Who Would Have Predicted,

on September 12, 2001, that between then and the November 2, 2004 Presidential election there would be zero additional terrorist attacks in the United States? You never know what’s around the corner, of course, but the big surprise of the last three years has been the dog that didn’t bark. What does it mean? Does Al Qaeda pose less of an immediate threat to the United States than has been commonly believed?

  UPDATE: David Ignatius asks similar questions on the op-ed page of the Washington Post.

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