The Volokh Conspiracy

For the Birds:

For two weeks in a row, every NFL playoff game with a "bird team" was won by a bird team. The only bird team to lose last week (the Atlanta Falcons) lost to another bird team (the Arizona Cardinals), and all three bird teams (the Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles and Baltimore Ravens) won this weekend as well. As an Eagles fan, I like this pattern, but it won't help next week when they play the Cardinals.

LM (mail):
So far I've picked one for seven. This whole playoffs is for the birds.
1.11.2009 6:42pm
Jonathan613:
I'm predicting Eagles make it to the Bowl. Thank Comcast for breaking the curse of William Penn. What a year!
1.11.2009 6:50pm
John Burgess (mail) (www):
Jonathan613: Okay, now you've provoked curiosity...

Care to spell that out for non-Pennsylvanians?
1.11.2009 7:12pm
Steven Lubet (mail):
Perhaps we can look forward to an all avian superbowl.
1.11.2009 7:14pm
Oren:
Well, at least it's not the only theory around here that lacks predictive power.

/badtaste
/ducks
1.11.2009 7:45pm
byomtov (mail):
Shows that the ground game is overrated, I suppose.
1.11.2009 8:00pm
Patent Lawyer:
And meanwhile, Clevelanders sit and cry in anticipation of a Baltimore/Pittsburgh AFC Championship. Time to root for the meteor...
1.11.2009 8:50pm
David Warner:
The top three defenses in the league are all still alive. The Panthers defense ranked behind the Bengals. Good pitching beats good hitting.
1.11.2009 9:15pm
Barry P. (mail):
When a building taller than the statue of William Penn on top of City Hall in Philly was erected, the city was cursed.

In 2008 a newest tallest building, the Comcast Center was built, and a small statue of William Penn was placed at the top of the building. And the curse is lifted!
1.11.2009 11:21pm
surfer:
1.11.2009 11:42pm
Eli Rabett (www):
Does this mean that we have to twitter?
1.12.2009 12:14am
PabloF:
And Pittsburgh is home to the Penguins... hmmmm....
1.12.2009 12:59am
Brian G (mail) (www):
E-A-G-L-E-S...EAGLES!!!
1.12.2009 3:38am
Horatio (mail):
Can't wait for the Eagles to die of thirst out here in the desert...have the vultures pick at their eyeballs

:)
1.12.2009 9:37am
ralph:
Birds can't fly thru steel curtains.
1.12.2009 10:08am
Daniel Chapman (mail):
How many NFC championships has McNabb blown in his career?
1.12.2009 10:31am
loki13 (mail):
1. Since all my dogs are long out of the NFL picture.... GO CARDS! I think by adopting them I've doubled their fanbase.

2. Since I didn't see the BCS thread on volokh this year, I have to make the following points:

a. The Gators in the last three years:
i. National Champions
ii. Heisman
iii. National Champions

b. SEC has won three in a row and 4/6.

c. Texas had to come from behind to beat an overrated OSU team. T. Tech was demolished by Ol' Miss. Oklahoma lost (and their offense wasn't all that). Okie St. lost. Since those were the "powerhouse" teams of the Big12- well, I think we all learned a lesson.

d. Final lesson learned, as always- The SEC and the Pac10 are where the real football is played.
1.12.2009 10:48am
Richard Souther:
I propose the following tie-breaker for bird vs. bird games: Which bird would win in a battle out in the wild?

As a die-hard Iggles fan, I like the odds of an Eagle v. a Cardinal fight to the death.
1.12.2009 12:11pm
Jonathan613:
Wikipedia has a good discussion of the Penn curse. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curse_of_Billy_Penn It will have to be updated shortly to reflect the Eagles SuperBowl victory.
1.12.2009 12:27pm
guy in the veal calf office (mail) (www):
loki13: You forgot the Mountain West. 5-1 vs Pac 10 (I think), 1-0 vs SEC after walloping Alabama.
1.12.2009 12:45pm
loki13 (mail):
guy in the veal calf office,

I would support giving the Big10's BCS spot to the Mountain West.
1.12.2009 12:53pm
Spitzer:
And yet, of all the "bird" teams in the NFL, several of whom pre-date the Super Bowl era (Eagles, Cardinals), only 1 super bowl victor has been a bird of any sort.

Oddly enough, even though most teams are named for animals, most super bowls have been won by teams with non-animal names (see, e.g., Steelers, 49ers, Cowboys, Redskins, Packers, Patriots, Giants). Despite the fact that past history being no indicator of future performance, this record strongly implies that we should expect to crown the Steelers on Super Bowl sunday.
1.12.2009 12:58pm
Leland (mail):
I propose the following tie-breaker for bird vs. bird games: Which bird would win in a battle out in the wild?

I'm sure the Eagles could use a tie-breaker, if they read the rules, but the Cardinals already beat the Falcons on the field of battle.
1.12.2009 1:12pm
loki13 (mail):

Oddly enough, even though most teams are named for animals, most super bowls have been won by teams with non-animal names . . . .


This statement is half-true.

Unclear:
Bills (mascot is a Buffalo, but a Bill is not an animal)

Animals:
Dolphins, Ravens, Bengals, Colts, Jaguars, Broncos, Eagles, Bears, Lions, Falcons, Panthers, Cardinals, Rams, Seahawks
TOTAL: 14

Non-Animals:
Patriots, Jets, Browns, Steelers, Texans, Titans, Chiefs, Raiders, Chargers, Cowboys, Giants, Redskins, Packers, Vikings, Saints, Bucs, 49ers
TOTAL: 17 (18 counting the Bills)

Expected win % of non-animal teams: 56.25%

Number of wins (after mergers... starting with SB V):
29 Non-Animals
9 Animals

Actual win % of non-animal teams: 76.31%

So non-animal teams outnumber the animal teams, and, in fact, had I done a more comprehensive analysis, this might have been "more fair" (expansion teams more likely to have animal names):
Expansion '76: Bucs &Seahawks (1/2 animal)
Next Expansion: Jaguars &Panthers (2 animals)
Next Expansion: Texans &Ravens (1/2 animals)
So expansion has brought us 4/6 more animals, which is well more than the average, especially the Jax/Charlotte expansion.
1.12.2009 1:13pm
The Cabbage (mail):
Would you count Ditka as an animal?

Biologically: Mammal
Spiritually: Valar
1.12.2009 1:27pm
Steve H:
after mergers... starting with SB V

Why not start with SB I?

That adds four non-animal winners. (Packers, Packers, Jets, Chiefs.)
1.12.2009 1:46pm
Eric James Stone (mail) (www):
> Bills (mascot is a Buffalo, but a Bill is not an animal)

No, but a bill is a part of an animal: "the parts of a bird's jaws that are covered with a horny or leathery sheath; beak."

Some might object that buffalo do not have bills, but I figure there can be buffalo wings, there can be buffalo bills.
1.12.2009 2:03pm
loki13 (mail):
Steve H,

I don't consider the first four "real" Super Bowls, that's why. The math isn't too hard-

Brings winning % up to 78.57%

What would make this more interesting is if you broke out the various nicknames for units of people:
Steelers, Cowboys, Raiders, Texans, Chiefs, Redskins, Vikings, Packers, Bucs, 49ers

This leaves out the mythological:
Titans, Giants, Saints

Named after individuals:
Bills (Buffalo Bill Cody), Browns (Paul Brown)

And "other":
Jets, Chargers

It would seem that if you were starting a franchise, your most successful name would be name yourself after a group of people.
1.12.2009 2:35pm
Fedya (www):
Since when are human beings not animals?
1.12.2009 3:58pm
Spitzer:
Without doing the research, I have to wonder if this trend can be found in the pre-Super Bowl era as well. There were lots of old NFL animal teams (e.g. Bears, Lions, Colts, Eagles, Cardinals) and non-animal (e.g. Giants, Redskins, Browns, Panthers/Steelers). Same with the old AFL (e.g. Chargers v Broncos).

Just a thought.
1.13.2009 10:30am

Post as: [Register] [Log In]

Account:
Password:
Remember info?

If you have a comment about spelling, typos, or format errors, please e-mail the poster directly rather than posting a comment.

Comment Policy: We reserve the right to edit or delete comments, and in extreme cases to ban commenters, at our discretion. Comments must be relevant and civil (and, especially, free of name-calling). We think of comment threads like dinner parties at our homes. If you make the party unpleasant for us or for others, we'd rather you went elsewhere. We're happy to see a wide range of viewpoints, but we want all of them to be expressed as politely as possible.

We realize that such a comment policy can never be evenly enforced, because we can't possibly monitor every comment equally well. Hundreds of comments are posted every day here, and we don't read them all. Those we read, we read with different degrees of attention, and in different moods. We try to be fair, but we make no promises.

And remember, it's a big Internet. If you think we were mistaken in removing your post (or, in extreme cases, in removing you) -- or if you prefer a more free-for-all approach -- there are surely plenty of ways you can still get your views out.