I’ve only read the Hamdi case so far, but here’s a tentative thought (subject to revision as I read the other cases and rethink the matter) — two significant facts in this case are that Justice Scalia voted against the government, and Justice Breyer voted (partly) in favor of the government.
This is because these votes may well change the political dynamics within the conservative and liberal movements. I know there are quite a few conservative lawyers and policy wonks who are uneasy (whether rightly or wrongly) with broad assertions of military powers even during wartime. And I’m pretty sure there are quite a few liberal lawyers and policy wonks who are uneasy (again, whether rightly or wrongly) with what they see as a September 10th attitude towards civil rights during wartime.
But many such people may find it hard to argue these positions within their own movements, because (1) they may themselves be unsure of their positions, and (2) it’s always hard to argue to one’s friends something that seems like it’s supporting “the other side.” I’m not speaking here of fear of professional retaliation or such things — I’m speaking of the natural and often laudable human tendency to question one’s own views when they contradict those that are held by people one likes and respects, and of the natural human tendency not alienate one’s friends by seeming to join their political enemies. The tendency is only a tendency; many conservatives have disagreed with some of the Administration’s actions in this field, and many liberals have agreed with the Administration. But I suspect that some in both camps have been reluctant to do so, for the reasons I note.
In such situations, having allies that are authoritative within one’s own movement can greatly embolden dissenters within those movements. It’s much harder for conservatives to harshly criticize fellow conservatives for adopting a position that Justice Scalia has adopted. A conservative who quietly holds such seemingly “liberal” views would thus be reinforced in those views, and emboldened to voice them. Many of his fellow conservatives will still disagree with him; but he’ll suspect that the disagreement will be more cordial, and less firm, if he can enlist Justice Scalia on his side.
Likewise, I suspect, for many liberals who can enlist Justice Breyer on their side. Breyer is probably not as liberal on constitutional issues as Justice Scalia is conservative (though that’s of course hard to measure). I also suspect that he’s not as important to liberals as Justice Scalia, who has long been one of the leaders of the conservative legal movement, is to conservatives. Still, his votes on race preferences, on federalism, on many (though not all) criminal justice cases, on many (though not all) church-state cases, and in other fields make him quite respected by most liberals. So a liberal lawyer will thus feel more comfortable making at least mildly pro-Administration arguments (recall that Justice Breyer voted partly for the Administration and partly against it here) when he can point to Justice Breyer’s vote.
Again, I stress that I’m talking here just of factors that may influence how firmly people hold their views, and how vocal they are about those views — they’re unlikely to vastly sway large groups of people (in part because most liberals voted against Justice Breyer’s views, and most conservatives voted against Justice Scalia’s). Furthermore, I’m speaking here only of effects in legal or policymaking circles; I’m not sure how much the public at large is influenced by Justice Breyer’s or Justice Scalia’s views.
But these are important circles. It matters how often conservatives are willing to make arguments skeptical of military power to other conservatives, and how often liberals are willing to make arguments that support military powers to other liberals. And I think that Justice Scalia’s and Justice Breyer’s votes will indeed affect the frequency of such intramovement arguments — arguments that I think are on balance good, both for the country and (at least in the medium and long run) the movement — and thus have significant extralegal effects as well as purely doctrinal ones.
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