Thanks to Eugene Volokh for his invitation to guest blog on alcohol control policy.
There’s been little public debate or legislative action in this area for many years, despite the fact that alcohol abuse remains our most important drug problem. But that’s about to change. The governors of New York and California, among others, have called for an increase in alcohol excise taxes as part of their budget-balancing plans. The Amethyst Initiative to generate debate on the national minimum drinking age has been gathering steam. And the three-tier regulatory system for alcohol distribution is under attack in the courts.
I have selfish reasons to welcome this renewal of interest, since I’ve been doing research on alcohol control off and on for 30 years and just published a book on the subject (Paying the Tab, Princeton University Press). But surely any sensible account of the public interest when it comes to drug policy would put alcohol control high on the list of issues worthy of our attention.
Over the next few days I’ll attempt to make the case for raising alcohol excise tax rates. And just to prove that I’m not really a “neo-prohibitionist” (as the industry spokesmen like to label me) I’ll point out the reasons why I think the case for lowering the minimum drinking age is pretty strong.
Needless to say alcohol control and taxation have played a prominent role in US history. A distilled spirits tax was the first domestic revenue measure — enacted by Congress in 1791, it led to the Whiskey Insurrection and the subsequent assertion of federal authority by President Washington and Secretary of the Treasury Alexander Hamilton.
Between the Civil War and World War I, federal alcohol excise tax collections accounted for the bulk of internal revenues (as much as 80% in some years). This source became less important with the adoption of the 16th Amendment in 1913, which legalized the federal income tax. From a public-finance perspective, the 16th Amendment cleared the way for the 18th Amendment’s prohibition on the “manufacture, sale, or transportation of intoxicating liquors.”
After disillusion with that Noble Experiment arose (it didn’t take long), one of the leading proponents for repeal, Pierre S. DuPont (retired chairman of General Motors), recruited his fellow millionaires to the cause by reminding them that a legal alcohol industry would generate tax revenues, thereby displacing the need for the despised income taxes.
Last year was the 75th anniversary of Repeal. In 1933 there was a huge nationwide beer blast to celebrate the end of Prohibition, but the anniversary passed largely unnoticed. It should have gotten more attention. After all, the legacy of Prohibition is very much with us. Historian David Musto observed that “This ‘dreadful example’ is now so firmly established that it has become a maxim of popular culture, a paradigm of bad social policy, and a ritual invocation of opponents of a variety of sumptuary laws.”
Sure enough, Prohibition was a failure in the sense that it did not magically end drinking, and it engendered vast amounts of crime and corruption. But the modern interpretation of the Prohibition experience has gone well beyond those facts to a conclusion that “you can’t legislate morality” and that drinking in particular is somehow unaffected by the terms on which alcoholic beverages are sold in the marketplace.
A careful look at the actual Prohibition experience tends to refute that conclusion. During the 1920s alcohol of uncertain quality was available from shady sources at prices substantially higher than before the War. While there are of course no official statistics on alcohol consumption during that period, all the indicators suggest a substantial reduction in consumption and abuse – especially among working class folks.
Contemporaneous studies by economists Clark Warburton, Irving Fisher, and others made that case in convincing fashion. And when Martha Bensley Bruere conducted a survey of other social workers across the country for the National Federation of Settlements in the mid-1920s, she received reports indicating that most of the South and West had become quite dry, and that family problems associated with alcohol had fallen off considerably.
Newspaper reporters, providing the “first draft of history,” tended to miss this big-picture story. Then as now, they focused on the wealthy and glamorous, the Yale grads with their hip flasks, and often missed the bigger story that Prohibition was, in a sense, “working.”
Under the 21st Amendment, alcohol control was largely relegated to the states, although of course Congress reinstated excise taxes (but did not end the income tax!). The states had little experience with regulating commerce in alcohol. To provide them with guidance, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. commissioned a study by Raymond B. Fosdick and Albert L. Scott that produced an impressive piece of policy analysis called Toward Liquor Control.
It reviewed alternative control schemes from Europe and Canada, seeking a set of “rational” regulations that would supply “unstimulated demand” for alcohol without bringing back the corruption and abuse of the pre-War saloon era. Fosdick and Scott envisioned an era of experimentation by the “laboratory of the states” from which we would learn what worked.
To an extent, that promise has been realized. The states have gone their separate ways in regulating the supply chain, licensing retailers, setting excise taxes, and (until Congress intervened in 1984), setting the minimum drinking age. In the last 25 years, economists and epidemiologists have analyzed the results and learned a good deal about how alcohol control policy affects drinking and abuse.
So here’s the irony. The true lessons of the Great Experiment with Prohibition have been lost, the evidence hopelessly distorted in the retelling. (It was never much of an experiment anyway, since there was no natural control group.) But since Repeal the laboratory of the states has generated considerable data on the effects of supply control. The analysis of those data provide pretty good guidance to the questions that will be debated in 2009.
Related Posts (on one page):
- Last Call:
- The Amethyst Initiative
- A Free Lunch?
- Price Matters:
- An Insurrection and 2 Constitutional Amendments:
- Philip Cook Guest-Blogging on Alcohol Control Policy:
Is the answer that, in fact, everyone doesn't believe the popular myth? Or do drugs seem different to most people, for reasons of various validity. I think it's the latter: people think that drugs are for hippies, minorities, layabouts, and violent criminals. Prohibition was bad, but drugs are different you see.
Just a guess.
I forget the rule: Does one snort coke with fish, or inject smack with red meat, or is it the other way around? And is it true that there's nothing like the first puff of meth on a hot summer's day?
A lot of people recognize that alcohol causes substantial social costs, and are concerned that legalizing drugs that are similar to it (such as marijuana) has the potential to increase the social costs even more. It's hard to get the genie back into bottle, once a culture has built up around it.
The post-Prohibition half-century of federalism that has been moot for a quarter-century gives us the data to make "pretty good guidance".
I'mm ready to be bowled over by the facts.
I'm told that cannabis goes pretty well with Doritos and Mallomars.
i am FAR from a fan of mj. put simply, even if it was legal, i wouldn't smoke it... but...
marijuana is about as dissimilar from alcohol as two (recreational) drugs could ever be
1) alcohol has an LD50 value . mj doesn't. in this respect, mj is a very very safe drug. you can die from too much frigging WATER for pete's sake, but you can't have a lethal overdose of mj
2) alcohol is physically addictive. mj isn't. it's "habit forming" but anything you enjoy doing can be habit forming. even blogging
3) in many users, alcohol use is strongly correlated with increased aggression. MJ users are more likely to laff at dumb jokes and eat cheezy poofs.
etc.
again, i think mj is hella lame, but it has little in common with alcohol.
While alcohol's toxicity is a concern, people that drink themselves to death (as opposed to WISHING that they had died) isn't one of the big social externality problems.
To admit what others have, I'm not particularly familiar with this debate. But from what I've read the argument isn't that Prohibition did nothing to reduce alcohol consumption, but rather that the negative side effects of Prohibtion in terms of increased violent crime outweighed any benefits in the reduction of alcohol consumption. Modern day advocates of drug decriminalization often are willing to acknowledge that drug use may increase if they are legal, but that violent crime and incarceration rates will decrease and that the harmful effects of drugs will be easier to regulate. Now, increasing the taxes on alcohol some moderate amount probably won't lead to alcohol going over to the undergroudn economy, but at some point sufficiently high taxes will become more expensive than the cost of illegal sales to avoid those taxes.
A separate question is why do we want to discourage alcohol use? And a related question is the slippery slope one: if we decide we want to put extra taxes on alcohol to discourage drinking because we believe drinking has negative effects, why not also put extra taxes fattening foods, driving, building houses in the suburbs, televisions, playing contact sports, and so on and so forth.
How many Al Capones are worth a reduction in liver cirrhosis? And isn't there a better way to reduce liver cirrhosis?
Switzerland has found an extraordinarily effective means of reducing the harm from heroin addiction, yet we ignore it and continue our ineffective prohibition efforts that actually end up killing more people (see heroin/fentanyl).
Prohibition is an awful flop.
We like it.
It can't stop what it's meant to stop.
We like it.
It's left a trail of graft and slime,
It don't prohibit worth a dime,
It's filled our land with vice and crime.
Nevertheless, we're for it.
I really have to throw up my hands on this one. The cost/benefit analysis has so many factors that I can't believe anyone's analysis of the net benefits of marijuana legalization. The only thing I can be reasonably sure of is that the conclusion will match the researcher's preconceptions.
What pushes me towards legalization is the most commonly overlooked and indisputable fact about Prohibition: those who put it into effect and lived through it changed their minds, and quickly. It's hard enough to amend the Constitution; it's even harder to get most of the people who voted to amend it a decade before to admit that they were wrong.
The people who lived both with and without Prohibition prefer without. That's good enough for me.
Maybe death through acute alcohol poisoning isn't one of the big problems, but surely you admit that the long-term health effects of alcoholism - which include premature death - are. And if that's not one of alcohol's big social externality problems, then what is?
Additionally, to the extent that we're talking about a rural population, ordinary issues of physical distribution come into play. Sure, it's easier to hide stuff from the "revenooers", but it's a lot more difficult to run a speakeasy in the middle of a cornfield! So a lot of the alcohol that did get produced was for, er, private consumption, or at least wasn't being marketed, as it were.
The failure of Prohibition wasn't that it utterly failed to get anyone to drink less, but that it so de-legitimized the concept of legally-enforced temperance that the amendment to the Constitution was repealed a short time later. Come on, surely you have to acknowledge that nothing similar has ever happened in the history of the US.
You didn't finish this thought. Alcohol and marijuana are comparable in terms of inhibition removal? Really? Do you have any statistics on the frequency of marijuana-fueled murder, rape, robbery, and burglary?
Who wants to bet that any increase in revenue from alcohol taxes would be offset by decreases in people buying lottery tickets?
As for the evidence that Prohibition decreased alcohol consumption -- so? The main argument against prohibition -- alcohol or drugs -- is that it's a cure worse than the disease: that it allows organized crime to increase its power within society; forces people to turn to questionable sources for their highs; creates a huge money sink for the government; and creates criminals where none existed before,
these are good points, except for the inhibition thang. refer to awesome-O's post.
the evidence is pretty clear that alcohol use/abuse simply sparks a LOT of aggression, and mj almost never does.
stereotypes are, to some extent true.
and as a cop, i'd WAY WAY WAY WAY rather deal with a stoner than a drunk.
i can also say i can't ever recall getting into a scrap with a stoner, whereas drunks are frequently lookin' for a fight.
again, correlation =/= causation, and an argument can be made that those who seek alcohol (vs. mj ) intoxication may be more prone to violence anyway, but i think 1 million points of data don't lie.
alcohol use/abuse is more strongly correlated with agression than MJ use.
also note that aggression is not necessarily bad. fighting forces and athletes often take drugs that increase aggression.
however...
a drug that simultaneously increases agression (at certain dosages) AND diminishes reasoning, judgment, and inhibitions, is a poor combination.
The Taxes on fast foods, candy, cakes, cookies, etc are not far behind. They want to put these taxes in "For the good of the Children". BS. They just want the tax money. More SIN taxes.
BTW: What about people that decide to make their own ethenol fuel. Not drinking it but running their cars with it. Does the BATF come after the green people now? Wait until the Greens find out what the BATF is like. That will be fun.
The politicains want more tax money. Sodas, fast food, etc is just a way to sell the tax and give the Politicians more power.
Spoken like someone who's never partaken of the sweet leaf. Anyone who has used alcohol and marijuana can tell you alcohol is much, much worse.
May those who wish to do this "for the public good" be repaid by others exercising other controls "for the public good". The road to Hell is paved with good intentions. It is NOT anyone's business what one does to oneself. Anyone who wishes to impose his/her wishes on others through illegitimate government controls is a petty tyrant.
However, the cost of reducing things like cirrhosis of the liver was that prohibition helped some people by protecting them from themselves, at the expense of serious problems created for other, innocent, third parties.
In other words, pre-prohibition, alcohol was primarily a problem for the user and perhaps his close relatives. The user might die from cirrhosis, he might beat his wife or children, he might lose his job, etc. Post-prohibition, the rise of bootleggers and organized crime and the attendant enormous amounts of illicit money created both massive public corruption and engendered deadly violence.
So you save a few people from the consequences of their own acts, at the expense of innocents. That's not a bargain the government ought to be making, imho, regardless of whether the harm prevented on the user side of the scale was in some way measured to exceed the harm to the general public on the other side.
Show me the bodies. Seriously. Marijuana has been used for centuries. It's use by a large portion of the population has been significant for decades. There's plenty of time for data. Show me the bodies of those who have died from using marijuana. Show me the huge statistics of deaths directly attributable to marijuana-smoking drivers. Show me the deaths attributable to health problems caused by marijuana (it's been proven not to cause cancer). Show me the people killed by out-of-control pot smokers. Show me the huge numbers of psychotic pot smokers (particularly after accounting for pre-disposition and self-medication).
Dangerous?
Sure, I suppose, if you're deathly afraid of people who listen to Pink Floyd and eat Cheetos.
But back on topic. Suppose marijuana is the scary dangerous drug that some wish it to be. How does that justify prohibition?
If drugs are really that dangerous, why would you want to cede the control of them to criminals?
People are not born alcoholics. The propensity to be an addict seems to be chemical, and a genetic trait that can be passed. Alcoholics could have easily turned to sex, food, shopping, gambling, or even work. It's just that some things people are addicted too are okay, and others are not.
The wide held belief that MJ is "safer" than alcohol makes it potentially more dangerous. I've known too many who were willing to "light up" before work and while driving, but still understand that drinking alcohol before work or while driving is stupid and dangerous. The responsible drinking ads seem to be effective, and a similar responsible drug use campaign would be smart, but the current state of drug prohibition wont allow it.
Legalization before education seems reckless. If we dont have a very strong handle on alcohol addiction, then how can it make sense to throw another problem in the mix.
I am very curious what conclusions he comes to in his posts. I know the state distribution systems are near criminal monopolies, and in desperate need of reform, but higher taxes...blah. Any system where one person can have exclusive distribution rights in the state such as the Maloofs in New Mexico needs some attention.
I'm hoping he focuses on various policy approaches and less on taxing alcohol.
Do we know that shortening your own life is a social externality?
I'd guess that the net loss of wages and net increase in health costs is well outweighed by the saving in social security and health costs associated with other causes of death.
I also think that we need to look more closely at alcohol consumption by region. The South and West exhibited significant declines in sales and consumption, but those areas were also hotbeds of "modern" Ku Klux Klan activity, and the Klan frequently proved to be as good an enforcer of Prohibition as any revenue agent (beer = Huns; alcohol = corrosive evil of modern city-oriented life). This went hand-in-hand with the rise of fundamentalism in many American Chirstian denominations (alcohol = evil). The Northern urban areas, much less influenced by the Klan/fundamentalist wave, were the first to rebound against Prohibition.
Even more significantly, by the end of the Twenties it was acknowledged that alcohol consumption was rising again in all regions, but especially the North. Al Smith was a "wet", remember? (It also helped cost him the general election.)
I'd expand upon this, but I not that it's happy hour.
I'm sure that if every retiree drank a lethal quantity of alcohol and died in the parking lot on the way to his car, we'd avoid some social costs.
The reality of alcohol abuse externalities is much darker, though: broken families, years of illness, lost productivity.
If George Washington can make whiskey, why cant without going through the FULL commercial ATF permit process? Sure, raise the excise tax, but also offer a reasonable permit for moonshiners (maybe $300/year, no extra building required, no bond required, no commercial sales allowed, basic testing equipment only required, etc).
You said early death is the biggest social externality of alcohol abuse. It seems silly to say that doing things that lead to your own early death is a social externality. It may be an externality to taking a drink or 12. There are surely OTHER costs of alcohol abuse to society. However, killing yourself unintentionally isn't itself an unintended cost TO SOCIETY.
Really? Or do those with a [familial or other] tendency towards schizophrenia self-medicate while their adult-onset symptoms develop...
I have a lot of problems coming up with a neural model that pulls together the synaptic profile of schizophrenia with that of either of these challenges, short of a dementia-level pickling which confounds most analysis...
But then, I have been out of that field for a while..
No:
"Maybe death through acute alcohol poisoning isn't one of the big problems, but surely you admit that the long-term health effects of alcoholism - which include premature death - are. And if that's not one of alcohol's big social externality problems, then what is?"
I'll address the remainder of your point if you correct your misrepresentation.
it is not casual. it is informed.
1) i don't smoke it
2) i think it sux
3) i have read the studies
4) i spent a very long time working undercover drug investigations
first of all, mj is NOT physically addictive. it's habit forming. anything you enjoy doing is "habit forming".
so, addiction is NOT a problem with mj, which distinguishes it from many other drugs, such as caffeine, heroin, alcohol, etc.
anybody who claims mj is benign and wonderful is an idiot
it's a drug with benefits and drawbacks, dangers, etc.
but the dangers are relatively small, and the cost to prohibit it is much more expensive.
decriminalize it and let's move on to real problems.
and let's tax the #$(#$(#$ out of it!!!
Clayton, can you provide a cite for that? I recall (dimly) reading that alcohol-related diseases increased during prohibition due to the poor quality control of moonshine but it's just as likely that I'm mistaken.
1) I don't use it (tried it a few times in college)
2) I don't intend to use it ever again unless I develop a medical need for it, regardless of legalization.
3) I have looked at the studies too.
I remain somewhat undecided regarding marijuana use. Certainly it is not addictive in the sense that caffeine or alcohol is. However, it poses some other problems.
Many people should NEVER, EVER use marijuana as it can cause a longer-term interference with life than, say, alcohol. For example, I know engineers who stopped using it after finding that their productivity would suffer for days after using it (short-term memory is very important in some fields). I would worry what would happen if someone designing nuclear reactor control systems was using it on his own time.
I suppose a partial legalization:
1) Allow medical research to be performed.
2) Legalize small quantity sales and purchases
3) Make use of it a criminal offence for people in certain professions.
4) Explicitly allow employers to prohibit marijuana use as a condition for employment, particularly where engineering of critical systems are at issue.
I also support legalizing moonshining, and legalizing growing small numbers of opium poppies, but that is another matter.
Miron and Dills review some of the earlier work on cirrhosis and Prohbition here. (That is a PDF file.) They estimate that Prohibition decreased cirrhosis rates between 10-20%.
Consider it corrected - just being flip, not intending to misrepresent. So, how are health effects - including premature death - "big social externalities" and not either internalized costs or merely personal externalities?
Unless you can prove both:
1. that prohibition will significantly reduce problem use and
2. that the costs of prohibition won't be worse,
any argument that says:
is meaningless.
I imagine that you're a serious person, so I don't think you'll try to argue that alcohol abuse doesn't have consume the judicial, penal, and law enforcement resources, harm families, absorb medical resources, and kill innocent pedestrians and motorists.
I'm not trying to argue by anecdote here, but it's hard to appreciate the damage that an alcoholic - or indeed an addict of any kind - can do to those around him until you've seen it. These aren't internalized costs. Perhaps in Libertarian Paradise we could force alcoholics to absorb the all costs of their behavior, but we don't live there.
Now you might say: "productivity losses aren't really externalities," and perhaps they aren't in the strictest sense. But if you want to use the classic example, okay, people who don't make themselves sick with alcohol tend to mow their lawns.
I'm not sure what you mean by "personal externalities." I've seen it used here and there, but I've never seen a precise definition. If it merely means that the externality is only felt by a small group, I don't see why their suffering doesn't count.
At this point, if you want to argue that these aren't "big" externalities, alrighty. Doesn't bother me much; I'm not trying to ban liquor. I'm just saying that alcohol addiction has social costs.
Here are uncomfortable truths:
In every human society a significant percentage of the population uses mind-altering chemicals. Alcohol is commonest, but a substantial variety of natural and semi-synthetic chemicals are used: marijuana, opium and its derivatives, cocaine and its amphetamine cousins, tranquilizers, mescaline, etc. This desire for mind-altering chemicals also exists among other mammals, as shown in experiments where the animals can choose to drink or eat water or food au naturale or with intoxicants.
Criminalizing the use of mind-altering chemicals increases total crime within a society, and especially increases violent crime as those who become suppliers of black market chemicals defend their turf.
The numbers of persons who become socially addicted (the use of the mind-altering chemical is so intense that the person cannot function normally in society) is not greatly increased by legalizing a mind-altering chemical. Many people won't use the chemical (legal or not), and most of those who do use it will do so responsibly and/or infrequently. Many mammals choose the intoxicant-laced water or food.
Government prohibition of mind-altering chemicals represents unneeded parentalization. A population that supports prohibition ends up getting much more of a nanny-state than it expected.
don't quote me on this, but i am reasonably sure that growing opium poppies is perfectly legal. i don't recall where i read this, though. so do your own research :)
conversion/harvesting of the opium otoh...
I did my own research. They are technically illegal (except the seeds, oddly enough) but the law is generally unenforced, in part because the plants are often grown as ornamentals.
FWIW, one year I did grow my own opium poppies. I never made raw opium but I did take the seedheads and steep in brandy....
If you are wondering about legalities of opium poppy growing, see:The Controlled Substances Act
Opium poppy seeds are legal. The rest of the plant is not.
The health benefits of alcohol distinguish alcohol from tobacco and some other intoxicants. They complicate the cirrhosis argument.
Alcohol abuse corrodes the drinker's body and his social vicinity. Minors and alcohol don't mix well, particularly when motors are involved. These and similar circumstances, in my judgment, incline substantial regulation but not prohibition.
After several rounds of further reading, it looks like growing opium poppies is in fact legal, however, if you cut one and put it in a vase on your kitchen table, you are guilty of drug possession :-P
Cite please?
]
That's pretty obvious, but there are two other points worth considering. First, that the externality argument, and the implied cost/benefit allusion, is always empirically skewed in favor of regulation. The reason is that the costs, in illnesses and violence, etc., are relatively easy to quantify. But alcohol also has huge positive externalities. It facilitates good company, raises good spirits, increases the enjoyment of good food and football games, leads to better contacts between the sexes(even consensual and mutually enjoyable fornication, on occasion), and is an integral part of Holy Communion. Alcohol, unlike marijuana, is an integral, deeply embedded element of our social fabric, for the enjoyment and benefit of the vast majority of the population -- even those who don't drink benefit from the increased happiness of those who do. There are no quantifiable metrics of all these positive social benefits. Hence, the calculus in favor of taxation/controls will always be skewed against markets and individual choice.
Second, the best way to find out the total social cost/benefit ratio is to submit the issue to an informed collective choice. But, if you've studied your public choice theory carefully, you'll know that we can't trust politicians to make an informed decision on this, on the sole merits of the case, because they will always think of side issues, such as the total revenue effects or their own constituents' special interests, and what have you. The only way to get it right is to have a plebiscite, after an informed discussion of the measurable social costs, and then leave it up to people to decide.
But that's not the way most people want to proceed, because they don't trust the public and know proposals for controls would lose in any referendum. It's always viewed as the right of our only domestic criminal class, i.e., Twain's politicians, to make the decision for us. And that will *always* lead us astray -- no Pareto optimality to be had there, I'm afraid.
So, taxation and control of alcohol consumption should be treated as a political issue, first and foremost. And both substance and process (plebiscite v. statutes/regulations) are equally relevant for getting this right -- as for most social welfare issues. This is not an issue to be decided by social engineers.
Excuse me, but isn't the point of this post that the commonly accepted story about prohibition is the revisionism? Revising the story to include more truth and less fable should be something everyone supports... except those who are married to the fables.
The 200 gallon home winemaking allowance -- originally requiring the householder to obtain a permit from the Treasury -- stems from this.
A comparable marijuana prohibition would include a low cost federal permit to grow, say, ten plants a year, with consumption to take place wholly within the licensed home.
aha!
i *was* correct. notify the presses.
there's a fair bit on this subject on all the doper sites (which i used to read regularly).
erowid.com is a good place btw
You missed the IRS's response, saying that 200 gallons was for non-intoxicating beverages only. Not sure I get their logic....
It's not about how much harm a prohibited substance does to a person. It's about how much harm prohibition does to us.
The householder had no control over what happened to the juice once it was pressed. If God wanted to ferment the juice, who are we mere humans to prevent it? Cf. the Wedding Feast at Cana.
Don't forget the ecstasy tabs taken during Communion. Man, that Jesus sure knew how to party!
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