Whiny Conservatives:
Does anyone have a copy of this study? GW's library hasn't received it yet, and I'm interested in reading the study itself (in contrast to the media account of it). If you have an electronic copy, please e-mail it to okerr (at) law.gwu.edu. Thanks.
I think the U of Ariz prof quoted as a critic has a point. Maybe because this study was in Berkeley, where the majority culture is liberal, the well-adjusted people grew up to be OK with what they saw going on around them. The social misfit types may wind up viewing themselves as political dissenters, which in the Berkeley area means becoming conservative.
It's unclear at this point how this fits into my theory: that liberals are people who were picked on by the popular kids in high school, while libertarians were so lacking in social skills that they were completely ignored by the popular kids and picked on by the liberals.
This theory doesn't fit with the theory that a conservative is a liberal who has been mugged.
-cliff
He thinks insecure, defensive, rigid people can as easily gravitate to left-wing ideologies as right-wing ones. He suspects that in Communist China, those kinds of people would likely become fervid party members.
...especially given the study's use of "liberal" and "conservative," which are not precise terms but nonetheless markedly different from "left-wing" and "right-wing" in the political science sense.
Of course, I'm sure there's a contingent that insists that American liberals are akin to members of the communist party in China. But, y'know, it's not true.
I have a couple different theories about how bias could affect this study.
1. "Whiny" children tend to partially blame local political opinions for their disappointment and would choose an opposite position as an adult to 'protect' the interests of children like them.
2. Observer bias on what is a "whiny" child. A child that feels that liberal policies are causing an injustice in their life, is perceived as "whiny" by those around them. Opposite, a liberal child who feels the dominate conservative policies of their community are causing injustice, would be perceived as "whiny" by the people around them.
3. People who feel like outsiders are more likely to choose a minority political opinion.
It's supposed to be in Volume 40, No. 2 (April 2006), I surmise. I've pasted the abstract here (the funding part at the end is interesting):
Abstract
The present study reports on the personality attributes of nursery school children who two decades later were reliably stratified along a liberal/conservative dimension. An unprecedented analytical opportunity existed to evaluate how the political views of these young adults related to assessments of them when in nursery school, prior to their having become political beings. Preschool children who 20 years later were relatively liberal were characterized as: developing close relationships, self-reliant, energetic, somewhat dominating, relatively under-controlled, and resilient. Preschool children subsequently relatively conservative at age 23 were described as: feeling easily victimized, easily offended, indecisive, fearful, rigid, inhibited, and relatively over-controlled and vulnerable. IQ during nursery school did not relate to subsequent liberalism/conservatism but did relate in subsequent decades. Personality correlates of liberalism/conservatism for the subjects as young adults were also reported: conservatives were described in terms congruent with previous formulations in the literature; liberals displayed personality commonalities but also manifested gender differences. Some implications of the results are briefly discussed.
Keywords: Political attitudes; Personality; Longitudinal; Q-sort assessment
This study was supported by National Institute of Mental Health Grant MH 16080 to Jack and Jeanne H. Block, now deceased. Many, many thanks to Peter Feld and Adam M. Kremen for help in computer analyses.
I thought this quote from the article was priceless.
Is it true that the conservative kids were whiny or were they "have a strong sense of fairness and morality and let their impressions of injustice be known?" Likewise, were they tattletails or did they simply "believe in the importance of authority and that everyone ought to follow the rules?"
Or how about the "self-assured" and "assertive" liberal children- were they that, or were they "pushy, disruptive, insubordinate and obstinate?"
In other words, I don't doubt that there are different personality proclivities that play into later political choices. I am quite skeptical, however, that this study somehow proves that these personality differences are "good" or "bad" as, say, Jessica Wilson, blogging at Brian Leiter's website seem to take it.
One thing I will say, however, is that I am inclined to take this study at least a little seriously because there is at least a strand of conservativism which, despite holding most of the levers of power, is very whiny-- and in a very silly fashion. Examples include David Horowitz, the Catholic League, the Media Research Center, Bill O'Reilly, etc. I've always assumed that the complaints are phony-- just a way of trying to make the media and commentators bend over backwards not to offend them and thus shift public discourse to the right. But perhaps there's some deeper explanation as to why some conservatives, despite the fact that their movement has never had more power and that liberals control few institutions, still act as if the world is unfair to them and that forces are conspiring to prevent them from asserting their ideas in the public sphere.
If you want to argue that the federal bench isn't controlled by liberals: explain Lawrence. Explain Romer v. Evans. Explain Free Speech Coalition v. Ashcroft. Explain Kelo. If you want to argue that conservative judges came to liberal results just because that was the only rational way to interpret the Constitution, well, feel free. But if the results on major hot button cases such as these are consistently on the liberal side of things, how can you tell "conservative" control of these institutions from liberal control?
Again, I don't think the study can be taken at all seriously unless it's repeated in a conservative area. Assuming it says what the reports claim it says, it supports the two hypotheses "whiney kids end up conservative" and "whiney kids end up with different politics from their parents or the area they grew up in". And that assumes that the low correlation coefficients of 0.27 or so are really statistically significant in a sample of 95.
Dilan, liberals and members of PC groups never whine or take offense at minor slights? Yeah, right!
-dk
I'm learning as a parent that the difference between "tattling" and "not letting yourself get taken advantage of" is a difficult one to figure out myself, let alone communicate to a four year old.
While I won't discount a study I haven't seen, even if it's right, the takeaway could just as easily be, "Stop picking on kids, and they'll stay liberal."
Says the "Dog"
I confess that I have no idea which political philosophy the commenter refers to ("liberals" or "conservatives") — pretty much all political philosophies are guilty of this.
As to the comment that the "liberals" control the three of four major dailies, the federal bench, etc. Laughable. I won't even bother responding to the frankly uninformed Limbaugh/Hannity/Instapundit rant that the federal courts are controlled by liberals — even the "liberals" on the Supreme Court are not that liberal; pro-business, pro-death penalty, etc. As to the hated "MSM" - again, your worldview must be highly influenced by Rush Limbaugh. Let's take one of those three major dailies — the Washington Post had an editorial page that was and remains EXTREMELY pro-Iraq war (when the majority of Americans do NOT support it and even in the runup to the war a good 40 percent were against it). They lead the charge on the
inquisitionimpeachment of Clinton for, G-d help us all, getting a blow job, but have not even said crap about Bush's blatant violations of federal law and lies that got us into war, etc. They just hired as a blogger to "balance" out their online content the proprietor of RedState and a rabid right-winger, yet they have NO, ZERO, ZILCH, liberal bloggers there (none did not support the Iraq War for example). Give me a break. Whiny little babies can't stand any criticism of their G-d President and his chosen party. People with this Rush Limbaugh worldview are really astonishing — maybe too high on Vicodin like their other hero.That being said, there seems to me to be absolutely no reason for the prejudicial attacks on the scientist, and no support for as such. Since the common sense answer is that kids who have problems adjusting are on aggregate likely to dissent from the larger social structure, finding that Berekely kids who have such problems grow up conservative should be hardly surprising. Attributing it to his personal politics, without any core justification or previous work in the area, seems to me the very definition of unfounded.
Also, tangentially, while I don't support the doing of drugs,
"This is the same guy who came to the conclusion that kids who do drugs are better adjusted than those that didn't as well."
What is exactly unreasonable about this, if by drugs he means moderate amounts of the social majority drugs (generally pot, in some American cultures, sadly cocaine - though it would make much more sense with downers than uppers). Sure, the outliers are more likely to be heavily involved in drugs, rather than casual users, but I see no reason why nonaddictive usage of most drugs isn't perfectly compatable, and often in modern society, lubricates, social acceptance - after all, how many of the cool kids in your high school didn't drink?
The fact is that there are people on both sides who act like whiny babies when their leaders get criticized and use that as evidence of "bias." This study is just plain ridiculous on its face for several reasons.
This is argument by anecdote. The data show that the courts make predominantly conservative decisions. And the practical significance (as opposed to moralistic) of decisions such as Lawrence and Romer is minimal. The economic jurisprudence of the Court is far more significant than a decision striking down an unenforced law about criminalizing gay sex.
Well, from the information provided in the abstract regarding funding, it appears that you and I do. Nice to see more of my tax dollars circling the drain before they disappear forever. Where is William Proxmire and his Golden Fleece Award at times like these? Thank you very much, NIMH, but we already seem to have more crap than any semi-sane person might ever want.
Were that his point, Justin, then personal attacks on him really would be unwarranted. But, and correct me if I'm wrong, he does not take into account the built-in location bias. His conclusion is that Conservatives are whiny and maladjusted - no qualifiers. When someone draws a conclusion like that, particularly in a very flawed study, it's a perfectly fair inference that the author is biased, seeking support for prejudices he already holds. That makes him a very fair target for personal attacks.
It's not like he did the study in Berekely in order to develop bias. He piggybacked off a previous project from 20 years ago that was in Berekely.
Or is it a perfectly fair inference that when Bush made mistakes in New Orleans, its because he hates black people? Because as long as we play by consistent rules....
1. I oppose the death penalty.
2. I think laws telling consenting adults what they can do in private are Constitutional but stupid.
3. I think that the primary focus of governmental action on drugs should be educational, and I have serious misgivings about attempts to limit the flow of drugs by prohibition.
You might want to talk to some mainstream conservatives--just so the rest of us can watch your head explode.
Um, ok, the otherwise conservative judges (Kennedy in Lawrence) or lawyers (Roberts in Romer) came to those results because they were right. I know you want to pooh-pooh the argument, but on a stats thread I would dissuade you from making the argument that liberal outcomes indicate a liberal judge irrespective of other patterns. The Ninth Circuit is the only liberal circuit, with a bunch in the middle, and with the Fifth, Fourth, and DC circuits on the right. All four "liberal" justices would have been moderates on the Warren court. You've really got a long way to go before you make a succesful argument that the left controls the bench. I think you are confusing the judiciary's designated countermajoritarian role - which is inherently leftist - with the leftist character of the people that sit on it.
anyway, most people in their early to mid 20s probably will still be liberal. see what they are when they have kids, a mortgage and have to pay a significant portion of their salaries to the gov't. they'll have plenty to complain about then. it reminds me of that old saying - a young person who's a conservative has no heart, while an old person who's a liberal has no brain.
Bush, with respect to Katrina, can be accused of, at most, an incompetent response, which as it turned out, did not even have a disparate impact on blacks. Frankly, I just don't see the parallel.
Uh, no, for perjuring himself about it in relation to a civil suit about what was, at best, sexual harrassment. If you honestly think that the impeachment was about sex, you weren't paying much attention.
What? The Washington Post hasn't provided any coverage of the NSA wiretapping controversy? Of Padilla being held in a military brig? Or the Abu Ghraib matter? Of accusations of violations of law at Gitmo? Really?
"Lies that got us into war": I presume that you mean the WMDs question. First of all, remember that there was NO serious question--even from opponents of the war--that Iraq had WMDs. If Bush had indeed "lied" (intentionally misled the American people about the prescence of WMDs) about this, then why didn't he arrange to "find" a stockpile? It would not have been that difficult for our government, about three weeks after the fall of Baghdad, to find say, 100 kilograms of mustard gas in one of the outlying military bases. Mustard gas is a simple, low technology chemical agent, impossible to prove that it wasn't Iraqi made, and it would have been a huge political win. Clearly, Bush expected to find WMDs in Iraq--or the guy is a Boy Scout of integrity (of the sort you claim that he can't be).
Secondly, it is not clear even now that the pre-war assessment was wrong. Small quantities of chemical weapon shells were recovered after the war, and Hussein's Vice Air Marshal claims that Iraq shipped its chemical WMDs to Syria in 58 airplane flights just before the start of the war--a position that seems corroborated by statements at the time by the Israeli government of unusual air traffic, and by the presence of chemical weapons smuggled into Jordan from Syria by al-Qaeda for a foiled attack on Amman, Jordan.
has anybody actually looked at the study to see what the authors say about regional bias?
Here is Instapundit:
The relevance here, aside from the obvious, is that it takes a lefty fake news show on basic cable to bring this to light. Where are our loyal neo-con lapdogs in the MSM when we need em?
You forgot the public school system. The teachers’ unions always support liberal candidates. You also forgot Hollywood.
Unlike the conservatives, the liberals strongly influence (I’m not going to say “control”) institutions that exert a lasting influence on society. Moreover, their influence is also of an enduring nature. Professors and teachers have tenure; federal judges serve for life, and Hollywood is always been pretty much left of center. The grip conservatives have on legislatures, and executives could easily change in a few years with the whim of the electorate. We should not ignore the fundamental difference in the nature of the influence these two movements have.
I hate using the political terms "conservative" and "liberal" when they apply to a judge's philosophy. A conservative jurist can be a political liberal and vice versa. The justices aren't up there voting for their political preferences (See FAIR v. Rumsfeld). I think your data is pretty skewed because you're looking at a such a small sample of cases. if you are just going to define someone as a liberal just because they write an opinion with a liberal outcome, this is a stupid empirical exercise. Ok, so is Breyer now a conservative because of how vocal he was and because he signed on in in Rumsfeld? Is Roberts a liberal because he argued Romer?
I'm not saying that a court can't be "liberal" or "conservative." But for those terms to have any meaning whatsoever, you have to compare its results with majority preferences. No matter how much complaining Sean Hannity might do, this court is much closer to majority preference than was the warren court.
Article III courts, when they enforce the bill of rights, are "liberal" institutions because, by definition, they are usually overturning a majority rule to protect a minority. It's silly to say that the "liberals" control an institution whose liberal bias is largely structural.
Victimized; fearful; vulnerable: Sounds like a rational conservative response to living in a region that is overwhelmingly hostile toward conservatives.
Easily offended: ROTFL! The Left has a virtual monopoly on the speech code meme in the West, and Berkeley is one of its holy cities.
Over-controlled: When I think of "California" and "over-controlled," I think of suffocating government regulation. I suspect that the study has in mind something other than the Vampire L'Etat.
Rigid, indecisive: Aren't these opposites?
1. WMD's -- No. First, there were WMD's in Iraq -- there were NOT WMD's in Iraq at the time we invaded; Saddam got rid of them (thus the Daily Show excerpt is irrelevant). Could a reasonable person in Bush's position believe there were WMD's there at the time? Of course. Could a reasonable person in Bush's position or Cheney's position have believed that Iraq was "reconstituting its nuclear program"??? No. Thanks for coming out, Clayton
KCramer, I will send you some parting gifts.2. Connection between Saddam and 9/11 -- Bush assures us he was "very careful not to say that Saddam had a direct hand in 9/11" -- an admission that he was trying to mislead us carefully (a la Clayton's favorite philandered, Bill Clinton) that there was a connection.
3. Washington Post -- not coverage, editorial policy. Difference, there is one. Learn it, live it, love it. The WaPo has not called for any type of sanction on the President for violating countless federal laws including directly violating Hamdi v. Rumsfeld by continuing to assert that he has a unilateral right to keep US citizens in a box without judicial review. For a guy who claims to be so concerned about original intent of the Framers like you Mr.
KCramer, I would think you would care about that.4. Gay sex and bestiality -- why Clayton are you so obsessed with that stuff? Your blog constantly talks about these crazy judges imposing all these horrible "unconservative things" on us, but the only thing you ever cite are things having to do with Gay Sex, and then you tell us continually that it will lead ot bestiality and polygamy etc. Why are you so obsessed with bizarre sexual behavior? I know that the only time I spend thinking about this stuff is when I am reading a dirty magazine, like The National Review, The Weekly Standard, or dirty conservative websites that love to talk about this.
5. Impeachment was not about sex. Funny.
Did you not show up on that day in law school when they said the thing about logical thinking? If WMD's left Iraq, because and solely because, we invaded then they would have stayed there had we not invaded. Then Saddam would have just stored them in a basement, and forgotten all about it. Or not. Or something else would happen, maybe.
this study might be flawed for a lot of reasons, and some of them might have to do with geography. But this idea that this group seems to have concocted is that 4 year olds are capable of feeling a sense of political alienation, like little mikey is getting beat up on the playground because he likes to listen to rush limbaugh instead of NPR at recess.
1. In contested (i.e., 5-4 and 6-3) cases, Kennedy votes far more often with Scalia and Thomas than he does with Souter, Stevens, Breyer and Ginsburg. He's conservative; indeed, his deviations from conservativism are quite notable and that is what makes him the "swing" vote.
2. While the Court has modestly expanded gay rights in Romer and Lawrence (and just how modest the expansion has been is demonstrated by Boy Scouts of America v. Dale and FAIR v. Rumsfeld), in most areas, the Court is now very conservative, especially compared to the Warren and Burger courts that preceded it. For instance, we've gone from a majority that was very skeptical of the death penalty to unanimity in favor of it. We have also gone from a blank check commerce clause to one which does not extend to certain local activities. We have also gone from a Tenth Amendment that was merely rhetorical to one that prohibits federal interference with core state functions. We have also gone from an antitrust doctrine that invalidates certain anticompetitive actions on a per se basis to one that applies a deferential "rule of reason" to such activities.
Perhaps most importantly, we have gone from a court that sees it as its mandate to enforce key civil rights protections to one that often invalidates federal attempts to regulate state violations of civil rights and other protections, on the basis of a federalism principle that appears nowhere in the Constitution.
In no sense is this a "conservative" court-- indeed, it is exactly what you would expect from a court that has SEVEN Republican appointees and only two Democratic appointees.
I don't know why you seem to think that Lawrence v. Texas and Romer v. Evans are so important that their outcomes automatically make the Court "liberal"; those decisions are pretty minor compared to all the cases where the result is "conservative".
3. As for "liberals controlling the media", really, give it a rest. First, it doesn't deny that conservatives control the government-- and even you would concede, I hope, that conservatives have A LOT of power and responsibility by virtue of their control of the executive and legislative branches. Second, whatever you say about the three broadcast networks and some big city papers, there are plenty of conservative outlets-- Fox News, opinion journals, talk radio, blogs, etc.
And further, a lot of conservative media criticism IS whiny. Even if you think that the mainstream media is liberal, read some of the stuff that the Media Research Center puts out! They complain about all sorts of alleged liberal bias that, to put it charitably, is in the eye of the beholder.
And that gets me back to my point. Conservatives DO have a lot of power. We can argue about how much they have, but you can't seriously say that they don't have a lot. Yet some of them make a business out of constantly complaining that their ideas aren't taken seriously, that they can't get their message out to the public, and that everyone is out to get them. No matter where the truth lies in terms of your claims about the media and the judiciary, you cannot seriously deny that some conservatives are whining.
Republicans are a divided party, so a Republican majority in Congress doesn't mean a conservative majority.
Yes, I would. Few things are as damaging in the blogosphere as making an argument or relying on a “study” to bolster your case that the other side can tear apart in five seconds. Which makes it more imperative for you to discredit and debunk this sort of nonsense before it spreads and too many people on “your side” use it in an argument.
But maybe that’s just me.
... jk
I think it's possible, but I would like to say the data before saying that, and I think that should be most people's approach.
Yeah, just three of the four major networks, all major daily newspapers (with the exception of the Wall Street Journal), effectively all universities, and the federal bench. That is, of course, just a few institutions--but the ones that exercise enormous power.
Who pays for this crap?
I want to see a study of children from different regions of the country.
They also failed to control for factors like the political leanings and whinyness factors of the children's parents, schools and colleges attended, etc.
Unlike the conservatives, the liberals strongly influence (I’m not going to say “control”) institutions that exert a lasting influence on society.
Victimized; fearful; vulnerable: Sounds like a rational conservative response to living in a region that is overwhelmingly hostile toward conservatives
Clayton:
You seem to think that if the Supreme Court ever rules in favor of the liberal side in a dispute, it is ipso facto liberal. How else to square your views on SCOTUS with the fact that its decisions are overwhelmingly conservative, and are likely to get even more so with Alito replacing O'Connor, and yet you still think it is a liberal court. This has to be the most conservative court in your lifetime, even if you were born in the 1930's. Also, in your list of hot button cases, you left out Bush v. Gore, which I would submit had a much more significant effect on the country (like it or not) than, for example, the Court's decision invalidating a texas sodomy statute that was almost never enforced so that Texas could count the fruits of a warrantless drug search.
GC:
Clinton was impeached for perjury. He doesn't get to decide what he is entitled to lie about in a deposition or in front of a grand jury, based on his own views of inappropriate questions. Nobody cares that he got a blow job from an intern in the Oval Office; the issue was whether the chief law enforcement officer is entitled to commit perjury and to encourage others to do so on his behalf.
As for Bush, equating the exaggeration of a WMD threat (including the nuclear component of that threat) with a clear-cut statement in a court proceeding that is knowingly false - well, it does not enhance your credibility. If Bush is guilty of perjury, than every president in the last half-century would also be guilty of perjury.
I think Kennedy wasn't actually a Berliner. What Chutzpah, to lie like that. Perjury! (It wasn't in court or in connection with a crime, but still).
but simply becaues bush is equally not guilty of perjury it does not follow that he has not misled the public on a number of important issues.
i also meant to mention bush v. gore, and ask clayton how that fit into his model with, you know, scalia all of a sudden the champion of equal protection.
To my memory, Romer just held that pure animus toward a group does not constitute a "rational basis" for governmental action; and Lawrence simply held that the concept of "liberty" prevents criminal punishment (imprisonment?!) of an individual for having consensual sex, in the privacy of their own bedroom, with another adult of the same sex.
Really. I'm not liberal, but I found the backlash over these decisions a little excessive.
Seems to me that there is a clear line between exaggerating in a political context (i.e., 'misleading'), where you are trying to sell a policy, even a military policy, and lying in a judicial proceeding after you swear to tell the truth. Otherwise, why bother to put the pols under oath?
If you are going to erase the significance of that line, than either every president gets impeached or we agree to allow them to lie as much as they want while they occupy that chair.
Works for me...
(but one needn't be so conservative. Half century takes us back only to Eisenhower. Don't forget Truman, FDR, Wilson. It's almost a foregone conclusion that war presidents lie.)
<s>Bush</s> The scientist, with respect to <s>Katrina</s> the study, can be accused of, at most, an incompetent <s>response</s> control group, <s>which as it turned out, did not even have a disparate impact on blacks.</s> (this just gets xed out because the original assertion is false as well as as irrelevant) Frankly, I just don't see the parallel.
Fixed your post, Mike.
All the whiny concervatives are still funny, unlike the serious ones, like Orin and Eugene (even if I find the latter profoundly wrong on punishment theory).
Just because the President and Congress are spending like drunken sailors doesn't mean they aren't conservatives. What it does mean is that: (1) conservatives, like liberals, make concessions to political realities, which include demands for social spending as well as defense and homeland security; (2) conservatives, like liberals, like to reward their constituents with pork, whether it is Congressional bridges to nowhere or the President's subsidies to the religious right; and (3) a lot of conservative budget math doesn't add up, because most government spending is on programs that conservatives either enthusiastically support (e.g., defense) or do not claim to oppose (e.g., Social Security), and there is thus not that much left to cut.