[James L. Gibson, guest-blogging, July 24, 2009 at 4:35am] Trackbacks
The Dangers of Politicized Campaigns For and Against Nominees to the United States Supreme Court

The central thrust of my arguments and analysis to this point has been that the U.S. Supreme Court enjoys a broad and deep reservoir of goodwill that allows it to get it decisions – even controversial and unpopular ones – to stick. That has probably not been true of the Court throughout American history, and it is certainly not true of high courts throughout the world (since I live in Africa right now, the ruling of the high court in Niger is an interesting example of judicial impotence).

But is there anything at all that might undermine the legitimacy of the Supreme Court? Greg Caldeira and I believe we have found an instance in which the actions of interest groups are threatening to the Court’s legitimacy. This has to do with politicized processes of confirming nominees to the Court.

The country has witnessed politicized nominations in the past. The vote on Judge Samuel Alito’s ascension to the High Bench was one of the most divided in recent history. And in 2008, Justice Clarence Thomas reignited old passions with the publication of his memoirs and with the repetition of his famous characterization of the Senate proceedings as “a high-tech lynching for uppity blacks who in any way deign to think for themselves.” While I of course recognize that, at some level, every nomination to the Court is politicized given the stakes involved in controlling the ideological path of the Supreme Court, some nominations mobilize interest groups and the mass public while others do not.

A newly published book identifies some important threats associated with politicized confirmation processes. In Citizens, Courts, and Confirmations, Caldeira and I provide one of the first examinations ever of how confirmations processes shape the views of ordinary citizens.

Based on a nationally representative survey conducted prior to the nomination of Judge Samuel Alito to a seat on the high court, during the confirmation process, and well after the process ended, this analysis examines how citizens’ views of the U.S. Supreme Court were affected by the battle over whether Alito should be confirmed to a seat on the Court.

The most important conclusion of that work is that politicized confirmation processes can indeed damage the institution itself. That is, our study shows that the legitimacy of the Supreme Court was diminished over the course of the confirmation process. In this conclusion, we are not referring to attitudes toward Alito himself, but rather to attitudes toward the fundamental legitimacy of the Court itself.

The culprit seems to have been the advertisements run by interest groups, both for and against Alito’s confirmation. Groups were certainly active in this battle, spending more than three million dollars in trying to shape the views of the American people (and, by extension, the votes of the representatives of those people).

And our survey data indicate that people were indeed attentive to the ads run, for or against, with something close to two-thirds of the American people reporting being exposed to advertisements regarding whether Alito ought to be confirmed.

Most important, the willingness to extend legitimacy to the Supreme Court among those exposed to the ads declined from prior to the nomination to afterwards. Our surveys indicate that most Americans supported the nomination of Samuel Alito to the Supreme Court; but Americans who viewed the ads associated with his nomination came to have less faith in the Court itself.

Many of the ads run for and against Alito’s confirmation were decidedly political, the ads differ little from attack ads used in ordinary political campaigns. After seeing these ads, it would not be surprising that many Americans concluded that the Supreme Court is just another political institution, and as such, is not deserving of any special deference or respect. When the Supreme Court loses its special status as a “non-political” political institution in the eyes of ordinary people, the institution is weakened.

Any loss in the legitimacy of an institution like the Supreme Court is extremely significant, inasmuch as legitimacy is the principal political capital of courts. So if the legitimacy of the institution is diminished, then the efficacy of the institution is at risk.

We have some understanding of the process that likely lead to these results. The Supreme Court profits greatly when citizens view it as being “above politics,” because “politics,” in the contemporary American case is not a highly regarded vocation. When the Court is seen as different from other political institutions, engaging in principled, not self interested and strategic decision making, legitimacy attaches to the institution.

As I have argued, the lesson that judges are not “just politicians in robes” is taught via the highly accessible symbols of the legal process. When citizens pay attention to the Supreme Court, they are bombarded with these symbols of judicial uniqueness, and, as a consequence, judges are exempted from the disdain directed toward most ordinary politicians. So, if politicized nomination processes unteach the view that courts are different, institutional legitimacy suffers.

In its rulings on the regulation of campaign activities, the Supreme Court itself has stripped governments of most legal means by which the free speech rights of interest groups might be restrained, and perhaps that is appropriate. After all, the Supreme Court is an enormously important policy-making institution – not just a court that decides legal disputes between parties – so in a democratic society all interests ought to enjoy maximal opportunity to determine who will be making legal policy. A democracy could hardly do otherwise.

But perhaps groups themselves might understand that campaigns portraying the Supreme Court as just another political institution damage the authority of that institution. Because this is so, perhaps interested parties could exercise some restraint in their arguments, pro and con, regarding nominees to the high bench. I do not have any data on the effectiveness of politicized campaigns, although our survey reveals that the efforts of progressive groups to block Alito’s confirmation by painting him as excessively conservative clearly failed.

I understand that calling for restraint is likely to be just as effective as calling on ordinary politicians to eschew negative attack ads, which, presumably, are used because they are thought to be effective. But given the evidence of an impact on popular esteem for the Court, groups and their supporters should exercise restraint in how they fight battles over nominations.

This is not to say that groups should not try to convince the American people of the wisdom or folly of confirming a nominee to the Supreme Court. Americans understand what it means to be a judicial liberal or a judicial conservative, and debate on these ideological differences do not necessarily undermine judicial legitimacy. The American people accept that judges are policy makers, and must, perforce, rely upon their own ideological predilections in making their decisions.

Honest and open debate over issues of privacy, of liberty, or equality, or of security is not off-putting to the American people and therefore does not undermine judicial legitimacy. People disagree over the direction of legal policy, and those disagreements are appropriate and legitimate. Those differences, however, can be debated in terms more appropriate to a legal institution like the U.S. Supreme Court.

Putting ideology aside for a moment, all interests profit from a high court that can definitively decide very difficult issues of law and politics. To have the Supreme Court decide who would become president of the U.S. in 2000 likely had more beneficial consequences than having the House of Representatives select the president. The Supreme Court is a political institution but that does not mean that it is political in exactly the same sense as is Congress or the presidency. Undermining the Court’s authority is in the interest of no one.

My own research on state judicial elections has clearly demonstrated that discussions of legal issues by aspirants to a seat on a court do nothing to undermine the perceived impartiality of judges and the legitimacy of courts. The American people want to know the ideological positions of candidates for the state and federal bench on issues such as abortion, gun control, affirmative action, prayer, takings, etc., and few believe that judges who announce their positions on these issues cannot rule fairly and impartially from the bench.

At the end of the day, whether ordinary people extend legitimacy to courts rides on whether their expectations are met. Stealth candidates in an age in which courts are so obviously policy-making institutions seem to violate the expectations of most.

So discourse and debate on ideology are indeed possible without doing damage to the judiciary. Just as on this blog, there are comments that are reasoned, based on quite legitimate differences in views, and comments that are puerile and not worthy of replies. When it comes to courts and judges, we all profit from debate that is strong, but civil and respectful of legitimate ideological differences.

Lockestep (mail):
A question for you, if I may. Do you have any data on the public attitudes towards the court well after the Alito nomination? This would answer my primary question, whether the decline in positive perception is permanent, or a temporary artifact of the nomination process.
It would also be interesting to compare data before and after a controversial decision to see the effects on perception, and again later to determine the permanence (or lack thereof) of the effect.
7.24.2009 6:34am
Larry Fafarman (mail) (www):
The confirmation process is politicized because of the tendency to nominate activist judges for the Supreme Court.
7.24.2009 7:32am
Mithras Invicti (mail) (www):

[A]ll interests profit from a high court that can definitively decide very difficult issues of ... politics. To have the Supreme Court decide who would become president of the U.S. in 2000 likely had more beneficial consequences than having the House of Representatives select the president.


What a remarkable assertion. The only persons who received any benefit from Bush v. Gore was George W. Bush and his supporters. For everyone else the decision undermined both the legitimacy of the Court and of the election process. It's striking (to me) to read a law professor claiming that courts are competent to decide knotty political problems.
7.24.2009 8:03am
Ken Arromdee:
The Supreme Court profits greatly when citizens view it as being “above politics,” because “politics,” in the contemporary American case is not a highly regarded vocation.

Yes, and the Roman Catholic Church profits greatly when citizens view it as being above scandals, which is why it covers up scandals.

I don't see why we should care how citizens view the Supreme Court in preference to what it's actually like. If anything, I'm more inclined to think the opposite: the citizens should view the Supreme Court as politicized because that is the truth. If that undermines confidence, that's fine, because it's undermining a false confidence. Plato's society built on noble lies is not actually a good thing by modern standards.
7.24.2009 8:14am
anothercommenter:
Undermining the Court’s authority is in the interest of no one.

This seems plainly incorrect. If the Court uses its authority in a predictable way to further a given set of political interests, then undermining the Court's authority is in the interests of everyone who opposes that set of political interests. That is true because undermining the Court's authority makes it less likely that the Court will continue to further those interests in the future.
7.24.2009 8:42am
PersonFromPorlock:
Ken Arromdee: Nicely put. The author seems to be completely unable to distinguish between 'character' and 'reputation'.
7.24.2009 8:45am
Jon Roland (mail) (www):
Courts have become politicized largely because they are a battleground between those who support enlarged powers for government and those who want to keep those powers bound by the Constitution as originally understood, as well as among those who want enlarged powers serving their faction or constituency. As long as judges decide how much power officials will exercise, they will be politicized. The only way to avoid that is to reduce government exercises of power to their constitutional minima.

The problem could be largely alleviated by adopting my proposal to stop appointing judges to particular courts, but to appoint all federal judges to a common pool from which they are drawn at random to serve on particular cases in particular courts. We already assign judges randomly to cases at the trial level, and for important cases, randomly assign panels of judges from neighboring districts. If even Supreme Court justices were drawn at random from the same common pool, it would make it less important in the short term to nominate ideologically compliant ones, although there would still be some pressure from all sides to load the pool with judges compliant with the policy preferences of one faction or another, with a longer view.
7.24.2009 9:30am
Cornellian (mail):
Courts have become politicized largely because they are a battleground between those who support enlarged powers for government and those who want to keep those powers bound by the Constitution as originally understood,

That's only partially correct. The battleground is between those who want enlarged government powers in some areas, and those who want enlarged government powers in other areas. There's no one who wants "to keep those powers bound by the Constitution as originally understood." If there could be a vote in Congress tomorrow to implement the original public meaning of the Constitution on the day the 14th Amendment was enacted the vote would fail in the house by about 433-2 and in the Senate by 100-0.
7.24.2009 10:27am
Tom Ludden (mail):
I think this analysis is backwards. The confirmation process has become political because the Supreme Court has been the one both deciding so many political issues and also preventing the other branches of government from deciding them. Therefore, on many issues, most notably abortion and affirmative action, the only time that people can participate in the process of resolving the issues politically is through the confirmation process. If the confirmation process is now affecting the credibility of the Supreme Court, the ultimate cause of that is the Supreme Court itself, not the confirmation process. The only way to avoid the use of political means during confirmation is to limit the role of the Supreme Court.
7.24.2009 10:42am
Allan Walstad (mail):

The only way to avoid the use of political means during confirmation is to limit the role of the Supreme Court.

No, the only way the Court could have avoided politicization was to enforce the Constitution, period. Once it became clear that the Court would permit the feds to engage in patently unconstitutional activities (Social Security, minimum wage laws, Medicare...) then the question would only be how many such activities and which ones. The Court became part of the political process, and that process necessarily works both ways.
7.24.2009 11:06am
therut (mail):
The cause is the USSC itself. No other to blame. They with their ideological ruling over the years espically since FDR and Roe have made THE PEOPLE weary and have VERY little trust. Everyone knows they have corrupted the Constitution. Some like it and some don't but the honest person knows the truth of the matter. They can not hide behind their robes and silly words that seem to some so exciting to the academic mind.
7.24.2009 11:12am
PaulTX (mail) (www):
After seeing these ads, it would not be surprising that many Americans concluded that the Supreme Court is just another political institution, and as such, is not deserving of any special deference or respect.


But in the high-profile, controversial cases that most of us care about, the Supreme Court is just another political institution.

In any politically charged case, the readers of the Volokh Conspiracy can predict with devastating accuracy how the members of the court will vote. Do you think we're clairvoyants, or do we just know something about the justices' politics?

In Bush v. Gore, do you think any member of the court voted differently from the way he or she voted at the ballot box? Come on now. Let's not wear our ass as a hat.

When it comes to, say, abortion or the death penalty or gay rights, the members of the court do the same thing that members of Congress do, except the members of the court do it while wearing an evening gown.
7.24.2009 1:26pm
eyesay:
Cornellian wrote: "If there could be a vote in Congress tomorrow to implement the original public meaning of the Constitution on the day the 14th Amendment was enacted the vote would fail in the house by about 433-2 and in the Senate by 100-0."

[Aside] Why July 9, 1868, the day the 14th Amendment was enacted, and not, for example, May 7, 1992, the day the 27th Amendment was enacted? Surely Cornellian knows it would be unconstitutional for Congress to enact legislation (other than Constitutional Amendment(s)) to un-implement subsequent Amendments. [/Aside]

Cornellian's comment helps shed light on the absurdity of the positions known as originalism.

Nobody knows what the "original public meaning" of the Constitution was on July 9, 1868.

None of us can state with certainty what the "public meaning" of various terms is today, let alone at some time in the past. For example, Americans don't all agree today on the public meaning of "have sex with" or "have sexual relations with." There are terms in the Constitution about which the meaning is disputed among the justices of the Supreme Court.

Nobody knows what various members of the U.S. House and Senate thought the Constitution meant when they voted on the 14th Amendment. Some of them may have understood the Constitution to agree with Plessy v. Ferguson, but that decision was overturned. If we could somehow determine, through various writings of the time, that in 1868, the meaning of the Constitution included support for "separate but equal," would we want to go back to that?

What did the Constitution in 1868 mean apropos of aviation, infrared imaging, computers, and the Internet?

If a certain form of punishment was ordinary in 1868, but since then has been largely abandoned, and is now generally regarded as cruel, then today it is cruel and unusual, notwithstanding its ordinariness in 1868.
7.24.2009 1:51pm
Allan Walstad (mail):
eyesay, the fact that people centuries ago could not have anticipated every situation and technological advance and covered it explicitly in the Constitution does not change one whit the necessity of regarding the document and its amendments to mean just what the framers and supporters intended, as best we can discern. The alternative is shyster lawyerism, the application of the same techniques as used daily to break contracts. That's how, for example, the Commerce Clause and Welfare Clause get warped into virtually blank checks for fed power. Perhaps the worst example is the idea, to which I was introduced on this blog some weeks ago, that one could abrogate equal state representation in the Senate via two amendments--the first of which would repeal Constitutional prohibition on so amending the Constitution.
7.24.2009 2:20pm
Floridan:
AW: ". . . the fact that people centuries ago could not have anticipated every situation and technological advance and covered it explicitly in the Constitution does not change one whit the necessity of regarding the document and its amendments to mean just what the framers and supporters intended, as best we can discern."

Or do you mean, "as best I can discern?"

Unless you attribute bad faith to the SC justices, isn't this exactly what they are doing?
7.24.2009 2:34pm
Soronel Haetir (mail):

Unless you attribute bad faith to the SC justices, isn't this exactly what they are doing?


I attribute bad faith to most political officials, which the judges of Article III courts qualify as.

If expansive government power and independant executive agencies are actually things to be desired they should be gained through the amendment process.
7.24.2009 2:49pm
Allan Walstad (mail):
Floridian:

Two separate issues here. 1. The idea that we should go on the basis of what the framers intended is pretty regularly ridiculed, including by commenters here. 2. On what basis are the SC justices actually judging? Well, if it was original intent, then they wouldn't be allowing patently unconstitutional fed activities to stand.

As to whether I'm attributing bad faith: Presumably the justices have been acting in good faith by their lights, whatever they are, but they're not upholding the Constitution if they permit the feds to overstep their intended limits.
7.24.2009 2:56pm
Brett Marston:
I still can't shake the suspicion that there is something too impoverished about the concept of legitimacy here, and it goes back to the issue that was raised in comments a few posts back: legitimacy is viewed in the research program entirely from the external perspective, and it is not viewed as a concept that might have different and mutually incompatible aspects among the subjects studied.

From the internal perspective, just telling folks to cool the attacks is not a sufficient answer, because the reasons for the attacks are linked to sincerely held concepts of legitimacy itself. People who like Robert Bork or Randy Barnett are just not going to agree with Russ Feingold or Jack Balkin on what makes the current Supreme Court (or the institution as a whole) legitimate or illegitimate. Those elite discourses probably have an effect on public opinion as mediated through political opinion leaders, albeit in muted or refracted form.

In the US, fractured legitimacy concepts + political decision points + free spending on advertising + politicians dependent on campaign cash = attack ads.

James leaves out the first part of the equation above, I think.
7.24.2009 4:10pm
Bob from Ohio (mail):

Undermining the Court’s authority is in the interest of no one.


The power of the Supreme Court has increased, is increasing and ought to be decreased.
7.24.2009 4:43pm
Rich Rostrom (mail):
anothercommenter: If the Court uses its authority in a predictable way to further a given set of political interests, then undermining the Court's authority is in the interests of everyone who opposes that set of political interests.

It may be in the short-term interest of that faction or counter-faction. What JLG is arguing is that it is in everyone's long-term interest for the Supreme Court to have the authority to enforce its judgments. If the Court is impotent, then a key restraint on executive or legislative abuses is gone, and everyone is at risk.

Worse, if there is no restraint on executive or legislative abuses of power, then elections become "winner-take-all" proceedings - provoking electoral fraud and manipulation, and extra-legal, extra-political resistance.
7.24.2009 6:43pm
Joseph Slater (mail):
Walstad and therut:

The legitimacy of the Supreme Court was being undermined prior to the New Deal, what with the court striking down all sorts of quite popular worker-protective legislation. Although this theme can be oversimplified, the "switch in time" may have indeed "saved nine." And if the Supreme Court today were to strike down as unconstitutional, say, Social Security or the NLRA or the FLSA, you would probably see the end of the Court as we know it.
7.24.2009 7:33pm
Allan Walstad (mail):
Joseph Slater: "Popularity" doesn't make something Constitutional. Indeed, the purpose of much of the Constitution was to restrain the feds from doing whatever was merely popular. The time is of course very late for striking down the full panoply of unconstitutional federal activities. That's why the Court was correct to overturn Constitutionally baseless fed meddling in business, and why it should have continued to stand against unconstitutional legislation rather than caving and letting us drift into the situation we find ourselves in now.

"The Court as we know it" is a highly politicized institution that has not done a very good job of enforcing the Constitution and is not likely to do so anytime soon, since nobody who gave a hint of serious intention to do so would be nominated or confirmed as a justice. All I'm doing is the best I can, namely to point out that the emperor indeed has no clothes. (Sorry, I've used the cliche before and will do so again.)
7.24.2009 10:12pm
therut (mail):
Agree. The USSC has been the institution that pushed Humpty Dumpty (The Constitution) off the wall and has no intention of putting it back together again. It is on its way to not being a living document but a dead one. Maybe someday another group of people will discover it and start all over.
7.25.2009 12:01pm
Jon Roland (mail) (www):
Norman Mattoon Thomas (November 20, 1884 - December 19, 1968) was a leading American socialist, pacifist, and six-time presidential candidate for the Socialist Party of America. He said this in a 1944 interview:

The American people will never knowingly adopt socialism. But, under the name of "liberalism," they will adopt every fragment of the socialist program, until one day America will be a socialist nation, without knowing how it happened.... I no longer need to run as a Presidential Candidate for the Socialist Party. The Democratic Party has adopted our platform.

This statement reveals several key ideas:

The first is that a third party can win support for its policy positions without winning any elections if one of the two main parties adopts its positions.

The second is that it is a winning political strategy to advantage a small segment of the voters at the expense of a smaller segment. Do that for enough small segments and eventually you will have socialism.

The third is that it is a winning strategy to avoid allowing your ultimate objective, or the constitutional implications, to be framed as the question to be decided by the voters. People wouldn't vote for socialism, or for violating the Constitution, if the question were framed in those terms, but will vote for incremental steps toward it, and fail to understand the opponents when they try to explain to voters what those steps lead to, or that they are unconstitutional.

The problem for libertarians is that liberty doesn't sell as well as government benefits. People don't really appreciate liberty until they have lost it, and too often they will not even realize they have lost it, or they will attribute the loss to something other than their own past election choices. It is easier for most people to imagine a prospective financial gain or loss than a loss of liberty. Money can be counted in a way that liberty can't.

The same may be said of constitutional compliance. Few politicians make it a leading issue in campaigns. Most people don't understand it and have come to think that calling the opponent's position "unconstitutional" is just rhetoric. The few who do understand usually don't have enough influence over the others. The number of people who can understand what is and what is not constitutional is fairly small, and always has been. The only time in history it was large was during the first three American revolutions: the War for Independence, the ratification of the Constitution, and the Election of 1800, the last of which entrenched the Jeffersonian position on constitutional interpretation for the period from 1800 through 1824, and then to a declining degree for most of the rest of the 19th century. But even during the ratification debates it is unlikely that the majority of the people really understood the proposed Constitution in its entirety. Some focused on particular provisions that seemed dangerous, and opposed it until their fears were alleviated. Most probably supported it because George Washington did, demonstrating that the way to get complicated reforms is not to educate all the people but to get the support of charismatic personalities the voters like and trust.

Most of Ron Paul's constituents don't vote for him because they agree with his positions. They vote for him because they like and trust him. It is more important for most voters to be comfortable with the personality than with his positions.

"Bait and switch" works in political selling as well. Voters are offered some charismatic personality or government benefit and never told that either represents a violation of the Constitution. Some will argue that the people have voted for the departures from constitutional compliance and thus ratified them in some sense, but that is deceptive, because the people were deceived by not having the constitutional implications of their choices explained to them. They did not vote for violation. The issues weren't framed to them that way.

That doesn't mean it is not a productive activity to educate people on constitutional compliance. We need to create a learning environment in which some of those charismatic personalities can "get it" and then bring their insights with them when they take office. We have to spread the education around because it is not always easy to discern who will be the charismatic personalities of the future, and because such people are herd animals like any other who are going to want the reassurance of like-minded people before they will venture forth with constitutionalist positions. The trick is to both educate those individuals and enough of the individuals around them.

What we learn from the study of the diffusion of innovations is that most people don't adopt new things because they learn about them from some kind of broadcast message. They are influenced more by the examples of those they look to as role models, and that chain of influence tends to sort itself into levels, with "early adopters" at the top, "secondary adopters" below them, "tertiary adopters" below both, and "quadranary adopters" below the first three. We also learn that most people don't adopt new things in long leaps or from single exposures to messages or examples. Except for the early adopters people generally adopt in small steps spaced over a period of time in response to repeated messages. That means you need to target people who are ready to take the next step, figure out where they are and how far you can get them to go on that occasion, then move on to others, but return to the first before they go cold and move them on to the next step, repeating the process until you get many people recruited. Then you need to keep them recruited with positive reinforcements, because most adopters won't stick to a new things unless it rewards them in some way, and because there are usually competing innovations that may win them over if you neglect to hold them.
7.26.2009 3:45pm

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