The Volokh Conspiracy

Fred Thompson on the Leslie Southwick Nomination,

here.

John Armstrong (mail) (www):
I'm impressed that Rebecca Nurse's "ancestor" is still around 315 years after she was hanged.
8.1.2007 8:40pm
Syd (mail):
Apparently the witchcraft rumors must have been true.
8.1.2007 9:12pm
jonah gelbach:
I admit I've never even heard of Leslie Southwick. I do wonder, though, why in a 672-word column, Thompson can say only this about the motivation of Southwick's opponents:

The evidence against Judge Southwick? Two decisions he joined while sitting on the Mississippi Court of Appeals. Two, and only two, out of the more than 7,000 cases Judge Southwick heard, and in both of these instances, Judge Southwick had no hand in the writing of the rulings.


It sure would help to know a bit more.

In the interests of so knowing, I googled "Leslie Southwick" looking for what some opponents might have said. The first one on the list, from PFAW, includes these two paragraphs:

In 1998, Southwick joined a ruling in an employment case that upheld the reinstatement, without any punishment whatsoever, of a white state employee who was fired for calling an African American co-worker a “good ole nigger.” The court’s decision effectively ratified a hearing officer’s opinion that the slur was only “somewhat derogatory” and “was in effect calling the individual a ‘teacher’s pet.’” The Mississippi Supreme Court unanimously reversed the decision.

In 2001, Southwick joined a ruling that upheld a chancellor’s decision to take an eight-year-old girl away from her mother and award custody to the father, who had never married the mother, largely because the mother was living with another woman in a “lesbian home.” Southwick went even further by joining a gratuitously anti-gay concurrence which extolled Mississippi’s right under “the principles of Federalism” to treat “homosexual persons” as second-class citizens. The concurrence suggested that sexual orientation is a choice and stated that an adult is not “relieved of the consequences of his or her choice” – e.g. losing custody of one’s child.


I'll emphasize that I didn't know anything about these cases before reading this link just now. I'll also emphasize that I haven't read the decisions at issue.

That said, even if Thompson is right that "Judge Southwick had no hand in the writing of the rulings", I'm not sure I particularly care. If Judge Southwick thought the results were right but the opinions' language objectionable, then I assume he could have filed a concurrence (though I emphasize I don't know anything about Mississippi's state courts). For instance, anyone who thinks that the term "good ole nigger" is only "somewhat derogatory" is someone whose capacity to serve as a federal judge seems questionable to me.

Finally, the PFAW presser states that

Southwick served as a judge on Mississippi’s intermediate appellate court – the Mississippi Court of Appeals – from 1995-2006. The court does not routinely consider the types of federal constitutional and civil rights matters that come before the Fifth Circuit


If this is true, then Thompson's emphasis on "the more than 7,000 cases Judge Southwick heard" is a non-sequitur.

Perhaps the PFAW press release is inaccurate. And even if it's accurate, perhaps there are fine explanations for Judge Southwick's decisions in the cases at issue. And even if there aren't, perhaps there are still arguments in favor of confirming Judge Southwick. But Fred Thompson's column seems to me to be a pretty poor basis for weighing any of those questions.
8.1.2007 9:14pm
Name:
More on Southwick is here:


Opposing Judge Southwick are number of civil and consumer rights groups, such as the Alliance for Justice. According to one of their reports, Judge Southwick “has an 89 percent record of voting against workers, consumers and other victims in divided decisions.” When questioned by Senators on this record, AFJ adds, “he could not find a single non-unanimous case, of the more than 7000 opinions that he wrote or joined, in which he voted in favor of a civil rights plaintiff or wrote a dissent on behalf of a plaintiff.” The AFJ report also argues that Judge Southwick demonstrated a bias against claims of discrimination towards African-Americans, while simultaneously favoring allegations of discrimination against whites. According to the report, "Judge Southwick . . . routinely rebuffed allegations of prosecutorial racism against African Americans in jury selection while upholding allegations of anti-white discrimination levied against defendants."

In one case in particular, Judge Southwick joined a concurrence arguing that persons who "choose . . . the homosexual lifestyle" are less fit to raise children than straight parents. In another controversial decision, he joined a narrow majority in concluding a social worker was wrongfully terminated when she was fired for referring to an African-American co-worker by a racially charged term beginning with the letter "n."

Some advocates for Judge Southwick, such as the Committee for Justice, argue that Southwick’s troubles are the result of “Southern White Male Nominees Fac[ing] Bias in Senate.” They argue that opposition to Southwick is nothing more than "playing the race card.”
8.1.2007 9:21pm
Dave N (mail):
Anderson, one of the more liberal commentators on this site (and usually one of the most thoughtful commentators) praised Judge Southwick yesterday and supported his confirmation.

The PFAW article is factually wrong in one instance (the Mississippi Supreme Court affirmed the Mississippi Court of Appeals)--and the decision Judge Southwick joined deplored the use of the "N" word.

Finally, I am puzzled by the suggestion that service on a state appellate court is not a credential for serving on a federal appellate court. If it isn't, then what exactly is?
8.1.2007 9:25pm
JB:
Let's be cynical for a moment. The Dems hold Congress and everyone expects them to take the White House in a year and a half. There are a number of issues that they can horse-trade for ease of nomination.

Why on earth should they be anything less than brutally hard-line? In 18 months they'll get to nominate their own guys, or they can trade some confirmations for the accomplishment of part of their political agenda. If even one Republican candidate wasn't being routed by even one top Democrat contender, compromise might be in order, but they have a remarkably strong hand.

The only reason not to push it is to not be assholes, and that's just not going to fly these days.
8.1.2007 9:42pm
The General:
jonah, taking a PFAW "presser" at face value is laughable. They're one of the puppetmasters who are pulling Schumer's and the other Democrats' strings on the judicial nominations. They have no credibility on this issue.

The Dems are just making it more likely that most of a future Dem President's nominees are going to get scorched, causing a further degradation of the judicial nomination process, which is 99% the fault of the Democrats.
8.1.2007 10:21pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
JB, the Democrats could defeat Southwick without lying about his record, insinuating he's racially insensitive, and basically showing themselves to be complete cads. Moreover, the current level of obstruction is completely unprecedented, and is detrimental to the judiciary (not to mention detrimental to the Senate's responsibilities under the Advice and Consent Clause).
8.1.2007 10:23pm
anonVCfan:
As (nearly) always, Stuart Taylor has the most intelligent take on this.

Read it while it's hot. Eventually the essay will go behind the subscriber wall. The essay is called "Shortsighted on Judges," and is dated July 30, 2007.

On the two cases, Taylor says this:

The first case [PDF] was a 5-4 ruling in 1998 that a state administrative board had acted within its broad discretion when it reinstated without discipline a white state social worker named Bonnie Richmond, who had been fired for calling a black co-worker (who was not present) "a good ol' nigger" at an employment-related conference.

The opinion that Southwick joined deplored Richmond's use of an "inflammatory or derogatory term when referring to or directly addressing a co-worker." But it also noted that Richmond had been apologetic, and that the black co-worker, although angry about the slur, testified that the remark had not caused "any real big problem." The majority concluded that for Richmond, whose years of service had been "satisfactory in all other respects," this single use of an ugly racial slur was not a firing offense.

The Mississippi Supreme Court agreed, but unanimously sent the case back to the administrative board to consider imposing a lesser penalty. Richmond ended up with a written reprimand.

The second case [PDF] was an 8-2 ruling in 2001 upholding a chancellor's decision to take custody of an 8-year-old girl from her bisexual mother and award custody to her father. Among the grounds cited by the court were that the mother planned to move to another city and that the heterosexual father's "average American home" was preferable to the mother's "lesbian home." Southwick also joined a concurrence stressing that the Mississippi Legislature had disfavored "homosexuals in domestic situations."

Liberal groups complained that the opinions Southwick joined had used "troubling" words such as "homosexuals" and "homosexual lifestyle" instead of "gay." Never mind that "homosexual lifestyle" was used both by President Clinton (in 1993) and by the Supreme Court (in 2003) in its biggest pro-gay-rights opinion, which all of the four more liberal justices joined.

It's fair to infer from the 2001 decision that Southwick seems less committed to equal rights for gay people than many (including me) would like. But it hardly shows him to be a homophobe. Indeed, he was deferring to a state legislative policy that was consistent with existing Supreme Court precedent.


The rest of the article ties those observations in with broader points about the confirmation battles.
8.1.2007 10:30pm
jonah gelbach:
Dave N

I'll have more to say below about the case involving the "good ole nigger" slur. Since it's so long, let me address your other points first.

First, the fact that Anderson, one of the more liberal commentators on this site...praised Judge Southwick yesterday and supported his confirmation is certainly interesting. Just like the fact that former Reagan DOJ lawyer Bruce Fein recently called for impeachment of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. That is, it's one person's opinion and deserves some consideration, but it surely doesn't substitute for knowing the facts.

Second, I am puzzled by your statement of puzzlement by the suggestion that service on a state appellate court is not a credential for serving on a federal appellate court. Who suggested that? I didn't, and neither did the PFAW presser. I don't think either of the other comments before yours did, either.

Finally, I've now gone and read parts of the MSSC opinion as well as parts of the appellate decision that Southwick joined. I think that PFAW's accusation that Southwick referred to the term “good ole nigger” as only “somewhat derogatory” is a stretch, at best. That said, you are mistaken in your claim that "the Mississippi Supreme Court affirmed the Mississippi Court of Appeals".

Here's what actually happened. The "good ole nigger" phrase was actually uttered by a DHS employeed, Bonnie Richmond. After DHS terminated her, she appealed to the state Employee Appeals Board. Her appeal was first heard by a hearing officer, who stated, in the hearing:

I mean, I understand that the term "nigger" is somewhat derogatory, but the term has not been used in recent years in the conversation that it was used in my youth, and at that point -- at that time it was a derogatory remark. I think that in this context, I just don't find it was racial discrimination. I just don't find -- she possibly should have a letter of reprimand, but I don't think she needs to be terminated.

I'm going to reinstate her with back pay. The agency can do what they feel like they have got to do.


(I got these quotes from http://www.andrewhyman.com/confirmthem/nword.pdf.)

DHS appealed to the full EAB, which affirmed the hearing officer's reversal of DHS's termination of Richmond.

DHS appealed to the circuit court, which granted cert and set aside the EAB's reversal of DHS's termination.

Richmond then appealed the circuit court's ruling to the state appellate court, on which sat Southwick. At that point, in the decision that Southwick joined, the appellate court reversed the circuit court's ruling. That decision deplored the use of the word "nigger" but found that deference was owed the EAB's determination that the effect, in this case, wasn't bad enough to warrant termination:

the EAB decided that this one use of a racial epithet, when viewed in the context in which it was said, did not constitute sufficient basis to terminate an employee whose service, over a number of years, was shown to have been satisfactory in all other respects.

Thus the circuit court found that deference was owed the factual determinations of the EAB and there was no "authority for judicial intervention."

For what it's worth, the result was not just that Richmond's termination would be overruled, but also that she would face no penalty. In fact, the EAB's decision required that Richmond receive not only reinstatement, but also back pay. One of the dissents in this opinion emphasizes this fact and suggests that, in light of the EAB's failure to find facts, the majority's failure to remand to the EAB for redetermination of an appropriate penalty is erroneous.

Another dissent argues that the failure of the EAB to make findings leave no choice but to regard the preliminary hearing officer's findings as the board's. This dissent includes this text:

The hearing officer's ruling that calling Varnie Richmond a "good ole nigger" was equivalent to calling her "teacher's pet" strains credulity, finds no basis in reason and would appear to be both arbitrary and capricious.

I don't know anything about MS admin law, or about the legal implications of accepting the EAB's determination. For whatever it's worth, though, the second dissent suggests that the majority's willingness to accept the hearing officer's factual determination is tantamount to accepting the hearing officer's judgments regarding the phrase "good ole nigger". I can imagine that for legal purposes, that argument may be correct (though I can also imagine that it may not be). But it's certainly a lot less compelling than PFAW's characterization, which strikes me as clearly misleading.

Having said all that, Dave N is wrong about the MSSC. The SC did in fact reverse the appellate court decision that Southwick joined (text is at http://peo7.com/peo/caselawsDetail52959/Page1.htm), ordering that

Under the particular circumstances of this case, Bonnie Richmond's use of a racial slur on a single occasion does not rise to level of creating a hostile work environment, and therefore does not warrant dismissal of her from employment with DHS. However, we remand this matter back to the Employee Appeals Board for the imposition of a lesser penalty, or to make detailed findings on the record why no penalty should be imposed. Finally, we limit our holding to the unique circumstances of this particular case.

While Dave N is wrong about the affirmation, PFAW's characterization of a unanimous reversal is overstating the matter, in that while all justices either signed the majority opinion or a concurrence, a number of justices also dissented in part. That said, I think PFAW's characterization is more accurate than yours, Dave N.

Ultimately, PFAW should be ashamed of the distortion in its press release on this point. I don't know enough to know whether Southwick's vote in Richmond was deplorable or just mistaken on the law.

His position on the other case at issue, as characterized by the PFAW presser, seems worrying to me. But I don't know the facts of that case, and we've already seen reason to doubt the credibility of the PFAW presser. The text that "Name" excerpts from acsblog also seem worrying, though.

Finally, all of this makes me more sure of my view that simply crediting partisans' arguments is a poor way to assess the merits of the controversy over Southwick's nomination. I wish that Prof. Volokh had provided some facts rather than simply linking to a puff piece by a would-be presidential candidate.
8.1.2007 10:41pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
jonah gelbach, I admire your effort to examine the details but you have made at least one mistake.

You say that Southwick's "result was not just that Richmond's termination would be overruled, but also that she would face no penalty." That is incorrect. Southwick's court reinstated the EAB decison which said, "The agency can do what they feel like they have got to do."

Southwick thus left the agency free to demote, reprimand, transfer, or suspend the offender.
8.1.2007 10:47pm
jonah gelbach:
The General writes regarding my first comment that

jonah, taking a PFAW "presser" at face value is laughable.

The General, I'm surprised that you characterize me as such. I included all sorts of conditionals in my comments, and my concluding graf leads with Perhaps the PFAW press release is inaccurate.

You might also note my second comment, above, which I wrote before I saw your odd response to me. Not exactly the face-value treatment.

As for your claim that degradation of the judicial nomination process...is 99% the fault of the Democrats, I guess you missed the 1990s, the Reagan administration's decision to treat judicial nominees as just one more political battleground, and so on. This is definitely a tango with two dancers.
8.1.2007 10:48pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
It is a tango with two dancers, but one of the dancers is now jumping up and down on the feet of the other dancer.
8.1.2007 10:55pm
jonah gelbach:
Andrew Hyman

the EAB decison ... said, "The agency can do what they feel like they have got to do."

I did see that part of the hearing officer's decision, and I'm sorry I neglected to mention it.

It's an interesting question, then, why the Supreme Court didn't simply emphasize that point and affirm, effectively remanding to DHS, rather than EAB.

For what it's worth, the SC order emphasizes the requirement that EAB make factual findings. Thus it seems possible that the real issue regarding remand isn't the determination of a penalty per se, but a determination of facts with force of law. Those facts could then form the basis of a later penalty, whether ordered by EAB or DHS.

Obviously I don't know the statute, but is it possible that DHS lacks authority to find replacement discipline when an appeal has succeeded? In that case, the hearing officer's order on this point wouldn't be valid.
8.1.2007 10:57pm
jonah gelbach:
Andrew

It is a tango with two dancers, but one of the dancers is now jumping up and down on the feet of the other dancer.

Well I suppose I could make a pretty good case that the jumping has been done by conservatives for a pretty good while now.

As has hopefully become clear, I certainly deplore deception as a basis for opposing nominees. But it's plain for all to see that President Bush picks nominees in large part because of their ideology (or constitutional philosophy, or however you want to describe it). It seems strange to suggest (if you are so doing) that opponents of that ideology should simply "confirm them". If nominations are made for ideological purposes, they certainly can be rejected for the same reasons.

I'll also note two further points.

First, Republicans have no less history of Senatorial obstruction than do Democrats (e.g., I don't have time to go through all the stuff that the Orin Hatch-led JC did to muck up the process in the Clinton years).

Second, dishonesty is not exactly a stranger to Republican politics on judicial nominees. Consider John Ashcroft's treatment of Ronnie White, for example (and White was a *district* court nominee).
8.1.2007 11:05pm
Anderson (mail) (www):
I went around and around about the two cases in question over at LGM, and anyone who cares about the facts therein can go look.

Two points nonetheless:

(1) In the Richmond case, the court of appeals was strictly bound by the standard of review, which mandated that even if the court would have reached a different result, the agency decision had to be upheld unless it was arbitrary, capricious, or unsupported by substantial evidence. The court of appeals correctly ruled that it was not -- on the facts, the hearing officer's decision, however dubiously expressed, was not so wacky that it couldn't stand. Appellate courts do not get to right wrongs as they see fit.

(2) In the custody case, there was a vigorous dissent complaining about holding the mother's homosexuality against her. Southwick joined a dissent by Mary Libby Payne, Mississippi's second-ever female appellate judge, which pointed out that the state supreme court had held that the chancellor *could* do just that, and that the intermediate court was bound by that precedent.

(To repeat myself, Payne is a relatively liberal judge, tho surely also a staunch Baptist, and I am sure that Leslie Southwick would never in a million years have imagined that he would come to gried with a Democratic judiciary committee over joining a Mary Libby Payne concurrence.)

Southwick is a very sharp guy -- I saw him at a CLE last week -- and definitely federal-bench material. If the 5th Circuit falls through for him, I hope the original plan to put him on the district court bench is still good.
8.1.2007 11:28pm
Anderson (mail) (www):
Oh, and thanks to Dave N for the kind words, though "usually" is surely an exaggeration ....

("Gried" s/b "grief," though as a portmanteau for deep regret at the consequences of one's avarice, I think it has possibilities.)
8.1.2007 11:30pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
jonah gelbach:

There's is no question that the GOP has not always conducted itself ideally regarding judicial nominations. The question is one of degree, and of dispropotionate response, and of a difference in the kind of obstruction as well as the quantity.

Regarding the Richmond case, Southwick's court never remotely suggested that DHS lacks authority to find replacement discipline. So, it would not be correct to accuse Southwick of deciding in favor of no punishment whatsoever. On the contrary, Southwick's court said:

By affirming the Employee Appeals Board in this case, we do not suggest that a public employee's use of racial slurs or other terms of opprobrium directed toward a co-worker is a matter beyond the authority of the employing agency to discipline. The unwarranted use by a state employee of any inflammatory or derogatory term when referring to or directly addressing a co-worker is an action that cannot be justified by any argument. When such an incident occurs, it is incumbent upon the employing agency to deal with it in an appropriate manner.


The Mississippi Supreme Court felt that the decision should be remanded to the EAB rather than to the agency that wanted to punish Richmond. That was a purely procedural issue, and does not remotely suggest that Southwick or any other judge is racist or racially insensistive.

Mississippi law states: "The employee appeals board may modify the action of the department, agency or institution but may not increase the severity of such action on the employee." Thus, the EAB did have power to reduce the punishment. However, I am not aware that the employing agency may not also do so, especially upon the invitation of the EAB. In any event, this Mississippi statute was not mentioned by ANY of the judges on Southwick's court, which leads me to suspect that none of the lawyers in the case cited it until the case reached the Mississippi Supreme Court. Again, there's not the slightest indication of anything sinister on Southwick's part.
8.1.2007 11:33pm
Anderson (mail) (www):
Okay, one more: note this from the ACS Blog, quoted by Name above:

Judge Southwick joined a concurrence arguing that persons who "choose . . . the homosexual lifestyle" are less fit to raise children than straight parents.

That's just a lie, sorry. The opinion made no such argument. Rather, the concurrence argued that the Miss. Supreme Court had made such a holding, and that the intermediate court on which Southwick sat was bound to follow that precedent.

I've appreciated ACS Blog in the past on Gitmo-related issues, but I was very, very disappointed with their failure to bring any professional insight to the Southwick case.
8.1.2007 11:34pm
Michael B (mail):
Fred Thompson should use his homespun homilies more sparingly, more thoughtfully, or they'll quickly wear thin. Stuart Taylor's analysis is more informative and more incisive and as such has far more cogent appeal.

jonah gelbach,

You'd have a way to go to convince, in any very persuasive manner, that Orin Hatch's JC played similar levels of obstructionism against Clinton nominees. Supplanting restrained interpretations of the "advice and consent" role with more obstructionist, raw power plays vis-a-vis judicial nominees first gained momentum during the Reagan and Bush I years, when Leahy and the Dems roosted in the Senate JC. The Republicans during the Clinton years, with Orin Hatch et al., reflected a decidedly more constrained version of that obstruction, as payback for Bork and Borking in general. If history is to be reviewed the entirety of that history is germane, not selective episodes.

Here's one record that reflects that historical background, excerpt, emphases added:

"As we go to press, [May 27, 1988] there are 22 appointees awaiting Judiciary Committee action; only five have been scheduled for hearings, let alone votes, in the next month. In the first quarter of 1986, 95 per cent of the 21 pending nominees had had at least one Senate hearing; in the first quarter of 1987, only 50 per cent of 24 pending nominees had had a hearing--and the Democrats have begun to schedule second hearings far more frequently. As a point of comparison, at the end of 1987, with only a year to go in the Reagan Administration, an unprecedented 27 nominees were still pending. (Since 1960, as Tom Bethell has noted, there have never been more than four judicial nominees pending one year before a presidential election.)"
8.1.2007 11:37pm
Anderson (mail) (www):
Damn, can't type tonight -- in my 1st comment, Payne of course wrote a concurrence, not a dissent.

Re: my remark about her Baptist faith, see this:

Payne, who is on the national board of the Christian Legal Society, said her judicial decisions are based on law, not religion.

"I think our decisions are based on the admissible evidence in the record and the code and case law. That is what being a judge is. But I believe that to the extent that I allow God to be in control of my life, it may have an impact. I have a quiet time with the Lord at the beginning of each day so that I can have wisdom, but my decisions are not based on religion. They are based on evidence and law," Payne said.
8.1.2007 11:40pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
John Armstrong:

Fred Thompson's essay on this subject has now been corrected, to say "descendant" instead of "ancestor." And I thought it was a good essay by Thompson. He obviously was not writing a legal brief, in which case it would be lousy, but rather was writing a general expression of his opinion.
8.1.2007 11:46pm
David M. Nieporent (www):
According to the report, "Judge Southwick . . . routinely rebuffed allegations of prosecutorial racism against African Americans in jury selection while upholding allegations of anti-white discrimination levied against defendants."
This is also disingenuous. It hopes you won't notice that the common thread is not race, but the complainant. What it means is that Southwick routinely as he is supposed to do deferred to the decisions of the trial judge on jury selection matters.
8.2.2007 2:21am
Temp Guest (mail):
What better do you expect from the people who introduced Borking to American politics?
8.2.2007 9:50am
Oren (mail):

What better do you expect from the people who introduced Borking to American politics?


About the same you'd expect from the people that would nominate Bork (or Miers for that matter)
8.2.2007 10:26am
occidental tourist (mail):
I believe in spirit that the contemporary circumstance, i.e. the last score years, demonstrates an imbalance indicting the Democrats as the perpetrators of obstructionism in the role of advice and consent on judicial nominees. But, the result of an appeal to history as evidence that this didn't start with Republicans roadblocking Clinton -- in a reasonable effort to dissuade the public from believing that the Democrats are only engaging in a slightly more energetic pattern of what the Republicans started easily 'justified' in this age of 'partisanship' -- can't stop simply at the Reagan era.

While a watershed when considering that the verb Borked came into the lexicon followed relatively shortly by the less well known and more difficult to pronounce Thomased.

While some might argue context, in the sense that substantive reference to satisfaction with the way in which a judicial nominee would rule as related to a Senator's predilections, certainly Fortas was a forerunner -- and from what I understand by no means the first to succumb to partisan hurdles placed in the path of a judicial nomination.

Now, maybe as a result of the belief in the populist embrace of a malleable constitution and the explicit countervailing propositions of a certain counterrevolutionary distaste for 'judge made law' (looking to these trends as stereotypes and not joining the battle of whether 'judge made law'can cut for conservatives or a malleable constitution against progressives), Senators are less embarrassed in telegraphing how their substantive policy prerogatives are impacted by a nomination under consideration.

As per usual I appreciate the generally thoughtful nature of the commentary on this blog. While I think it clear - much as at a Federalist Society convention - the general predilection of the bloggers and the hangers on, the discussion proceeds with broad consideration of the issues and an invitation to dissent that enlightens my understanding of these issues.

Certainly Thompson is short on substance -- as are most opeds of the sort. This could be because he didn't think the audience would follow intricate discussion of administrative law or because he hasn't delved deeply into the these cases and is more relying on the notion that Southwick didn't write them and that these 2 decisions represent a miniscule and thus unrepresentative sample of his work as judge - which isn't to say they were necessarily aberrant but simply that if you only had 2 decisions that he didn't write to complain about that you didn't have anything.

While I imagine the analysis purposefully slanted in favor of those opposing his confirmation and would like to see the actual research that went into the proposition that he appeared to favor claims of discrimination by white defendants, I don't think the issue can necessarily be dismissed solely on the basis that appellate tribunals owe deference to the court of first impression, IF there is a statisically significant racial component then some reference to the circumstances of individual cases ought to be made to distinguish the merits of such allegations. This is a slippery slope in the sense that it will inevitably place jurists on notice that they may have to conform their jurisprudence to some affirmative action outcomes -- but conversely, if good interpretive work demonstrates the solid application of principle irrespective of race it might limit the utility of playing the race card. If you constantly play it inappropriately you will wear it out.

I'd be interested to hear Thompson speak to this issue with more substance but think he has done a fair job for the style of audience he is trying to reach. I haven't signed up on his blog and don't know if he ever responds to comments of if a more nuanced presentation of his understanding might be forthcoming there or elsewhere.

Brian
8.2.2007 10:40am
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Just for the record, Al Kamen of the Washington Post recently reported that Bush "may be hard-pressed to get the 11 he needs to match Clinton's 65 appeals court appointments. (By the way, Clinton reached his total with the Senate in GOP hands for six of his eight years.)" Those numbers are hard to argue with.
8.2.2007 11:54am
jonah gelbach:
Andrew

I saw that report by Kamen, too. But the figures you cite concerning the total number of confirmed appointments do not in themselves prove anything. The proper way to measure confirmation rates is with, well, confirmation rates---not totals.

As an example, consider the numbers you cite from Kamen, that Bush needs 11 more to match Clinton's 65. According to the article to which you link, President Bush has put 278 district and appeals court judges on the bench, while the same figure for Clinton is 370. Thus, to date Bush has had 278/370 as many confirmations as Clinton.

Suppose that the ratio of appellate-to-district openings under Bush has been the same as under Clinton (this is an empirical issue, and the assumption may or may not be right). Under this assumption, if Bush did as well as Clinton, then we would expect Bush to have

65*278/370 = 48.8

confirmed appellate nominees. According to the numbers you cite, Bush has so far gotten 65-11=54 confirmations. That is 5 more than simple math would have predicted. So if the assumption above isn't grossly false, you have the situation backward.

Now, you do cite Kamen's observation that Clinton reached his total with the Senate in GOP hands for six of his eight years. That's an interesting point, but it shouldn't be oversold. For example, Clinton cut a number of deals with Sen. Hatch (and perhaps others) to nominate their choices in return for confirmation of his own. I'm unaware of a case in which Bush has done likewise (doesn't mean there aren't any, for what that's worth---I'd be interested to know if there are). Moreover, for the most part Clinton picked moderates in an effort to avoid bloody battles. Bush has quite famously made a point of doing the opposite, at least in a number of high-profile cases (not counting Southwick).

Back to the issue of the confirmation rate. This rate is the ratio of the total number of confirmed nominees to the total number of nominations. So, let X be the number of Bush nominations turned away, and let Y be the same number for Clinton nominations. Then the respective confirmation rates for Bush and Clinton are

B = 278/(278+X) and C = 370/(370+Y).

Simple algebra shows that the Bush confirmation rate is less than the Clinton confirmation rate iff

X > (278/370)Y,

and since (278/370) is almost exactly equal to 0.75, this tells us that Bush's confirmation rate will have been less than Clinton's if and only if Bush had at least 3/4 as many nominations fail.

I don't know the numbers necessary to evaluate whether this condition holds. Kamen's article doesn't provide enough information to assess them either, though he does write that

When the Senate left town in December 2000, there were 67 judicial vacancies. Clinton had nominated 41 people for those jobs, but they were stalled.

I don't know how many Bush nominees haven't made it through in total. But unless the total gets to 30 (i.e., three-fourths of 41) including those that have failed to date and those that will not get through between now and the merciful end of this administration, Bush's confirmation rate will have been greater than Clinton's even if we assume that no other Clinton nominees failed besides those 41 pending in December 2000. For what it's worth Kamen's article notes that (at the time he wrote it), there were 25 nominations pending.

In any event, this particular question is an empirical one, not a philosophical one. I don't know the answer, and Kamen's article doesn't give enough information to find it. I'd be interested to have all the numbers, and I'd certainly be happy to update my position if they support yours.

What can be said, though, is that the statistics you cite do more harm than help to your contention that Bush has somehow fared worse than Clinton did. You've committed a simple fallacy here by failing to pay attention to sample size.
8.2.2007 1:32pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Jonah,

I suspect that you must be an economist in order to take plain statistics like Kamen's and make them seem somehow ambiguous. President Truman once put out the word that he wanted to hire a one-armed economist, because he was tired of hearing "on the other hand."

You have introduced district court nominees into this discussion. I frankly don't care about district court nominees. They are small fry. Sen. Leahy is always trying to pad the confirmation rate by including district court nominees. They're purposely not obstructing district court nominees for this precise purpose. Can't we please leave district court nominees out of this, please?

As Kamen wrote, Bush "may be hard-pressed to get the 11 he needs to match Clinton's 65 appeals court appointments. (By the way, Clinton reached his total with the Senate in GOP hands for six of his eight years.)"

This is very straightforward, just like the straigtforward fact that Southwick is not a racist. There is no "on the other hand."
8.2.2007 1:53pm
Fish (mail):
I have a unique perspective, in that not only do I practice in the 5th Circuit, I actually clerked for Judge Southwick. These attempts by liberal special interest groups to discredit him are disingenuous and insulting. On the first day of my clerkship, I was told by Judge Southwick that my job was to follow the law, no matter what my personal opinions might be. I can say, without a doubt, that he practices what he preached. I know the man, both personally and professionally, and can state, without, reservation, there has not been a better person or jurist nominated for the 5th Circuit in the 8 years that I have practiced law. Make no mistake, this has nothing to do with Judge Southwick's credentials, and everything to do with racial quotas and ideological manuvering. I am ashamed of the Senate and saddened by this obvious course of slouching towards an ideologically driven court system. This type of character assassination does the country and the Constitution a disservice.
8.2.2007 2:08pm
DiverDan (mail):
It doesn't take a mathematecal savant to tell that jonah gelbach is playing fast and loose with the numbers and making wholly unwarranted assumptions to reach some unsupportable conclusions. First, he claims that the relevant issue is rate of confirmations. However, his first equation -- 65*278/370 = 48.8 is completely meaningless. Yes, 65 (number of Appeals Court Judges successfully confirmed by Clinton)/ 370 (total district &appeals judges confirmed by Clinton) will yield the ratio of Clinton's appeals court confirmations to total District &appeals court nominations - but so what? Without information on the total appointments in each category, and the unfounded assumption that Bush had exactly the same mix of openings for appointments, his "expected" number of Appeals Court confirmations of 48.8 for Bush is just a Wild Ass Guess, not worth the time to do the math. Thesame can be said of the rest of his algebra - mathematically correct, but completely unenlightening.
8.2.2007 2:10pm
jonah gelbach:
Andrew

I suspect that you must be an economist in order to take plain statistics like Kamen's and make them seem somehow ambiguous.

The math really isn't complicated, and my point is both straightforward and, as you might write, "hard to argue with". I take as an implicit concession your decision to try and obscure that fact by resort to ad hominems. If you really don't understand why totals are per se uninformative when they come from populations of different size, then you should think about the matter for about 5 seconds. That's really all that an obviously intelligent person like yourself should need.

(For what it's worth, if you Google my name you can confirm that I am---heavens!---an economist....Surely I should now be ignored in all things analytical!)

Finally, if you think that using district court nominees isn't useful, then fine. But that doesn't change the simple point I made that the numbers you cite by themselves provide more evidence against your claim than in favor of it. If you think that the ratio of appellate-to-district openings was different under Clinton and Bush, then by all means show me where to find the numbers and I'll update the pre-algebra calculation involved. (Or you can do it for yourself. You just need to understand how to multiply fractions with integers to compute the product of numbers like "278/370" and "65". The rest is just a matter of comparing said product to the difference of a number like "65" and another number like "11".)
8.2.2007 2:21pm
jonah gelbach:
DiverDan

Without information on the total appointments in each category, and the unfounded assumption that Bush had exactly the same mix of openings for appointments, his "expected" number of Appeals Court confirmations of 48.8 for Bush is just a Wild Ass Guess

Well, yes. Without an assumption necessary to yield a result, the result has no basis. That's precisely why I made a point of stating the assumption clearly and noting that it is, indeed, an assumption. If you know the relevant numbers---how many appellate appointments and confirmations has Bush had?---to do the calculation without assumptions, then please provide or point me to them.
8.2.2007 2:25pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
jonah gelbach:

I will try to be restarined and polite here. District Court nominees are treated differently in the Senate than Circuit Court nominees. Therefore, please don't bring District Court nominees into this.

In 1978, the Senate created 35 additional circuit judgeships, and by the time Carter left office there were only 5 circuit court vacancies. Some of Carter's appointees are timing their departures to coincide with Democratic presidencies. That certainly does not justify Leahy in forcing Bush to appoint fewer circuit judges than Clinton, given that there is now a sufficient number of vacancies for Bush to equal Clinton's appointment rate.

And even if the Carter windfall did justify Judiciary Committee Democrats in doing such a thing, it would not justify their malicious smears against Southwick.
8.2.2007 2:30pm
jonah gelbach:
Ok, according to Table 2(a) of this CRS report (http://www.senate.gov/reference/resources/pdf/RL31635.pdf), Clinton made 115 circuit court nominations. Of these, 65 were confirmed. That's a confirmation rate of 56.5% (the CRS does the math for you). If you want to exclude resubmitted nominations (see Table 2(b) of same report), then the numbers are 91 nominations and 65 confirmations, for a confirmation rate of 71.4%.

The figures concerning Bush in that table end with December 9, 2003, so they are out of date (and we certainly wouldn't want to make assumptions regarding later events, would we?). That said, the reported figures are 93 nominations and 30 confirmations, yielding a confirmation rate of 32.3%, obviously much less than 56.5%. Excluding resubmitted nominations, Table 2(b) reports 50 Bush nominees through December 2003 and 30 confirmations, for a confirmation rate of 60%. Again, less than the comparable 71.4%.

I'm still looking for up-to-date figures on the rest of Bush's term. I note also that some Bush nominations might have been pending at the time the CRS report was finished. If any such pending nominees were later confirmed, Bush's confirmation rate would obviously rise.
8.2.2007 2:44pm
jonah gelbach:
Andrew

I'm happy to follow your lead and leave district courts out of this. My reply to your "you must be an economist" comment concerned only appellate nominees. And I'm glad you're now being "restrained and polite", because ad hominem attacks and obfuscatory dodges don't exactly raise your credibility.
8.2.2007 2:46pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Jonah, you wrote:

"ad hominem attacks and obfuscatory dodges don't exactly raise your credibility."

Perhaps you might consider following your own advice.
8.2.2007 2:53pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Regarding your numbers from the CRS, that is all well and good, but not particularly relevant. The relevant number is how many were confirmed, not the ratio of confirmations to nominations. The impact on the judiciary is measured by the number confirmed.
8.2.2007 2:58pm
jonah gelbach:
Andrew

This will be my last comment, at least unless and until I can find an up-to-date figure for the number of Bush circuit nominees (that turns out to be surprisingly difficult to do).

You write

The relevant number is how many were confirmed, not the ratio of confirmations to nominations.

If the point of the discussion is to assess whether one President's nominees have been worse treated than another's, then this claim just doesn't make any sense. Suppose a President were to have 0 vacancies during his/her term. Then s/he would have 0 confirmations. But it would be obviously silly to say that the Senate had treated that President's nominees worse than some other President who got at least one nominee confirmed. This extreme example generalizes very obviously: the number of confirmations a President can achieve is limited by the number of vacancies that President faces during his/her term.

Your claim that

The impact on the judiciary is measured by the number confirmed

is both true and irrelevant to the question at hand---which is whether Bush's treatment by the Senate has been somehow worse than Clinton's (or other Presidents, etc).
8.2.2007 3:14pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Jonah, your "extreme example" is not helpful. As I already said, there is now a sufficient number of vacancies and a sufficient number of nominees for Bush to equal Clinton's appointment rate. That has always been the case. Your "extreme example" of there not being enough vacancies or not enough nominees is inapplicable here. The Southwick nomination exists, and the vacancy on the Fifth Circuit exists, and it is not useful to hypothesize that they did not exist.
8.2.2007 3:39pm
Michael B (mail):
I'm surprised Πr² or E=MC² didn't work its way into obscuring and detracting from the facts surrounding Judge Leslie Southwick's bona fides.

Regarding the Senate JC more generally, simple fact is, the genesis of obstructionist and obscurantist tactics is located in the Democratic controlled Senate JC during the final two years of Reagan's tenure, the 100th Congress (the Senate was Republican controlled during Reagan's initial six years in office, a factor which serves to obscure some statistically based terms of the general debate).

But regarding Judge Southwick specifically - the focus of the original post - he deserves a full Senate vote. Nothing has been forwarded to indicate otherwise. Nada, nil, zil. The U.S. Constitution (and not arbitrary moral principles) prescribes "advice and consent" and thus, inherently, proscribes obscurantist and obstructionist tactics and the politics of personal destruction.
8.2.2007 3:41pm
Philistine (mail):

This will be my last comment, at least unless and until I can find an up-to-date figure for the number of Bush circuit nominees (that turns out to be surprisingly difficult to do)


According to the Administrative Office of US Courts, there are 16 Circuit Court vacancies. Bush has made 9 nominations for those 16 vacancies (of those 9, 4 were made 2 weeks ago).
8.2.2007 4:13pm
jonah gelbach:
(In breaking my last-comment threat...)

Philistine

Thanks for the link. To clarify, though, it's not the number of *current* vacancies or *pending* nominations that's needed here. Rather, we need to know the total number of circuit nominations/nominees that Bush has chosen over the entire course of his administration. That's the figure I've had trouble finding.

Andrew claims that there is now a sufficient number of vacancies and a sufficient number of nominees for Bush to equal Clinton's appointment rate. [Bold emphasis mine]

This is a direct contradiction of Andrew's previous statement that

Regarding your numbers from the CRS, that is all well and good, but not particularly relevant. The relevant number is how many were confirmed, not the ratio of confirmations to nominations. [Bold emphasis mine]

As I've made clear, I do think the relevant issue is the confirmation rate, not the number. And I'm glad that Andrew has apparently now changed his mind and joined me in that view. But we don't know enough to compare these rates---that's been my whole point in (this part of) our back-and-forth!

We don't know enough, because we don't know how many nominations Bush has made. And the number of nominations that Bush has made is the denominator of the Bush confirmation rate. Without that denominator, we can't know whether an equal confirmation rate would imply that Bush should have had 65, 54, 49, or some other number of confirmed nominees.

Andrew didn't like my purposely extreme illustrative example, so I'll give him another one that makes the same point. Suppose that Bush had nominated only 64 people to the appellate bench. In that case it would be logically impossible to have 65 or more confirmations. But his confirmation rate of 54/64=0.84 would have been greater than Clinton's. So again, without knowing the total number of Bush nominees, there's no basis for the claim that Bush's total of 54 confirmed nominees implies harsher treatment by the Senate than Clinton's total of 65.

Now that we evidently agree that the confirmation rate is the relevant metric, we'll have to wait til someone can find out how many nominations/nominees Bush has had. And then we can all agree, if only on the numbers.
8.2.2007 5:09pm
Michael B (mail):
Following are the percentages of Court of Appeals and District Court Nominees Confirmed During a President's first two years in office (one measure only, but generally indicative since judges often delay their retirement until a "friendly" party is in office, for other reasons as well), comprised from two sources:

99% Kennedy **
97% Johnson (65-66) **
93% Nixon
83% Ford (75-76, anomalous, includes a pres. election year)
93% Carter **
98% Reagan **
93% Bush I
90% Clinton **

76% Bush II

** indicates the Senate/Pres. had the same party affiliation

Statistics and numbers can be almost endlessly forwarded and subsequently countered with yet other numbers. Still, Judge Southwick is the more singular focus and nothing substantial has been forwarded against him. As such Southwick reflects a microcosm of the more general problem.
8.2.2007 5:23pm
Miss. Lawyer:
Under Mississippi law, administrative agencies are given a lot of deference and their rulings are reviewed on an arbitrary and capricious standard. Basically, the ruling must only demonstrate that the agency actually considered the facts at issue.
8.2.2007 5:42pm
Philistine (mail):
When Clinton took office, there were 17 vacancies for Circuit Courts. When he left office, there were 26. Now there are 16.
8.2.2007 6:05pm
Andrew Hyman (mail) (www):
Judge Southwick is now out of committee, which was an honorable thing for Senator Feinstein to do. Kudos to her.

Andrew claims that there is now a sufficient number of vacancies and a sufficient number of nominees for Bush to equal Clinton's appointment rate. [Bold emphasis mine] This is a direct contradiction of Andrew's previous statement....


What I meant is that there are now sufficient vacancies and nominees to allow the Senate to work toward letting Bush have a number of confirmations equal to Clinton's.

Bush is in the positino of an automobile driver. As long as he keeps some gas in the tank (i.e. nominees in the Senate) then the car can keep running. There's no sense criticizing Bush for not keeping the tank more than 3/4 full at all times.
8.2.2007 6:19pm
Michael B (mail):
Part of Feinstein's statement:

"I truly believe the concerns outlined about Judge Southwick are outweighed by his service to the country, by the many cases he sat on.

"If I believed he was racist, I wouldn't vote for him. But I don't."

Genuine appreciation is due Feinstein, a solitary Dem on the side of well reasoned and responsible discourse and against the types of slurs the other nine (9) Dems, PFAW and others attempted to forward against Southwick. In fact Feinstein lightly rebuked her fellow Dems on the committee for engaging in the slur.
8.2.2007 7:57pm
jonah gelbach:
Michael B

Based on what I've read in the 2 decisions and the PFAW press release I saw, I agree completely. Accusations of racism shouldn't be made lightly, and in this case there seems to be no evidence whatsoever to support the charge.

There's plenty to complain about concerning GOP/rightwingers' behavior and dishonesty on judicial nominations. And I agree with PFAW (and, needless to say, the other 9 Dems on the JC) on lots of substantive issues. But there's simply no excuse for the deceptive charge of racism they made regarding Southwick. I haven't paid enough attention to the anti-gay charge to know the facts, but given the dishonest behavior regarding the Richmond case, I'm disinclined to believe PFAW and its partisans on that issue. This episode certainly reduces all of their credibility in my eyes.
8.3.2007 3:04pm
Michael B (mail):
Mr. Gelbach,

Thank you for your considered response and for comprehending what I was attempting to emphasize, and for focusing upon that. Two issues, both worthy, were being discussed: Leslie Southwick specifically and the broader Senate Judiciary Committee's (JC) twenty year history now of Constitutionally suspect tactics, commonly referred to as Borking (regardless of the pro/con merits associated with Judge Bork specifically and individually, which largely is a separate issue). And again, these are Constitutionally suspect tactics and strategems, not merely tactics which ruffle someone's feathers or disturb someone's moral sense (though they can be that as well, such as are reflected in the politics of personal destruction, unsupported slurs, etc).

The Leslie Southwick issue per se has the advantage of being isolable from the larger issue.

But the larger issue, with all its history and its political, ideological and other confused content, obviously, has no such advantage. As such it is rife with pitfalls in terms of interpretation and a more solid epistemic grounding thereof (e.g., one set of numbers and statistics vs. another, competing set). Nonetheless, the history and especially the genesis thereof is highly revealing imo, is probative.
8.3.2007 6:03pm