Reader Poll on Heller:
With Heller just around the corner, but no opinion to read just yet, I figure the only remaining new way to blog on the case is by hosting a reader poll: What do you want the Supreme Court to do in the case?

Do you want the U.S. Supreme Court to strike down the DC gun ban or to uphold it?
Uphold it
Strike it down
  
Free polls from Pollhost.com

  Oh, and I realize that the question is ambiguous and lacks nuance. But hey, we're all just killing time here.
Kazinski:
I'm appalled that %16 of the respondents at this site want the Supreme Court to eviscerate the Constitution.
6.25.2008 10:39pm
cboldt (mail):
I tend to lie to pollsters. I'm not sure what the ramifactions would be if a significant but indeterminate fraction of the population did likewise.
6.25.2008 10:48pm
Jim at FSU (mail):
If they consistently lied to pollsters, the results would still be reliable. Consistent lying doesn't conceal information- it's just the truth put through a reversible hash.
6.25.2008 11:01pm
Bruce:
Kazinski, I'm appalled that you're appalled.
6.25.2008 11:06pm
Sagar:
People who want the SC to strike it down are mostly motivated by support of 2nd Amendment, whereas those that would like this court to uphold the gun ban may have multiple motives.

So, Kazinski, don't be appalled.
6.25.2008 11:13pm
sagi:
The 16% were probably several sheets to the wind after a long day of litigation, and thought they were voting to uphold the Constitution.
6.25.2008 11:17pm
htom (mail):
Down to 11%. If she gets a machine gun, how am I going to be able to afford to feed it? Ah, well, I've had much worse problems!
6.25.2008 11:17pm
Fencer (mail) (www):
Heller presents an interesting opportunity to determine if the Constitution means what it says as understood by the "everyman."
6.25.2008 11:47pm
Brooks Lyman (mail):
Sagar, it's some of those possible multiple motives that gives me the cold shivers....
6.25.2008 11:49pm
Paul Milligan (mail):
Killing time, Orin ?

What caliber did you use ? HP or FMJ ?

Would .45 ACP ( a timeless round indeed ) still work ?

< 10 hours to go.... here's hoping !
6.26.2008 12:10am
Neo (mail) (www):
I expect SCOTUS to strike it down claiming the gun ban to be "too board," thus leaving years of litigation ahead to determine the actual boundaries of not "too broad."

The secondary (some might say primary) decision as to the right of individual gun ownership, will lead to the future forging of the definitions of the limits of the right of individual gun ownership. Future challenges, wrapped around the "miltia" phrase, will determine if individuals should be able to own actual weapons of war, such as M-16's and AK-47's (or simply assault weapons).
6.26.2008 12:21am
Robbie K.:
I expect the court to overturn the ban, but what else? I listened to oral argument and the real question seemed to be How do we uphold an individual right, which we sorta have to do, while downplaying and dismissing this militia useful stuff? Can we say individual right for hunting, resisting the occasional home invasion etc. without letting the great unwashed commoners buy machine guns?
6.26.2008 12:27am
big dirigible (mail) (www):
The unconstitutional vote is now down to 9%. Still a bit of a disgrace, but not as bad as 16%.
6.26.2008 12:30am
TAF:
Neo:

It seems to me that citizens can already own actual weapons of war; the only limitation is that they must have been in the country and registered before 1986. Making for a very small pool, and nothing modern in the future.

What I wonder is if the ban on new automatic firearms entering commerce can be struck down. I cannot see the Court objecting to registration and taxation at the $200 rate; but will they be amendable to eliminating the small pool? That would certainly lower prices!

Related question, will they overturn state laws that prohibit Class 3 items? Incorporation, anyone?
6.26.2008 12:33am
TAF:
Further question - KEEP and BEAR...will they perhaps make carry permits 'shall issue' nationwide?

Now that would be a victory.

VT style is no doubt too much to ask...
6.26.2008 12:34am
Ric Locke (mail):
Prediction: The Court will rule that the Second Amendment protects an individual right, but that the "well-regulated" phrase means Authority can regulate it however they please. Scalia will write the majority opinion in an attempt to put lipstick on the pig.

Regards,
Ric
6.26.2008 12:39am
lurker from flyover country:
try again ric. originalism. textualism. a guaranteed individual right, affirmed by the constitution but not created by it, but inherently subject to the common law restrictions incorporated in that preexisting right. no gun bans for felons. no permission to conceal and carry but no ban on open carry. a prohibition on terrifying arms, but those are grenades and rockets not handguns and shotguns.


... im so excited i can barely sleep.
6.26.2008 12:48am
Robbie K.:
I'm guessing the court strikes down the ban, includes some vague verbiage about "reasonable regulation" and leaves the rest for another day.

The suit doesn't ask them to strike down NFA 1934 or demand that D.C. issue CCWs. I doubt they'll answer questions they haven't been asked in the suit.
6.26.2008 12:49am
Rock On (www):
I voted strike it down, even though I personally am not in love with the idea of fairly unrestricted private gun ownership. Laws are laws, and the SCOTUS is obligated to follow ours, whether I like it or not.
6.26.2008 12:53am
Mike G in Corvallis (mail):
I have an unsettling suspicion that Neo, Robbie K., and Ric Locke have called it accurately.

Bleah.
6.26.2008 12:59am
sagi:
Others have pointed out that well-regulated does not mean well-controlled by Authority:

The meaning of the phrase "well-regulated" in the 2nd amendment
From: Brian T. Halonen halonen@csd.uwm.edu

The following are taken from the Oxford English Dictionary, and bracket in time the writing of the 2nd amendment:

1709: "If a liberal Education has formed in us well-regulated Appetites and worthy Inclinations."

1714: "The practice of all well-regulated courts of justice in the world."

1812: "The equation of time ... is the adjustment of the difference of time as shown by a well-regulated clock and a true sun dial."

1848: "A remissness for which I am sure every well-regulated person will blame the Mayor."

1862: "It appeared to her well-regulated mind, like a clandestine proceeding."

1894: "The newspaper, a never wanting adjunct to every well-regulated American embryo city."

The phrase "well-regulated" was in common use long before 1789, and remained so for a century thereafter. It referred to the property of something being in proper working order. Something that was well-regulated was calibrated correctly, functioning as expected. Establishing government oversight of the people's arms was not only not the intent in using the phrase in the 2nd amendment, it was precisely to render the government powerless to do so that the founders wrote it.
6.26.2008 1:03am
kdonovan:
I suspect that after the court rules it will still be the case that 2nd Amendment rights are better secured in the voting booth than the courthouse.

The worse case for gun rights advocates would be a middle of the road ruling that nominally upholds the right to keep &bear arms but with many ill-defined qualifications - this would not practically stop almost any the gun control measure but might lull many 2nd Amendments supporters into a false sense of security. Unfortunately I think just such a the middle of the road ruling is what we are most likely to get.

Kevin
6.26.2008 1:11am
Tom C. Huskey (mail):
File me under "They'll strike down the gun ban with such a narrowly worded decision it will be effectively useless in any other situation as precedent."
6.26.2008 1:14am
Bill Dyer (mail) (www):
Nuance?

You could have provided nuance with just a couple more multiple choices, such as:

"(b) affirm the ban while ordering the immediate confiscation of all firearms in the District via warrantless no-knock searches and seizures"; and

"(d) strike down the ban, ordering the responsible legislators to be placed in stockades for six hours every workday for six weeks, during which time the must recite aloud over and over again the literal text of the Second Amendment."

Put me down for "(d)."
6.26.2008 1:41am
Cobalt Blue (mail):
What a lame poll. Of course the law is unconstitutional. How about some speculation on the vote? I think it will be 9-0 for the individual right (for the same reasons Brown v. Board was unanimous), and 7-2 for the highest scrutiny, making it difficult for the government to regulate without an actual, you know, real good reason that is supported by, um, actual data. I think you will be suprised by the support from the left side of the court.
6.26.2008 1:59am
Ben Franklin (mail):
You guys are acting like the law or the constitution will play a factor in the decision. I think you are assuming facts not in evidence. It is just as likely that evolving standards of decency and emanations from penumbras exuding from a magic eight ball will be the deciding factor.

If you think I am being too cynical then I will concede that the law and constitution may play a role in some of the justice's rulings on the issue at hand. And in a subset of those it might even be the US Constitution.
6.26.2008 2:10am
big dirigible (mail) (www):
So apparently the big question is not whether the basic right to keep and bear will be upheld, but rather how they will manage to ignore that "shall not be infringed" stuff.
6.26.2008 2:11am
Frater Plotter:
Establishing government oversight of the people's arms was not only not the intent in using the phrase in the 2nd amendment, it was precisely to render the government powerless to do so that the founders wrote it.

On the contrary, I suggest that part of the purpose of the Amendment was to provide one more of a series of protections to ensure that the people remain in control of the government and not the other way around.

Many of the Founders abhorred the notion of a standing army, due to the frequency with which European powers used their armies to impose tyranny. They believed that an armed and capable populace would provide for the defense of the nation without creating the risk of tyranny.

However, there was often a role for government — notably local government — in "calling out the militia" and organizing the armed populace when defense was needed.
6.26.2008 4:26am
Originalism Is Useful (mail):
It should be quite obvious that the Constitution guarantees an individual right to shoot liberals in the face.
6.26.2008 4:28am
J. Aldridge:
I want the DC ban upheld since it was enacted by popular vote, and I want every ounce of federal influence over anything dealing with what people own or use for their defense completely off limits to federal second guessing and leave the power where it belongs with the people of the many states.

When the supreme court decides it can give, it can also decide to take away.
6.26.2008 6:06am
Brett Bellmore:
J, they decided that long ago, the only question in this case is whether they're going to ignore the text of the Constitution in order to take away what you want taken away.

Even if "well regulated" referred to the modern meaning of regulation, and we were to pretend that the subject of "well regulated" was the right, rather than the militia, this wouldn't authorize gun control; It says well regulated, not abusively regulated...
6.26.2008 6:33am
J. Aldridge:
Brett, doesn't the constitution leave the regulation of the militias with the states?
6.26.2008 7:20am
J. Aldridge:
Mr. Madison proposed the following provision: "The exceptions here or elsewhere in the Constitution, made in favor of particular rights, shall not be construed as to diminish the just importance of other rights retained by the people, or as to enlarge the powers delegated by the Constitution; but either as actual limitations of such powers, or as inserted merely for greater caution."

The Committee of Eleven changed it to read: "The enumeration in this Constitution of certain rights, shall not be construed to disparage others retained by the people."
6.26.2008 7:26am
Brett Bellmore:
Regulating the militia doesn't require infringing the right to keep and bear arms. It doesn't even imply infringing it. So the question of who regulates the militia has no bearing on whether the right to keep and bear arms can be infringed, or who can infringe it.

NOTHING you need to do to regulate the militia infringes that right. At best, regulating the militia might be a pretext for infringing it, and a very flimsy pretext at that.
6.26.2008 7:53am
NaG (mail):
Aldridge: If you think the D.C. gun ban should be upheld because it was enacted by popular vote, then you must obviously think that the Supreme Court must never strike down any law whatsoever, no matter how repugnant to the Constitution, since any such law would qualify as popularly-enacted as well.
6.26.2008 7:54am
J. Aldridge:
NaG:

"I leave to the people still the privilege of amending their constitutions, enlarging, if they choose, the liberties of the people, or removing restrictions, as public exigencies may require and the public interest demand." --John Bingham
6.26.2008 8:27am
Matt Groom (mail):
J. Aldridge wrote: "I want the DC ban upheld since it was enacted by popular vote..."
To which I would add that what is popular is not always right and what is right is not always popular. Slavery was at one time very popular and the black codes and Jim Crow laws were popularly enacted as well.
I'd rather live in a world where angry teenagers could buy selective-fire weapons off the Internet without a background check than live in a world where a 60 year old woman can't buy a .38 for self defense in a high crime neighborhood because a popularly enacted law said that self defense is not a reasonable use of firearms. "Spray and pray" has never been a match for slow, aimed fire anyway.
6.26.2008 8:37am
J. Aldridge:
Matt Groom: Are you suggesting I advocate gun control? I do not, never will. I advocate leaving the right to own guns, and use them when necessary, were it has long belonged. Whatever one thinks the 2nd means, the Ninth Amendment ultimately controls the operation.
6.26.2008 8:42am
Don Meaker (mail):
I would apply the rights of the 2nd Amendment to the States through the 14 Admendment. Further, the Letters of Marque and Reprisal clause presumes private ownership of crew served weapons (such as a ship with cannon). The states power to regulate the organized militia is shared with the federal government which provides most of the funding. States do not have the right to regulate the militia out of existance, because then the federal government could not call up the militia.
6.26.2008 9:09am
Don Meaker (mail):
proof read!
6.26.2008 9:10am
J. Aldridge:
Don Meaker: "I would apply the rights of the 2nd Amendment to the States through the 14 Admendment."

Through privileges and immunities of United States citizens? Was there ever any court opinion that said privileges and immunities under article four, section two protected citizens from lawful state laws that whoever says violates the restraints placed upon congress under the bill of rights?

When you come to weigh these words, “equal and exact justice to all men” go read, if you please, the words of the Constitution itself: The citizens of each State (being ipso facto Citizens of the United States) shall be entitled to all the privileges and immunities of citizens (supplying the ellipsis “of the United States”) in the several States.” This guarantee is of the privileges and immunities of citizens of the United States in, not of, the several States. --John Bingham
6.26.2008 9:23am
LarryA (mail) (www):
I want the DC ban upheld since it was enacted by popular vote,
Where do you get that? AFAIK it was enacted by the city council, not a referendum.

And should a city or state’s residents by popular vote be able to pass and enforce laws establishing a government religion and restricting free speech, free press, the right to peacefully assemble, and petitioning the government to the same degree as the D.C. firearms law? How about housing city/state militia personnel in private residences without consent of the owner?
6.26.2008 10:08am
J. Aldridge:
Heller affirmed.
6.26.2008 10:13am
LM (mail):
Originalism Is Useful:

It should be quite obvious that the Constitution guarantees an individual right to shoot liberals in the face.

How sweet of you to think of us.
6.26.2008 10:13pm