The electoral vote is certainly close, and turns on a close race in Ohio (though at this point it seems quite unlikely that Bush’s 130,000 vote lead will be overcome). But the 51-48 popular vote margin, while far from a blowout, is larger than the 1976 Carter-Ford margin, or the 1968 Nixon-Humphrey margin, plus of course the famously close 1960 and 2000 margins.
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