The Volokh Conspiracy

[Philip Cook, guest-blogging, January 6, 2009 at 9:31am] Trackbacks
Price Matters:

There is a “national effort to reduce alcohol related problems,” so says the mission statement of the federal agency charged with researching these problems and disseminating the findings. I’m willing to believe it, but would like to pose a question: in pursuing this national effort, are lower prices of liquor and beer likely to help or hurt? Because for better or worse, price reductions are the de facto policy of the federal government.

Here’s the story. Federal alcohol excise taxes have been an important component of alcohol prices, and particularly prices of distilled spirits, since Repeal (or really since the Civil War, with time out for Prohibition). The federal tax is set as a flat amount per unit of ethanol, regardless of value.

For example, in 1951 Congress set the tax at $1.68 per fifth of 80 proof liquor. In today’s dollars, that’s the equivalent of $13.50 per fifth. But Congress has only succeeded in raising the tax twice since 1951, and by meager amounts, so that instead of $13.50, the current tax is just $2.16 per fifth.

Even if there were no markup on taxes (and there in fact is), the result is that the current price of a bottle of spirits is over $10 lower than it would have been if Congress had simply indexed the liquor tax to the Consumer Price Index in 1951 and then left it alone.

The states have also been slow to raise their nominal tax rates on liquor and beer. The result — inflation has deeply eroded the value of alcohol excise tax rates. It’s not surprising, then, that the price of spirits (adjusted for overall inflation) has been falling over time. Just in the last 25 years, the price for package sales has declined 12%. The price of a 6-pack has also declined, by about 8%.

Meanwhile, the price of cigarettes has been following a quite different trajectory, thanks in large part to state and federal tax increases since the Master Settlement Agreement of 1998. Over 40 states have raised their tax by more than 25 cents, and 11 have raised their excise tax by more than one dollar per pack. What’s going on here? Why is one “sin tax” so popular politically, while another has been largely neglected?

These days, increases in the cigarette tax are being touted as a public health measure, sure to reduce initiation by teens and help adults to quit or cut back. While economists have long supported this conclusion with direct empirical evidence, the idea has been difficult to sell to the public and the legislators. Smoking is addictive, and addicts will get their “fix” regardless of the cost, right? But now it seems that everyone is a convert to the power of taxation and price in the campaign to reduce smoking.

As it turns out, the evidence that higher prices discourage alcohol consumption and abuse is strong, and of just the same sort as the evidence that supports the conclusion that higher prices reduce smoking.

The most persuasive evidence comes from the laboratory of the states. Since 1981, I, my collaborators, and other economists and epidemiologists have analyzed the effect of state tax increases on alcohol sales but also on other outcomes, such as mortality due to alcohol-related causes. The results consistently favor the view that taxes (through their effect on prices) matter.

The legislators and the public are not buying it. For some reason, there is profound resistance to the idea that beverage alcohol is a commodity with the usual downward sloping demand curve. The alcohol industry knows better – they must believe that higher taxes can’t be passed on to consumers without a reduction in sales and consumption, or else why would they fight tax increases so fiercely? But when I make the argument to non-economists, I get a skeptical hearing.

The more refined skeptics accept the premise that higher prices lead to a reduction in sales, but speculate that that reduction is entirely due to the behavior of moderate drinkers — those who do not drive drunk or abuse their children or lose productivity to hangovers or do long term damage to their organs.

In this scenario, the abusers have zero elasticity, while moderate drinkers are price elastic. To which I could point out (and do) that in fact it is these heavy drinkers who should be most likely to respond to price, since they’re the ones for whom drinking places a real dent in the household budget.

But ultimately my belief in the efficacy of tax as a basis for controlling abuse does not rest on such qualitative arguments – it is based on the empirical evidence. In the 1960s there were actually some experiments on the effects of price, including several conducted in alcoholism-treatment clinics. Token economies were set up that offered the patients drinks at a price – either a certain amount of “work” or loss of privileges.

These experiments demonstrated that alcoholics were price sensitive. But they have not been replicated, since offering drinks to alcoholics is a tough to sell to the Institutional Review Boards these days.

Much more directly relevant are the studies based on “quasi-experiments,” including the dozens of instances in which states have changed their tax rates. We can observe what happens to an outcome variable (for example, a mortality rate) in states that raise their tax compared with states that don’t raise their tax in a particular year.

Thirty years of peer-reviewed research has documented that even small increases in alcohol excise tax rates have desirable effects. Among the specific findings are that tax increases: • Reduce alcohol sales and binge drinking • Reduce highway fatalities (stronger effect for youths) • Reduce the rate of STD transmission (stronger effect for adolescents) • Reduce youth suicide rates (under age 24) • Reduce the cirrhosis mortality rate • Reduce rates of robbery and rape

Economists are sometimes defined as people who, when told that something works in practice, want to know whether it works in theory. In my own experience that does not just apply to economists – evidence that contradicts ones own theoretical perspective tends to be ignored or discounted.

Unfortunately the preconception that leads to skepticism in this area is false. It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object.

texasfox82:
I am not an economist, just a lowly college student who failed microeconomics. Doesn't your peer-reviewed research really just show that there's a correlation, and not causation?
1.6.2009 9:47am
Awesome-O:
If the objective is to use tax policy to discourage unhealthy drinking habits, it should be done in such a way that responsible drinking is not affected (to the extent possible). Ideally, we'd tax Thunderbird while leaving Dom Perignon alone. Perhaps this will be explained later, but is there any evidence that taxing different types of alcohol or sales differently affects the observed outcome?

In other words, are wine sales more/less price elastic than beer sales? Does increasing taxes on distilled spirits alone reduce robbery more/less than increasing taxes on beer alone? Does increasing taxes on retail sales alone (i.e., not at bars or restaurants) reduce teen STD transmission more than increasing taxes bar/restaurant sales alone?
1.6.2009 9:52am
Dave G:
Just how far does one have to get lost in one's argument to think that increasing taxes at less the rate of inflation is a price reduction? Isn't that just a bit "lick the boot"?
1.6.2009 9:54am
PubliusFL:
I notice you don't address the possibility that substantially higher alcohol taxes will lead to a black market in alcohol for those most likely to abuse it. Alcohol is, after all, easier to produce for amateurs than cigarettes or any illegal drug I know of, and there would presumably be quite a bit less social disapproval of an untaxed bottle of alcohol than of a dime bag of weed. Would "Mr. Beer" and other home brewing kits have to be outlawed?

Ge..ge...ge..ge...I'll get them Duke boys!
1.6.2009 9:55am
ChrisIowa (mail):

In this scenario, the abusers have zero elasticity, while moderate drinkers are price elastic. To which I could point out (and do) that in fact it is these heavy drinkers who should be most likely to respond to price, since they’re the ones for whom drinking places a real dent in the household budget.

Wouldn't the heavy drinkers would be the ones most addicted? If that's the case, I think they would be less likely to respond to prices than the average. Would a few that give up drinking in response to prices have a noticeable effect on the total demand?
1.6.2009 9:57am
Latinist:
Good points. But a couple things:

1. I'm one of those people who occasionally "lose productivity due to hangovers." I rather object to the government making it a goal to stop me from doing this (or, in general, from viewing me as a machine or employee whose productivity should be maximized). I lose a great deal more productivity, as it happens, from watching football games; I don't see that as a reason to tax the NFL.
But this isn't that important to your main point, as alcoholism, drunk driving, etc. are all things I'd like the government to try and reduce.

2. You suggest that "heavy drinkers who should be most likely to respond to price, since they’re the ones for whom drinking places a real dent in the household budget." All right. But this also suggests that, while some heavy drinkers cut down on their drinking due to a tax, others, and some of the same ones (and their families) will end up spending more, and thus placing an even bigger dent in their budget. In other words, this is encouraging people to quit drinking by increasing the problems it causes them, which is a little questionable. I assume, e.g., you wouldn't be in favor of requiring all alcohol to contain an ingredient which made it even more unhealthy for your liver, thus providing people with another incentive to drink less. And the waste of money is, for some people, one of the many problems caused by alcoholism.
1.6.2009 10:00am
Mikeyes (mail):
I live and work (partially in an alcohol treatment facility) in Wisconsin where the problem of alcoholism is rampant, so I am very interested in the policy issue of alchohol sales.

But there is a facet of this that was not touched on, the ability of any consumer to make their own wine and beer legally. If taxes are high enough that people are discouraged from buying alcohol containing beverages, would you not have to concurrently stop any home brew? How would this be different from Prohibition? Not to mention the black market issue which has not been touched on.
1.6.2009 10:01am
http://volokh.com/?exclude=davidb:
Note that many state governments are, in fact, keeping prices artificially high, through a method other than taxation.

I'm no economist (understatement of the New Year), but I have to believe that state monopolies over the sale of hard liquor (as in Virginia) drive prices up.

One can only imagine what cigarettes would cost if only the state was allowed to sell them.
1.6.2009 10:02am
A.C.:
How about -- should the government be tinkering with this at all, or should taxes be about funding the government and leave people's personal choices alone?

(Yes, I know it's inconsistent with my argument about the student loan interest thing on another thread. But there I was arguing for a specific tax decrease, on the theory that some package of specific tax decreases was going to be offered. Here we're talking about a tax increase from the status quo, and one that seems to be ALL about social engineering. Different beast entirely.)
1.6.2009 10:05am
Awesome-O:
I notice you don't address the possibility that substantially higher alcohol taxes will lead to a black market in alcohol for those most likely to abuse it.

Black markets certainly have negative effects which shouldn't be overlooked, but if the health data are correct, then it appears that even with whatever black markets arise after increased alcohol sales, public health metrics show significant improvement. Moonshine isn't replacing legal booze.
1.6.2009 10:06am
P:
This entire article is anti-liberty, social engineering bullshit. I have no idea why this fascist is posting here.

[Comment not deleted, because another commenter had already responded to it by the time I saw it. But I've banned this commenter. It's just fine to disagree with us, or our guests; but I don't want people who put up substance-free personal insults on my site. -EV]
1.6.2009 10:14am
autolykos:

In this scenario, the abusers have zero elasticity, while moderate drinkers are price elastic. To which I could point out (and do) that in fact it is these heavy drinkers who should be most likely to respond to price, since they’re the ones for whom drinking places a real dent in the household budget.


Spoken like someone who clearly didn't go to a large state school. Binge drinkers will spend their last cent on alcohol, no matter how much it takes out of the "household budget" (and by the way, if you've ever met a heavy drinker, you'd know that none of them have any idea what a household budget is).

How much does a line of blow cost these days? Has the statist policy of increasing the cost of coke decreased demand or made your life materially better?
1.6.2009 10:14am
Awesome-O:
In my own experience that does not just apply to economists – evidence that contradicts ones own theoretical perspective tends to be ignored or discounted

Reading through the comments so far, that certainly seems to be the case here.

Taxing (and yes, banning) alcohol leads to measurable public health improvements. That's indisputable. Should taxes or bans be a our public policy? Great question, and as many have pointed out, black markets can inflict substantial costs, and maybe it isn't the government's job to restrict freedom in the name of public health, or to curb externalities.

These are all arguments worth having. But attacking Cook's research or pointing out something that occurred to you after thirty seconds of reading and assuming that Cook is unaware of it doesn't help you. It just makes you look like you're unwilling to face reality.
1.6.2009 10:14am
Pete Guither (mail) (www):
I guess I'm troubled with the seemingly accepted notion in this post that reducing use is a good thing that should be pursued by the government. The argument is that taxes should be raised, not because the money will be used for some good, or to cover the costs of administering oversight, but because it will change people's behavior regarding personal use of alcohol.

Again, that's the horrible broad stroke of prohibition that sacrifices the responsible person for the vision of "solving" the problems of irresponsible (or genetically disposed) abusers. How is this a good approach?

Oh, and that weak argument about the price elasticity for addicts? The notion that if the price goes up alcoholics will care about the family budget is laughable. The writer has clearly not spent any time in my part of the city.
1.6.2009 10:14am
OrinKerr:
Any idea how the changing tax rate impacts the amount of moderate drinking, which I understand to have health benefits? If the goal is to use the tax rate to optimize the public good, and moderate drinking has health benefits while excessive drinking leads to certain harms, then it's not obvious to me that the government should be trying to discourage alcohol consumption (as opposed to only excessive consumption). That is, accepting that the government should be trying to do this sort of social engineering more generally, which is another matter,
1.6.2009 10:15am
TyWebb:
Excluding David Bernstein makes a good point, and one upon which I'd like to expand. I'm curious to what extent the studies you describe (without citation, I might add) have controlled for various other social and legal factors. It doesn't seem that much of a stretch, for example, that states raising excise taxes on alcohol would also have implemented more rigorous and advanced treatment programs for alcoholics, alternative rehabilitative judicial dispositions for first-time offenders of alcohol laws, stricter BAC limits for DUI offenses, more money for enforcement of underage drinking laws, etc. These are all priorities (on some level) for the MADD/SADD lobby, and I have to imagine that where such lobby is successful, they get more than one thing that they want.

Further, to what extent is there a COLA-style adjustment in these studies? I was pale-faced in shock the first time I got a bar tab in Washington DC after moving from Pittsburgh, and I'm pleasantly surprised every time I get a bar tab when I go back home.

Believe me, I don't want to be a part of some libertarian flat-earth society here that argues against excise taxes in all forms. I'm sure alcohol does have a downward sloping demand curve through almost all of the population. I'm just not sure that excise taxes are the whole story, or even a necessary precondition to the whole story, of curbing societal ills due to alcohol.

I'll note as well that Latinist hit the nail on the head when pointing out that lost adult productivity is NOT an appropriate aim for this sort of legislation.
1.6.2009 10:16am
some dude:
I do not have an alcohol problem. If you make my daily beer more expensive, I will take it personally. Especially in a recession.
1.6.2009 10:16am
Anonymous Mark:
Ideally, we'd tax Thunderbird while leaving Dom Perignon alone
It would be easy enough to levy a tax-by-volume rather than tax-by-price. For example, $1 per 6 cans of beer, bottle of wine, or 750ml of hard liquor.
1.6.2009 10:20am
Awesome-O:
This entire article is anti-liberty, social engineering bullshit. I have no idea why this fascist is posting here.

Well sometimes I wonder why law professors who draw their salaries from the government post on this "libertarian" blog, but I usually try to avoid being a dick about ideological purity. Obviously, such self-control is not a requirement to comment here.

We don't live in Minarchist Paradise. The government has and will always have a role in regulating drugs. The hope is that we get good policy that is in line with our principles, to the extent possible. My liberty to ingest cheep hooch of mysterious origins is going to be curbed by the government. That can be done in a smart way that respects my liberty or it can be done in a ham-fisted way that does more harm than good. That's what we're discussing here.
1.6.2009 10:21am
You are forgetting one thing.:
Beer and wine are good for you.
1.6.2009 10:22am
corneille1640 (mail):
A few of the commentators have mentioned the possibility of a black market in alcohol should taxes be increased. My main question in respect to their point is how much does it cost to make one's own beer/wine/moonshine? I imagine it not only costs money to purchase the necessary equipment and foodstuffs, but it also "costs" time.

Does anyone here have an idea of how high alcohol prices would have to be for it to be economical to make one's own?
1.6.2009 10:23am
Al Maviva:
I drink socially, and once in a great great while - maybe once every year or two - may overindulge a little bit. I actually am trying to drink a bit more red wine, just a glass with dinner, because of its health effects, and how it enhances food. Meanwhile I drive safely, work out regularly, eat in moderation, avoid smoking and so forth. I don't cost anybody anything, and in fact subsidize a lot of less healthy people through my auto and health insurance premiums and taxes. I'm okay with that. But I resent the hell out of the notion that anybody else should be able to craft my lifestyle for me by reaching into my wallet yet again. I especially resent having some nanny tsk'ing at me about having a second glass of wine after Sunday dinner. And where does this notion of the moral rectitude of taxation come from? It's a necessary evil to provide essential services, not a moral good with the primary aim of making people more moral and less diseased.

I find this quiet and friendly sort of fascism, we-care-so-much-about-you liberal fascism that you can dress up with a smiley face, far more disturbing than the jackbooted type, because everybody recognizes and is against the jackbooted type. Non-FISA wiretaps affect a few people and there's widespread outrage over them. A relative handful of suspected terrorist fighters are detained at Gitmo, and the outrage resembles the trumpets heralding the apocalypse. Yet kindly, quiet liberty thieves passing as social policies affect nearly all of us, but there's no outrage over it. First it was smoking, next it's booze and food. Maybe the leftists are correct and we're becoming sheep.
1.6.2009 10:29am
autolykos:

Does anyone here have an idea of how high alcohol prices would have to be for it to be economical to make one's own?


The inputs for alcohol are extremely cheap (for beer, it's water, barley, hops and yeast unless you're one of these heathens who doesn't comply with the reinheitsgebot - for most hard alcohol it's some kind of food stuff - potatoes, wheat, etc. - and water). It would be cheaper to produce your own moonshine than to buy the stuff sold at the local Kwik-E-Mart (as long as you drank enough of the stuff to amortize the equipment).
1.6.2009 10:35am
Kate S (mail):
My mother in law was an quiet alcoholic who did not binge drink but sipped sherry out of her coffee cup all day long (and smoked three packs of cigarettes a day) She died in 1996 at the age of 62 from the combined effects of the smoking and drinking. She stayed with us for six long weeks once and I ran a short experiment to see what she would do when we did not provide her with sherry. Answer: She would steal it and drink anything with alcohol. My expensive German wine went first and then she moved on to the hard liquor. I believe that if I had let us run out of booze in the house and gave her no money she would have started shoplifting it. Most hard core alcoholics would behave similarly when out of the controlled environment of the study where their only alternative was to buy it, work for it or cut down.
1.6.2009 10:35am
Tollhouse:
Maybe the government has become regulatory captured by those who want to tell us what to do... hahaha. The social contract becomes a restraint.

I'm going to go cry now.
1.6.2009 10:36am
PLR:
For some reason, there is profound resistance to the idea that beverage alcohol is a commodity with the usual downward sloping demand curve. ... But when I make the argument to non-economists, I get a skeptical hearing.

Didn't someone famous say, "The world is full of economic dipshits?" If not, I'll take the credit.

I pretty much agree with your analysis, with the caveats that (a) I question your use of the word "usual" when it comes to the magnitude of the slope, and of course (b) I am resolutely in favor of cheap booze. I'll take my chances with the drunks on the road.
1.6.2009 10:36am
PubliusFL:
corneille1640: Does anyone here have an idea of how high alcohol prices would have to be for it to be economical to make one's own?

This page talks about how to make a flavorless sugar wine for the equivalent of about 18 cents per bottle. Required equipment is an empty gallon milk jug, a balloon, and a cup or saucepan. A funnel is useful too, but not required.
1.6.2009 10:41am
Awesome-O:
(1) Have preconceived notions that all problem drinkers have horizontal demand curves.

(2) Encounter the reality that states that restrict alcohol have less alcohol-related disease.

(3) Cognitive dissonance.

(4) ???

(5) Profit!
1.6.2009 10:43am
Awesome-O:
This page talks about how to make a flavorless sugar wine for the equivalent of about 18 cents per bottle. Required equipment is an empty gallon milk jug, a balloon, and a cup or saucepan. A funnel is useful too, but not required.

Sounds delicious. Here's how to make pruno.

I am certain that, faced with the choice of either making god-awful wine, yeasty beer, and horrible moonshine that might blind you or cutting back on booze, all problem drinkers are going to go with the former. Because, you know, problem drinkers have time for that shit, and want to drink fermented oranges mixed with ketchup.
1.6.2009 10:48am
Hannibal Lector:
I suspect that one of the main reasons our alcohol taxes are so low is because of the enormous consumpotion of alcohol by our country's political class. A very large number of the politicians I've met are, to put it kindly, heavy drinkers. These peolpe have a sympathy for dysfunctional alcohol consumption that is reflected not only in relatively low taxes on alcohol, but also in the seriousness with which alcohol is treated in our criminal justice system. Generally speaking, heavy alcohol consumption is treated as a mitigating rather than an aggravating factor in crime. The penalties for harm committed while under the influence are often ridiculously light.

A state public health department once hired me to do a study of the impact of raising the state's (relatively low) taxes on alcohol and diverting some of the resulting revenue into alcohol treatment and prevention programs. My simulation (based on a wide variety of sources and research—including some of Professor Cook's work) suggested that the result would be an enormous increase in state revenue whose impact would be spread relatively evenly across different categories of drinkers. The simulation took account of elasticities in drinking patterns and border effects (the state was realtively small and surrounded by low-alcohol-tax states). I found later that the report was tabled by a legislative aide who, although he found no fault with it, thought it would be upsetting to the legislators who might have had occassion to peruse it.
1.6.2009 10:49am
WHOI Jacket:
Sing along if you know the tune:

I'm a rambler, I'm a gambler, I'm a long way from home
And if you don't like me, well, leave me alone
I'll eat when I'm hungry, I'll drink when I'm dry
And if moonshine don't kill me, I'll live til I die

I've been a moonshiner for many a year
I've spent all me money on whiskey and beer
I'll go to some hollow, I'll set up my still
And I'll make you a gallon for a ten shilling bill

I'm a rambler, I'm a gambler, I'm a long way from home
And if you don't like me, well, leave me alone
I'll eat when I'm hungry, I'll drink when I'm dry
And if moonshine don't kill me, I'll live til I die

I'll go to some hollow in this counterie
Ten gallons of wash I can go on a spree
No women to follow, the world is all mine
I love none so well as I love the moonshine

I'm a rambler, I'm a gambler, I'm a long way from home
And if you don't like me, well, leave me alone
I'll eat when I'm hungry, I'll drink when I'm dry
And if moonshine don't kill me, I'll live til I die

Oh, moonshine, dear moonshine, oh, how I love thee
You killed me old father, and now you'll try me
Now bless all moonshiners and bless all moonshine
Their breath smells as sweet as the dew on the vine

I'm a rambler, I'm a gambler, I'm a long way from home
And if you don't like me, well, leave me alone
I'll eat when I'm hungry, I'll drink when I'm dry
And if moonshine don't kill me, I'll live til I die

And if whiskey don't kill me, I'll live....till....I....Die.
1.6.2009 10:49am
autolykos:

These are all arguments worth having. But attacking Cook's research or pointing out something that occurred to you after thirty seconds of reading and assuming that Cook is unaware of it doesn't help you. It just makes you look like you're unwilling to face reality.


There's no substance to his research. It's not like we're talking about complex theories of quantum physics that I need to sit and ponder for a couple weeks before formulating a response. His point is simply: alcohol=bad, therefore let's use the tax system to outlaw what we can't do through the legal process.

Why is $13 a fifth the right amount of tax? Why not $2? Why not $200? If your only premise is that alcohol is bad, then there's no amount of tax that's ever enough, since any amount of tax will always decrease the amount of alcohol consumed (assuming the practical point of no black markets, elasticity, etc.).
1.6.2009 10:49am
WHOI Jacket:
Real apple cider goes hard on its own in a few weeks.

You can speed the process and/or "unpasteurize" cider by pitching it with champagne yeast.
1.6.2009 10:51am
oledrunk3 (mail):
Beer and wine are good for you.

Provided you are not an alcoholic. As a recovering alcoholic (32 since my last drink) am convinced that moderate drinking is good for the great majority of drinkers. But high taxes, rationing or any such public policy will do nothing to deter the real alcoholic. No law of God or man can prevent the alcoholic from getting a drink.
1.6.2009 10:52am
WHOI Jacket:
(meant to include this in the post 2 points up)

Then, it's simply a matter of using your freezer to make the great Colonial drink: Applejack.

Of course, now the ATFE will have to regulate the sale and usage of freezers and cold weather.
1.6.2009 10:55am
autolykos:

(1) Have preconceived notions that all problem drinkers have horizontal demand curves.

(2) Encounter the reality that states that restrict alcohol have less alcohol-related disease.

(3) Cognitive dissonance.

(4) ???

(5) Profit!


1. The demand curve would be vertical, not horizontal.

2. Nice strawman. I don't think I've heard anyone suggest that ALL problem drinkers will be unaffected (just like ALL smokers haven't been unaffected by hikes in cigarette prices).

3. Nobody disputes that alcohol causes serious negative externalities (drunk driving, rape/date rape, robberies, assaults, etc.) or that reducing the availability of alcohol would reduce these externalities.

4. Did you live under the same rock as Cook when you were in college?
1.6.2009 11:00am
David Schwartz (mail):
Black markets certainly have negative effects which shouldn't be overlooked, but if the health data are correct, then it appears that even with whatever black markets arise after increased alcohol sales, public health metrics show significant improvement. Moonshine isn't replacing legal booze.
So it's okay to kill a few people to save a few people? Is that really your argument?

And what of the people who spend more on liquor and have less to spend on, say, clothes for their children. Where does that fit in your calculus?

I think you're missing the entire concept of what it would take to justify the kind of policies you are suggesting. You can't justify normal actions with a war calculus (save more lives than we take). You can only justify war calculus as a response to force.
1.6.2009 11:01am
oledrunk3 (mail):
Beer and wine are good for you.

Provided you are not an alcoholic. As a recovering alcoholic (32 years since my last drink) I am convinced that moderate drinking is good for the great majority of drinkers. But high taxes, rationing or any such public policy will do nothing to deter the real alcoholic. No law of God or man can prevent the alcoholic from getting a drink.
1.6.2009 11:02am
New Pseudonym:
As one poster has pointed out, there are other government policies other than tax that influence the price of alcoholic beverages. Even though only a few states go so far as to have only "state stores," but it is common for states to have franchise provisions that result in all alcoholic beverages being sold by a near monopoly, which artificially increases prices. Have the studies controlled for this increase over what prices would be in a free market. If the argument is that failure to index taxes for inflation is a tax decrease, encouraging monopoly through government action must be the equivalent of an offsetting tax increase.

Another "tax" exists where I dwell. In order to purchase alcohol at a restaurant, I must join a "club." The price of membership is imposed on me because of local governmental regulation, and is also a tax equivalent. Interestingly, this tax is regressive with regard to consumption. Since this is a one time payment, the more one drinks at a specific location the lower the tax per unit of consumption.

I wonder if data is still available from MS in the 1960s. MS was the last dry state (it went wet in 1967 IIRC). At the same time, MS taxed illegal liquor and enforced the tax. Comparing the effects of that policy against other places where liquor is illegal and presumably untaxed would be interesting.
1.6.2009 11:04am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

Spoken like someone who clearly didn't go to a large state school. Binge drinkers will spend their last cent on alcohol, no matter how much it takes out of the "household budget" (and by the way, if you've ever met a heavy drinker, you'd know that none of them have any idea what a household budget is).
I wouldn't go quite this strongly, but it is true that those for whom alcohol is a serious problem aren't noted for such long-term goals as a household budget.

I've got an alcohol and marijuana abusing brother-in-law who typifies those at whom Professor Cook is aiming tax increases. His notion of "long-term planning" might be "Do I have enough food in the house for breakfast?" And I have seen no evidence that his planning horizon is even consistently that long-term. He was driving so drunk one night that when he turned the wrong way onto a one-way street, he didn't even notice the police car responding lights and sirens. Nor did he notice that he had hit the police car, until another officer dragged him out the open window, and whacked him on the head with a nightstick.

That said, all proposals to regulate or control behavior through incentives and punishments work at the margins. Will most alcoholics like my brother-in-law change their behavior in response to higher taxes? No. Will some alcoholics change their behavior in response? Almost certainly--and likely the ones whose problems, while significant, are probably the least dramatic.

I am skeptical of the applicability of the study of inmates in an alcohol rehab program. These were probably people who were there voluntarily, or required to be there as part of a criminal justice diversion program. Their behavior is likely different from alcoholics not in such a program simply for that reason.
1.6.2009 11:06am
Ken Arromdee:
Well sometimes I wonder why law professors who draw their salaries from the government post on this "libertarian" blog, but I usually try to avoid being a dick about ideological purity.

The reason seems fairly straightforward. Most people who oppose government subsidies don't think that they are harmful in the sense that every single aspect of them is harmful to every single person. Rather they think the harm outweighs the benefit.

Refusing to accept a job paid for through taxes just means you're refusing to accept the benefit, but you're doing nothing whatsoever for the harm. It's not as if refusing to take the job means that anyone's taxes will go down.
1.6.2009 11:08am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

But high taxes, rationing or any such public policy will do nothing to deter the real alcoholic. No law of God or man can prevent the alcoholic from getting a drink.
One concern that I have are people whose alcohol problems start very young. My impression is that a lot of alcoholics start very young. I'm not sure that high taxes will reduce this; perhaps more vigorous enforcement of minor in possession laws would do some good. Here in Idaho, it is unlawful to provide alcohol to a minor, and from what my son tells me of high school parties that he attended, the law is enforced with considerable energy.

Again: I'm suggesting that while tax increases might reduce drinking, it ends up applying to everyone, and everyone isn't the problem.
1.6.2009 11:12am
Tony Tutins (mail):
I would think the $12 glass of restaurant wine would be a sufficient deterrent to the casual drinker.

But considering the massive recent growth in Type 2 Diabetes, leading to blindness, limb amputation, and death; if we're going to use taxation to achieve health goals we should heavily tax refined sugar (corn sugar as well as sucrose) and products they're used in. Any resulting surplus can be used to produce motor fuel ethanol.
1.6.2009 11:22am
WJR:
This seems different from a cigarette tax in that the externalities we might hope to reduce (alcoholism, drunk driving, abuse, etc.) are far less predictable. The social drinker who has 5-6 drinks per night every Friday and Saturday is probably much less of a threat than the occasional binge drinker who drinks 12-15 drinks once every other month, but otherwise remains abstinent or limited to occasional wine consumption. The binge drinkers are less likely to be deterred, at the margin, but you'll be likely to see a cutback among the social drinkers who are generally healthy in their consumption patterns.

While I don't doubt the empirical findings, the distributive consequences--that is, who bears the tax burden--seems to penalize heavy, but responsible consumers. This isn't like a cigarette tax, where someone who smokes heavily, and at a steady rate, is much more likely to be a health threat and burden on society. The idea of a "responsible smoker" is less coherent than "responsible drinker." An alcohol tax would penalize equally, and if the tax proceeds went to fund social services, it would amount to a subsidy from the responsible drinkers for the treatment of the irresponsible ones.
1.6.2009 11:23am
Patrick22 (mail):

The alcohol industry knows better – they must believe that higher taxes can’t be passed on to consumers without a reduction in sales and consumption, or else why would they fight tax increases so fiercely? But when I make the argument to non-economists, I get a skeptical hearing.


Wouldn't a reduction in profit be enough? If there is a maximum price, then adding taxes would reduce profit before reducing sales. I'm not saying there is or isn't, but you do not prove anything by assigning evil motives.

Where are the studies that show how much medicare saves each year from the beneficial effects of moderate alcohol consumption? How many heart attacks and strokes are prevented by moderate use of alcohol? I think the latest research on the health benefits of alcohol show a need to lower or abolish the existing taxes, not raise them.

Alcohol was taxed because it was considered a sin by the christian church. Is singling out alcohol for taxing, stepping on the religious freedom of non-christians?

If alcohol is a gateway drug, as so many anti-drug crusaders say, wouldn't raising taxes on it lead to more illegal drug use? Do studies of states with high alcohol taxes control for substitute drugs? When I was in college, those colleges with the toughest alcohol policies had the most widespread pot and cocaine use (easier to smuggle in and use).
1.6.2009 11:25am
WHOI Jacket:
This would kill the craft brewing movement. Many local breweries survive on razor thin profit margins. Increase the tax enough (less than you might think) and you'll drive dozens if not potentially hundreds of locally owned and operated business out of business.

Then we're back to the setup of mega (now international conglomos) corporations controlling the entire national beverage industry. Say goodbye to your IPAs and porters, you'll drink InBevBud, MolsonCoors, and BMCMiller and you'll LIKE IT.
1.6.2009 11:27am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

I am certain that, faced with the choice of either making god-awful wine, yeasty beer, and horrible moonshine that might blind you or cutting back on booze, all problem drinkers are going to go with the former. Because, you know, problem drinkers have time for that shit, and want to drink fermented oranges mixed with ketchup.
Again: a law only has to work at the margins to be effective. I agree that the most severe problem drinkers will do whatever it takes to get drunk. Belenko's book MiG Pilot recounts how the ethanol used as part of the cooling system in MiG-25s was so often being stolen by Soviet Air Force ground crews that they loudly added poison to it to discourage it. It didn't stop the ground crews; they just drank poison.

But the fact is that many problem drinkers aren't so terribly motivated as to brew their own. I shudder to think what they might end up doing, but the fundamental problems that drive alcoholism are so severe that I doubt that they are going to all suddenly fly right and go back to school.
1.6.2009 11:27am
questions (mail):

As it turns out, the evidence that higher prices discourage alcohol consumption and abuse is strong...


Are you just trying to discourage abuse or are you trying to discourage general consumption?

What percentage of consumers are abusers?


It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object.


Do the abusers just go without a fix or find alternative sources?

Doesn't first option undermine either their status as addicts or the current definition of addiction?
1.6.2009 11:28am
WJR:
Also, as most casual observers of college aged binge drinkers know, raising the price of alcohol across the board will lead to more substitution toward inferior goods rather than cutbacks in drinking itself. "Budweiser is 10% more than it usually costs? Ok, then grab kegs of Natty Light instead--no one will notice the difference after a few drinks." I would figure these effects would affect wine drinkers as well. Is there the same robust market for inferior good substitutes for cigarettes? Possibly, though it's certainly less pronounced.
1.6.2009 11:30am
WHOI Jacket:
Also, for the record, alcohol isn't considered a "sin" by the "christian church", more just the Puritanical strain that is as American as the Pilgrims (who also drank beer).

Belgian monks make fine ales and lambics. Most of the great Chateaus in France got their start hundreds of years ago supplying local monasteries and churches with wine

Give strong drink unto him that is ready to perish, and wine unto those that be of heavy hearts.
-Proverbs 31:6

Drinking is not a sin. Being a Drunkard is.
1.6.2009 11:31am
stoshy (mail):

Al Maviva has it right. I add only a friendly amendment. Too many social policy choices (and a tax on alcohol is a social policy choice) are predicated on the worst case scenarios, not the norm. The vast majority of those who drink alcohol do so moderately and occasionally, but our guest blogger sez they shall be made to pay the same dues as the small minority who don’t control their drinking. Why should the virtuous be forced to bear the burden of the decadent?
1.6.2009 11:31am
Patrick22 (mail):
Doesn't take much Google work to find that Medicare saves a ton of money by people drinking:




According to the study, during the five years, Medicare costs were $2,000 less for moderate wine drinkers--those who drank six to 13 glasses of wine per week--than for nondrinkers. The costs were even less for beer drinkers, with an average savings of $2,500. Moderate liquor drinkers also saved money, but only $1,200.

Light drinkers--those who consumed less than six units a week--also used Medicare less, with wine drinkers saving the government $300 per year more than nondrinkers. Light liquor and beer drinkers performed better, spending $800 and $1,800 less, respectively.


Given the relative size of the moderate drinker pool and the alcoholic pool, a cursory glance would suggest alcohol is providing a huge net benefit to society and health care expenditures. In fact, figuring out a way to tax non-drinkers would make more sense than taxing moderate drinkers.
1.6.2009 11:33am
autolykos:

That said, all proposals to regulate or control behavior through incentives and punishments work at the margins. Will most alcoholics like my brother-in-law change their behavior in response to higher taxes? No. Will some alcoholics change their behavior in response? Almost certainly--and likely the ones whose problems, while significant, are probably the least dramatic.


Well that's the issue. For some reason, Cook isn't assigning any value to the substantial joy moderate drinkers get from consuming alcohol. The calculus isn't simply "what policy/level of tax will reduce in the least number of robberies/rapes/DUIs/etc" (that policy is almost certainly prohibition, even with the black markets that develop). You have to balance that benefit against the loss of social utility associated with the policy. Chianti-sippers like Cook don't understand that because they assign little to no utility to alcohol consumption.
1.6.2009 11:34am
ray_g:
"Why is one “sin tax” so popular politically, while another has been largely neglected?"

Because the propaganda effort of the anti-smoking forces have been successful in demonizing smoking and smokers. Some of these people exceed the worst caricature of Carrie Nation. They would enact tobacco prohibition if they could.

Also, and maybe more importantly, the percentage of the population that uses tobacco is much smaller than the percentage that uses alcohol. That's what really bothers me about so-called "sin taxes", it is the idea a lot of people have that it is perfectly OK with them to tax something they don't use or an activity they don't participate in.
1.6.2009 11:34am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

Alcohol was taxed because it was considered a sin by the christian church. Is singling out alcohol for taxing, stepping on the religious freedom of non-christians?
This is simply not true. Alcohol regulation in England and America was driven by substantial increases in social problems associated with drunkenness in the 17th and 18th centuries, especially as gin, the first really cheap distilled alcohol, became widely available. See Christopher Hibbert's book on the social history of England.

Colonial regulation of alcohol was quite emphatically based on the destructive effects of drunkenness--not that alcohol consumption was a sin. For example, a number of the New England colonies prohibited sale of beer by less than the half barrel, because they were trying to shut down bars. There was no problem with taking alcohol home to drink with meals. Indeed, alcohol consumption was common, even among children (who tended to drink "small beer" a low alcohol variant), because most water supplies weren't trusted to be safe (and with good reason).

Alcohol regulation, again focused on "tippling houses" was a widesrepad concern of the 1830s. It is true that the rise of the temperance movement in the nineteenth century was often driven by Protestant reformers, but again, the problem was not alcohol per se, but the destructive effects of alcohol abuse on the society.
1.6.2009 11:36am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

Why should the virtuous be forced to bear the burden of the decadent?
I think for the same reason that gun control advocates insist on laws that hit everyone: the alternative is to admit that the problems of alcohol abuse and gun abuse are not evenly distributed, which would require focused enforcement on problem communities.

One of the reasons that many Native Alaskan villages have gone dry is that they recognize that they have an extraordinarily severe problem in their community.
1.6.2009 11:41am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

Well that's the issue. For some reason, Cook isn't assigning any value to the substantial joy moderate drinkers get from consuming alcohol.
What's the economic value of that "joy"? It's hard to measure, while the damage caused by abuse is easy to measure and all around us.

I confess, I don't understand this joy about which you speak. I've been drunk once in my life, and why anyone would intentionally do that again utterly eludes me. But then again, a lot of people find my writing of history books weird, too.
1.6.2009 11:44am
PubliusFL:
Awesome-O: I am certain that, faced with the choice of either making god-awful wine, yeasty beer, and horrible moonshine that might blind you or cutting back on booze, all problem drinkers are going to go with the former. Because, you know, problem drinkers have time for that shit, and want to drink fermented oranges mixed with ketchup.

Obviously prisoners do, when their access to other forms of alcohol is shut off. And people not in the slammer have access to far more appetizing options than fermented oranges mixed with ketchup. Surely many problem drinkers would not produce their own alcohol, or buy on the black market from illicit producers. And surely at least some would. How many would? I don't know. My only point was that Mr. Cook didn't say a word about the possibility, and I hope he will will address it. I don't know a whole lot about economics, but I do remember that whenever you start talking about controlling demand for something through prices, you have to consider possible substitutes and black markets as part of the big picture.
1.6.2009 11:44am
cjwynes (mail):
Alcohol is not a commodity, there is a wide selection of flavors and brands with a wide range of prices. If the tax were indexed to inflation from 1951, as you discuss, that means a fifth of liquor would cost about $10 more than it currently does. Under that scheme, a fifth of Evan Williams bourbon, which presently costs about $12, would cost about $22. That is what a fifth of Jack Daniels, a better brand of whiskey, costs right now. So people who drink Jack Daniels would, if they were sufficiently price-sensitive, switch to Evan Williams, with no increase in their liquor budget.

The rich would keep drinking what they drink and the middle class might switch to discount brands. That leaves only the poor who are the victims of this tax. Whatever it is that rich people do for fun, poor people obviously can't afford it. Poor people who want to relieve some of the stress from their dreary lives buy a bunch of alcohol and throw a party. You want to take that away from them? What are they supposed to do instead? Sobriety alone will not suddenly make them rich enough to install croquet lawns at the trailer park and raquetball courts at the projects.
1.6.2009 11:48am
Nick B (mail):
How about "I'm a free man, do not try to control my actions."
Sin taxes should go away, entirely. The government is a terrible enforcer of morality, generally causing more problems than they solve. I'm not quite sure what it will take to convince people that the government should not be allowed the power to declare Thought Crimes, but I'm constantly amazed by the people who think it's a Great Idea.
1.6.2009 11:51am
PubliusFL:
Patrick22: In fact, figuring out a way to tax non-drinkers would make more sense than taxing moderate drinkers.

Hey, impose a stiff excise tax on soft drinks. That is unlikely to make the erstwhile soda drinker start drinking a six-pack a day, but might make him choose to have a beer instead of a large Coke with dinner now and then. ;)
1.6.2009 11:52am
oledrunk3 (mail):
"It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object."
1.6.2009 11:54am
oledrunk3 (mail):
"It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object."

Cook might revise that view were he to spend some weeks studying real alcoholics.
1.6.2009 11:56am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

How about "I'm a free man, do not try to control my actions."
Sin taxes should go away, entirely. The government is a terrible enforcer of morality, generally causing more problems than they solve.
What you don't seem to be getting is that alcohol taxation to either discourage drinking or at least pay for the damage that its abuse causes, is not a "sin tax." It's a tax on a commodity with significant destructive externalities. American history is full of taxes, but generally, not taxes on sin. Adultery was a criminal offense (and still is in Idaho). Premarital sex was a criminal offense (and still is, in Idaho). Ditto for a lot of actions that were clearly considered sinful. But they were not taxed.

Alcohol, until the rise of the late 19th century's temperance movement, was never considered intrinsically sinful by Christians. The Bible is emphatic about the sinfulness of drunkenness, but not of alcohol.
1.6.2009 11:59am
Awesome-O:
1. The demand curve would be vertical, not horizontal.

Only if you're plotting demand curves in an unconventional way and putting the dependent variable on the X-axis, which I guess you're free to do if you want.

Price goes on the X-axis. Quantity demanded goes on the Y-axis. For inelastic goods, quantity demanded (the Y-value) is constant at every price value.
1.6.2009 11:59am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

That leaves only the poor who are the victims of this tax. Whatever it is that rich people do for fun, poor people obviously can't afford it.
While I agree that raising alcohol taxes will likely just take money out of a poor person's budget for luxuries like food, medical care, housing, gasoline, etc., let me also suggest that part of why poor people are a bit limited on what they can afford to do for fun is the amount of money that they spend on alcohol, DUI fines, bail, replacing furniture broken in drunken brawls, and all the rest of the "fun" that goes with alcohol abuse. We really need to be working a bit harder on discouraging these destructive choices. The alcohol abuse, while a direct cause of a lot of problems, is also a symptom. And yes, the analogy to the problem of violence and guns is quite strong.
1.6.2009 12:04pm
Kirk:
Prof. Cook, would it be possible to get this post linked in as a "related post" to your previous posts?

Thanks!
1.6.2009 12:05pm
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

"It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object."

Cook might revise that view were he to spend some weeks studying real alcoholics.
Agreed. Those people with the biggest alcohol problems are prepared to give up everything: their careers; their families; their homes; their self-respect; their lives—to be able to drink. My brother-in-law has never let work get in the way of his alcohol, marijuana, and meth—and with predictable results.
1.6.2009 12:07pm
Awesome-O:
So it's okay to kill a few people to save a few people? Is that really your argument?

No, it's not.

The argument is that a small black market may be tolerable if the public health benefits are substantial. The argument I'm hearing here is "all black markets are always worse than the harms prevented by the laws that encourage the black market's creation," which is nonsense.

But if you're going to equate all acts that encourage the creation of black markets with intentional killing, then I suppose all sales taxes are murder.
1.6.2009 12:09pm
Kirk:
Clayton,
I confess, I don't understand this joy about which you speak. I've been drunk once in my life, and why anyone would intentionally do that again utterly eludes me.
I think you perhaps missed where he says moderate drinkers? At least from my vantage point, drinking until drunk, no matter how infrequently one does so, pretty much takes a person out of the category of "moderate drinker".
1.6.2009 12:11pm
Allan Walstad (mail):
So, let's see if I've got this. Some people sometimes abuse alcohol. Studies show a correlation between abuse and lower alcohol taxes or lack of prohibition. This justifies the government seeking to discourage the purchase of alcohol, even though it may impinge negatively on moderate users thereof.

By the same token: Some politicians and bureaucrats sometimes abuse their powers. Studies show that liberty around the world is correlated with health and prosperity. This justifies strict limits on government power, even though such limits may impinge negatively on beneficial uses thereof.

We don't live in Minarchist Paradise. The government has and will always have a role in regulating drugs. The hope is that we get good policy that is in line with our principles, to the extent possible. My liberty to ingest cheep hooch of mysterious origins is going to be curbed by the government. That can be done in a smart way that respects my liberty or it can be done in a ham-fisted way that does more harm than good. That's what we're discussing here.

--i.e., give up libertarians, you can't win. We'll see about that. Meanwhile, working for liberty is its own reward.

But the fact is that many problem drinkers aren't so terribly motivated as to brew their own.

They might be motivated enough to buy it from bootleggers. A cousin of mine was apparently making good money in the 60s and 70s making and selling grain alcohol.
1.6.2009 12:11pm
WJR:
"It's a tax on a commodity with significant destructive externalities."

But the output of externalities is not symmetrically distributed across the drinking population, nor do the externalities themselves strongly correlated to volume of consumption. The comparison to cigarette taxes is a dubious one.
1.6.2009 12:12pm
Tony Tutins (mail):

substantial joy moderate drinkers get from consuming alcohol.

I confess, I don't understand this joy about which you speak. I've been drunk once in my life, and why anyone would intentionally do that again utterly eludes me.

This is pretty much a non sequitur. Moderate drinking does not reach the level that produces dtunkeness -- doing so is immoderate by definition. One might as well say "I don't understand why people want to ski. I've broken my leg once in my life, and why anyone would intentionally do that again utterly eludes me."

I'm willing to believe that ten percent of the population cannot responsibly consume alcohol, whether they are binge drinkers, abstinent alcoholics, or have never touched the stuff. Alcohol control should focus on those people.
1.6.2009 12:14pm
Latinist:
What's the economic value of that "joy"? It's hard to measure, while the damage caused by abuse is easy to measure and all around us.

Okay, but "hard to measure" does not mean the same thing as "equal to zero." (I always feel like economists are making that mistake, though I'm probably being unfair.) That's why people are bringing up things like this, in fact: the poster has provided the results of some (apparently trustworthy) economic studies, so commenters are raising issues that are not, and maybe couldn't be, taken into account by those studies.
1.6.2009 12:23pm
autolykos:

What's the economic value of that "joy"? It's hard to measure, while the damage caused by abuse is easy to measure and all around us.


You say that like it makes the "joy" (I don't know why the scare quotes are needed) any less real.


I confess, I don't understand this joy about which you speak. I've been drunk once in my life, and why anyone would intentionally do that again utterly eludes me. But then again, a lot of people find my writing of history books weird, too.


I understand that. That's why I don't want wallflowers making alcohol policy.


What you don't seem to be getting is that alcohol taxation to either discourage drinking or at least pay for the damage that its abuse causes, is not a "sin tax." It's a tax on a commodity with significant destructive externalities. American history is full of taxes, but generally, not taxes on sin. Adultery was a criminal offense (and still is in Idaho). Premarital sex was a criminal offense (and still is, in Idaho). Ditto for a lot of actions that were clearly considered sinful. But they were not taxed.


Nobody's making the argument that we need to increase taxes to compensate for the harms caused by alcohol (or that the funds raised through such taxes will actually go to do so). A tax done merely to try and decrease the amount of a good consumed is a sin tax.
1.6.2009 12:24pm
Awesome-O:
--i.e., give up libertarians, you can't win. We'll see about that. Meanwhile, working for liberty is its own reward.

I was responding to someone who - with salty language - insisted that Cook not be allowed to guest-blog here because he's not a minarchist, big-L Libertarian, or anarcho-whatzit.

My point is that in a democracy we're going to get the drug policy we deserve. If we pull a "screw you guys, I'm going home," we'll get bad policies. But if we actually discuss ways to respect liberty, keeping in mind that there aren't many libertarians, we might get a tax scheme for alcohol that discourages irresponsible use with minimal effects on responsible use.

For example, underage binge drinking doesn't happen in five-star French restaurants. So maybe we don't tax $300 bottles of wine the same way we tax retail sales of cheap vodka and beer.
1.6.2009 12:27pm
Jeffrey Hall (www):
WHOI Jacket:

This would kill the craft brewing movement. Many local breweries survive on razor thin profit margins. Increase the tax enough (less than you might think) and you'll drive dozens if not potentially hundreds of locally owned and operated business out of business.


I don't understand your reasoning. Surely higher excise taxes favor smaller craft breweries over large companies. Excise taxes increase the cost of the final product, they don't add costs to the manufacture of the product. Or am I missing something?
1.6.2009 12:29pm
gasman (mail):

If taxes are high enough that people are discouraged from buying alcohol containing beverages, would you not have to concurrently stop any home brew? How would this be different from Prohibition?

Home brew was not outlawed under prohibition. Only the commerce of alcohol was stopped, not individual production for one's own consumption.
1.6.2009 12:41pm
autolykos:

Home brew was not outlawed under prohibition. Only the commerce of alcohol was stopped, not individual production for one's own consumption.


I don't think that's correct. My understanding that moving the beer to your mouth was considered "transportation" and outlawed by the laws of the time. My great-grandmother brewed moonshine in her bathtub during prohibition. I'm pretty sure she did so knowing that it was illegal.
1.6.2009 12:49pm
somesense:
Clayton Cramer:

Your historical perspectives on alchohol prohibition are missing one rather vital piece of information. The laws regarding alcohol were set up largely so the "lower classes" could not afford to drink, or drink as much. This was based on the notion that the lower classes were almost animals, who could not control themselves to any degree. The "upper classes", of course, were quite evolved, and drank only moderately, or at least did not display their drunkenness in public.

This issue is really more about a small group of egomaniacs conducting a holy war to ensure we the unwashed masses are virtuous, rather than any sort of public health campaign. that is just pretty rhetoric to dress up a miserable form of tyranny.
1.6.2009 12:51pm
Doug Sundseth (mail):
It seems to me that there's a genetic component to propensity for alcohol abuse. Genetic components with significant negative externalities tend to respond to evolutionary pressures. Given that, I would like to make a modest proposal:

Rather than increasing the taxes on alcohol, which will negatively affect moderate and immoderate drinkers alike, why not provide 190-proof grain alcohol for free and in unlimited quantities, but only under supervision. Those likely to abuse alcohol would drink themselves to death with fewer negative externalities in the short term. And in the long term, the genetic propensity for alcohol abuse would tend to reduce over time. There would be no incentive for a black market to develop and any crime related to insuperable urges would tend to reduce as well.

(Since we're doing social engineering, after all.)
1.6.2009 12:58pm
Zubon (www):
Only if you're plotting demand curves in an unconventional way and putting the dependent variable on the X-axis, which I guess you're free to do if you want.

That is the conventional way. Every other discipline may put the dependent variable on the x-axis, but the classic economic graph has P on the vertical and Q on the horizontal. Examples.
1.6.2009 1:12pm
PubliusFL:
Jeffrey Hall: I don't understand your reasoning. Surely higher excise taxes favor smaller craft breweries over large companies. Excise taxes increase the cost of the final product, they don't add costs to the manufacture of the product. Or am I missing something?

Craft beers are more expensive than other beers to begin with, and are therefore to some degree a luxury item. Make them even MORE expensive, and some people who would otherwise purchase them will choose instead to forgo that luxury and buy a cheaper substitute. If most craft breweries are operating on very thin profit margins as it is, it won't take many consumers moving to cheaper beers to start putting breweries out of business. Small breweries have less room to scale back without becoming unprofitable than large breweries.
1.6.2009 1:15pm
Guest12345:
Patrick22:

Doesn't take much Google work to find that Medicare saves a ton of money by people drinking:

According to the study, during the five years, Medicare costs were $2,000 less for moderate wine drinkers--those who drank six to 13 glasses of wine per week--than for nondrinkers. The costs were even less for beer drinkers, with an average savings of $2,500. Moderate liquor drinkers also saved money, but only $1,200.

Light drinkers--those who consumed less than six units a week--also used Medicare less, with wine drinkers saving the government $300 per year more than nondrinkers. Light liquor and beer drinkers performed better, spending $800 and $1,800 less, respectively.


Of course, six 5 oz drinks a week runs you 1.2 750 ml bottles of wine. So about 61 bottles per year. Which may cost something like $10.00. So $610.00 a year, and $3050.00 over five years. Perhaps the drinkers could each just pay the $2,000 and pocket the $1050.00 instead? At the other end of the range, stopping drinking thirteen glasses of wine per week will put $4,650.00 in your pocket over five years. Strictly from those numbers we should ban drinking.
1.6.2009 1:17pm
Pol Mordreth (mail):
Jeffery Hall:

WHOI Jacket:


This would kill the craft brewing movement. Many local breweries survive on razor thin profit margins. Increase the tax enough (less than you might think) and you'll drive dozens if not potentially hundreds of locally owned and operated business out of business.



I don't understand your reasoning. Surely higher excise taxes favor smaller craft breweries over large companies. Excise taxes increase the cost of the final product, they don't add costs to the manufacture of the product. Or am I missing something?



You are missing the economic advantage of mass production. The megabreweries can produce a much higher volume at less cost per unit than the microbrews. If you raise the price of all beers by $10.00 via an excise tax, market share of the more expensive beers will drop and the cheaper beers will rise, as non-wealthy customers slide down the quality scale to continue to drink. See cjwinnes comment at 11:48. With declining market share forced by the excise tax, some to many craft breweries will fail, but probably not all. (Local breweries with a large following will probably survive)For example, I drink a moderately priced beer regularly. I consume about 7 - 10 drinks per week, and seldom more than 1 a day. I drink this particular beer (Yuengling) because I like the flavor, and it's not terribly expensive. But, it is as much as twice the price of the discount mass produced beers. Were you to double the cost of this beer with an excise tax, I would probably buy less of it. I would probably buy it half as often, and supplement with a cheaper beer or ramp up production for my homebrew.

Regards,
Pol
1.6.2009 1:18pm
Patrick22 (mail):

Hey, impose a stiff excise tax on soft drinks. That is unlikely to make the erstwhile soda drinker start drinking a six-pack a day, but might make him choose to have a beer instead of a large Coke with dinner now and then. ;)


Actually, I was hoping for a voucher. If I save Medicare $2K over 5 years drinking, then give me a $400/year voucher to buy alcohol.

If everyone got a $400/yr voucher good towards the purchase of alcohol, then non-drinkers and heavy drinkers would now be subsidizing moderate drinkers. Problem solved. Goodnight.
1.6.2009 1:20pm
ChrisIowa (mail):

Home brew was not outlawed under prohibition. Only the commerce of alcohol was stopped, not individual production for one's own consumption.

I don't think that's correct. My understanding that moving the beer to your mouth was considered "transportation" and outlawed by the laws of the time. My great-grandmother brewed moonshine in her bathtub during prohibition. I'm pretty sure she did so knowing that it was illegal.


According to my father, brewing of beer for personal use was legal during prohibition. My grandfather was a deputy sheriff during that time and would break up stills and dispose of quantities of alcohol, but then have home brewed beer at family gatherings.

I think (but don't actually know) that the rule was different for beer and wine as opposed to distilled liquors.
1.6.2009 1:31pm
EJN (mail):
If we're looking at real-life examples as in this author's stated case of increased prices driving demand down for heavy drinkers, I'd have to disagree. Living in CA we have the CRV tax already attached to buying cans and beer to encourage recycling. Do a majority of people recycle more because of this tax? Doubtful. I think people recycle because they know it is good for the environment, etc. The tax is just a slight annoyance when rung up at the register, the majority of people are not affected by a little extra at the register, even heavy drinkers. I think that the case for the tax curbing alcohol use is fairly dumb because the tax would have to be astronomical to make that difference.

I think the issue should be looked at as groups that are more likely to get DUI's and other stated problems: <25 young adults. A problem adding a tax with this group is their lack of other expenses(mortgage payment, children) that would take precedent over going out and having a good time with friends. There is a strong social aspect to drinking, especially with this age group, that won't easily be curbed.

I'm not saying that I have a better solution to the taxation other than education and encouraging alternative transportation to avoid DUI's.
1.6.2009 1:47pm
Aultimer:

WJR:

The social drinker who has 5-6 drinks per night every Friday and Saturday is probably much less of a threat than the occasional binge drinker who drinks 12-15 drinks once every other month, but otherwise remains abstinent or limited to occasional wine consumption. The binge drinkers are less likely to be deterred, at the margin, but you'll be likely to see a cutback among the social drinkers who are generally healthy in their consumption patterns.



I agree with your general point WJR, but in the nanny-state's opinion, your "social drinker" is a BINGE DRINKER.

The definition used by the National Survey is "Five or more drinks on the same occasion (i.e., at the same time or
within a couple of hours of each other)".
1.6.2009 1:55pm
Mikeyes (mail):
I think (but don't actually know) that the rule was different for beer and wine as opposed to distilled liquors.


The rule is still different. You can brew beer or make wine for personal use now up to a limit (which is never enforced) and buy all the equipment and consumables that you need on the Internet. It doesn't have to be sugar wine, either, you can make some tasty stuff if you adhere to a few simple rules about cleanliness.

Distilling without a license is illegal and for the most part much harder to do than brewing. It is also a lot harder to hide due to the odor. I lived in Nelson Co., KY for four years and know from personal experience. The citizens of Bardstown used to call it "the smell of money" as distilling drove the local economy.
1.6.2009 2:06pm
libertarian soldier (mail):
The 18th Amendment prohibited the manufacture of any alcohol:
Section 1. After one year from the ratification of this article the manufacture, sale, or transportation of intoxicating liquors within, the importation thereof into, or the exportation thereof from the United States and all territory subject to the jurisdiction thereof for beverage purposes is hereby prohibited.
The Volstad Act implementing it excluded homemade wine but not beer:
While the manufacture, sale, and transport of alcohol was illegal in the U.S., Section 29 of the Volstead Act allowed the making at home of wine and cider from fruit (but not beer). Up to 200 gallons per year could be made, and some vineyards grew grapes for home use.
It was amended to legalize 3.2 beer:
On March 23, 1933, President Franklin Roosevelt signed into law an amendment to the Volstead Act known as the Cullen-Harrison Act, allowing the manufacture and sale of "3.2 beer" (3.2% alcohol by weight, approximately 4% alcohol by volume) and light wines. The original Volstead Act had defined "intoxicating beverage" as one with greater than 0.5% alcohol.
1.6.2009 2:11pm
Abdul Abulbul Amir (mail):


Taxing (and yes, banning) alcohol leads to measurable public health improvements. That's indisputable.


Indisputable? It seems that Prohibition (banning) caused substantial negative impacts to many individuals. A certain Saint Valentine's Day in Chicago comes to mind. On top of that there are the problems of black market quality control, general acceptance of flouting the law, creation of criminal enterprises, police corruption, and diversion of public funds from health improvement activities to alcohol interdiction to name just a few.
1.6.2009 2:15pm
David Schwartz (mail):
But if you're going to equate all acts that encourage the creation of black markets with intentional killing, then I suppose all sales taxes are murder.
You misunderstand my argument.

There is no moral calculus that will justify your social engineering because the people you save, however many, cannot make up for the people you kill, even one. You do not get to choose who lives and who dies.

It's the same reason a person can't say, "I need to kill a few people to stay in medical school, but it's okay because I'm statistically likely to save more than that if I stay in medical school."

You simply cannot justify a tax on the grounds that it will save more people than it will kill.

Using taxes for social engineering is a simply evil.

Imagine what our society would be like if we permitted the use of force in cases where it is statistically likely to save more lives than it would take. Seriously, imagine it fully. Do you want to live in that world?
1.6.2009 2:18pm
David Schwartz (mail):
Why not prohibit skiing? Certainly the lives saved would exceed the lives taken. And skiing imposes negative externalities, among other things, everyone's medical costs go up because of it. And who really needs to ski?
1.6.2009 2:19pm
PubliusFL:
Mikeyes: Distilling without a license is illegal and for the most part much harder to do than brewing. It is also a lot harder to hide due to the odor. I lived in Nelson Co., KY for four years and know from personal experience. The citizens of Bardstown used to call it "the smell of money" as distilling drove the local economy.

Distillation by boiling à la Kentucky Bourbon isn't the only way to boost alcohol content above fermentation levels. Freeze distillation (as has been alluded to above) can get apple wine up to 60-proof or higher. Then it's called applejack. All you need is a freezer or a cold winter. You just chill your apple wine until it starts to freeze, skim off the ice or drain the liquid, and repeat. Each time, the part that freezes has a lower alcohol content than the part that remains liquid, concentrating the alcohol in the liquid.
1.6.2009 2:45pm
autolykos:

Why not prohibit skiing? Certainly the lives saved would exceed the lives taken. And skiing imposes negative externalities, among other things, everyone's medical costs go up because of it. And who really needs to ski?


That's the problem with any analysis that is as shallow as "we should adopt the set of laws that minimize [pick your negative consequence]". You can apply the same rationale to all junk food, many sports (certainly marathon running, mountain biking, football, basketball, hockey and boxing) and many other types of recreational activities (skiing, ice skating, fishing, hunting, driving, etc.). When you start from the flawed premise that people agree that reducing alcohol related problems means you can take any actions necessary to reduce those problems (including Cook's pseudo-prohibitionary taxes), you're going to end up with conclusions that flow from that flawed premise and strike most reasonable people as ridiculous.

By the way, since when is 5 drinks over a couple hours binge drinking? Where I come from, that's barely a good start.
1.6.2009 2:50pm
SeaLawyer:

By the way, since when is 5 drinks over a couple hours binge drinking? Where I come from, that's barely a good start.


It is just a bogus number that someone came up with.
1.6.2009 2:56pm
pintler:

Say goodbye to your IPAs and porters, you'll drink InBevBud, MolsonCoors, and BMCMiller and you'll LIKE IT.


Or go back to what I did a couple of decades ago, before the rise of craft breweries - brew my own.

To add a little bit of data, from dim memory, brewing your own was at least as cheap as buying Bud or whatever, and not a lot of trouble. The effort was per batch, not per gallon - making a gallon or ten gallons was basically the same effort. For me, one of the downsides was that I ended up with way more than I wanted to drink.
1.6.2009 3:04pm
Awesome-O:
There is no moral calculus that will justify your social engineering because the people you save, however many, cannot make up for the people you kill, even one. You do not get to choose who lives and who dies.

Then we can't have any police forces, either, because whatever the benefit in lives saved, once in a while a cop is going to shoot someone.

Nor can we have fire departments, because no matter how many lives they save, once in a while a fire truck will hit a car in an intersection killing its occupants.

We can't have any paramedics, because no matter how many lives they save, they'll eventually administer the wrong drug and kill the patient.

You don't get to decide who lives and who dies.
1.6.2009 3:05pm
Awesome-O:
Imagine what our society would be like if we permitted the use of force in cases where it is statistically likely to save more lives than it would take. Seriously, imagine it fully. Do you want to live in that world?

No, I want to live in a world where good ends cannot justify intrinsically evil means - one that does not contain this erstaz deontology.

Taxation of alcohol is not intrinsically evil. It may be a step in a chain of causation that results in someone dying, but not without the intervening act of a free moral agent.

Murder, however, is intrinsically evil, and can never be justifed based on the good it would cause.
1.6.2009 3:12pm
psychdoc (mail) (www):
For me, the Professor's argument succeeds in an anachronistic charm. There was a kerfuffle over ads for 'light cigarettes' in the 50's. As I recall some regulation stifled them; but, by suggesting to people that there was a danger to smoking, the ads did reduce smoking of cigarettes. Perhaps giving some incentive to sell breathalysers at liquor stores would help acquaint people with when they were drinking to the point of 'negative externalities.'
1.6.2009 3:16pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
From the original article

Unfortunately the preconception that leads to skepticism in this area is false. It is not true that alcohol abusers as a group are so highly motivated to get their “fix” that price is no object.


I would note that if someone was motivated to get their fix, the tax-free amount that can be produced (assuming a 1-adult household. For more than one, limits go to 200 gallons)

100 gallons of wine (say 10-12% abv)
plus
100 gallons of sake or similar high alcohol malt liquor (10-12% abv)
plus
cider (exempt from wine taxes under IRS tax code)

I can't find a legal definition of wine in the tax code, except that it does not include cider. Does it include mead and similar fermented beverages?

The fact is that if you really want to abuse alcohol, you can make enough of it to really cut down on the cost....

Note that state laws may impose limits of home brewing, and the above is not a federal home-brew limit, but a tax-exempt limit.
1.6.2009 3:19pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
pintler:

I make cider, mead, wine, and beer. The federal limits on home brewing tax-free are so high I can't imagine exceeding them. I would have to make 40 5gal batches of beer, 40 5-gal batches of wine, etc. to even come close.

Even at the hight of my home-brewing bit, I never brewed more than about 40-50 gallons per year. However I find it strange that when I was 16 and home-brewing, I did so legally, but when I was 19, it was not legal. Strange, screwed up laws :-)
1.6.2009 3:23pm
wooga:
Setting aside the statism issue, how can anyone in good faith advocate such a horribly regressive tax system as this? The rich will be unaffected by doubled wine costs, while the poor are severely burdened. Is the assumption (as somesense noted at 12:51) that only the poor need to be restricted in their alcohol because they lack some basic moral self regulation?

If the goal were to reduce alcohol consumption, wouldn't the proper recourse be to impose an alcohol rationing scheme? Or how about imposing a flat ban on .05 alcohol levels in all public places? That would certainly fit with the "OMG, 5 beers is teh devil binge drinking!" mentality of the freakin' ivy league pansies enacting our laws.

But no, the goal is NOT really to reduce alcohol consumption. The goal is just to reduce the alcohol consumption of "those people." This is sick, and illiberal in every sense of the word.
1.6.2009 3:30pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
(In my state, it is STILL legal for most 16-year-olds to make home-brewed beer and wine, but illegal for most 19-year-olds.)
1.6.2009 3:32pm
David Schwartz (mail):
Then we can't have any police forces, either, because whatever the benefit in lives saved, once in a while a cop is going to shoot someone.
The justification for the police force is that they respond to force with force. You would be correct if the only justification was that there was a net savings of life.

Nor can we have fire departments, because no matter how many lives they save, once in a while a fire truck will hit a car in an intersection killing its occupants.
The car accidents also are not justified by the lives saved. The accidents are simply the accidental results of any activity. I can drive to 7-11 just because I'm thirsty even though I risk killing someone. I don't need a moral calculus to justify it. If you don't want to take the statistical risk of a car accident, you can stay off the road, but we have all agreed to accept that risk.

By the way, there was an aircraft liability case that proceeded on exactly this theory. The guy flew for no reason (he just felt like it) and the additional load he placed on the air traffic control system prevented a controller from doing something he wasn't required to do but would probably have done had the load been lower. This would have averted an accident. As a result, a pilot was found liable for an aircraft accident despite having broken no rules and not being directly involved in the accident at all.

The bizarre result in this suit was the result of precisely this kind of moral calculus which, again, I utterly reject. You *cannot* weigh lives taken against lives saved, except when other people force you to -- in which case, you are simply minimizing the lives *they* take.

We can't have any paramedics, because no matter how many lives they save, they'll eventually administer the wrong drug and kill the patient.
Right, but they operate on people who consent. They couldn't operate without consent even if they did have the type of moral calculus argument you make. (And, in some cases, we reasonably assume the recipient would have consented because we we have no better choice.)

The difference is -- your only justification is the moral calculus. You have no other. You aren't responding to force. You aren't doing what you want with what is yours. You weren't putting others who consent at risk.

And the moral calculus argument simply doesn't wash. You can't kill one person to save three.

Otherwise, why not ban skiing?
1.6.2009 3:34pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Wooga:

Completely agree. Of course those of us who produce our own wine are also far less affected by the doubling if wine prices.

In reality, it means more business for selling the grapes from vineyards to folks like myself, and less business selling the wine.
1.6.2009 3:36pm
David Schwartz (mail):
Taxation of alcohol is not intrinsically evil.
Using State power to discourage people from taking actions that reduce their health risks is intrinsically evil. It's as evil as taxing penicillin.

It may be a step in a chain of causation that results in someone dying, but not without the intervening act of a free moral agent.
Sure, no law can harm people unless people follow or enforce it.

Governments simply cannot justify their coercive actions with a moral "saves more than it kills" calculus. That's simply not a justification for the use of force.
1.6.2009 3:37pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Philip Cook:

The most persuasive evidence comes from the laboratory of the states. Since 1981, I, my collaborators, and other economists and epidemiologists have analyzed the effect of state tax increases on alcohol sales but also on other outcomes, such as mortality due to alcohol-related causes. The results consistently favor the view that taxes (through their effect on prices) matter.


I am interested in this claim and I find it really, very fascinating. Does this calculation take into account restrictions on home brewing too? Is it likely that states which have lower taxes have more home-brewing resources available as well? How certain are you that this single measure (increasing the tax) rather than other policy decisions surrounding alcohol are the primary factors in your outcome?

In short, is it correlation or causation?
1.6.2009 3:40pm
autolykos:

Perhaps giving some incentive to sell breathalysers at liquor stores would help acquaint people with when they were drinking to the point of 'negative externalities.'


Be careful what you wish for. Most people I know that own breathalyzers merely use them to impress/compete with their friends.


Note that state laws may impose limits of home brewing, and the above is not a federal home-brew limit, but a tax-exempt limit.


Whether they do or don't, it's largely irrelevant as it's almost impossible to police. Making cider requires little more than apples, a container and a place to store it in your basement. Maybe the DEA can start tracking apple sales.
1.6.2009 3:44pm
Jon Rowe (mail) (www):
I couldn't imagine how expensive mixed drinks in notable bars would be if we taxed alcohol that much.

I agree that booze from the liquor store is relatively cheap; but it is NOT so at bars.
1.6.2009 3:50pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):

Whether they do or don't, it's largely irrelevant as it's almost impossible to police. Making cider requires little more than apples, a container and a place to store it in your basement. Maybe the DEA can start tracking apple sales.


Above the 100-200 gallon limit, it becomes federal tax evasion. However, my main point is that state law could make it harder to produce reasonable-quality alcoholic beverages in the comfort of your own home. FOr example, I don't know of many home-brewer stores in Utah.

In theory making low-grade beer just requires grain, water, a yeast, bittering herbs, and a place to store it. In practice, I dont know anyone who malts their own grains (but hey, I have thought about trying it).

Also the question of state laws is an interesting one and calls into question the culture towards alcohol vs the actual regulation. I am not at all certain that state laws have much of an effect. For example, I have been homebrewing since I was 16. Until I went to college, I couldn't find any WA State or Federal law I was violating. One I left the house it became illegal for me to continue. I didn't care about the law and continued to brew. Not that I was drinking heavily (I probably drank LESS than any of my friends).
1.6.2009 3:52pm
pintler:

If the goal were to reduce alcohol consumption, wouldn't the proper recourse be to impose an alcohol rationing scheme?


The teetotalers would sell their ration to the drunkards.

In the Royal Navy, for example, you had to down your daily tot immediately, under supervision, to avoid transfers.

(as an aside, on the differences in induced behavior between marijuana and booze, I recently read the autobio of an American who enlisted in the Canadian army during WWI. A tot of rum was commonly dispensed before going 'over the top' - a practice the writer much favored, feeling that the resulting lack of timidity made one safer and more effective. I have my doubts about that, but note that the British army and navy seemed to agree over a long period. OTOH, consider marijuana - it's difficult to imagine an effective attack after dispensing bong hits to the troops.)
1.6.2009 4:13pm
autolykos:

In theory making low-grade beer just requires grain, water, a yeast, bittering herbs, and a place to store it. In practice, I dont know anyone who malts their own grains (but hey, I have thought about trying it).


I don't make my own beer because I can buy a case of Fudd at the local Kwik-E-Mart for $10.99. If I couldn't, I, like my great-grandmother 80 years ago, would brew my own.
1.6.2009 4:17pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
autolykos:

My point is that a lack of supply of real brewing malts can make brewing beer a lot harder. Malting grains is a lot more work than just getting the malt extract at the brewing store. It involves sprouting the grains roasting them, etc. You need at least some malted grains if you want to brew because yeast won't eat starch by itself.

Home brewing in central Utah would be a pain. Home brewing here in WA state is not so bad.
1.6.2009 4:28pm
Pete Guither (mail) (www):
If you really want to get into reducing alcohol consumption, simply legalize marijuana. Some portion of the alcohol consuming population will switch to pot. No cirrhosis, no beating up spouses for that group. Abuse of marijuana is much less dangerous to the individual and those around him/her than is abuse of alcohol.

That way, you can reduce the damage (if that's the real reason for this desire), while avoiding meddling with those whose use of either drug is responsible.
1.6.2009 4:34pm
psychdoc (mail) (www):
Be careful what you wish for. Most people I know that own breathalyzers merely use them to impress/compete with their friends.


But that's only for real men, and you know their are very few of you, and the existence of motorcycles is reducing the number.
1.6.2009 4:37pm
H. Simpson:
Homer no function beer well without.
1.6.2009 4:53pm
tsotha:
Put me in the camp of people who think this sort of thing is beyond the government's mandate. Taxes are a necessary evil needed to fund the government. They shouldn't be used as a tool to control free people.

Drunk driving, public drunkenness, spousal abuse... these things are already illegal. There's no need to discourage something millions of people enjoy responsibly.
1.6.2009 5:09pm
Perseus (mail):
This entire article is anti-liberty, social engineering bullshit. I have no idea why this fascist is posting here.

The Founders were fascists then!

The single article of ardent spirits, under federal regulation, might be made to furnish a considerable revenue. ...That article would well bear this rate of duty; and if it should tend to diminish the consumption of it, such an effect would be equally favorable to the agriculture, to the economy, to the morals, and to the health of the society. (Federalist No. 12)
1.6.2009 5:11pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Perseus:

The Founders were fascists then!


OTOH, if George Washington could make whiskey, why can't I?
1.6.2009 5:17pm
Perseus (mail):
OTOH, if George Washington could make whiskey, why can't I?

As George Washington himself put it, distilled spirits are "the ruin of half the workmen in this Country." So, be prepared to pay a tax on each gallon that you distill, and a higher tax rate will be levied on those of you rabble-rousing small distillers.
1.6.2009 5:41pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Interesting.... I just discovered some interesting facts about laws regarding homebrewing in Washington State.

1) There is no STATE law which prohibits minors from producing home-brewed alcohol in the state, but....

2) Apparently, it is still illegal under federal law unless the 19-yo pays excise tax to the government, unless it falls within the household exemption (meaning there is a household with at least one over-21 adult).

Once again, brewing at home at 16: Legal, provided you don't give it to your under-21 friends.
Brewing at college at 19: Illegal as federal tax evasion, but not regulated by the state unless you give it to your under-21 friends.

What gives?
1.6.2009 5:42pm
Jon Rowe (mail) (www):
It's true that GW recognized inherent problems with alcohol and gambling. But he still, interestingly, drank and gambled.
1.6.2009 5:42pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Whit will probably find RCW 66.12.010 to be of interest.
1.6.2009 5:59pm
hey (mail):
[I didn't delete this comment because it had been responded to, but I've banned the commenter. Part of it is a perfectly fine substantive criticism, but the first and the last paragraphs (especially the last) are arrays of personal insults of the sort that I don't want on this blog. Commenters who don't like our comment policy can go insult our guests (or us or others) elsewhere. -EV]

Using taxation to attempt to control behavior is inherently evil. Dr Cook is thus inherently evil.

The shocking thing is that he is maniacally focused on the costs of alcohol. He seems to be the Al Gore of tasty fermented beverages, and his research has just as much quality and integrity (i.e. none).

You don't have to go back to Prohibition to find examples of taxation levels reduced dramatically to save lives and costs, despite the clamorings of public health fascists. Canada in the 90s had stupendous increases in cigarette prices. This lead to SERIOUS smuggling, helped by the presence of the US and several border indian reservations, most prominently in the vicinity of Cornwall, Ontario.

This smuggling got very violent, very quickly. Smuggled cigarettes became a huge business. An agreement between the Canadian government and tobacco companies was signed in July of 08 that settled tax claims in return for $1.2B in fines, and it is claimed that one company in the year after taxes were raised in 91 earned $600M from facilitating smuggling. Activists claim that 1/3rd of cigarettes in Canada during the period were smuggled.

Increasing taxes to achieve substantial reductions in consumption will also dramatically increase enforcement costs and do substantial damage to a country's integrity. Taxes like this increase the profits of smuggling, increase the presence of organized crime, and dramatically increase the frequency of bribery. Despite all libertarian arguments against government (which I wholly subscribe to) the most compelling argument against extending government powers and revenues is that they inherently lead to corruption and the destruction of the state. Punitively taxing minor luxuries for public health gains has a long history and an equally storied litany of failure.

In other words, be off to the 18th century, the 2nd century BC, or to any other benighted time that suffered malicious creatures like you, Prof Cook. You are a species of vile character that always crops up despite your inability to achieve your aims. Your kind of sophistry has ushered in every tyrannical regime, from the Bolsheviks to Blagojevich. You are a knave, a despicable creature, and have not a jot of intellect or integrity in your body, not to mention completely lacking anything resembling a soul.
1.6.2009 6:16pm
Dr. T (mail) (www):
Mr. Cook's attitudes thoroughly disgust me. He exemplifies the nannies that comprise nanny-state government. His belief on this subject can be summarized as: Some people misuse alcohol, therefore government should heavily tax alcohol to reduce the likelihood of misuse. This approach is analagous to the elementary school teacher who punishes the entire class because two students are whispering. It's a bad approach for children and a horrid approach for adults.
1.6.2009 6:29pm
Perseus (mail):
You are a knave, a despicable creature, and have not a jot of intellect or integrity in your body, not to mention completely lacking anything resembling a soul.

That doesn't seem to be consistent with the comment policy, and hardly creates an inviting atmosphere for guest bloggers.

Canada in the 90s had stupendous increases in cigarette prices. This lead to SERIOUS smuggling, helped by the presence of the US and several border indian reservations, most prominently in the vicinity of Cornwall, Ontario.

Even if true, all that demonstrates is that government should not pass "stupendous increases" in taxes.
1.6.2009 6:54pm
glangston (mail):
Shouldn't we let the Euros try this first. Increasing taxation of English beer or French or Italian wine would be extremely entertaining too.
1.6.2009 7:01pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
Perseus:

As George Washington himself put it, distilled spirits are "the ruin of half the workmen in this Country." So, be prepared to pay a tax on each gallon that you distill, and a higher tax rate will be levied on those of you rabble-rousing small distillers.


ATF rules make it MUCH harder to be a small distiller than it was in Washington's time.

Personally I think there should be a simple moonshiner's license at a fee of something like $300 per year with reduced facilities and testing requirements, but the restriction that the spirits cannot be sold. I don't object to paying a resonable tax even if it were to come out to be $60/gallon. I do object to onerous requirements that make it impractical to even try.
1.6.2009 7:01pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
(the $60 per gallon figures that I would be unlikely to make more than 5 gal/year for personal use. At $300/year for a license, that is what it would come up at.)
1.6.2009 7:03pm
Kazinski:
Congress will not raise prices by 10$ a fifth (that's 750ml in 2008) because their constituents would throw their mangy asses out of office next chance they got. I know it would affect my vote. The States are completely free to raise or lower alcohol taxes on their own, that they haven't, even in times when budgets are squeezed surely speaks to the simple fact that it would be very unpopular with voters.

Not to mention the fact that Congressmen themselves are not as a class teetotalers, and raising taxes that much would affect their own pocketbooks when and if they ever buy their own alcohol.
1.6.2009 7:35pm
autolykos:

That doesn't seem to be consistent with the comment policy, and hardly creates an inviting atmosphere for guest bloggers.


Maybe, but it made me laugh. Besides, it's hard to complain about decorum in the comments when bloggers can't even deign to offer a single comment or response. Way too many guest bloggers think this is just a classroom or other academic setting where they can just spout their drivel, no matter how tedious and poorly reasoned, completely unopposed.
1.6.2009 8:24pm
Guest12345:
Way too many guest bloggers think this is just a classroom or other academic setting where they can just spout their drivel, no matter how tedious and poorly reasoned, completely unopposed.


Given the absolute lack of scholarship behind the opposing comments, I'd have to say that so far he is completely unopposed.
1.7.2009 12:05am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):
Kirk writes:


I think you perhaps missed where he says moderate drinkers? At least from my vantage point, drinking until drunk, no matter how infrequently one does so, pretty much takes a person out of the category of "moderate drinker".
I'm still lost. I drink half a glass of wine, it makes me a bit relaxed, but that's all. There's really no joy for me in it. But if you want to drink some alcohol to get relaxed, it is not a problem for me. My wife likes a beer with dinner, and that's just fine. The concern that Professor Cook is raising isn't the problem of "moderate drinkers" but those who drink until drunk--and keep doing it, again and again.
1.7.2009 12:29am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

By the way, since when is 5 drinks over a couple hours binge drinking? Where I come from, that's barely a good start.
This is someone who is in no position to intelligently discuss the social costs associated with alcohol misuse. Indeed, several of the commenters here have made remarks that suggest that they have an need for intoxicants above and beyond just getting some "joy."
1.7.2009 12:30am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

It's true that GW recognized inherent problems with alcohol and gambling. But he still, interestingly, drank and gambled.
As with most behaviors, moderation is worth a lot. Professor Cook is targeting immoderate behavior with proposals that affect all behavior.
1.7.2009 12:36am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

Nobody's making the argument that we need to increase taxes to compensate for the harms caused by alcohol (or that the funds raised through such taxes will actually go to do so). A tax done merely to try and decrease the amount of a good consumed is a sin tax.
Uh, that's what Cook is EXACTLY arguing for. I don't agree with his approach, but you have utterly misread his argument. Your definition of "sin tax" leaves much to be desired in terms of consistency and applicability. Is the $200 NFA tax a "sin tax"? No. It was passed to discourage private ownership of machine guns, not because they were "sinful" (there are no machine gun bans in the Bible) but because Congress believed that there was a serious misuse of machine guns problem, and wanted to discourage them.

As for calling me a "wallflower": not really. But the difference is that I don't need to get buzzed to have a good time at a party.
1.7.2009 12:39am
Kirk:
Clayton,

The person you quoted about "joy" wasn't Prof. Cook, but rather the commenter autolykos, who himself is complaining that Cook's analysis, focussed as it is on those who do harm, ignores the benefits that the "moderates" get:
Cook isn't assigning any value to the substantial joy moderate drinkers get from consuming alcohol. [emphasis added]

In fact, since you go on to say a bit later "Professor Cook is targeting immoderate behavior with proposals that affect all behavior", it really sounds to me like your area of agreement with autolykos is fairly substantial.
1.7.2009 1:05am
Brian Tucker:
Without entering the debate on the propriety or sizing of alcohol taxes, I would suggest that NO TAX be indexed to inflation.

This would be perhaps the only incentive in the entire government to not debase our currency (we now call it inflation, since we aren't actually adding base metals to our coins - oh wait, we did that...).

I'd like more of these.
1.7.2009 8:51am
PubliusFL:
Kazinski: Congress will not raise prices by 10$ a fifth (that's 750ml in 2008) because their constituents would throw their mangy asses out of office next chance they got. I know it would affect my vote. The States are completely free to raise or lower alcohol taxes on their own, that they haven't, even in times when budgets are squeezed surely speaks to the simple fact that it would be very unpopular with voters.

Not to mention the fact that Congressmen themselves are not as a class teetotalers, and raising taxes that much would affect their own pocketbooks when and if they ever buy their own alcohol.


Here's my "thinking like a sleazy politician" solution:

1. Congress pressures the states to significantly raise their own alcohol taxes by tying highway or health funding to alcohol tax rates, same way they get the states to maintain a drinking age of 21.

2. Congress gives members of Congress the right to use military commissaries, exchanges, and Class VI (liquor) stores, where goods are sold free of state taxes.

Congressmen get their cheap booze, the great unwashed are discouraged from naughty behavior, and the military recruiting problem is solved! ;)
1.7.2009 9:04am
pluribus:

Also, for the record, alcohol isn't considered a "sin" by the "christian church", more just the Puritanical strain that is as American as the Pilgrims (who also drank beer).

Jesus not only drank wine (untreated water in those days was even more dangerous to drink than wine), he made it--turning water into wine at Cana. Water could (still can) be effectively treated by adding a little wine (the alcohol kills the microbes), as people have done for thousands of years. The Founders liked to drink--Jefferson preferred table wine, Adams Madeira. Why one strain of Fundamentalist Christianity has labeled it a sin, like playing cards or dancing, I can't understand. A Puritan is a person who suspects that somewhere, someone is having a good time, and he is determined to put a stop to it.

Drunkeness is a problem--the moderate use of alcohol isn't.
1.7.2009 10:19am
Richard Aubrey (mail):
Two questions: They'll leave Sheffield Tawny Port alone, right? Won't they?

Legalizing drugs will rid us of the whole criminal enterprise, from Afghanistan to the Andean Ridge to Juarez to the 'hood. Big advantage to everybody.
However, with the loss of the criminal premium or markup, and the increased availability of drugs, won't we see an increase in the issues that increasing the price of booze is meant to reduce?
Will we net out ahead?

Drugs, to start with, make you feel good. But after a while, you have to have them to not feel like you're dying. This is different from booze, except for a few of the unfortunate long-term alcoholics.

Needing a hit of some opiate in the morning to be able to function at all during the day is different from coffee and even from breakfast. You can get by without the second and third with only a bit of physiological distraction.
1.7.2009 10:33am
Clayton E. Cramer (mail) (www):

In fact, since you go on to say a bit later "Professor Cook is targeting immoderate behavior with proposals that affect all behavior", it really sounds to me like your area of agreement with autolykos is fairly substantial.
Indeed. But what I find fascinating is the emotional reaction that some of the drinkers (and pot smokers) get when you point out what should be blindingly obvious: there are negative externalities to the abuse of these drugs. I can disagree with Professor Cook about the best strategy for solving this problem, and still agree with him that there is a serious problem.
1.7.2009 11:31am
whit:
as a strength athlete, who pays a LOT of attention to what i eat, i can also say there are all sorts of negative externalities associated with the abuse of food.

it doens't even have to be "junk food", but overeating of food in general, results in incredible amounts of health care and other costs that much of society has to suck up and pay.

i have no issue with cook's undisputable claim that there are all sorts of negatives associated with ABUSE of drugs and alcohol.

the problem is punishing all the (non-abusive) users of these substances for the abuses of the few.

i like the fact that just the other day, i could go to mcdonald's and get 2 big macs for $3.

so, i did. i do not abuse crap food like big macs. i maintain very low bf, and eat massive amounts of green vegetables, fruits, efa's, etc. etc.

so, why should *i* be punished with sin taxes if i want to have *a* beer, or a couple of big macs.

the problem again is punishing the responsible people who indulge in X (drugs, food, whatnot) for the abuses of the people who abuse X.

not to mention that there are all sorts of unintended consequences when you either ban, or heavily tax certain items - black markets, substitute substances, etc.


another issue is that many drugs, to include alcohol, and many foods even that are thought of as "junk foods" have benefits as well as costs, and when used responsibly in many cases the benefits far outweigh the costs.

nanny govt. sets this one big mega-regulator that doesn't take into account all these micro-decisions that people make (it can't), but seeks to punish everybody instead of allowing the market, and society to punish those who cause us negative externalities.
1.7.2009 3:02pm
road2serfdom:
Well that's the issue. For some reason, Cook isn't assigning any value to the substantial joy moderate drinkers get from consuming alcohol. The calculus isn't simply "what policy/level of tax will reduce in the least number of robberies/rapes/DUIs/etc" (that policy is almost certainly prohibition, even with the black markets that develop). You have to balance that benefit against the loss of social utility associated with the policy. Chianti-sippers like Cook don't understand that because they assign little to no utility to alcohol consumption.

I wonder if Professor Cook had a hangover in grad school the day they tought the "benefit" side of cost-benefit analysis. His book on Cost of Gun Violence has a similar problem. He seems to spend a lot of effort trying to tally up "costs" of certain products he does not like, without any attempt to figure out a complete estimate of the total benefit of the product (consumer surplus, postitive externalities.)
1.7.2009 4:53pm
ohwilleke:
I have no doubt that a tax would reduce consumption of alcohol measured in dollars. Presumably, though, only part would be from a reduced number of drinks, while quite a bit more would be through choosing cheaper drinks.
1.9.2009 2:11pm
Drug Rehab Services (mail) (www):
Thanks for the info,

I also found another source of information that may make it easier for someone to find the appropriate alcohol addiction treatment and center that is best suited for the individual and/or the family’s needs better, with their expertise and knowledge.
www.drug-rehab.ca/alcoholaddiction.htm
1.10.2009 6:40am

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