The Volokh Conspiracy

CardHub and the Market for Information in the Credit Card Market:

One of my longstanding frustrations with regulation of credit cards (and consumer credit generally) is that regulation is enacted without always clearly specifying the market failure to be addressed. Most credit regulation today is disclosure-based rather than substantive. Substantive regulation is something like a usury regulation that caps the interest rate that can be charged. Substantive regulation has been understood to be generally counterproductive in consumer lending markets, so disclosure-based regulation like Truth in Lending has become the way in which regulation is done.

The logic behind disclosure-based regulation is that by creating standardized disclosure of terms thought "important" then it eases consumer shopping. That is true, of course, as far as it goes. But it doesn't work well in situations where consumers have heterogeneous preferences and shop on many margins. So, for instance, credit card solicitations include the "Schumer Box," which requires certain "important" terms to be disclosed prominently in a tabular format. Those terms include things that are obviously important, such as the APR and annual fee, but also things that may have been important 20 years ago such as the "Minimum Finance Charge" which is almost always 50 cents now. Some cards now disclose in the Schumer Box things like the foreign transaction fee--which, of course, is only relevant to a small percentage of credit card holders. So regulation requires prominent disclosure of terms that people do care about, but also require prominent disclosure of terms that people don't care about. Moreover, once certain disclosures are set by law or regulation they are frozen in amber and become very difficult to change.

The problem with this is that by requiring certain terms to be prominently disclosed, it becomes more difficult for consumers to locate the terms that they do care about. One quickly gets into the information overload scenario for the typical consumer. This also leads to the "fine print" problem, as it leaves less space for disclosure and elaboration of other terms.

Moreover, the whole model seems to misunderstand the whole logic of the market for information. If a term is important to consumers (such as the interest rate or annual fee) it is not clear why credit card issuers would not disclose it or why consumers would not demand that information. Do people buy products when they don't know the price? But for information that is trivial for most consumers, such as the minimum finance charge or the foreign transaction fee, most consumers are unlikely to shop on that margin and it is unlikely to relevant for most consumers, so there's no reason to believe that this would part of a standardized disclosure format. Instead, it would be expected to be on a need-to-know basis, in the sense that idiosyncratic consumers would get that information when and if they needed it.

To the extent that regulation is appropriate, therefore, the first question should be to ask whether there is a market failure in the market for information and what kind of regulation will address it. It may be that there are market failures in the information market that require intervention. But current regulation doesn't even really seem to be thinking about the question this way. This is exacerbated by the problem of what I call "back-door substantive regulation" or "normative regulation" where regulators use disclosure regulation not to help consumers shop for and get what they actually want, but rather to try to influence their choices and try to get them to focus on what the regulator wants them to focus on to try to shape their behavior. So, for instance, a regulator might say "I'm worried about consumer overborrowing. And I know it is counterproductive to engage in usury regulation. But if I hit consumers over the head with information about how much credit costs them, then maybe I can get them to borrow less." So certain terms end up getting disclosed more prominently than consumers actually care about them because the regulator is actually trying to advance some other goal. If this is the regulator's goal, then fiddling with disclosure-based regulation seems like a poor way to do this. One example is the requirement that consumers be told how long it will take to payoff their balance if they only make the minimum payments. It appears that this actually affects about 4% of cardholders. In the end normative disclosure ends up being a poor way of helping consumers to shop better while also being a poor way of doing substantive regulation. I've talked about these questions more in my lecture on "The Economics of Consumer Lending" which is available on my website here.

Now the problem gets complicated with heterogeneous consumers. Nowadays about half of consumers use their credit cards for convenience or transactional purposes and never revolve balances. I am in this category. I have no idea what my interest rate is on my credit cards. Nor do I know my minimum finance charge, my interest rate on cash advances, etc. And I don't shop for credit cards on those margins. I shop on the basis of my annual fee and benefits, such as cash back or frequent flyer miles (I canceled my frequent flyer card because the annual fee was too large for my taste relative to the benefits). Yet if I shop for a credit card, the credit card solicitation is filled up with all of this junk that I don't care about. So it becomes much more difficult for me to find the information I do care about. And again, it seems like credit card issuers have an incentive to provide me with the information I need to shop and choose their card.

So I've always thought that it would be great for there to be a website where you could go and essentially get personalized or tailored disclosures to the margins that you care about, rather than the standardized disclosures that are compelled by the regulatory apparatus. Sort of like a Consumer Reports for credit cards.

So, at last, we get to the point of this exegesis. There is a new website called CardHub that directly addresses this issue by enabling you to compare a whole bunch of credit cards according to the terms that you care about. It includes most every price term you could care about, including balance transfer fees, default APR, etc. It also includes not just benefits, but particular benefits (cash back, frequent flyer, etc.).

Maybe there are some glitches with CardHub that aren't obvious to me. But playing around on the web site this seems like a very pro-consumer market innovation that uses technology to directly address the information economics issues that underlies consumer credit markets and to enable consumers to make better choices. And perhaps there are other websites that do the same thing. But I think this is a great innovation to address the desire of consumers to get useful information to compare card offers, one that seems quite superior to traditional horse-and-buggy consumer credit regulation. Of course, this won't address the concerns of those who don't like the choices consumers make, but in terms of simply enabling consumers to better locate the cards they want, this seems like a great idea.

Anderson (mail):
but also things that may have been important 20 years ago such as the "Minimum Finance Charge" which is almost always 50 cents now

Perhaps the disclosure requirement is a major reason *why* the charge is always a small one ... now?
8.14.2008 4:31pm
Thomas_Holsinger:
The objective of most regulation is the same as the objective of most information technology departments in requiring computer passwords - to be seen as doing something.
"The problem with this is that by requiring certain terms to be prominently disclosed, it becomes more difficult for consumers to locate the terms that they do care about. One quickly gets into the information overload scenario for the typical consumer."

So computer users are required to use different passwords for each computer application, with the result that workplace computer monitors throughout the country are festooned with mulitple post-it notes containing the required passwords. That this defeats the purpose of having passwords at all establishes that computer security is not the real objective of information technology departments in requiring passwords. Covering their precious rears is the real objective.

The real objective of credit card disclosure requirements is the re-election of legislators who vote for the disclosure requirements.
8.14.2008 4:33pm
Cactus Jack:

[R]egulators use disclosure regulation not to help consumers shop for and get what they actually want, but rather to try to influence their choices and try to get them to focus on what the regulator wants them to focus on to try to shape their behavior.

The regulators should get a break here. In my experience, the FRB consumer compliance staff (i.e. the "regulators") isn't driven by normative interests, but instead, drafts regs largely in response to its constituents. IOW, it isn't the staff that's trying to influence anyone's choices. The staff generally doesn't care one way or the other. They want the path of least resistance. To the extent a reg has that effect you cite, it's driven by pressure on the staff from Congress and consumer groups. It'd be great if the staff could do more to resist such pressure, but that's difficult to do in the credit card area in light of the political scrutiny Reg Z receives. I'd rather live with crappy regs from the FRB than the mess that would inevitably result if Congress tried to regulate credit cards by statute.
8.14.2008 4:47pm
Cactus Jack:

Moreover, the whole model seems to misunderstand the whole logic of the market for information. If a term is important to consumers (such as the interest rate or annual fee) it is not clear why credit card issuers would not disclose it or why consumers would not demand that information. Do people buy products when they don't know the price?


I'm not sure this right. Reg Z isn't necessarily providing consumers with information that the market wasn't provding. Rather, Reg Z attempts to introduce consistency in terminology. It's one thing for an issuer to advertise that it charges a low, low 1% periodic annual interest rate, but it's another entirely if the issuer imposes a $10 finance charge for each purchase. The excruciating historic APR calculation rules attempt to hash out these details and mandate presentation in a uniform metric that allows customers to comparison shop effectively.

As to whether people buy products when they don't know the price, I think this is fairly common in financial services. Of course people understand pricing when they're at the grocery store. But something strange seems to happen when people enter a bank. They suddenly start refinancing their homes using option ARMs that they don't comprehend. Or they don't grasp that a credit card's default pricing is triggered by a payment default on any debt reported to a credit reporting agency, not just a payment default on the credit card.
8.14.2008 5:08pm
Vermando (mail) (www):
"If a term is important to consumers (such as the interest rate or annual fee) it is not clear why credit card issuers would not disclose it or why consumers would not demand that information"

One reason: because credit card companies want to trick people.

I'm not saying that maliciously, I've just worked in pricing as a consultant, and the goal is to trick people into making less economical choices, pure and simple. A major way of doing that is to highlight something advantageous (introductory APR, say, or the fact that "You could already be a winner") and then bury information harmful to you. Another way is to creep up prices on "sleeping" consumer - introduce something cheap, then slowly up the price in a way that a consumer would not notice. Both can be effective, and I can understand why consumer advocacy groups would want to stop them.

Does regulation help here? I don't know. Sites like cardhub probably represent a better solution by forcing standardization of info, but before the internet and for less savy consumers, I think these regs helped.

In the long-term can any such regulation help, e.g., won't card companies eventually find a way around the regs? Again, I don't know. However, I do understand why consumer groups proposed the regs, and I think that, overall, these particular regs have helped.
8.14.2008 6:03pm
perfectlyGoodInk (mail) (www):
Do people buy products when they don't know the price?

I think many people invest in mutual funds all the time without even realizing what front or back end loads or 12b-1 fees are, let alone how much they are.

But I understand the point about regulation. In fact, it had occurred to me a few days ago that a website might be the best answer (if Morningstar isn't enough).
8.14.2008 6:57pm
KeithK (mail):
Cardhub sounds like it could be a useful idea. Of course, it came up with exactly 0 cards that met my rather basic set of criteria. So maybe it's not all that well implemented.
8.14.2008 7:39pm
Lynn B. Johnson (mail) (www):
Card Hub works best when you choose one primary APR factor: intro-balance-transfer, intro-purchase, or regular-purchase APR. Few cards (OK, no cards...) offer the best-possible rates for more than one of those factors.

Keith, I'd be interested in hearing the set you entered, if you're willing to share. Feel free to send me an e-mail.

--Lynn Johnson
(VP Communications/Card Hub, writing from my personal account)
8.14.2008 8:29pm
Fub:
Vermando wrote at 8.14.2008 6:03pm:
One reason: because credit card companies want to trick people.

I'm not saying that maliciously, I've just worked in pricing as a consultant, and the goal is to trick people into making less economical choices, pure and simple. A major way of doing that is to highlight something advantageous (introductory APR, say, or the fact that "You could already be a winner") and then bury information harmful to you. Another way is to creep up prices on "sleeping" consumer - introduce something cheap, then slowly up the price in a way that a consumer would not notice. Both can be effective, and I can understand why consumer advocacy groups would want to stop them.
I've never understood the rationale that tricking customers, or sneaking in fee increases, is the best way to maximize profits. Except, of course that it apparently works, at least to some extent.

Every CC, bank, utility or phone company does this. It is impossible to establish an account with a simple fee structure that will remain so. They all have something buried in the contract fine print that says, essentially, "we can charge you anything we want, with very little notice, no matter what you signed up for."

Is there anyone on the planet who doesn't hate their CC, bank, phone or utility company for these shenanigans?

Is there anyone on the planet who wouldn't switch immediately to a CC, bank, utility or phone company that would establish a fee for a particular service and then just leave it alone? Even if they offered a fee indexed to some readily available interest rate, I would switch to such a company in a New York second.

I don't understand why no company has ever done that. I think they'd all but corner the market.
8.14.2008 8:41pm
corneille1640 (mail):
Fub:

I agree in spirit with what you say about the desirability of simple fee structures. But isn't it to be expected that banks, etc., like any other business, would increase the prices of their services to match inflation?
8.14.2008 9:00pm
Fub:
corneille1640 wrote at 8.14.2008 9:00pm:
But isn't it to be expected that banks, etc., like any other business, would increase the prices of their services to match inflation?
I intended to address that when I wrote "Even if they offered a fee indexed to some readily available interest rate, I would switch to such a company in a New York second." So, yes, I agree that a 'flation index would be reasonable to me. It's the arbitrary "this fee, that fee, foo fee, fee fee" monthly fees they keep adding that I object to. If their fees are indexed, and it's stated up front, then it's not sneaky and it doesn't fool anybody.
8.14.2008 9:38pm
Brian K (mail):
The problem with this is that by requiring certain terms to be prominently disclosed, it becomes more difficult for consumers to locate the terms that they do care about. One quickly gets into the information overload scenario for the typical consumer. This also leads to the "fine print" problem, as it leaves less space for disclosure and elaboration of other terms.

what space restrictions are you talking about? for the many, esp. younger people, that do everything online, including sign up for CC, there are no space restrictions. for those who still do things using snail mail, you can always add another sheet of paper or redesign the layout into one more useful or even full up the entire page (i routinely get applications that have plenty of blank space that could be used for more information.)

to my knowledge, there is nothing stopping CC companies from adding more information that they believe would help them sell stuff. the fact that they don't routinely add the information says a lot.
8.14.2008 10:20pm
zippypinhead:
This sort of direct comparison site is very useful to people who want to compare mass-marketed card terms that work for them. But the industry is getting increasingly sophisticated at "customizing" offers for particular customers in ways that to some extent defeat broad-spectrum comparisons. Which is why terms disclosure regulations still have a place in the mix. My wife just got an "upgrade" offer from an issuer she already has a relationship with that doesn't seem to be entirely reflected in the published info for that card.

And some of the card offers really can't be parsed without some insight into the issuer's underwriting criteria. I see one that's got a "regular rate" of anywhere between 7.99% - 17.99%. That same card could be either outstandingly good or pretty awful, and the consumer simply wouldn't know where they stand without some insight as to how her credit score and whatever other factors go into the issuer's decision matrix would play out. And the clever issuer can game the system by announcing a low end to the interest rate (or other terms) range that sounds great but is available to only a ridiculously small percentage of applicants.

Although the ability for consumers to easily and directly compare cards, at least on a gross level, has got to be pro-competitive and pro-consumer. Information is good.
8.14.2008 10:40pm
David M. Nieporent (www):
what space restrictions are you talking about? for the many, esp. younger people, that do everything online, including sign up for CC, there are no space restrictions. for those who still do things using snail mail, you can always add another sheet of paper or redesign the layout into one more useful or even full up the entire page (i routinely get applications that have plenty of blank space that could be used for more information.)
It's a well understood phenomenon that the more warnings you give, the less any one is noticed. (Indeed, trial lawyers have argued in products liability cases that overwarning is a species of failure to warn.)
8.15.2008 3:52pm
Brian K (mail):
It's a well understood phenomenon that the more warnings you give, the less any one is noticed.

i don't see your point. if CC companies thought that providing more information was going to sell more cards, then they would. that they don't says that they don't think more information would be beneficial.

(also, information != warnings)
8.15.2008 5:36pm
ReaderY:
I think it would be a mistake to say disclosure is the way regulation is done. The courts essentially retroactively invalidated state regulation of most consumer credit by interpreting civil-war era banking rules as invalidating state usury laws more than a hundred years after those laws' enactment. If general principles of stare decisis regarding legislative interpretation had been permitted to remain in effect, there would be an extensive network of usury laws today. There still is, it simply only reaches a few remaining things not covered by federal banking laws, like payday loans. Most businesses who used to extend credit themselves have figured out that they if they partner with a bank they can get around usury laws and similar restrictions.
8.15.2008 6:13pm
ReaderY:
It also should be noted that to the extent the truth in lending laws are construed to permit banks to raise rates whenever they feel like it, and to define "default" as consisting of behavior that has nothing to do with the likelihood of paying the loan on time, the fact that the disclosed rate was in effect the credit card was issued doesn't really have any substantive meaning.

Similarly, when the law gives two weeks to reply, one doesn't even have to let the notices sit in the warehouse for very long after postmarking them to effectively prevent the reply provision from being used.
8.15.2008 6:19pm
Suzy (mail):
I think the website sounds like a great idea and I might use it. However, it's pretty obvious that the objective of credit card advertising is not to clearly specify the terms of the card, but to get you to sign up. In some cases, clarity about the terms would be counterproductive. Surely we've all received credit card solicitations that by no means make it clear what the interest rate or annual fee is, until you actually look at the box where it has to be stated. All sorts of variable options are paraded forth in the space-unrestricted advertising piece, and it's not until you flip over and read the find print that you can be sure of anything. I'm glad it's there.
8.19.2008 11:43am

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