The Copycat Effect

Loren Coleman's weblog "The Copycat Effect" (which is also the name of his book) examines the copycat effect of the Virginia Tech murders. He points out that a school attack last week in Oregon (no fatalities) appeared to have been inspired by a recent National Geographic tv special on Columbine. He offers a grim warning of the high risk of more copycat attacks in the next several weeks. Pointing to school attacks in Canada and Germany in recent years, he notes that the problem is not confined to the United States.

American Spectator has an article by John Tabin on "gun free zones" which includes an interview with me.

At my website, I have a variety of articles on policies which have worked to prevent or stop school shootings, including Israel's policy of arming teachers.

The rules on the purchase of firearms by non-immigrant aliens (such as the Virginia Tech killer, who held a green card) is here. Basically, they must have been in the U.S. for at least 90 days at the same residence. They under the same criminal records background check as a U.S. citizen, plus an additional check with Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Although we do not know what ammunition magazines the killer used, ABC News was plainly wrong in claiming that the 2004 sunset of the 1994 Clinton "assault weapon" law brought magazines with a capacity of over 10 rounds back into the marketplace. The 1994 law banned the manufacture of new magazines, but magazines made before September 1994 were always readily-available on the marketplace.

Finally, I will be on the CTV (Canada) program "The Verdict" tonight, from about 9:19-9:30 p.m. Eastern Time. I will be debating Wendy Cukier, Canada's leading gun prohibition advocate. The program should be available on the CTV website not long afterwards.

Sebastian (mail) (www):
Good Luck. I will be sure watch.
4.17.2007 5:40pm
Randy R. (mail):
This whole copycat thing has me perplexed. Can someone explain why it happens? I mean, I see horrible things on tv, but I don't think that I have to do it too, for any reason.

What's up with copycatters?
4.17.2007 7:41pm
plunge (mail):
I honestly don't have one strong opinion or another on the issue of gun ownership and carrying. I don't think it is a liberty that is particularly essential to a modern society, but I do accept that it is a liberty which for better or worse this particular modern society is committed to, and though I think we might have a lot less gun violence without guns, it's a done deal now as far as guns being everywhere, and its in the constitution, so we should work with what we got.

As for the particulars of regulating guns, honestly, this is something for which federalism is a good solution. Some states could have teachers carry weapons others won't. Some could have concealed carry even in classrooms, others will ban guns from campus.

Drawing any direct conclusions from big media stories or even loud political debates is not what I see having one approach win out over another. Over time states are going to work out in practice what works.
4.17.2007 8:00pm
eforhan (mail):
The author says it's about the highest number of body counts.

I wonder: Are they so detached they can think in such terms? Are they wanting immortality by being remembered, even if as a mass murderer?

I agree with the author that it's unwise (and incorrect) to label VTech as the greatest massacre in US history. But then, I believe MSM is more about alarmist dirty laundry than considering repercussions.
4.17.2007 8:05pm
Buck Turgidson (mail):
Israel has good reason to arm teachers--they are constantly under threat, so it has nothing to do with "copycats" or dangerous students. Besides, Israeli teachers are trained, which is a lot more than I can say about most armed people in the US.

But if you want to see some truly disgusting display of rhetoric, here are a couple of places to start:

Derbyshire
Schlussel
4.17.2007 8:26pm
Bruce:
Has anyone other than Coleman confirmed the existence of a "copycat effect"?
4.17.2007 10:12pm
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):
See this article, where I discuss how Wesbecher left clear evidence that he was "copycatting" Patrick Purdy. He didn't just underline in red "Calendar of Senseless Shootings"--he went and bought a 9mm pistol and an AK-47 after Purdy's crime. Then Wesbecher swapped his AK-47 for one from the same factory as Purdy's AK-47.
4.17.2007 10:19pm
B Hammonds (mail):
Mr. Turgidson, while the threat to Israeli teachers is much more concentrated than US teachers, I would like to inform you that our teachers are most certainly under threat, albeit more diffuse. The threat takes several forms. You may disallow dangerous students, but I cannot, as I have been threatened with physical force at least 3 times in the last 18 years, was assaulted two years ago, and been the recipient of many mumbled threats of retaliation away from campus.

One source of threat are students who are identified as emotionally handicapped, many of whom are potentially (or have histories of being) violent. Another source comes from having juveniles sentenced to attend school (some having committed violent felonies), with no parameters (aside from numbers of days attended) for judging successful compliance for said students, and insufficient communication with/monitoring from the judicial system that ordered them there. Another threat comes from increasingly irresponsible, immature, and unreasoning parents that cannot understand that MY conduct of the classroom does not have to mirror THEIR expectations for their children, or that their children's grades should have some correlation with the degree of completeness and correctness of assignments. The final threat I will categorize as the unsuccessful, frustrated marginal student himself, who knows that he has not really accomplished much in the last 10-12 years of his life, forced into classrooms with 20-30 other students, to whom teachers cannot devote the extra time needed to give that student a chance at succeeding in an academic setting.

And, Israeli teachers may indeed be more trained, but I am a US military veteran, and we currently have at least two combat-experienced Vietnam veterans in our faculty. We would be most grateful to be allowed to participate in training in something other than just another "new" instructional fad that very often results in just another way to gloss over a student's shortcomings and ignore or deny their many wondrous talents. I fear that many pressures would prevent this prudent use of available expertise.

As to the links you provided, I agree that the second link that you posted could be seen as quite crude, but it also points out that many segments of our society no longer trust the media to report the facts in a straightforward and transparent manner. I cannot see the first one in such a light, however, as it seems to point out that we have maybe succeeded too well in teaching some of our children not to resist physically.
4.17.2007 11:46pm
Sebastian (mail) (www):
I was wondering if the reporter was going to keep doing all the work for the gun control lady. It seems to be like they were just attempting to reaffirm pre-concieved notions rather than really debate anything. I mean, it's pretty crazy to suggest, after the Dawson incident, that more gun control can really be effective at preventing these kinds of things. So the US should adopt stricter gun control, even though that didn't prevent this from happening in Canada?
4.18.2007 2:27am
abb3w:
"Monkey see, monkey do" is an old idea; imitative behavior is almost an instinct for humans.

I suggest that a TV special should be made on this, but focusing on Liviu Librescu and his heroism. Choose what you want imitated.
4.18.2007 2:10pm
fred lapides (mail) (www):
I think it madness to allows professors to be armed. (ignore the special problems in Israel). How many profs at your school are, well, ready for retirement? How many grad students teach in classes--or adjuncts? If a prof can be armed, then so too a student. If so, do you want 19-year-old 6 pack drinkers and pot users trotting about campus with concealed guns and going off to aprties with weapons?

Why is it that a certain mind set always see more guns as the answer rather than more rational controls for allowing gun ownership?

A prof panics, shoots someone, who now gets hbuled into lawshit--why the Board, the School, the administration...and oh, yea, the prof.
Ps: I have served in the military a few times; my son, a former marine, owns some 4 guns, so this is not wimp talk
4.19.2007 6:23pm
andisinterestedobserver (mail):
Qui-bono??

Order out of Chaos?

The "problem-solvers" have a conflict of interest...? Yes.
Who profits?

Gun-grabbers(though it hardly makes a difference nowadays, most of society has been so brainwashed and pacified that they don't even know or care they are being enslaved).

The Psychiatric/Psychology industry(mirroring the Soviet model).

And of course the Police-state apparatis is further justified for expansion and more invasive-intrusive measures are "normalised".
4.20.2007 9:16am