PLF Challenges Polar Bear Listing:

The Pacific Legal Foundation has filed a notice of intent to sue the Fish & Wildlife Service challenging the listing of the polar bear as a "threatened species" under the ESA on behalf of the California Cattleman's Association, California Forestry Association, and the Congress on Racial Equality. There's more on the planned suit here.

While I like much of PLF's work, I think they're on the wrong side of this one. However pointless or mischievous the polar bear listing may be -- and however speculative some of the scientific data upon which the listing is based may be -- I believe the "best available" science easily supports the FWS decision. (See this article and my posts below.) Further, given the deference a reviewing court should show to the FWS' decision and scientific determination, their lawsuit should not fare particularly well. This may be bad policy, but it's the law.

TGGP (mail) (www):
What does CORE have to do with endangered animals?
8.2.2008 7:18pm
Sk (mail):
"However pointless or mischievous the polar bear listing may be -- and however speculative some of the scientific data upon which the listing is based may be -- I believe the "best available" science easily supports the FWS decision."

The best available science is speculative, pointless, and mischevious, and that supports a policy decision? Are you sure?

Sk
8.2.2008 7:38pm
John (mail):
I must say the Notice made a persuasive prima facie case, though whether being really wrong is "arbitrary or capricious" is hard to say.

The key points that I saw were::

1. A "threatened" species is one which may become "endangered" over all or a substantial part of its range in the foreseeable future.

2. An "endangered" species is one which is in danger of becoming extinct over all or a substantial part of its range.

3. Right now there are something in the order of 25,000 polar bears, in contrast to the 5-10,000 in the colder 1950's and 1960's.

4. Even the U.N. only forecast a 10-22% decline in habitat, with some 75% of today's polar bear population surviving.

So, I'm convinced!

The Notice also contained other very interesting points, all of which are worth reading.
8.2.2008 7:43pm
Elliot123 (mail):
"However pointless or mischievous the polar bear listing may be -- and however speculative some of the scientific data upon which the listing is based may be -- I believe the "best available" science easily supports the FWS decision."

OK. Just how pointless, mischievous, and speculative does the justification have to be before you would oppose the FWS?
8.2.2008 8:15pm
U.Va. 3L:
What does CORE have to do with endangered animals?

CORE claims in the letter--and I would have to agree--that environmental regulations disproportionately affect the poor, thus disproportionately affecting African-Americans.

But it seems to me that's a much more tenuous connection than the
8.2.2008 8:48pm
U.Va. 3L:
gah...hit post too early.

"But it seems to me that's a much more tenuous connection than the CA Cattlemen's and CA Forestry Associations can show."
8.2.2008 8:49pm
Jonathan H. Adler (mail) (www):
Elliot123 --

I fully support reforming the ESA because its requirements are often pointless or mischievous. But so long as the law is the law, the FWS is required to follow it, and courts must apply it as it is written.

In this case, there are lots of holes and unanswered questions in the science on polar bear populations. Nonetheless, the "best available" scientific evidence supports the finding that it is foreseeable that the polar bear will become endangered in some of its range. So the listing is legally defensible.

JHA
8.2.2008 8:51pm
DiverDan (mail):
While i sympathize with the PLF on this issue, why not view the listing of Polar Bears under the ESA as an opportunity? Since the ESA forbids the Federal Government from funding any activities which might harm a listed species, why not sue to prevent the ridiculous Federal subsidies on Ethanol, on the grounds that the production, distribution, and use of ethanol have a net negative impact on carbon dioxide emissions when compared with petroleum products, thus accelerating global warming and further endangering the polar bears. That is just one example - almost anything the Federal Government does could be tied to global warming. With enough litigation, maybe, just maybe, we could get it through the thick skulls of those idiots in Congress that the whole ESA is just a bad idea.
8.2.2008 9:05pm
davod (mail):
The listing was bullshit. The evidence is not clear and the ruling will ensure that anything that can be linked to CO2/global warming, however tenuous will be tied up in the courts. Oil drilling, new refineries, factories, housing expansion, production of cars using gas, anything. The enviros and the tort laywers have sufficient funds to delay anything for years.

I read on one of the enviro/legal sites that the enviros are now seeking protection for the polar bears food sources and habitat. At least some human habitation may now be protected.
8.2.2008 9:08pm
Brooks Lyman (mail):
I read on one of the enviro/legal sites that the enviros are now seeking protection for the polar bears food sources and habitat. At least some human habitation may now be protected.

Given that Polar bears are supposed to be one of the few animals that deliberately hunt humans, it would seem that people are to be protected, although from what is uncertain.

So, since drilling for oil in the ANWR and other presumed polar bear habitat areas would guarantee that a polar bear food source (oil well drillers) was present, drilling in the ANWR should be encouraged so that polar bears don't starve to death, even if they might get heat stroke. Maybe we could recruit the enviros and their lawyers to drill the oil wells in the ANWR....
8.2.2008 9:39pm
Saladman (mail):
I read your links; I'm not persuaded. At some point, when the law is an ass, its time as a matter of policy to question the law, not shrug and say "the law's the law."

Polar bear populations are at an all time high. Scientists are publicly questioning the reality of man-made global warming. If global temperatures happen to be driven mainly by solar flare activity, there'll be no limit to the economic burden environmentalists can impose while crying over arctic sea ice. Your "best available science" is an educated guess that ice reductions will in fact harm polar bear populations, that arctic ice will be reduced, and that that reduction will be due to man-made global warming.

I think the time has come to follow Vin Suprynowicz's suggestion of targeting liberal population centers on the east coast and California with nuisance endangered species claims. Weeds, bugs, whatever we can find. Isolated breeding pair of pigeons in a liberal suburb? "North Suburban Rock Dove," and the low population only shows how endangered it is. It wouldn't be any less politically motivated than the spotted owl and polar bear have been, just coming from the other side. Somehow I'm not sure the same standard will be applied when its in their back yard, but at least it could expose the charade for what it is.
8.2.2008 11:08pm
Smokey:
DiverDan, will you please stop being logical? It is against the law in 2008, as JHA says. Emotion trumps reason regarding polar bears.
8.2.2008 11:17pm
Sam H (mail):
"I believe the "best available" science easily supports the FWS decision."

What science? Nobody has proven that CO2 is a major driver of temperature. They just have theories and some broken models. In fact, the "best available" science, the ice cores, show that CO2 doesn't increase temperature, but high temperatures increase CO2.
8.2.2008 11:18pm
Andy Freeman (mail):
> it is foreseeable that the polar bear will become endangered in some of its range.

Almost anything possible is "forseeable", so that standard isn't enough to make a decision. (For example, it's forseeable that pidgeons will become endangered in Central Park because of hunting by the homeless.)
8.3.2008 1:03am
MartyA:
Polar bear meat is DELICIOUS and should be farmed commercially. The ancient disease risks (trichonosis [sp?]) associated with hogs and most other bears do not exist with with polar bears. You betcha polar bears are threatened! And, once my polar bear cook book and ursine advisory red/white wine guide is published, it will get even worse.
It is not widely known outside Hollywood and democratic Congressional circles, but very young polar bears kept in screened boxes that drastically limit their physical movement, dress out fantastically tender and flavorful meat filets.
8.3.2008 2:12am
Jeap:
The oldest polar bear bone ever found was in sediments 110,000 to 130,000 years old, pushing back the date that it is thought to have become a distinct species by a good bit. It also suggests that polar bears evolved before and survived the Eeemian interglacial period; which was quite a bit warmer than today (2-3C), though for a shorter period of time (2-3k years).

There are shenanigans occurring in climate science that have lead me to distrust several peoples work though temperatures are up a half degree. The listing of the polar bear as a threatened species could probably safely be put off for at least another decade.
8.3.2008 4:53am
PersonFromPorlock:
Saladman:

"At some point, when the law is an ass, its time as a matter of policy to question the law, not shrug and say "the law's the law."

You have to remember that to legal positivists, the court, being wholly occupied with 'legal' and 'illegal', is unable to distinguish right from wrong; that is, it is insane and proud of it.
8.3.2008 8:36am
o:
I just learned something interesting when it comes to CO2 emissions. Human activity only accounts for about 3% of CO2 emissions. Natural phenomenon (e.g. volcanoes, biomass decay, etc...) accounts for 97% of CO2 emissions.

So when it comes to polar bears being labeled as threatened, especially since the population is increasing and man's contributions to CO2 emissions are minimal, any regulations as a result of the listing cannot be justified.
8.3.2008 8:55am
Horatio (mail):
But so long as the law is the law...and courts must apply it as it is written

Since when?
8.3.2008 10:01am
ed (mail) (www):
Hmmmm.

Actually it's worse than that.

As a greenhouse gas CO2 is nearly useless. If you double the amount of CO2 you won't get double the effect, you'll get far less. Instead what the computer models do, and all the global warming hysteria is based on computer models, is use the predicted rise in CO2 to trigger the formation of *water vapor*. That's right. Humidity.

It's water vapor that is the true culprit in computer models for global warming. But convincing people to give up Constitutional rights, conveniences, comfort and trillions of dollars to fight **humidity** is a very hard sell. On the other hand most people don't know much about CO2 so they tend to rely on scientists on the subject. But water vapor? Humidity? People have a lot of personal experience with that.

As for inflicting nature on blue states. It's already happened. I live in New Jersey and I get to see up close what idiotic theories about nature can result in. We've had a few instances where healthy coyotes, in suburban *New Jersey*, have attacked playgrounds full of kids. Also we've got, formerly, Canadian geese who no longer migrate but instead have permanently colonized every park and grassy common area. In California they've had a spate of cougar attacks on bikers and hikers.

It's ok to cry for Bambi's mother when you're a child. It's extremely not ok to make policy decisions based on this when you're an adult.
8.3.2008 10:45am
Hey Skipper (www):
Oh for Pete's sake.

What evidence?

After you get done noticing the absence of warming, refer to the conclusion.
8.3.2008 12:53pm
Sam H (mail):
"It's ok to cry for Bambi's mother when you're a child. It's extremely not ok to make policy decisions based on this when you're an adult."

Many, if not most, "progressives, while they may be of voting age,just haven't grown up. When they want something, they want it and they could care less about the consequences. See California's refusal to build power plants and the resultant rolling blackouts.
8.3.2008 2:02pm
ParatrooperJJ (mail):
The polar bear population in on an upward trend and has been for years.
8.4.2008 11:04am
Dr. Scott (mail):
I suspect it would be more effective to sue for immediate enforcement of the Endangered Species Act. Start with something either ridiculous or painful. Let's see... commercial airliners emit greenhouse gas, right? Why not sue to enjoin the FAA from issuing a flight plan to Obama's campaign plane until the Fish &Wildlife Service finishes an EPA impact study? Then work your way down from there...
8.4.2008 3:38pm
PLF on ESA (mail) (www):
Assuming the correctness of the climate and population models used by FWS, those models predict, within the foreseeable future (45 years), a reduction of 22 percent in the polar bear's total sea ice carrying capacity. Thus, at most the Service has identified a downward trend (for the moment) with the polar bear, but has come nowhere near to establishing a likelihod of endangerment of extinction. That is especially so given that the Service nowhere explains why a 22 percent reduction translates to a finding of threatened, as opposed to, again, merely the identification of a downward trend. In other owrds, the Service does not explain if there is some threshold amount of ice habitat that the polar bear needs. Don't forget that FWS recently delisted the yellowstone grizzly bear DPS based upon a population of 600 bears. Currently there are 25,000 polar bears.
8.4.2008 9:11pm