here are three things I'd keep quiet about with regard to Sarah Palin.
(1) How can she do her job as vice-president and take care of her kids? Which leads to the question, how can Obama do the much more demanding job of president and take care of his kids?
(2) What makes anyone think that Palin has enough experience to be "one heartbeat from the presidency?" Which leads to the question, what makes anyone think that a one-term Senator from Illinois who has been running for president for most of his term has enough experience to actually be president?
(3) Is Sarah Palin's church/pastor nutty? Which leads to such an obvious question that I won't bother raising it!
In short, it strikes me that Obama's allies may be succeeding at discrediting Palin to some extent, but only at the expense of undermining Obama. Even if raising such questions undermines Palin more than it does Obama, even much more, given how many people vote based on the top of the ticket versus based on the bottom, this is hardly a winning strategy.
I don't see Obama having many Fox news supporters, so that doesn't make any sense.
Is the WashingtonPost or Newsweek in the bag for Obama as well?
Who are these allies you are talking about?
Obama has two little girls. If one of them was a special needs child and the other one was pregnant, I would be saying the same things about him.
True, the will-she-be-a-good-mommy taking point is complete vapid -- as is the church point on both sides, for that matter. But to be fair, both Obama and Biden have disowned this line of attack in no uncertain terms.
As for number 2, Obama has been Senator for one of the larger districts in the country (with a larger population that Palin's state), and he has been studying politics since he was about six years old. He is policy-savvy and understands what is going on in the world. Contrast that to Palin, who "doesn't know what a vice president does."
Finally, as regards number 3, it will probably be strictly used as a defense mechanism, as in, "So Obama's pastor is nutty? What about Palin's?" Moreover, almost nobody is bringing it up, which would incline me to say that "liberals" are not talking about Obama's pastor, one liberal blogger is.
Also, I would add that Liebermann last night on MSNBC, in response to the question, "Would Sarah Palin make a good president?" hemmed and hawed about the fact that John McCain is not going to die anytime soon before saying, "Yeah, sure, she'd be ready to lead the country."
And, if so, does anyone actually read Newsweek?
You asked this question in another thread, and as far as I can tell you ignored the answer that I provided. And I think the answers are so obvious it's hard to understand why the question is being asked.
Obama has this many children with Down syndrome: zero. Obama has this many children who are currently less than six months old: zero. Obama has this many children who are pregnant: zero.
Also, taking care of five kids is harder than taking care of two. Really!
One other factor that's minor (compared with the above) but still worth mentioning. The distance from Wasilla to DC is 6 times greater than the distance from Chicago to DC. Obama's kids can live with dad and still see their old friends and relatives quite frequently. Not so for Palin. Flying 4244 miles (one way) takes a long time, even when your mom is the VP.
Aside from all that, Obama did not make his parental decisions a key part of his political resume. But that's what Palin did (e.g., when she presented her three-day old special-needs infant to the press, which very quickly led to headlines glorifying her anti-abortion decision; which was apparently the intended result). Since she has invited us to believe that's she's a terrific mom, it's very appropriate to consider the question of whether or not she's actually a terrific mom.
"UPDATE: She has "executive experience," but Obama doesn't? Obama has run one of the most successful presidential campaign upsets in modern history. And less than two years as governor of Alaska (the second-least populous state in the country) when oil prices have been booming is not exactly trial-by-fire."
That blogger is David Bernstein, 31 August 2008, on the well known blog 'Volokh Conspiracy.'
Sk
He doesn't even have full time experience as a Senator.
Obama used the power of his office to conduct a vendetta against someone on behalf of his sister? I hadn't heard.
Seems to be SOP.
2. speedwell, perhaps we should simply bar from high office all parents of special needs kids? After all, it's for the children!
Experience -- I defer to the Republican woman from Wasilla who's president of the Alaska state senate. (Fascinating interview, click through if you haven't read it.)
Pastors -- the Wright stuff is old news; if it's dragged back out, it's like "what else ya got?"
Frankly, if I've got the dates right, the guy was Palin's pastor for only 3 years, and she left his church in 2002, after he started some of his offensive 9/11 gibberish &before the 2004 election when he threatened Kerry supporters with hellfire.
Nothing there, really.
DB of course ignores the real gorilla under the table -- what does McCain's snap choice of Palin say about his judgment?
What does it say that McCain "the maverick" was too afraid of his party's base to go with his real choices, Lieberman or Ridge?
As regards number 1, I think a mother of one or two children (Hillary Rodham Clinton) and a mother of five, one of whom is an infant, are going to have very, very, very, very different time commitments for their children. Republicans should stop pretending that two children and five is even in the same ballpark of experience, for a man or a woman.
This is the best you can do? Three of Palin's children are older than both of Obama's. One is the same age as his younger daughter. Will the 19 and 17-18 year olds take as much time as Obama's girls?
Past evidence is that the lucky kids are those whose parent happens to lose in November, at least if Doug Wead's "All the Presidents'Children" is any indication. Raising kids in that sort of spotlight is quite an awful thing to do to them. (Can Clinton-bashers agree that Bill and Hill seem to have done a better-than-average job with Chelsea?)
To make this a partisan issue is really quite stupid.
Is a VP's kid off limits from being called the new White House dog by a radio host that is nationally syndicated or being called ugly by a senator and now presidential candidate? If so, I'd like to be the VP's kid.
Or so you say now. This is easy to say as a hypothetical point. Not many people made this point about Aenator Biden when he had two small kids who were seriously injured and had just lost their mother and sister. Certainly not too man of the people who elected him.
If I had advocated some such legislative "solution," your question might be pertinent enough to be worth answering.
As to criticisms of Palin, the biggest one is why won't she let herself be interviewed? Press Conference? Anything????? She wants to be VP, and the campaign is not letting her take questions from anyone. Joke.
And why didn't they?
Whatver you think of the Wright kerfuffle, Obama did explicitly reject Wright's extreme views. Will Palin do something similar?
If it was OK for Republicans to raise all kinds of hell about Obama's church, why is Palin's off-limits?
See the difference?
And any conservative who attacks them through their children is forced to kiss Helen Thomas full in the lips. Any liberal kisses Greenspan. (It's called deterrence.)
But the way our media works, and the way the people respond, not enough people are interested in hearing about the issues. They want character assassination. Recent years have tended to show that those who take the high road and don't attack (or have someone attack on their behalf), lose.
It may seem logical that it would be unwise for Obama supporters to promote these items for the reasonable suggestions listed in this post. But that's not how it works. If enough lines of attack can get into the mix quickly enough, none of it will bounce back on Obama, and in the minds of the general public, Palin will be viewed as damaged goods (if not already).
This is the lesson that the Democrats have learned painfully from Rove. Rove was a master at identifying a weakness in his own candidate and attacking the other candidate for that very trait. Democrats were left baffled and flat footed as this happened over and over again.
It's too late for the Democrats to use this technique against McCain -- he's had too many years to establish his P.O.W. sainthood to attack it. But Palin is another story. And by attacking Palin and creating the cloud over her, it transfers to McCain's judgement.
I'm not saying this is right, or proper, or the way I'd like to live my life. But it's good politics in today's horrible political market.
Exactly right -- I mean, what kind of hack with limited experience in the Illinois state legislature and a measly two years in Congress could possibly be competent, let alone successful, as President?
My wife and I have small children and have alternated between being the primary breadwinner in the family. She served in the Navy, and I am currently in the Army.
The difference is that even when she was working and I was home, she was still required by facts of biology (during her period of breastfeeding) and social norms to be more involved with the kids than I am able to be while I work. And I am an involved Dad who can and has done everything for the kids my wife has done for extended periods of time (outside breastfeeding, anyway).
I'm sure I'll be called a sexist pig or variations for this. But women, much more so than men, often are given a "pass" for child related issues that impact work. Now I am sure this is not the case in every circumstance, but I would argue it is generally true. And that is not a bad thing, as nothing we do today is more important than ensuring our kids are good honest people.
My issue with Sarah Palin and her kids (and the argument about how Sarah Palin's "averageness" is such an asset) is that I can't give a VP a pass (and I don't want high elected officials who are average, I want better).
Does this mean we should bar people (particularly women) from high office? No. It means to me that I would prefer someone older or with with less immediate distractions from a job that can be critical to the lives of millions of people. A young, special needs child can present situations that would demand (rightfully so) Sarah Palin's attention from her job. It's politically relevant.
Vincent Bugliosi's book about the OJ Simpson trial, Outrage, describes the mountain of incriminating evidence that the prosecutors chose not to introduce for one reason or another. For example, evidence regarding Simpson's statements to police about cuts on his hand were not offered because they didn't want the jury to hear Simpson's exculpatory explanations, however absurd. Bulgliosi writes:
Here, the Republicans are going to question Obama's readiness to serve in any event. The fact that Palin was governor of a small state for a year and a few months before being nominated as VP, and before that was a mayor of a very small town, is very strong evidence that she is not qualified to be Vice President and that John McCain chose her rashly. Does it really make sense not to raise those facts at all?
This seems to be the plan. But--painful as it is for a Hoosier to admit--Dan Quayle was worse from the outset. And it didn't matter. I don't think you get very far in politics by attacking the running mate of a major party nominee. Is there evidence that this works? It strikes me that you DO have to go after the nominee.
The approach that says "This is really a commentary on McCain's judgment" was tried in '88 as well. (Bush claims long experience, but THIS is what he's learned?) And I think the Democrats really blew it in 1968 by spending energy on Agnew, when Nixon ought to have been the focus.
I'm willing to stipulate that anyone who takes campaign advice from me is insane. But I try to make up for my lack of political savvy by being a decent historian. And I just can't see how the Democrats "win with Palin." Quayle was a remarkable phenomenon, and seems not to have mattered.
And, Senator Quayle, you are no Sarah Palin.
4) Troopergate and Gov. Palin's possible abuse of power.
5) Gov. Palin's extreme abortion views
6) Todd Palin's membership in a fringe political party
7) Gov. Palin's attempt to censor library books
8) Mayor Palin's spending habits that left her small town in over $20 million in debt
9) Mayor Palin hiring a lobbyist tied to Jack Abramoff to secure over $27 million in earmarks for her town
10) Gov. Palin being for the bridge to nowhere before she was against it
Bringing up any of these things would be bad for Obama. I'm only saying this because I care.
Hoosier--Greenspan is married to Andrea Mitchell, so there's already a liberal (presumably) kissing him on the lips!
Am I the only one who always thinks of this when I see Mitchell on the news? It does creep me out a bit.
Totally off-topic: I really thought she was the best candidate NBC had for NN after Browkaw retired. Sexism that they gave the job to Brian Williams?
In this particular case, I don't foresee the Obama campaign exploiting Ms. Palin's 20 months of full time government service abovbe the rank of suburban mayor. When everyone is talking about it already, there is no need to bring it up.
Nah, it's a right-wing rag.
[Raising hand, but now nervous this is a trick question and I'll be exposed as uncool]
You might want to check out the history between Lyda Green and Palin before becoming too fascinated.
So you're a Cheney fan I take it.
Hate the guy and disagree with his policies, but appreciate the fact that at least he did something.
ringing up any of these things would be bad for Obama. I'm only saying this because I care.
Gotta love 'ya PC. Using guilt by association and trumpeting claims without citations make for interesting reading. Not informative reading mind you, but interesting reading...
These people learned from Bush Derangement that if they repeat a lie often enough and loud enough it becomes truth, ay least to them.
And, they have to try to keep the focus off the Biden/Hussein criminality. Biden's son, even as we speak, is selling his father's influence to wealthy lobbyists. Hussein is a Chicago political hack and will eventually be shown to have shared in Chicago criminality, kickbacks of Annenberg money, other Rezko deals, kickbacks on developer loans, etc.
No, Hussein's minions MUST make big deals of all these issues, real and imagined, to give their media folks something to cluck about.
See the difference?
The sermon quoted was delivered about two weeks ago.
This was my reaction as well. Most members of the media are so far in the tank for Obama that Michael Phelps couldn't get them out.
(in the tank... filled with water... swimming... Michael Phelps...? No? I'll get my coat.)
You mean the Lincoln who "missed few roll calls, and never 'skulked' a vote on touchy issues" when in Congress, as compared to the candidate who has missed or voted "present" in 40% of the votes in his entire (short) Senate career?
(I think this blog is still legal . . . But IANAL)
Of course they have a history. But it still looks bad for McCain when Alaska Republicans are bashing Palin. They presumably know the lady, right?
What if Lyda Green starts doing the TV circuit about how terrible Palin is?
Did McCain's people make *any* contact with Green before Palin was picked? Was Green given any incentive to smile &nod about Palin?
Hussein's sewer-dwellers
How unintentionally self-deprecating can you get? Sheesh.
Are you joking? Looks matter on TV. Brian Williams is much easier on the eyes than Andrea Mitchell.
Is the Enquirer one of those MSM outlets that are in the tank for Obama? Or the Democrats? Will we see a pivot from some of the Enquirer's new fans who thought it was great when John Edwards was the target?
Steve Branchflower, the lead investigator, began trying to arrange a deposition of the governor days before her veep selection. And despite claiming executive privilege to shield requested emails, up until that point Palin had promised full cooperation with the probe.
Now, however, she is refusing to submit to questioning by Branchflower unless he and the legislative committee that appointed him agree to relinquish control of the investigation and turn it over to a state review board made up of three Palin appointees.
Stonewalling has worked pretty well for the Bush administration; I don't think it's going to work for a newcomer candidate for Veep.
The trooper story always seemed to me a wash for the Dems, because voters would sympathize that she was protecting her sister from a scumbag. But acting like she has something to hide is the very worst thing she could do here.
Her new DC friends are not advising her well. And I wonder what the Alaska courts are going to do?
Just wondering if he knows more than has been reported, since the Public Safety Commissioner who she fired has stated on the record that Palin never talked to him about her State Trooper ex-brother-in-law. It's clear that he knows LESS than has been reported, since he's apparently unaware that the State Trooper: (a) used a Taser on his 10 year old stepson (I'm sure that was of no consequence in his "messy custody battle"); and (b) had been found to have made a death threat against Palin's father if he hired a lawyer to assist his own daughter in their divorce (a death threat witnessed by Palin and several others, which Trooper Wooten denied, but which was found to have occurred by an independent investigation by the Alaska State Police conducted BEFORE Palin was elected Governor (indeed, before Palin even won the Republican Primary for Governor); and (c) had been disciplined at least 12 times for various violations of state law and breaches of Department Policy. After an internal investigation by the Alaska State Police in 2006, Julia Grimes, then Chief of the Alaska State Police reported on March 1, 2006 (BEFORE Palin was Governor, before she even won the Primary to become the Republican Candidate for Governor), the results of the investigation, and stated of Wooten, the Trooper at issue, that "[t]he record clearly indicates a serious and concentrated pattern of unacceptable and at times, illegal activity occurring over a lengthy period, which establishes a course of conduct totally at odds with the ethics of our profession". Now, if this same Trooper WAS NOT Palin's ex-brother-in-law, would the screaming be about her dereliction of duty in NOT making sure this bozo was fired?
And why, in all of the TV reporting on this so-called scandal, do NONE of the talking heads report the underlying facts regarding the Trooper whom the Public Safety Commissioner refused to fire?
I'm curious why you think this would be bad to bring up? In her introduction to the national audience, she claimed "Thanks but no thanks. If we want a bridge we'll build it ourselves!" - it was the line of the speech. As far as I can tell, she was for the bridge when Alaska only had to pay for 40% of it, but when it became unpopular politically and they would have had to pay for 80%, she became against it. They didn't send the money back, they used it for different projects. And the federal money that went for the road to the bridge couldn't be used for other projects, so they built it. What Palin stated wasn't just an exageration, but the complete opposite of what happened.
You don't think that will play well - too complicated to explain in a sound bite or other reason?
Which is why the Obama campaign has been doing relatively little in all this and has defended Gov. Palin's family. However, the all those fine paragons of journalistic integrity at Kos, have been going nuts, and for one simple reason: They smell blood. The thinking there goes that if Palin turns into an Eagleton, then McCain is toast. Whether the blood they smell is real or if it is merely bait will be telling.
Actually, Obama has personally attacked Palin on the experience issue:
Feigning unawareness that the state of Alaska has thousands of employees and a multi-billion-dollar budget?
Nevertheless, I look forward to the debate between Obama and Palin. ...Oh, wait.
Because he was male?
Because he was a Democrat?
Becasue it was between elections and nobody felt any particular reason to flog him?
Because people were more restrained from this sort of despicable attack politics in those days?
I don't know-- I'm not the one who's criticizing Palin
Bullshit. What you quote is Obama's *response* to attacks on Obama, the "Palin has more executive experience" dig.
It's not a "personal attack" to retort to one attack with a comparison that suggests your attacker's on weak ground.
And how is discussing their mutual resumes a "personal" attack? Do you know what the word means?
Db wins his own thread.
Rover, you magnificent bastard!
Whatever--Team Obama knows what its doing.......
Rove, you magnificent bastard!
Awesome. I take personal offense. I like my house :).
In response to "PC"'s very reasonable list of Palin concerns, DB writes above, "Some of these are dubious (who cares what party her husband belongs to)." This is literally the same guy who breathed fire for weeks about Obama's ties to Wright, Ayers, etc. Are we honestly to believe that Obama's nutty pastor is any more relevant (and damning) than a husband's support of secession?!?!?!
What a hypocritical and transparent line of argument this has devolved to. Believe me, no matter what happens in the next two months, according to DB, it'll be bad for Obama, but not a big deal for McCain/Palin (and please, no anecdotal examples of isolated disagreements with the occassional republican, perfessor Reynolds ... I mean, Bernstein)
Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, the Republican vice-presidential nominee who revealed Monday that her 17-year-old daughter is pregnant, earlier this year used her line-item veto to slash funding for a state program benefiting teen mothers in need of a place to live.
After the legislature passed a spending bill in April, Palin went through the measure reducing and eliminating funds for programs she opposed. Inking her initials on the legislation -- "SP" -- Palin reduced funding for Covenant House Alaska by more than 20 percent, cutting funds from $5 million to $3.9 million. Covenant House is a mix of programs and shelters for troubled youths, including Passage House, which is a transitional home for teenage mothers.
According to Passage House's web site, its purpose is to provide "young mothers a place to live with their babies for up to eighteen months while they gain the necessary skills and resources to change their lives" and help teen moms "become productive, successful, independent adults who create and provide a stable environment for themselves and their families."
Michelle Cottle's post title for that WaPo quote?
"Palin's Handling of Other People's Pregnant Teens."
She adds:
I'm sorry, but a politician who opposes abortion even in cases of rape and incest and who opposes comprehensive sex education should be at the forefront of championing support systems that make it easier for young mothers to keep their babies.
Yeah, unless you're a callous ideologue with no sympathy for other people.
Maybe the genius of the Palin pick is that it puts Obama supporters in the position of indirectly criticizing their candidate when they raise the glaring weaknesses of McCain's VP pick. But is still seems like a net loss to the Republican side when it takes these criticisms off the board for both sides.
Don't set that bar too high now....
But she's perky!
And as noted above, Obama made a comparison between Palin's town and his campaign when he was directly asked about the GOP claim that Palin has more executive experience than he does.
No, I would jump on Palin for the little inconsistencies that are in her record (they are in every politicians, I am not picking on her). She claims she is a maverick reformer, and she served on the board of Stevens' 527 organization, she lobbied for earmarks for Wasilla and she raised taxes repeatedly as mayor, and left the town in worse shape than she found it. Also, I would ask her about teaching creationism in schools and her views on abortion, which are more extreme than most voters.
What is wrong with people these days? Has everyone gone crazy?
The election is still 60 days away. She will have plenty of time to introduce herself and her policies to the nation and show what type of person she is.
Up until a week ago, this woman was focused on dealing with the issues of running Alaska. Within days, ney hours, of her nomination everyone goes wild with unfounded rumors and opinions, including classy insinuations that she faked her pregnancy and all sorts of other crazy stuff.
Jesus H. Christ, let the woman speak at least. Let her give her speeches. Let her answer reporters questions. Let her particiapte in debates and town hall meetings. Let her and her staff outline their platform and viewpoints and disseminate that information to the public.
Um, no, she's not allowed to do that just yet. Her handlers won't let her.
More fun -- I swear, every 15 minutes something pops up:
Three times in recent years, the Arizona senator's lists of 'objectionable' pork spending have included earmarks requested by his new running mate.
Flip! Flop!
1 year: 4.6%
2 year: 9.5%
3 year: 14.6%
4 year: 19.9%
These numbers are for an average person. But McCain would lead a much more stressful existence than the average 72 year old will over the next 4 years. So let's arbitrarily boost up the force of mortality curve by 50% and see what happens.
In this case McCain has a 28.3% chance of dying within 4 years. If you believe that McCain is much healthier than average then the prior calculations might be more realistic. In any cases it looks like Palin has roughly a 1 in 5 chance of becoming president if McCain is elected. At this point I give that even odds, so Palin has roughly a 1 in 10 chance of becoming president.
I used the basic model for oldsters from here. Of course McCain is not 80 but the model matches the life tables pretty nicely.
Man, it just keeps on coming:
/various snippets from his link provided /
Yeah, unless you're a callous ideologue with no sympathy for other people.
Of course, you left out that the $5 million dollars was for a one-time grant request over and above the annual budget of Covenant House Alaska. That request was pared down to $3.5 million.
More here.
Apparently an increase is seen as a cut? Yes? No?
And I only had to Google it - of course once I got past the stories from the MSM about this being a cut...
Time has a story about Palin's theocratic rule as mayor, including her book banning efforts. A commenter on Librarian.net who has not yet answered other commenters' requests for his source offers a list of what he says are the 90 books Palin wanted removed. I'm not going to discuss them until the titles are verified, but here's the link. The NYT also runs the book banning story, saying Palin discussed the topic at a city council meeting.
I saw this yesterday but since the only source was the guy she beat for mayor, I wasn't sure what to think of it.
I've got a great idea for a new book: Conservative Fascism. Sounds implausible, I know, but Jonah Goldberg has convinced me that it can be done.
"That request was pared down to $3.5 million."
should be:
"That request was pared down to $3.9 million."
I guess I could write this as:
"That request was brutally slashed down to $3.5 million, as Governor Palin laughed and stated she was going to steal apples and milk from children after drinking a pint of moose blood."
I expect this latter remark will get picked up by the MSM in about 5 minutes or so...
Legislature authorizes $5M.
Palin says no, $3.9M.
That is a ... what is that? Anyone got a verb for me?
But this election is about the composite views that people take away of the candidates. Damn the facts, full smear ahead!
Remember, Obama is a Muslim Manchurian candidate that was born on a boat outside of Hawaii (or in Kenya), faked his birth certificate, attends a church that hates whitey and America, has a wife that said she hates whitey and America, and if Obama is elected as president we will all live under Sharia law and bow to Mecca five times a day. Not to mention the forced gay marriages and mandatory abortions.
Just the facts...
All-righty then.
I'll leave off the political comentationizing with the following:
If I were supporting Obama, I'd want him to win
Flame away.
I find it amusing that proponents of the welfare state consider a reduction in growth to be a decrease. I guess it's similar to that depression we're in.
Or maybe it's just malicious agitprop.
(more analysis here)
Exhibit A:
Now look at this comment from McCain honcho Steve Schmidt to Katie Couric last night: "Members of this campaign went to off-the-record lunches with reporters today, and they were asked if she would do paternity tests to prove paternity for her last child. Smear after smear after smear, and it's disgraceful and it's wrong. And the American people are going to reject it overwhelmingly when they see her."
First of all, that's the first time I've heard anyone in the campaign/political press throw out the notion of paternity tests. So Schmidt is to blame for bringing that issue into the mainstream. If anyone is smearing the candidate, it's Schmidt. This is as cynical a tactic as I've ever seen in politics.
Secondly, how can it be a "smear" if it was during an off the record lunch with McCain campaign aides?
You're failing to take into account what the Palin choice tells us about McCain: that he's reckless and impulsive, and inclined to take dangerous risks. Always has been, always will be. That's why he broke so many rules that he barely graduated from college. That's why he crashed so many planes. That's why he decided to risk chasing after someone barely half his age, even though he had kids at home. That's why he's so famous for losing his temper. That's why he plays craps in Vegas for 14 hours at a time.
Picking Palin is classic McCain. That's why the more we learn about Palin, the more we understand who McCain is. So you're mistaken to think that Palin's unraveling is not going to discredit McCain himself.
Bristol is not magically going to turn into a grownup the instant the calendar says she's 18. She will still need parenting, and so will her infant. Meanwhile, it seems that she's playing surrogate mom to Trig. Not a heallthy picture.
You can equate the picture to Obama only if you airbrush Trig, Bristol and Bristol's unborn child out of the picture. And even then, you still haven't accounted for the fact that Palin made her family life a significant part of her political resume, and Obama did not. Palin has invited us to hold her to an especially high standard, so we should.
But the problem is that right at this moment, without Obama saying a word, it's self-evident that McCain was being cynical and insincere when he spent months beating the 'experience' drum.
It underlines how impulsive the Palin pick is. Presumably a rational person who anticipated picking Palin would not have hammered Obama so hard on 'experience.'
She copies him on official emails and claims executive privilege because he is supposedly one of her "closest advisors." So we have reason to wonder who he is, and what role he would have in a Palin White House.
This is not true. It is a trivial exercise to successfully predict the date of your own death, or the death of another person.
It's a simple two step process:
1. Pick an arbitrary date in the near future.
2. Kill yourself, or the other person, on that date.
http://starbulletin.com/2007/02/04/news/ebay_jet.pdf
But does he know how to skin a moose? Please try to focus on what's relevant.
No. Just "all parents of special needs kids" who invite us to take a close look at their parental decision-making even though their parental decision-making reveals various signs of poor judgment.
The ones who care about how their kids turn out.
Some interesting things were said in that church (from the pulpit) just a few weeks ago. I know, it's legitimately hard to keep up.
Track is fine, but Bristol is about to multiply herself. So she counts as two. From that perspective, Palin will soon be effectively responsible for six kids, not five.
I would tend to think the "the governor of Alaska's son" has access to health care that is second to none. You're talking about the difference between the 99th %-ile and the 99.9th %-ile.
Was he running on a platform that invited us to think well of him because of his parenting decisions? That's what Palin is doing. Here's one example of how she did this: presenting Trig to the press (reporters and photographers) when he was three days old. This led to the obvious headlines that excited her base.
In my opinion, using a special-needs infant as a political prop is spectacularly despicable.
Yes, I guess he said something about that. But he is obviously not responsible for the choices they made. However, Palin is clearly responsible for her own choices. And she has invited us to evaluate her choices.
On the contrary. Bristol's pregnancy has indeed been hidden, until just now.
Not a very good one. Look around and you'll see I've explained why several times.
That comparison might be something other than quite irrelevant if Ann and Madelyn were candidates.
Also, one thing I'll guess about those two is that they weren't part of a political party that put a lot of effort into moralizing about allegedly superior 'family values.'
I know it's still considered radical, but there are actually households that are organized that way. If Todd was home with the kids, my analysis would be very different.
You would have a point, if she hadn't gone out of her way to make her motherhood a key part of her political resume.
I'm not attempting to justify it. "They do it too," is certainly a fallacy, but that's political discourse.
I see your general point. But most of Palin's accusations against Wooten turned out to be unsubstantiated. And he was punished for the ones that were substantiated. And then Palin kept trying to ruin him, anyway. And then lied about that. It's a great story, but there are so many other great stories. Palin is the perfect candidate, if you're a stockholder in media companies.
You are so very wrong (as Apodaca already pointed out). Start here.
This is what you might be thinking of: Monegan has said that he was never directly told to fire Wooten. But there were a long list of pressuring statements that fell short of a direct order. Those statements came from Palin's staff, Todd, and Palin herself. There is a taped phone call. Monegan has emails. Look around.
Yes, in 2003, after the son asked for a demo. And then the kid immediately told his mom he was OK, and asked to be tasered again, and bragged about it to his friends. In a short demo like this, "it would feel like your funny bone was hit." While this was happening, mom was upstairs, and she knew what was happening, and she didn't go downstairs to intervene. No one complained about this until 2005, when a messy divorce was happening. That's when the Palins finally decided to report this event to the police. A police investigator asked Sarah Palin's daughter Bristol why they were finally reporting it two years later, after being silent for so long. She said "because of the divorce."
There were no neutral witnesses to the alleged death threat. Also, the threat was not reported to the father until a month later, and it was not reported to the police until two months later. That's hard to grasp, if we're supposed to perceive it as a serious threat.
The "several others" are exactly two: Sarah's sister Molly and Sarah's son Track. And only one of those witnesses (Molly) was in the room with Wooten. Sarah and Track were listening over a phone line.
Please explain why an allegedly serious threat was not reported to the police until two months later. By the way, it was reported to the police on the exact day that Molly filed for divorce.
Yes, there are number of minor things on his record such as not using turn signals properly.
One of the many problems with your narrative is that Palin claims she wasn't trying to get him fired.
Wooten was investigated and punished. This happened before Palin ran for office. If she felt there was good reason to question the adequacy of Wooten's punishment, then she needed to find some other legitimate authority to carry that ball, and she needed to hand off her concerns in an open, transparent manner. In other words, she needed to recuse herself, because of her personal connection to the matter. Instead, she used her office to conduct a personal vendetta. She showed very poor judgment, and she lied.
Let me know if you can find any reporting that mentions this:
Given McCain's age, there's good reason to look at the situation that way.
My concerns in this regard have nothing to do with gender. I've explained this in many places, including here.
History seems to indicate he has no interest in that.
Hilarious.
Translation:
We don't want to talk about it.
"Zarkov reaches the startling conclusion that peoples' chance of dying rise as you get older. Here is the horrible secret we epidemiologists don't tell you: your chance of dying, zarkov is 100 percent."
I'm not sure what your problems is. I simply gave the numbers that most people don't know offhand, and that's more information than simply saying the chance of dying increases as one gets older. I took no position as to whether these mortality probabilities disqualify McCain. Your second statement is pure snark and contributes nothing.
Obama did attend a church that hates white people and America. Obama had to publicly condem Wright and leave the church. That is a fact, not a smear. Everyone has seen Wright's sermons and knows where he stands.
Michelle Obama did say in a speech that you can find on Youtube that she had never been proud of this country until it voted for her husband.
Obama did begin his political career with a fund raiser at Bill Ayers house and did serve on the board of the Chicago Annenberg challange with Ayers.
Obama did get a his house with help from a now convicted felon.
Make of those what you will but those are facts not smears. Further, I have never seen one instance of the birth certificate hoax being in a major newspaper much less in a publication like the Atlantic. Moreover, anti-Obama websites debunked them because they were so rediculous and wrong.
Lastly, can all please agree that Andrew Sullivan is an old pervert and loathsome human being? The right already threw him out over his turning on the Iraq war. If the left would throw him out over his loathsome writing on Palin's daughter, it would finally get him out of public life. If you are sincere about this stuff being garbage, then make someone pay for repeating it.
You are simply a piece of scum.
Saying I wish the most awful things in life to happen to you jokebox is an understatement.
"Multiply"? That's a classless comment.
And she will be effectively responsible for Bristol's child. If have a citation for that, that would be appreciated. How did you come to that conclusion?
Um, so what would make her "qualified" then?
Also, do you then think Obama is "qualified" to be President (since you'll be voting for him of course the answer is yes).
You people are such silly hypocrites it is obscene.
Obama listened to his nutty Rev for 20 years and only left after the nutty Rev's over board ideas were exposed in the press within the last year. Also Obama's nutty Rev was his spirtual advisor for all that 20 years. Also being in that nutty Rev's church HELPED Obama in politics. When it didn't Obama dumped the Rev.
Please explain to me HOW you compare these.
If Palin is SOOOOOO... bad for the Repubs WHY are the Dems trying so hard to get her dumped? The Dems WANT A STRONGER Repub ticket???? Yes, the Dems protest to much.
What I find funny is that you actually think this is over the top parody, PC.
Obama's church does indeed hate America, and so does his wife.
They both also hate whitey.
You're failing to take into account what the Palin choice tells us about McCain: that he's reckless and impulsive, and inclined to take dangerous risks. Always has been, always will be. That's why he broke so many rules that he barely graduated from college. That's why he crashed so many planes.
Re: planes. Have you read the accident investigation reports from the aircraft crashes or is that you considered opinion being represented by you as a fact? If those are on-line, I'd like to see them. Don't post what someone else says about the mishaps, cite the actual accident reports.
"What does it say that McCain "the maverick" was too afraid of his party's base to go with his real choices, Lieberman or Ridge?"
It says that he wants to win.
I think you have revealed yourself as a troll from something like moveon or the equivalent.
Isn't it cute how "tolerant" liberals like jokebox really are?
Yes, in 2003, after the son asked for a demo
You are a complete liar.
No such thing happened.
Who cares? She's in favor of teaching creationism as science in public schools. That's nutty enough for me.
You sir, are a liar.
She's in favor of debate about it, unlike Leftists. No stronger statement was made.
And yet, if it had been, I'd support her more. That's God's honest truth. That's something some people don't understand, and take for lying -- "they can't possibly mean that, so they're lying, so I can lie, too!"
Do you agree with Ms. Palins long-time pastor that Palestinians killing Israelis is G-d's punishment because the Israeli's haven't converted to Christianity?
1/3 of international expiernience. Today WAPO brings local police chief suit over Palin trying to keep drunk drivers on the road.
She is Mccain's Kerik. In fact Guiliani promotes her very much.
I'm summing up political discourse here and other places. For example:
It's really, really funny, but I have a twisted sense of humor. There is absolutely nothing that someone can say about a given candidate (or their family!) that isn't so over the top that some people won't take it seriously.
At least until BO is elected and the Fairness Doctrine is in place. Then EV will need to carefully balance the comments of Ace and Jukeboxgrad to stay legal.
*****************
BO will have all the incompetence of W with none of the willingness to take on the bad guys.
***********************
The only difference is who signs the paychecks.
I think you are a little behind the times. The Democrats and their allies in the media have found a way to smear Palin while pretending not to. It's actually quite brilliant. Rather than openly attacking Palin for her family issues, they say they are concerned about McCain's supposed failure to vet her. This way, they get to drag up all the mud while claiming to be taking the high road. The Obama camp has led with this line and from listening to NPR this morning and reading the press, it looks like their media pets are following right along. Sleazy, no? but effective.
So you are actually contending Reverend Wright loves America and white people?
Not that your continued silly posts demonstrate a lack of critical thought on the matter.
I see jukebox has highjacked yet another thread.
Honestly, this one poster is single-handedly responsible for making me dread visiting a blog I once loved.
No, I don't. I just think it's interesting to point it out. It's especially interesting when one side (doesn't matter which to me) gets the vapors and needs to grab a cold rag when some surrogate says something mean. Compared to early American politics this stuff is downright civil.
Seems that a lot of the demands for medical records and DNA testing to prove paternity for the baby have since been scrubbed. Certainly it was a prominently circulating around the internet until her daughter's pregnancy came to light.
Frankly, after some of the behavior in the press the last few days, I see no reason to doubt that at least some members of the media made inquiries with the campaign. Having that info would certainly have been advantageous to a particular news outlet given the media coverage climate.
As to the third point, the relevant question is not whether the candidate's church or pastor are whackos but whether the candidate's own views are. Obama has shown no sign of holding the insane views of Pastor Wright and indeed has explicitly denounced them. Palin, on the other hand, is a creationist, opposes sex education and contraception, and believes that believes that human activity plays no role in global warming. Those are her own views, not merely those of her church, and they show a disdain for science and reason that is highly relevant to her politics.
Well, it's certainly more armchair-lawyerly. But "What choice do we have? When faced with monsters, we have to be monstrous ourselves."? Could you point me to some pre-20th century (prefereably pre-Marx) parallels? Such a chronicle would make a fascinating addition to my small collection of political histories.
I would love for you to explain Obama's position on the 2nd Amendment.
Obama has traveled extensively and lived in Indonesia for four years as a child.
I'm in tears laughing at that one.
If by "long-time pastor", you mean "the pastor of a church she went to for 3 years, but left many years ago, and before there was any political reason to do so", then sure... but I doubt many people would consider that an honest usage of the term "long-time pastor".
Really? Prove it.
I think you're asking me to explain why I claimed that Sarah will effectively be responsible for Bristol's child. Here's why: there's reason to understand that Bristol is not ready to take care of herself, let alone someone else. And I think if you look into Levi, you will draw a similar conclusion about him.
Some interesting statements were made in that church just a few weeks ago.
He taught Conlaw as an adjunct and he has never been a practicing lawyer. If Obama had been a successful DA or defense attorney or worked for the public service or even made partner at a big law firm or had a tenured track position, you might have a point. Since he did none of that, I don't think you do.
"The second is how Washington works. Obama has been a Senator for four years."
I am not sure that is a defect. What did Reagan know about how Washington worked? What about Carter or Clinton or any other governor who came to the Whitehouse? Did you not support them because of that? Is it the case that you must be a Washington insider to be qualified for the VP or Presidency? If it is, that is pretty depressing.
"The third and most critical is foreign affairs. Obama has traveled extensively and lived in Indonesia for four years as a child."
Living in Idonesia as a child is a big stretch. So what? Further a litle bit of experience working for an international trade company is pretty thin gruel. If Obama had been an abassador or served as a advisor during a previous administration or was a serious scholar like Condi Rice or Kisinger, you would have a good point. As it is, it is pretty much a wash.
The fact is that there just isn't a whole lot of difference between Obama and Palin's experience.
Let me know if you're really claiming that his record of crashes would be considered normal.
Some interesting statements were made in that church just a few weeks ago.
Um, and then what?
What are these "statements"? Was Palin present for them?
I'm sure there was much pearl clutching then, like today, and calls for civility and sticking to the issues. But politics is politics and when people make pleas for civil discourse I just have to laugh.
And congratulations to Prof. Bernstein on such a successful concern troll.
Where is the same level of outrage that happened when Harriet Miers was nominated to the Supreme Court? Sarah Palin may well be a nice woman, and quite well accomplished, but is she truly the party's best representative to represent them to the country and to the world? If someone can honestly answer that question in the affirmative, maybe it really is time to cash in my savings and move somewhere else.
So he just sat in the church listening to a bunch of ideas he disagreed with for 20 years then?
You actually believe that?
And you think he "denounced" Reverend Wright out of his own beliefs or political pressure?
Wrong. She did make a stronger statement. The next day she backpedaled and made a weaker statement. The stronger statement is here:
Pretty much any history of the 1790s (good ones are by Stanley Elkin and by James Sharp) or the 1850s (many) will give you a good sense. Here are some incidents:
1. In the late 1790s, Rep. Matthew Lyon spat in the face of Roger Sherman, who proceeded to beat him with a cane. On the floor of the House.
2. In roughly 1825 (off memory) Henry Clay and John Randolph fought a duel. While Clay was Sec'y of State and Randolph was in Congress.
3. In the 1830s, Senator Henry Foote drew a gun on Sen. Thomas Hart Benton on the floor of the Senate.
4. In 1856, a representative from SC beat Sen. Charles Sumner with a cane on the floor of the Senate. It was a sneak attack, with Sumner caught at his desk and Southerners preventing any rescue. Sumner was permanently crippled.
The newspapers were just as bad. Google the name "james callendar", for example, or "peter porcupine". There are some good histories of early American newspapers.
"Judgment is very real and we see it played out on the pages of the newspapers and on the television. It's very real. When [Brickner's son] was in Jerusalem he was there to witness some of that judgment, some of that conflict, when a Palestinian from East Jerusalem took a bulldozer and went plowing through a score of cars, killing numbers of people. Judgment — you can't miss it."
"Palin was in church that day, Kroon said, though he cautioned against attributing Brickner’s views to her."
Source.
Though the excerpted portion resembles McCain's Chelsea joke more than the "Palin is covering for her daughter by claiming Trig is her own" fabrication.
Look it up. Or just wait, because sooner or later you'll hear.
Yes.
A) other than attending his church for 20 years and officially and privately calling him his "spiritual mentor", and
B) only leaving and denouncing him after several weeks of extreme political pressure
This is not a plus with a large majority of the US population, just so you know.
1) like a significant (though admittedly not majority) portion of the US, and many more don't give a crap
2A) as best I can tell, this is a lie (she just supports a form of sex-education you don't like)
B) if this were the case, she'd have a lot more than 5 children - another lie
3) you mean like a significant portion of the scientific community? And anybody who's bothered to look at the history of this planet? And anybody who has been paying attention to the temperature of this planet for the laast 10 years? (Hint: the temperature has been flat or decreasing for 10 years now.) Points like this are going to look so funny in a few more decades... just like the other global warming/cooling scares, every 20-30 years for the past century. I expect a "global cooling" scare in the 2020's, based on the historical pattern.
Given the 180 comments so far, I'm guessing you won't read this. But:
1. The "how can she take care of the kids" point almost invariably hurts a female candidate more than a male candidate, due to gender stereotypes. Sexist? Yes. Reality? Yes also.
2. The experience point initially might seem to hurt Obama much, much more than Palin, given that Obama is at the top of the ticket. But you are missing one thing--Obama has been attacked on this point for ten months already. At this point, any voter that has not been dissuaded from voting for Obama due to the experience meme isn't likely to be simply because a few more media cycles focusing on experience. On the other hand, a few voters who were persuaded to vote for McCain because of Obama's lack of experence might well be persuaded to stay home because of Palin's brand new equivalent lack of experience. In short, in economics speak, it is the marginal contribution that counts.
Yeah, and with Palin we do get MORE than the Democrats are getting. I'd vote for her - for anything - before I'd vote for the young megalomaniac or the ancient buffoon who are in the D column.
My point, speaking as an epidemiologist is that the numbers you cite are good for insurance pools, but they are worthless for predicting the risk of dying for an individual. Too many other factors intervene. When you put out numbers, that while true in the aggregate, and then worse, proceed to make uninformed adjustments in those numbers without access to a candidates medical record, you are putting out really bad and totally misleading information. I do hope you see my point here and I have tried to present it without any snark.
Science is not equivalent to materialism, and reason is not equivalent to nihilist short-circuiting of logic (see the First Things piece again).
Consider researching how Europe's enlightenment came about, and what's happened to the continent since socialist democracy, the Orwellian "social justice" meme, and liberalist welfare immigration became major policies there.
Yes, the media's spent a lot of time on it, but does that mean most people beside us blog junkies actually care? I would say no.
You're claiming the son didn't ask for a demo. The following text is from a police interview of the boy (pdf):
This is what Bristol said:
This is what Wooten said:
This is what Molly said:
It should be noted that Sarah Palin wrote (pdf) that Molly "aggressively protested during the Taser gun incident." But by all accounts, Molly never interrupted what she was doing (giving kids a bath) to go downstairs. By Molly's own account, she simply "told Mike that he better not." Apparently yelling this down the stairs, while continuing to give kids a bath. This is what Sarah called "aggressively protested."
Some information about what happens during a Taser demo (because that's essentially what it was):
The above police interviews took place in 6/05. The Taser incident apparently took place in 2003. Molly and Wooten became separated in 1/05. Molly filed for divorce in 4/05. It should be noted that no one made a fuss about the Taser incident until the marriage started falling apart. Just like Bristol said.
There should be an "Olympic judging" feature that would automatically throw out all comments on either extreme and leave only the less hysterical comments.
The second problem occured when you proceded to make adjustments in those numbers with no specific medical files available. Then you adjust the basic numbers based on your uninformed speculation about Senator McCains specific conditions. The result of your good faith to educate, is the promulgation of numbers that have no meaning to the candidate specifically.
I do hope you see my problems with your analysis and you have an apology for the snark.
"Let me know if you're really claiming that his record of crashes would be considered normal."
Hello, an interesting to deflect attentionf rom the claim you made.
I don't want to make that claim until I see the accident investigation reports. It's not relevant what someone else thinks, but what naval or Marine aviators who sat on the board and wrote the report concluded.
If you're willing to make the claim without the benefit of the primary source documents, it's perhaps another sign of intellectual laziness.
Ummm ... okay.
Please offer some examples of non-materialist science.
Really?
Because you think the party you vote for is going to try and make issue of what a pastor says in church now?
Yes.
And then what?
You think the party you vote for is going to try and make issue of what a pastor says in church now?
You do realize you're posting nothing more than talking points, right? You can't even begin to explain why this matters. You're simply playing a silly moral equivocation game.
this trooper showed VERY bad judgment. first of all, using the DEPARTMENT ISSUED taser to give a demo tase to his son is almost certainly very bad judgment from a violation of dept. policies etc. perspective. frankly, it makes a big difference. a dept. taser is presumably (in every dept. i am aware of) issued to an officer for official use only. contrast with, for example, our dept. laptops where we are expressly allowed to use them for personal use as long as it is not "excessive" or interferes with our duties. iow, it's ok to check our personal email or do a little web surfing. similarly, it is acceptable for me to "occasionally' use my dept. phone for personal phone calls but it must not be 'excessive'. many agencies also authorize officers to use their dept vehicles (take home vehicles especially) for certain personal business, like going to the gym before or after work, or brief errands, like the proverbial picking up some milk before you go home. otoh, giving your son an unauthorized "joy ride" in your cruiser would not be acceptable. this is similar.
there is no way any officer should ever use his dept. taser to "demo" on any citizen unless it's in an official classroom structure and authorized by the dept. that's just incredibly dumb.
that's really the primary issue here - the exceedinly bad judgment. i do think a 14 yr old is old enough to ask for a "demo" and i wouldn't have a problem with it ***if*** the trooper was 1) off duty and 2) used a PERSONALLY owned taser.
i know some (very liberal) domestic violence advocates who would argue that what the trooper did was domestic violence. I would disagree, but those people are out there and in the war against domestic violence, it pays to be aware that they are
You couldn't name 2.
You're pretending even if the son did that makes it ok.
It doesn't. Which is why the officer was reprimanded for tazing the 14 year old.
I can form an opinion, based on the information that's readily available, without launching a new career as a crash investigator. And my opinion might be wrong.
I noticed you ducked the question.
Let's review. I said the son asked for a demo. You said this claim was a lie. So I showed proof. But instead of taking responsibility for your false accusation, now you're trying to change the subject with a straw-man argument.
This shoddy behavior is so typical of you.
I actually still don't belive it.
Otherwise, even if the son asked for it, that does not make it ok. And so why do you keep posting "the son asked for a demo"?
Note: you don't have an answer.
This shoddy behavior is so typical of you
See above.
You're nothing but a silly hack.
Could have fooled me.
Um, no. That would be you.
See, saying "the son asked for a demo" is irrelevant.
Which is why you keep saying it.
I suggest you look up the term "staw-man" because you obviously have no idea what it means.
Indeed. That's why he was suspended.
The Palin family also showed bad judgment in waiting two years before they reported the incident. And Molly Palin showed bad judgment in failing to go downstairs to intervene, even though she knew what was happening. This is like the Jerry Springer show, where no one has a monopoly on bad judgment.
His age is usually reported as 10 or 11.
And then what?
You can't explain why asking for a demo is important, yet keep typing it.
Why do you think that is?
Never in the history of the world have people that have known so little, opined on so much.
Which is why you can't parody the left anymore.
You're entitled to your opinion. But your original position is not that this statement is "irrelevant." Your original position was that this statement is a "lie."
The way you so reliably run away from your own words is part of what makes you such an entertaining waste of time.
Because tasing a kid who asked for a demo is materially different from, say, tasing a kid as an act of punishment, discipline or torture.
The fact that you weren't able to figure that out on your own is no surprise to me.
This is a completely fraudulent claim. The sheer number of lies told about this one woman is staggering.
as to running for mom of the year, when was this made an issue by anyone but the left. she has five kids-is that many offensive to Justin (is justin another childless wonder dispensing wisdom like johnny appleseed as to how to raise kids). Which leads me to ask, does anyone think justin or jbg were ever disappointments to their parents-perhaps they could show their wise posts to their parents to get an idea of the look Sarah Palin probably had on her face when she learned her daughter was pregnant.
You're correct, provided you completely ignore what she actually said. See here:
The next day, she did backpedal somewhat. But I think it's fair to believe that her initial answer is the more authentic one.
Science is not equivalent to materialism
Ummm ... okay.
Please offer some examples of non-materialist science.
Well, gee, ok.
Orgone energy.
Creation science.
Parapsychology.
AIDS denial science.
Dianetics.
Cryptozoology. (Theoretically based on amterialism. But they haven't found any "material" yet. By definition.)
Political science.
The list goes on. Geez. Do I have to do your research for you?
I guess you missed the part where I agreed that Wooten showed "VERY bad judgment." But I hope you and your straw man keep having lots of fun together.
oh, well if he was 10 or 11, i will also add to my analysis that he was NOT old enough to ask for a demo. so, the cop's judgment was even worse than i thought.
It sure is tough to keep up. More turns than a velocidrome.
And people like Poser are losing the tempo here.
I can form an opinion, based on the information that's readily available, without launching a new career as a crash investigator. And my opinion might be wrong.
I noticed you ducked the question.
No, you don't need to launch a new career - just read the primary source documents, instead of ostensibly relying on someone that has not.
I'm not going to offer any conclusions on his aviation prowess (or lack thereof) until I see the primary source documents. That you are willing to do so without the benefit of viewing, well, it's weak when you draw conclusions without the benefit of facts. If you count that as a duck - Ok...
"I don't think there should be a prohibition against debate if it comes up in class. It doesn't have to be part of the curriculum."
She added that, if elected, she would not push the state Board of Education to add such creation-based alternatives to the state's required curriculum."
No, that was pretty much what I had in mind -- thanks!
Changing the subject ... does anyone give a damn how many planes McCain crashed in the USAF?
"Most Irrelevant Talking Point Ever" is a high honor, but I think that the planes bit is a good nominee.
Things are looking up for John McCain. Last week ended with a bang with the announcement of his fresh-faced new running mate Sarah Palin, who should provide McCain many more years of extended existence through gradual consumption of her life force, and, if needed, a new host body should his current vessel fail him.
Ummm. I suppose that would be zero, given that he was a naval aviator.
Obviously, time for me to get back to work.
"Most Irrelevant Talking Point Ever" is a high honor, but I think that the planes bit is a good nominee.
The Left doesn't have the chickenhawk thing this time, so "yeah he served in combat but he was a lousy pilot" is the (pathetic) best they can do.
Speaking of the chickenhawk thing,
"Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden received five student draft deferments during the Vietnam War, the same number of deferments received by Vice President Dick Cheney,"
You have made clear that you think it is bad political strategy for Obama supporters and others to push the news that Palin belongs to a church now headed by David Brickner, the executive director of Jews for Jesus.
However, I am curious about how you feel about the merits of the story and whether you think it is fair to critize Palin for her association with a church that, among other things, believes terrorist attacks on Israelis are God's "judgment of unbelief" of Jews who haven't embraced Christianity
Indeed, Brickner has been quoted as stating:
Assuming the Brickner quote is fact, and that Palin attended (and, continues to share a spiritual affinity for) Brickner's chuch, I invite you to comment about the reasonable conclusions an objective observer or a hawkish advocate for the interests of Jews around the world might be fairly entitled to draw.
Nothing, because they have no credibility.
I notice that McCain retained his assignment as pilot after every single one of those crashes. Why don't we just accept the accident investigators' conclusions and Move On™?
Could have fooled me."
Not the most difficult of tasks.
The more pressing question, however, is:
Are there enough quarters in the world to keep up with the JukeBoxSpam?
Michael Savage has found another listener/sheep.
Hilarious.
Good luck with that one.
You can't possibly think picking Giuliani would have resulted in the same outpouring of contributions that the R's are currently receiving, can you? (Yes, big surprise--the VP selection was probably based on multiple considerations.)
The way you so reliably run away from your own words
I don't belive a 10 year old child asked for a tazer demo.
And, given that the officer in question was punished for his actions, I think it fair to conclude that the kid did not.
So yes, it is a lie and I am not "running" from anything.
Well, good. Let's hope she sticks to that.
"And, given that the officer in question was punished for his actions, I think it fair to conclude that the kid did not."
I asked about this earlier this afternoon where I work of an employee in the security office who also teaches at a police training academy. He indicated that using a taser in that manner is essentially no different than unholstering a service weapon - if you do so for a reason you can't justify was necessary, then (at least in these parts) you will be subject to disciplinary action. Even for a training taser.
Hooten should have known better and not done that - period. It shows a lack of judgement.
Unless the selection of the person on the bottom of the ticket demonstrates a clear lack of judgment on the part of the person at the top of the ticket. The next 30 days in the campaign are going to be telling, I think
ALL infants are "special needs" in the sense that they need billing and cooing and lots of human contact. This can be provided by others as well as mom. Didn't feminists tell us how much better day care is than mom staying home?
Big families know how to deal with babies. You Metro concern trolls should talk to Iowa farmwives. They might be able to explain it, although you probably couldn't grok it.
Small families (e.g. the NYC ones with the OCD Yalie mother who turns a single infant into a Quest for Perfection in Childraising) really cannot appreciate this. You know, the ones who stand on line in the rain outside Miss Smith's Manhattan Academy for Perfect Infants and Toddlers from 10PM until opening the next day at 10AM so they can get the early bird application form for their beloved singleton toddler, Muffie. Different mental world entirely. Way different conception of child-raising and parenting.
Down syndrome infants and toddlers are no different than regular infants. This isn't "Lorenzo's Oil" territory, folks.
The attempt to scam the electorate with "special needs Downs baby" betrays some basic trollish ignorance, as one might expect from pro-abortionist liberals. They have been aborting Downs syndrome babies for 35 years, and have lost all cultural memory of Downs babies and what life is like with them around. It is this culture-wide forgetting that makes the "special needs Downs baby" meme even superficially plausible.
But it won't work. The swing voters Obama is hoping to get don't automatically abort, and are therefore much more familiar with Downs babies and kids. They are not likely to fall for such trollish bogosity as "special needs Downs babies".
Finally, if liberals trolls feel like kids are such a critical part of a Palin's job performance, why on earth do they prevent us from asking all female job applicants whether they plan to have kids, how soon, how many, whether they will be available for advancement in five years, and what plans they have made for a baby-support network?
that's not a "fair" conclusion. it's unsubstantiated and illogical. i have already explained (i carry a taser and am familiar with dept. rules regarding same in several agencies), it is entirely inappropriate EVEN IF ASKED by a family member or friend, to provide a "demo tase", using your dept. taser. and if the person desiring a demo tase is only 10 or 11, it's even more inappropriate.
iow, your "fair" conclusion shows ignorance.
2) Okay, but neither can McCain really hit Obama on inexperience when he has a VP who's one heartbeat away from the office. Palin more neutralizes this issue than anything else, which is a plus for Obama (McCain clearly is expecting the benefits of selecting Palin to outweigh this particular negative.)
3) I'm not sure why Obama supporters wouldn't want to raise that issue, as Obama's connections on that end are pretty much played out. I don't really see conservatives getting that much more traction out of it by raising it as a defense to criticisms of Palin's pastor; "But...but...look what we said about Wright six months ago!"
And this has been another edition of why you don't take advice from people who want you to fail.
I have no idea what you're trying to say here?
To be clear, I do not believe for 1 second a 10 year old child asked to be tazed.
Which is why the officer in question was punished.
I do not mean to type that the officer was punished becasue the child did not ask.
I simply do not believe a 10 year old kid asked. And his statement 4 years later doesn't convince me he did.
But, as has been pointed out, it was wrong and jokebox keeps typing it as if has any significance.
you are free to believe that. just don't pretend you have any rational basis for believing it.
Assuming they're aware of them. Not everybody has been following the election since last November.
As a preacher's kid my family had to deal with all the moralizing Mrs. Grundys that inhabited the darker recesses of my father's churches.
The evil-minded busy-bodies would look for flaws in my sibs' and my behavior and pillory my mother (they were too gutless to go after his father directly) for being unfit.
Scuffed shoes, acting out, running instead of walking, failing to take a message to Dad, etc, were all commented on. I knew that any serious screwup (pregnant girlfriend) or even some less serious ones (using a BB gun to shoot out a window) would likely lose my father his job. Every church has at least one or two of these moralizers.
And politicians have it much, much worse, if JukeBoxGrad is typical. It must make every politician's blood run cold to know that merely standing up in front of an audience with the kids for a photo op puts all of them "in play" as being nefarious JukeBoxian political "props".
Because everyone knows that 20 years of close association and "spiritual mentoring" is entirely irrelevant the moment one politely breaks ties with that person (after taking several weeks of major political heat over it).
Obama wants a debate about judgement? There's a prime example.
It's only "played out" because the "swing voter" (the ones that will decide this election, as usual) are morons with an 11-day memory, at best...
Oh, well, you're right, then. Excuse me while I weep for the future of western society.
You would basically have to have lived in a cave for the past 6 months to have missed the argument that Obama is inexperienced or the fact that his Minister is a nut job.
Az di bobe volt gehat beytsim volt zi geven mayn zeyde.
Translation: What Mark Field said.
"Obama has two little girls. If one of them was a special needs child and the other one was pregnant, I would be saying the same things about him"
Bull
Only after Wright disrespected Obama.
Palen left the church. Something Obama never did.
Read his books.
i read both. i have them right here. can you point me to relevant passages that show that he shares the insane views of pastor wright? i didn't notice any.
i'm being sincere.
Well, good. Let's hope she sticks to that."
Has there been any indication she has pushd for changes as governor?
Then you've come to the wrong place. ;)
Concerning your self-righteous 3:12pm post above, I'll bet you didn't post anything similar, screaming in bold text, regarding Rev Wright's twenty years of preaching, on a weekly basis, to 0bama -- who presumably just woke up the week that Wright's America-hating YouTube video came out.
Betcha didn't. Bet. You, Didn't.
Hypocrite.
He's just a member of the cult of Obama - THE ONE. I don't think he's deliberately evil, just caught up in the intense tribalism of his cult and the personality-driven Obama. Or, he could have some mental issues that we don't know of. Either way, he's exposed himself as more of a religious fanatic than any church that Palin attended. Liberalism as a religion is really the only explanation for this kind of mentality. You'll see the Stalinist tactics at DemocraticUnderground and Kos. Jukeboxgrad is just bringing that here in the service of his mission. He's a cultist. It's really just best to close the door in their face.
He may possibly have been worse than some OTHER carrier pilots -- but if you can repeatedly land a jet on an aircraft carrier, you are not a "bad pilot." Heck, in my book if you can do it ONCE you are a pretty good pilot.
Smokey,
Regarding my earlier http://volokh.com/posts/1220451914.shtml#427401 comment, in which I asked Prof. Bernstein the following question:
-----------------------------
-----------------------------
Your hyperbole is amusing but you failed to address the substance of my question. Indeed, instead of doing so, you simply assumed my intentions and insulted me. That might be considered thoughtful debate where you come from but I suspect that most would agree it reveals a cowardly intellectual poverty.
Anyway, thanks for playing and my invitation to Professor Bernstein remains open.
She left her previous church, the one she was in most of her life, the one with the total nutbag pastor, a few years ago. I'm not aware of her reasons. She maintains ties to it, and spoke there a few months ago.
Be that as it may, the sermon being quoted above was given at her current church, just a few weeks ago.
PALIN CHOICE = EPIC FAIL
"Do you agree with Ms. Palins long-time pastor that Palestinians killing Israelis is G-d's punishment because the Israeli's haven't converted to Christianity?
Actually, it was a one-time guest lecturer from "Jews for Jesus" who said something like this, not her pastor."
So my church's (synogogue's) one-time guest lecturer spewing hate (unrenounced by me or my church/synagogue) OK
My pastor (rabbi) doing so over a period of years, not OK.
Got it.
What if I go to church/synagogue once a week and hear such awful things 14 times over a period of 7 months? OK? Not OK?
What if I hear it 12 times over a period of 3 months? 23 times over 16 months?
Just trying to get my arms around when it is permissible to attribute someone else's words to me and when it isn't.
Oh, that's right .. The answer is when the speaker is associated with the GOP, OK!!!! When associated with the Dems, NOT OK!!!!!
GOT IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
"My point, speaking as an epidemiologist is that the numbers you cite are good for insurance pools, but they are worthless for predicting the risk of dying for an individual. Too many other factors intervene."
I know that, and if you read me carefully I pointed out that those probabilities for for an average person, and not a specific person such as McCain. I then inflated the force of mortality curve to account for the extra stress of being president and possible health problems. Thus we get a feeling for how sensitive the survival probability is to the changes in the force of mortality. For McCain I think a 28% of not surviving his first term is a reasonable and conservative number, and if anything a little on the high side.
Since almost anyone is fit for the do nothing job of vice president, the chances of Palin becoming president is useful to the discussion here.
CHUCK TODD: Mike Murphy, lots of free advice, we'll see if Steve Schmidt and the boys were watching. We'll find out on your blackberry. Tonight voters will get their chance to hear from Sarah Palin and she will get the chance to show voters she's the right woman for the job Up next, one man who's already convinced and he'll us why Gov. Jon Huntsman.
(cut away)
PEGGY NOONAN: Yeah.
MIKE MURPHY: You know, because I come out of the blue swing state governor world: Engler, Whitman, Tommy Thompson, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush. I mean, these guys -- this is how you win a Texas race, just run it up. And it's not gonna work. And --
PEGGY NOONAN: It's over.
MIKE MURPHY: Still McCain can give a version of the Lieberman speech to do himself some good.
CHUCK TODD: I also think the Palin pick is insulting to Kay Bailey Hutchinson, too.
PEGGY NOONAN: Saw Kay this morning.
CHUCK TODD: Yeah, she's never looked comfortable about this --
MIKE MURPHY: They're all bummed out.
CHUCK TODD: Yeah, I mean is she really the most qualified woman they could have turned to?
PEGGY NOONAN: The most qualified? No! I think they went for this -- excuse me-- political bullshit about narratives --
CHUCK TODD: Yeah they went to a narrative.
MIKE MURPHY: I totally agree.
PEGGY NOONAN: Every time the Republicans do that, because that's not where they live and it's not what they're good at, they blow it.
MIKE MURPHY: You know what's really the worst thing about it? The greatness of McCain is no cynicism, and this is cynical.
CHUCK TODD: This is cynical, and as you called it, gimmicky.
MIKE MURPHY: Yeah.
Label
we will have to disagree on this, but again, I apologize for my snark that you called me on. But I continue to believe that your extrapolation is off base and ill informed. That said, its a free country and you are more than welcome to express your opinions. May we end this by saying I look forward to hearing from you again?
Sarah Palin Naked
And here is Peggy Nonnan's explanation for what she said, too.
"I apologize for my snark that you called me on. But I continue to believe that your extrapolation is off base and ill informed."
Apology accepted. I am still curious as to what your objection is. Don't you think each person carries around his own force of mortality curve? And a whole population of individuals can be described by a "bundle" of curves. Why can't we modify the average of the bundle to get the curve for a specific individual? In reliability engineering we do the reverse. We assume identical units and select one or more, put on extra stress (accelerated life testing) and measure the time-to-failure. Then in effect we "un-stress" the curve to get back to the population curve. So I really think there is a linkage between group time to failure and individual time to failure. This is of course a Bayesian viewpoint and perhaps that's the root of the problem.
I hope these debates will be permanently archived. To see the forks flying even at this blog is really quite remarkable. I think that it will require at least 20 years to begin to figure out what the hell is going on. It's still fascinating to watch. (And I too am feeling quite polarized right now.)
Heck, even I can land a jet on an aircraft carrier once, depending on your definition of "land."
People are tired of being tired. They know that they had 8 years for the GOP to carry thru on lower taxes, but the only folks with a lower tax bill or no taxes are multinationals. The GOP whine about big government but the GOP created Homeland Security and a Total Awareness Program, and are more than happy to regulate birth control and end abortion as we know it. They know that Bush and the GOP has lied from 9/11, Iraq and Katrina. They know that carly fiorina is happy to outsource jobs but is not happy raise taxes to retrain and educate workers, and like most employers pay lip service to the American education system because they degrade it - a real Harvard college degree is not worth much if IBM can find a cheaper hire from India.
The GOP example of helping families is by opposing unions, disability rights, discrimination laws, work place safety, and most other labor rights
http://www.memeorandum.com/080903/p185#a080903p185
As they say, turnabout is fair play.
However, Bernstein's insistence that he is not a conservative? Sorry, but after reading this post: still not convincing.
What's "weak" is you pretending you don't understand the difference between an opinion and a conclusion. What's also "weak" is you refusing to offer your own opinion, even though you're willing to criticize mine.
McCain lost five planes. Why so many? Here's the story of one of them: "flying too low over the Iberian Peninsula, he took out some power lines." (From "The Nightingale's Song," p. 94.)
Why was he "flying too low?" Does anyone know? Does anyone care? Has anyone asked him? Has anyone asked him to sign SF180 so we can find out? I think we have a right to know if poor conduct on his part was ignored because of AA (Admiral Action).
His entire biography is full of indications that he's reckless, impulsive, and loves to take dangerous risks. That's why he loves to gamble, and that's why he picked Palin. Who wants a gambler in the White House?
mad:
We're not hiring him to be a pilot, so I don't care if he was a "lousy" pilot. But I do care if he was a reckless pilot. There are many signs of recklessness in his biography, and a tendency toward recklessness is a disqualifier for the job he's seeking.
kirk:
Indeed. I think we have a right to know if AA was a part of that.
I think I just explained why.
wald:
it's possible that he was both skilled and also inclined to take unnecessary risks (and someone who's too simpleminded to realize this is indeed "a roaring ignoramus"). We have a right to know more than we know.
I did indeed say that the next day she backpedaled. That part of my statement is what's been "completely ignored."
A "normal person" gets pregnant at age 43, even though they already have 4 kids, and even though they are undoubtedly aware of the heightened risk, and even though the number of parents available to stay home and take care of the kids is zero? Really?
A "normal person" has a special-needs infant and goes back to work three days later? Even though dad's not home, either? Really?
A "normal person" presents their three-day old special-needs infant to press photographers, apparently for political purposes? (This quickly led to headlines adoring her for being so anti-abortion.) Really?
A "normal person" gets on an 8-hour airplane flight, even though they are leaking amniotic fluid, and even though their doctor has advised them to "put her feet up to rest?" Really?
You have a funny idea of "normal."
My concerns in this regard have nothing to do with gender. I've explained this in many places, including here.
I think you're finding it easier to not notice that I already said this.
You should try looking at her actual record, instead of promulgating mythology. In Wasilla she greatly increased government spending and left behind millions in new debt. Tell us how this makes her a "small-government person."
Thanks for speaking up, but what else is new. Comments like his are rampant here.
Pay no attention to the document I cited, which is the official transcript of police interviews of the four people who were present. Including Sarah Palin's daughter and Sarah Palin's sister. Every witness acknowledges that the kid volunteered to be tased.
And you're sticking with your story even though there are four witnesses contradicting you. Your willingness to dismiss reality is remarkable.
And Wooten was punished because what he did was wrong, even though the kid volunteered. Duh. Whit did a nice job of pointing out your illogic.
You're implying that the officer would not have been punished if the kid "asked to be tazed." As if there's nothing wrong with Tasing a kid as long as the kid "asked to be tazed." I think this tells us everything we need to know regarding your grip on reality.
Sorry, but you're still being unclear.
Your ability to get your facts straight is sorely limited. It was 2 years later, not "4 years later." And there were three witnesses besides the kid.
I hope you and that little straw man of yours are having lots of fun together. Please show where I claimed the Tasing was "perfectly appropriate." I haven't. What I've said over and over again is that it was bad conduct and poor judgment, and worthy of punishment.
That's one way to behave responsibly. Here's another one: use common sense when you think about how many kids you should have. Here's another one: manage your career in such a way as to make sure someone is available at least during the years that your kids need you most. On the other hand, here's a way to behave irresponsibly: have more kids than you can handle. In particular, get pregnant in your forties, even though you already have four kids, and even though you are inevitably aware of the heightened risk, and even though the number of parents who are willing to stay home is zero, and even though there are signs that your other kids could use more parenting than they're getting.
I realize that Trig was conceived before Bristol got pregnant, but I doubt that Bristol's pregnancy was the first sign of trouble in her life. It's just the first sign that has made it onto the front page.
And here's a way to compound that irresponsibility: jump at a chance to get a job that's even more consuming than the one you already have. Even though it means relocating your kids 4200 miles away from their friends, relatives and schools.
No one ever said her "kids are fair game." You are the one who is holding them up as a shield. What's fair game is Palin, and her parental decisions, because she's invited us to evaluate those decisions.
You missed more than just "some nuance." I just explained what you missed.
If a job applicant goes out of their way to show off their parental decisions, and then I notice that their parental decisions reflect poor judgement, you're right, I won't hire them. And that's exactly what Palin did.
Makes sense. And Wooten was indeed disciplined, in 2006. But that wasn't enough to convince Palin to let go of her grudge.
That's exactly what I've been saying.
If I accept what I think you're implying, it becomes hard to explain this:
Maybe it's actually possible that red-state families could learn a little from blue-state families (instead of the reverse, which is what you are seemingly implying).
I realize you're a lot smarter than the famous liberal moonbat who said this:
Hmm, let's see. She thinks it matters. You say "no different." Hard to know who to believe.
It's not that "kids are such a critical part of a Palin's job performance." It's that she invited us to evaluate her parental decisions, even though her parental decisions reflect poor judgment. Judgment is definitely "a critical part of a Palin's job performance."
Your irony impairment is severe. It's the GOP that has a lock on "moralizing."
Setting up a photo shoot with a three-day old special-needs infant goes a bit beyond "merely standing up in front of an audience with the kids for a photo op." Especially when it seems clear enough that the purpose was to produce a very specific kind of headline.
My concerns in this regard have nothing to do with gender. I've explained this in many places, including here.
I think you're finding it easier to not notice that I already said this.
Palin definitely did not leave the church when certain offensive statements were made from the pulpit just a few weeks ago.
I realize that asking you for a shred of proof would be expecting way too much.
Brickner is a lot more than just a "one-time guest lecturer." His relationship to Kroon (Palin's current pastor) goes back to 1974.
nieporent:
True. But he is a guest speaker who has a long relationship with Palin's pastor.
The tape speaks for itself. Her desperate retroactive spinning is singularly unconvincing.
I failed to take into account the context, and what you were actually trying to say. Sorry, my mistake.
JBG needs to form a 527 group. He could call it "Swift Plane Veterans for Truth."
Oddly enough, ancient statements about ancient history are not "even worse than what Brickner said" very recently in Palin's church, regarding current events in Israel.
If Jeremiah were to miraculously appear in Palin's church and be applauded for saying the things he said a few thousand years ago, that would concern me roughly as much as the Brickner event concerns me. So please let me know if you get wind of such a thing happening.
The count is three if you omit the Forestal, and if you omit the one he left in Hanoi.
I include both of these in my count for completeness. I don't intend to imply that the Forestal was his fault, or a sign of recklessness. But the one he left in Hanoi raises that question. By his own account, he had a chance to evade the missile, but instead made a decision to stay locked on his target. This was unmistakably an act of great courage. He paid a huge personal price, for this choice he made. He earned the right to be seen as a hero for making this choice, but it nevertheless remains possible that it was a reckless choice, and a choice that should not have been made.
Aside from the enormous price he paid himself, we lost the plane, and we also (effectively) lost a pilot. Was it worth it? I think we just don't know, because there's a lot of information missing (like the strategic importance of the target, and the effectiveness of other planes that were part of his mission).
In any case, it's the other three crashes that are most relevant to the point I'm making. But we know very, very little about them. By comparison, we know infinitely more about the details of Kerry's medals.
Conversely, I guess that if you had been around in the time of kings Jehoiakim and Zedekiah, you'd have found Jeremiah's prophecy offensive (as did Jehoiakim and Zedekiah).