The Volokh Conspiracy

Ezra Merkin, Graham & Dodd, Warren Buffett, Nathan Detroit, and the World’s largest Ponzi scheme.

Ezra Merkin, the (presumably outgoing) Chair of GMAC, funneled large amounts of other people’s investment money into Bernie Madoff’s funds.

Ironically, Merkin wrote the Introduction to Chapter 3 of the 6th edition of Graham and Dodd’s Security Analysis (with a Foreword by Warren Buffett).

Merkin decries the “temptation to speculate.” He argues (p. 266):

[P]ropositions that would ordinarily sound ridiculous become strangely plausible. It's just like when Big Julie, in the classic Broadway musical Guys and Dolls, challenged Nathan Detroit to a game of craps played with dice that had no dots, other than those Big Julie claimed he could see.

Yet this is just what Merkin did. Ezra Merkin invested in “a game of craps played with dice that had no dots, other than those [Bernie Madoff] claimed he could see." The strategy that Madoff said he used (a “split-strike conversion strategy”) worked for no one except Madoff, booking profits that only Madoff could see.

I hope that none of GMAC’s assets were invested with Madoff or we would be bailing out the victims of a Ponzi scheme. The US government can’t afford to do that when it is already running the world’s largest Ponzi scheme.

Federal Dog:
Social Security is the world's largest Ponzi scheme.
1.7.2009 7:53am
Brian Tucker (mail):
Ummm, Federal Dog, I think that's the point of the last sentence...

or perhaps you were just noting your agreement.
1.7.2009 8:25am
Horatio (mail):
The US government can’t afford to do that when it is already running the world’s largest Ponzi scheme.

And any attempt to end the game is met with scorn and derision by most on the left and the MSM.
1.7.2009 8:33am
Sarcastro (www):
Taxing citizens and then spending the money is a Ponzi scheme.
1.7.2009 9:07am
Hauk (mail):
And any attempt to end the game is met with scorn and derision by most on the left and the MSM.

Is this intentional or unintentional (self-)parody?
1.7.2009 9:10am
Sarcastro (www):
Democracy is a Ponzi scheme where the currency is free will.
1.7.2009 9:25am
Prof. S. (mail):
Social Security is not a Ponzi scheme. Or at least that's what they tried to claim on their old website.

I guess they took it down from their current website. I guess they couldn't even write it without snickering a little.
1.7.2009 9:31am
U.Va. Grad:
And this has what, exactly, to do with Warren Buffett? Oh, wait; I forgot. He wrote a book foreword! And that foreword was in the same book as a chapter written by another guy who made some terrible, awful decisions, including investing other people's money with Madoff! This means Buffett is linked to the Madoff scandal!
1.7.2009 10:29am
Horatio (mail):
And any attempt to end the game is met with scorn and derision by most on the left and the MSM.

Is this intentional or unintentional (self-)parody?

Color me dense, but your attempt at clarity is ambiguous
1.7.2009 10:48am
DiverDan (mail):

Color me dense, but your attempt at clarity is ambiguous


No - ambiguous means that it is subject to more than one meaning - I think the word you are looking for is "inane" or "assinine"
1.7.2009 12:59pm
A. Zarkov (mail):
[DELETED]
1.7.2009 1:28pm
Sarcastro (www):
[DELETED]
1.7.2009 1:37pm
von Neumann (mail):
There is at least one moral to the Madoff story:

If you are going to run a Ponzi scheme purportedly in equity investments, it pays to be short the market so that there is cash when most of the redemptions are requested.
1.7.2009 3:23pm
BGates:
Taxing citizens and then spending the money is not what the government says happens with "contributions" to the Social Security "fund".
1.7.2009 5:18pm
Sarcastro (www):

Taxing citizens and then spending the money is not what the government says happens with "contributions" to the Social Security "fund".

But the Ponzi moniker still applies!
1.7.2009 5:21pm
Thales (mail) (www):
Yet another page in the annals of why A. Zarkov should be banned.

As for the Ponzi scheme analogy with Social Security, I actually think the old explanation they posted is compelling. Moreover, the sustainability or otherwise of a pay as you go system funded by the full faith and credit of a sovereign, democratically accountable government is not comparable in any meaningful sense to a complex fraud of the kind Ponzi and Madoff created. It might be bad policy, or unrealistic, or stupid, or involve unrealized liabilities that should be realized, but a fraud? That's too cute by half.
1.7.2009 5:27pm
Calderon:
I don't find the government's old explanation of how SS isn't a Ponzi scheme very convincing for a couple of reasons.

First, they compare SS to a Ponzi scheme guaranteeing a 100% profit in some short time period. If the Ponzi scheme had some crappy rate of return like SS does, then you'd near far fewer people to sustain it. Moreover, so long as prior investors are willing to re-invest in the scheme (as they apparently did with Madoff), it can keep going for quite a while since the schemers won't "run out" of new people.

Second, the government claims in the article that a growing number of people are necessary to sustain a Ponzi scheme. But a growing working population certainly makes sustaining SS much easier, and may be necessary (at least as a political matter) to meeting the government's promises. If the the ratio of retirees to workers significantly increases, so that the payroll tax burden on current workers would have to sharply increase to maintain SS benefits at their current rates, then chances are high that social security benefits would be sharply reduced. That'd be especially true if the political culture had frequent rioting and strikes by workers to protest government action (that is, if the US becomes more like France)
1.7.2009 6:52pm
BGates:
Sarcastro's posts are all worthwhile! These statements are biting sarcasm because of the punctuation!
1.7.2009 7:31pm

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