question, so that the objective portion wasn't even before it. Would that affect whether or not the intermediate court's new ruling on the objective component should be recognized as precedential?
I don't pretend to have definitive answers. But I don't readily accept that appellate cases break down into the dichotomy that Bashman seems to be using.
If the Supreme Court wanted to "vacate" the court of appeals decision, couldn't they have done so? If they just "reversed" the decision on the one ground listed, didn't that leave the rest of the opinion in tact?
Had he wished to do so, he could've simply reprinted the panel's merits discussion and said, "I agree."
Rather, the judge was straining to avoid reaching the merits, presumably for the reasons stated in his long final footnote:The judge seems to telegraph his own dislike for the "under God" phrase, but note that he refused to strike it from the pledge, or to enjoin its being recited at school board meetings. He simply deferred to the panel's holding that schoolchildren shouldn't be forced to publicly choose between saying it or remaining silent, which, kindly remember, is not a ridiculous application of Lee v. Weisman.
a modest experiment
You are ignoring a third possibility, that the judge wanted to strike the pledge but also wanted to avoid the national condemnation that would accompany the act. Yes, I know he has life tenure and as a senior judge is probably too old to be promoted to the court of appeal, but still, this decision was bound to be picked up by every media outlet in the country.
By blaming the ninth circuit for the reasoning (rather than reprinting it), he can have his cake and avoid the consequences of eating it. After all, why not otherwise reprint the reasoning, especially if he agreed with it and it was questionable as to whether the precedent was still valid?
Either he disagreed (which the last paragraph refutes) or he agreed but did not want the blame. Looks like the latter.
Even were the pledge not circuit law, it still makes sense for the trial judge to treat the vacated (or whatever) opinion as persuasive authority. Concerns of justice for the parties should lead the court to make the best guess as to what the appeals court would do -- and the Newdow opinion gives indication about how the circuit interprets the same policy concerns that would apply to the case at bar.
Of course, the 9th Circuit is so large that not even an en banc panel necessarily guarantees the opinion of a majority of circuit judges. Fact is, the judge could probably write gibberish because both sides have probably already written their certiorari petitions.