I've just finished revising, for the moment, my paper on Privatization and the Effectiveness of Monitoring Agencies, and I've uploaded it to SSRN. I'll be presenting the paper at the annual meeting of the American Law & Economics Association, at Harvard Law School on Saturday, May 5, in the 9 a.m. panel (Panel IA) on public and administrative law.
Note that people who do aliyah are called olim, whereas people who go to ALEA used to get funding from Olin. Coincidence?
Here's the abstract of my paper (please excuse the very abbreviated, word-limited, econny style):
The privatization literature depicts the choice whether to contract out as a tradeoff between excessive private investment in quality-reducing cost saving and inadequate public investment in cost-increasing quality improvement, under circumstances where neither the amount of investment nor the cost or quality outcomes are contractible. This paper shows that a monitoring regime, which can verify the benefit of the service at a cost, can bring the investment levels of the private contractor closer to the optimum, while it may not be able to improve the performance of the public sector. Monitors can be captured, and the possibility of capture may decrease social welfare. Social welfare losses due to the possibility of capture may be greater in the case of public provision: The agencies that decide whether to privatize and the agencies that monitor service providers are often identical to, or closely related with, the agencies that actually provide the service if it is kept in-house. Therefore, privatization decisionmakers and monitoring agencies may be more prone to capture when the service is public. Therefore, efficiency may counsel in favor of a purchaser-provider split and a monitor-provider split.
This is still very much a work in progress. People who know their way around contract theory (the econ kind, not the law kind) or the theory of privatization are welcome to send comments.