Did the Court Move Right?

It's somewhat predictable. Another Supreme Court term ends, and commentators make sweeping generalizations based upon the result in a handful of cases. Thus, pundits proclaimed the arrival of a conservative revolution after the October 2006 Term, only to mount a hasty retreat after the October 2007 term failed to follow the script.

Wednesday's Washington Post features a story with a headline proclaiming this term saw a "move to the Right." Yet the most notable, and surprising, decisions this term were not sudden shifts to the Right, but the Court's failure to do so — it's failure to declare portions of the Voting Rights Act unconstitutional in NAMUDNO, its failure to find preemption in Wyeth v. Levine and Cuomo v. Clearing House, its failure to endorse broad executive power to disregard environmental laws in NRDC v. Winter. As the Post story acknowledges, this was more a Court "on the verge" than it was a Court clearing new ground.

This court may be more-likely-than-not to decide any given case in a "rightward" direction, but it is not particularly likely to move the law to the Right. So, for example, in Osborne the Court rejected the invitation to create a constitutional right to post-conviction DNA testing. This is a "conservative" result, but it was not a change in the law. The failure to recognize new constitutional rights does not a conservative shift make. Four years in to the Roberts Court, it's hard to identify a meaningful rightward shift comparable to its continued leftward shifts in many areas (as in Boumediene, Kennedy v. Louisiana, Mass. v. EPA, Caperton, etc.).

As I have maintained for some time — since pundits were rushing to proclaim that the Roberts Court had become radically conservative after the October 2006 term — the dominant features of the Roberts Court are a) a conservative minimalism that favors narrow holdings and generally seeks to maintain precedent, and b) the idiosyncratic jurisprudence of Justice Kennedy, which controls the outcome (and the tenor) of so many decisions. The end result is a moderately conservative Court, but one that is almost as likely to lurch Left as it is to inch to the Right.

Next term may well challenge my view, however. Indeed, it could turn out to be quite unpredictable (and revealing). The Court has accepted quite a number of cases that may force it to address big questions, including the Appointments Clause (Free Enterprise Fund v. PCAOB), regulatory takings (Stop the Beach Renourishment v. Florida DEP), and the Commerce Clause (Comstock), and that's not even counting the reargument in Citizens United or the prospect of another gun rights case. Throw a new justice into the mix, and we're going to have fun with this one. Given the substance of some of these cases, I suppose it's a no-lose proposition for me. Either the Court confirms the line I've been taking, or it shows some interest in curtailing federal power. Any bets which it will be?

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Did the Court Move Right?
  2. Is the Roberts Court Suddenly "Minimalist"?
Dean Esmay (www):
Hate to be a nitpicker, but:

"it's failure declare portions?"

Whaah?

["failure TO declare portions" - Fixed. Thanks.]
7.1.2009 2:46am
Soronel Haetir (mail):
If the court had made a major move to the right, section 5 of the voting rights act would be history. Instead the court simply stated that the usual construction of political subdivision is to be used when dealing with the bailout provision.
7.1.2009 2:49am
BRM:
Why exactly is federal preemption a "right" issue? If anything, the holding that federal statutes impliedly preempt various state liability schemes represents results-oriented jurisprudence from those who advocate for tort reform.
7.1.2009 3:00am
Sarcastro (www):
I always suspected replacing O'Connor with that moderate Alito would lead to the court jerking to the left.
7.1.2009 3:04am
BRM:
I don't think the Court has really moved left or right. We just have a wider variance because Kennedy decides most cases and he can be all over the place. Unlike O'Connor, who tended to at least stay somewhere in the middle in most cases, Kennedy can jump fairly strongly into either camp as any specific case compels him to do so.
7.1.2009 3:08am
MCM (mail):
This court may be more-likely-than-not to decide any given case in a "rightward" direction


I'm pretty sure Orwell just rolled over in his grave.
7.1.2009 3:28am
Steve:
Why exactly is federal preemption a "right" issue? If anything, the holding that federal statutes impliedly preempt various state liability schemes represents results-oriented jurisprudence from those who advocate for tort reform.

Federal preemption of tort claims and state regulation is certainly a goal of the political Right - or at least it was when the Right was in power at the federal level. However, in judicial terms, federalism has almost solely been a feature of the Right, so I agree with you that it's odd to see a pro-federalism decision (i.e. no preemption) described as a Left-friendly result.

Process-wise, leaving a matter to the States is a "Right" result, but that becomes an incoherent description unless you look at the substance as well. For example, the Kelo decision created a standard of extreme federal deference to the decisions of state and local governments regarding eminent domain policy, pursuant to the traditional understanding that land use is a local matter. But I've never seen anyone make the argument that Kelo was a "Right" decision merely because it came out in favor of state and local power, and of course the Supreme Court lined up in precisely the opposite direction. So it's about more than just whether the federal government ended up with more or less power.
7.1.2009 3:50am
BRM:
Judge Posner has defended Kelo as a conservative decision (in his book How Judges Think because it defers to local political choice. But I agree that is not a commonly-made point.

I don't think Kelo "created" a standard of extreme deference as much as it recognized a longstanding tradition of almost total deference and suggested that there could be some theoretical limit that was not met in the case at hand.

I think Kelo and preemption cases like Wyeth show that deference to states is not the sole province of the "right".

I also think the Roberts court has not moved very far to the right because the Rehnquist court was already firmly ensconced on the right. Major "left" decisions like Boumediene and Mass v. EPA stand out precisely because they mark uncommon deviations from the general "right" decisionmaking of a majority of the Roberts court.
7.1.2009 4:15am
Steve:
I don't think Kelo "created" a standard of extreme deference as much as it recognized a longstanding tradition of almost total deference and suggested that there could be some theoretical limit that was not met in the case at hand.

Well, I agree with that, but I didn't want to fight about it. Someday there will be a followup case to Kelo that has Caperton-like facts, and then we'll really find out who loves a bright-line test!
7.1.2009 7:48am
Respondent:
DOn't forget Maryland v. Shatzer, in which the court is liklely to severely limit what has been a right not to be badgered by police after invoking your right to counsel. And the grant in Briscoe v. Virginia suggests that Melendez-Diaz may be very short lived.
7.1.2009 8:26am
rosetta's stones:
"I don't think Kelo Dred Scot "created" a standard of extreme deference as much as it recognized a longstanding tradition of almost total deference and suggested that there could be some theoretical limit that was not met in the case at hand."

Is my edit hyperbolic? Probably.

In fact, yes, it is, as I don't believe Dred Scot even suggested the existence of any theoretical limit.

But if the original quote is a correct description of a current situation, that there has been a longstanding tradition of almost total deference in this area, then it seems to be in line with the edit theoretically here, even if not magnitudinally. And ironically, Dred Scott was to be considered as property, per that decision. Property that was to be protected.

Dred Scot seemed to declare the Missouri Compromise as unconstitutional. Kelo seems to declare the Constitution unconstitutional, as it threw out the "public use" portion.

"Left" and "Right" labels don't apply here... not on that one, and not in the 1850's case, either.

And in both cases, the law is an ass.
7.1.2009 8:46am
Snaphappy:
Mark my words: The dominant feature of the Roberts Court will be an excruciating clawing toward the right, at least until/unless Kenney, Thomas, or Scalia leaves the bench in a Democratic administration. Roberts is adopting the strategy of Thurgood Marshal on civil rights and Ruth Ginsburg on women's rights: By the time there is a "landmark" decision, striking down Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act or eliminating the exclusionary rule, the prior rule will already have died a death of a thousand cuts. The cases you mention will reach conservative results but move inches, not leaps, toward the landmarks.

So sayeth Snaphappy.
7.1.2009 8:53am
Steve:
Kelo seems to declare the Constitution unconstitutional, as it threw out the "public use" portion.

Well sure, if you're unaware of the century's worth of precedents that allowed property to be taken for a public purpose, you might believe that Kelo accomplished such a thing. In other news, courts seem to be interpreting the Eleventh Amendment differently from how it's written.
7.1.2009 9:05am
ruuffles (mail) (www):

Roberts is adopting the strategy of Thurgood Marshal on civil rights and Ruth Ginsburg on women's rights:

Marshall and Ginsburg used those strategies when they were advocates before the court, not when they were/are sitting on the court. Why wouldn't Roberts, et al, follow the Warren Court strategy (like Thomas already is) and just strike down laws they see an unconstitutional?
7.1.2009 9:18am
Snaphappy:

Why wouldn't Roberts, et al, follow the Warren Court strategy (like Thomas already is) and just strike down laws they see an unconstitutional?


First, did you really just ask why "balls and strikes" Roberts wouldn't adopt the playbook of the the activist-in-chief Warren Court? It's not Roberts' style, but more importantly, it likely wouldn't work because he has to keep Kennedy on the bus. It's much easier to reach reasonable, incremental results while laying down markers for the future: "We're not striking down Section 5 now, but we have serious concerns..."

It would be interesting to see what the Court would do with another Alito in Kennedy's seat. I suspect we would see many more Roberts opinions along the lines of, "We're not really overruling this longstanding precedent (even though we are)."
7.1.2009 9:28am
ruuffles (mail) (www):

First, did you really just ask why "balls and strikes" Roberts wouldn't adopt the playbook of the the activist-in-chief Warren Court?

Did you notice I mentioned Thomas? In other words, why doesn't Roberts, Alito, and Scalia join Thomas's opinions and let Kennedy be Kennedy?
7.1.2009 9:37am
arbitraryaardvark (mail) (www):
When Roosevelt was elected, the court looked more conservative. When Brennan and Marshall left, Stevens looked more liberal. Roberts is adopting the strategy of Thurgood Marshal on civil rights and Ruth Ginsburg on women's rights Let's hope so; that's how to get stuff done. It's also how IJ works and how Kelo got to the court. See also Emerson>Heller>Maloney>??
7.1.2009 9:52am
Neo (mail):
The pieces in the WaPo or NYT merely show the ideological bent of the writers who are obsessed with keeping score.
7.1.2009 9:58am
AndrewK (mail):

Federal preemption of tort claims and state regulation is certainly a goal of the political Right - or at least it was when the Right was in power at the federal level. However, in judicial terms, federalism has almost solely been a feature of the Right, so I agree with you that it's odd to see a pro-federalism decision (i.e. no preemption) described as a Left-friendly result.


Not at all odd. Preemption exists where the state regimes are hopelessly backward, and preemption does not exist where state regimes are forward-looking and intelligent.

In any case, see the Thomas concurrence.
7.1.2009 10:01am
bobo linq (mail):
Prof. Adler, you write:

the dominant features of the Roberts Court are a) a conservative minimalism that favors narrow holdings and generally seeks to maintain precedent . . .

This "feature" sure doesn't explain Ashcroft v. Iqbal, a non-minimalist decision with a sweeping holding that is utterly careless toward precedent. Iqbal is the biggest case of the term and one of the most plainly wrong decisions in the Court's history. Nothing explains it except the conservatives justices' pro-defendant (both government and corporate) bias.
7.1.2009 10:40am
dk35 (mail):
Prof. Adler seems to imply (or at least this is how I'm reading it; maybe I'm mistaken) that point a and point b of his theory on the dominant features of the Court are separate and independent conclusions. But couldn't it be the case that point a is the case largely because of point b? In other words, isn't the "conservative minimalism that favors narrow holdings and generally seeks to maintain precedent" that, in many ideologically divisive circumstances, Roberts/Alito/Scalia/Thomas practice largely due to the fact that often those are the only sorts of opinions they can write to lure the "ideosyncratic" Kennedy over to their side?
7.1.2009 11:42am
LarryA (mail) (www):
Right? Left? Wake me up when the Court moves toward liberty.
7.1.2009 11:49am
Disintelligentsia (mail):

Right? Left? Wake me up when the Court moves toward liberty.

Amen. Preach it brother.
7.1.2009 12:11pm
LTR:
"Death of a thousand cuts" is a phrase that explains Roberts Court strategy in a perfect way. Chief Justice seems to believe that overturning precedents and long-standing statutes with one big stroke would somehow damage the Court's reputation. There are some exceptions to that approach, but in general you can see a clear step-by-step pattern in deconstructing pillars of legal liberalism.

I'm not a big fan of that approach. If you have 5 votes of course you should overturn abominations like McConnell v. FEC first chance you get.
7.1.2009 12:48pm
SuperSkeptic (mail):
So at the Roberts "minimalist" pace, we'll do what? Plod our way back to pre-warren Court days by 2040? What good would that do? Unless we want to return government to (an impossible) pre-1937 level of involvement in our lives, what's the use?

Kelo just reminds this question I often ask myself: Exactly what percentage (10% or 50%, or what) of my life/labor/PROPERTY do I owe each and every one of you by virtue of our simultaneous co-existence on earth?
7.1.2009 12:53pm
rosetta's stones:


Kelo seems to declare the Constitution unconstitutional, as it threw out the "public use" portion.





Well sure, if you're unaware of the century's worth of precedents that allowed property to be taken for a public purpose, you might believe that Kelo accomplished such a thing.



No doubt, we've gone well off track in terms of what is considered "public use". Kelo was an opportunity for restoration, however, and instead it became a means to extrapolate off those bogus "public purpose" precedents you reference. It exacerbated the existing problem, and did literally throw out the "public use" portion of the Constitution, once and for all.
7.1.2009 4:47pm
Aultimer:

SuperSkeptic (mail):
So at the Roberts "minimalist" pace, we'll do what? Plod our way back to pre-warren Court days by 2040? What good would that do?

Back in the old days, it was the height of conservatism to worry as much, or more, about the pace of change than the result. You can read some books* to figure out which bunch was "slow".

*Pre-internet means of sharing ideas
7.1.2009 4:50pm
ReaderY:
There are several matters where O'Conner had been to the left of Kennedy, and O'Conner was the swing vote and her view became the view of the court. With O'Conner replaced by Alito, and Alito to the right of Kennedy, Kennedy's views are now the swing views and the court's de facto views on these issues.

One can call Kennedy's jurisprudence whatever one wants — "idiosyncratic", "moderate", whatever — but the fact remains that although not as far to the right as a Roberts or a Scalia, it is substantially to the right of O'Conner. This shift in the pivot point gives the Court a noticably rightward drift that I don't think can be glossed over or hand-waved away.

For better or for worse, Kennedy is to the right of O'Conner on issues people are more likely to care about. Key examples include affirmative action and abortion. I expect religion clause cases will also reflect this shift.

The matters on which the Court has found more individual rights, such as the right to a jury trial and the confrontation clause, are relatively esoteric areas most people don't have a strong political investment in. But the matters it's moved to the right on are essentially litmus-test issues for a substantial number of people. Therefore, I think it's basically accurate to say that from most people's point of view, the court has moved to the right.
7.3.2009 12:54pm

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