Yale Lawprof John Donohue Responds About the Supposed "Yale Clerk Effect":
A long and interesting post at Balkinization.
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- More on "Want Your Opinions Questioned or Reversed? Hire a Yale Clerk":
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- The Yale Cause or the Yale Effect?:
- The Yale Clerk Effect:
- "Want Your Opinions Questioned or Reversed? Hire a Yale Clerk":
I have to agree with his second point (I already made it myself), but I didn't think that Barondes rejected that hypothesis.
1. Yes we know that "correlation is not causation." His critique that the study cannot support a broad conclusion against Yale clerks has some merit. But once we have a correlation, we start looking for exmplanations. Yale law clerks who reinforce their judge's predisposition to outlier opinions that then get reversed unfortunately sounds all too plausible.
2. Why pick California? Maybe because Yale ranks way down (no. 6) in the state where most Yale grads actually go--New York? Apparently manipulating statistics can be done by just about anybody.
Of course he does. He is responding to a direct attack on his school that is based on a study that fails the scientific method. Why shouldn't he be defensive?
Even though he may have gone partly wrong here, Donohue's paper with Justin Wolfers in which they demolish the empirical literature on the death penalty - crime rate link is a real treat and highly recommended.
As to Donohue's claims about the death penalty, I have a discussion here. Commenterlein is wrong about the Donohue and Wolfers paper. It is really strange that they take seriously the notion that the execution rate is defined as death penalty executions divided by the number of people in prison. Can Commenterlein explain this to me? It seems as if we put fewer people in prison for auto theft that will make committing murder riskier. Is that serious? What they do with the graphs at the beginning is also disappointing. They also don't accurately describe the other work that they discuss.