Should Obama Alarm Free Traders?

Last March, noted trade economist Jagdish Bhagwati suggested there were good reasons to believe that Barack Obama would be a fairly free trade president. Now, however, Bhagwati is concerned. He writes in yesterday's FT that any such optimism was an "illusion" and it is time to sound the alarm due to the poor free-trade credentials of his nominees and his relative silence on the importance of multilateral trade. If Bhagwati is correct, this is indeed cause for concern.

Thorley Winston (mail) (www):
It seems that the original “optimism” was based on comments in an interview that Senator Clinton gave and speculation that her union supporters may have been more protectionist than Senator Obama’s union supporters while discounting what Obama actually campaigned on with the “hope” that he would abandon it once he was actually elected.

As far as whether it should “alarm” those of us who favor greater trade liberalization efforts, the answer is “no” because we already knew, despite claims to the contrary from those who thought that Barack Obama was whatever they wanted him to be, that Obama’s a statist in his economic views and we didn’t expect him to suddenly change if he was elected President with a Congress controlled by his own party that shared those same views.
1.9.2009 3:29pm
Sagar:
It must be fun being Obama - watching people attribute stuff to him and then gnash their teeth when things appears to be different!

In fairness, he hasn't said or done much to warrant this sine wave of optimism and alarm. Why can't people just wait for his actual proposals and actions before they tee off one way or the other!?
1.9.2009 4:21pm
Alexia:
Government alarms free traders. The end.
1.9.2009 4:29pm
Asterix:
"Government alarms free traders. The end."

Possibly, but Socialist government much more so.
1.9.2009 5:41pm
Steve:
"Free trade" is just a label use to designate the bundle of corporate subsidies we want people to like, as opposed to the bundle we want people to dislike. No one in politics favors any real sort of free trade, so I'm certainly not going to freak out because Obama wants one bundle and other people want a different bundle.
1.9.2009 5:53pm
Sarcastro (www):
Asterix has a point. The way back to prosperity runs through America, circa 1795.
1.9.2009 5:55pm
EC (mail):
"Government alarms free traders. The end."
Best response ever. It's funny because it's true.
1.9.2009 8:30pm
Brian Garst (www):
I don't know why anyone was ever optimistic. I understand that politicians lie, but being the union tool that he is, Obama's protectionist populism never struck me as just campaign rhetoric. He has to deliver to his biggest and most powerful constituency, and we'll all suffer for it.
1.9.2009 9:02pm
don juan (mail):
We are in the worst recession in possibly seventy years. Free trade, of the sort which has prevailed over the last twenty years has not softened the blow. Indeed if not for a few trillion U$D in bailouts around the globe this would already be another great depression. But if you happy, then glum, then plotting for your return to power free traders were in charge none of these mega government interventions would have been possible. Free Trade is a misnomer. It's not trade, it's an uber rich special interest group heavily addicted to idealogical bubble gum. And for the majority of "folks" its expensive as hell. As far as Obama goes- who knows at this point? The real concern is that the people who brought about this mess will probably continue to run the country from their toxic country clubs. This blog sux. The end.
1.9.2009 9:16pm
Bruce McCullough (mail):
Can anyone spell "Smoot-Hawley"?

How about "Santayana"?
1.9.2009 9:34pm
Thoughtful (mail):
Yeah...after socializing the entire banking and financial industry, like free trade is going to be able to save us...
1.9.2009 9:41pm
Dave N (mail):
don juan,

Nobody requires you to read the VC. If you don't like it here, don't let the door hit you on the way out.
1.9.2009 10:24pm
American Psikhushka (mail):
don juan-

Free trade, of the sort which has prevailed over the last twenty years has not softened the blow.

It probably delayed the crash somewhat. And things would probably be worse without it. Of course the crash is largely the result money and credit creation by the Federal Reserve, not free trade.

Indeed if not for a few trillion U$D in bailouts around the globe this would already be another great depression.

Unfortunately the bailouts are likely to make things worse. The only engine of wealth and job creation is the private economy. Putting it into more debt and the future taxation that the debt entails isn't going to help it create wealth and jobs. The other solution is for the Fed to print its way out of the debt, which is even worse.

It's not trade, it's an uber rich special interest group heavily addicted to idealogical bubble gum.

I don't know about that. I don't see people being strongarmed into buying foreign cars, electronics, etc. People buy those products because they are good, cheap, or both.

And for the majority of "folks" its expensive as hell.

Not nearly as expensive as the high tax rate and high inflation (the additional hidden tax rate).

The only engine of true wealth and job creation is the private economy. The only way to help it create more societal wealth and jobs is to lower the main drag on it, which is taxes. This has to be done without going into debt, so tax cuts have to be paired with spending cuts. Arguing about government spending without an overall lowering of that spending is pretty futile, because you are leaving the drag of taxes in place.
1.10.2009 3:46am
David Warner:
Why should anything alarm free traders? We don't control the security system. We're actors, not responders - we do the best we can with what we got to convince whom we can.
1.10.2009 9:12am
Hoosier:
Well, OK. Since no else will say it, here goes:

In Russia, free traders scare Obama.
1.10.2009 10:44pm
TokyoTom (mail):
Jon, I imagine you realize that any cap and trade or carbon tax system will go hand in hand with with measures designed to "encourage" India and China to do the same. Domestic industry will insist onit.
1.11.2009 10:35am
Mike Mahoney (mail):
Free trade - Santa Claus - Easter Bunny - Martians - ain't. The end.
Original, hey?
1.11.2009 2:42pm

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