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Monday, June 28, 2004
Why not suspend habeas corpus in the hypothetical below?
In a post below, I describe this scenario:
Say that we're fighting a World War II-like war, but against insurgent forces in various allied countries, and not against national governments. (You'll see in a moment why this proviso is important). We capture 50,000 alleged enemy soldiers, partly because some of the enemy forces have surrendered en masse; apparently we had captured millions that way towards the end of World War II. The allied countries don't have strong enough militaries to effectively detain these people themselves (think France in early 1945), so we detain them instead. This is actually quite normal for large-scale wars, consider again World War II, except that the war is a modern war against insurgents and not a traditional war against governments.
Now, the detainees file 50,000 petitions for habeas corpus, all claiming that they aren't actually enemy soldiers. . . . It sounds like they'll probably get to file their petitions, strain our courts, impose more burdens on our soldiers, and possibly even risk the disclosure of secret material. Litigation will become a tactic of warfare.
A couple of readers ask: If the result is so burdensome, why can't Congress just avoid it by suspending habeas corpus? Consider it a little constitutional law puzzle.
For the answer, click here.
The Suspension Clause provides: "The privilege of the writ of habeas corpus shall not be suspended, unless when in cases of rebellion or invasion the public safety may require it." If the war doesn't involve rebellion or invasion — consider World War I, the Korean War, or the Vietnam War — the Clause doesn't authorize suspension of habeas. (It might not even authorize suspension even when there was an invasion, but the reason for the suspension was effective warfighting, and not domestic "public safety," as for instance perhaps towards the end of World War II; courts would likely not second-guess Congress on this, but Congressmen would have their own independent duty to obey the Constitution, as their oaths require.)(hide)
New Blog on Race Issues:
Right on Race, founded by Tom Wood — the coauthor of Prop. 209 — and with posts by Roger Clegg (Center for Equal Opportunity), Todd Gaziano (Heritage Foundation), John Rosenberg (the Discriminations blog), and Tom himself. It also has an Open Forum section for reader submissions, which appears to be moderated (a good move, I think).
Sounds like a very interesting new resource, with some really first-rate contributors; check it out.
Litigation as an enemy military tactic:
I've blogged below about one aspect of the Guantanamo detainees case; but here's the bigger picture: Say that we're fighting a World War II-like war, but against insurgent forces in various allied countries, and not against national governments. (You'll see in a moment why this proviso is important). We capture 50,000 alleged enemy soldiers, partly because some of the enemy forces have surrendered en masse; apparently we had captured millions that way towards the end of World War II. The allied countries don't have strong enough militaries to effectively detain these people themselves (think France in early 1945), so we detain them instead. This is actually quite normal for large-scale wars, consider again World War II, except that the war is a modern war against insurgents and not a traditional war against governments.
Now, the detainees file 50,000 petitions for habeas corpus, all claiming that they aren't actually enemy soldiers. This means civilian courts would have to process all those cases, and the military would have to respond to all the petitions, and get affidavits or even live testimony from various soldiers in the field whose testimony is relevant for this purpose.
Would this tactic be allowed? Well, let's consider this under the four elements (see below) that the Court pointed to when it distinguished the Guantanamo detainees (who get their habeas petitions considered) from the German detainees in Johnson v. Eisentrager (who didn't get their petitions considered).
Like the detainees at Guantanamo, our hypothetical detainees (1) "are not nationals of countries at war with the United States" — our war isn't with their countries, but with insurgencies in those countries. They (2) "deny that they have engaged in or plotted acts of aggression against the United States"; it costs them nothing to deny that. They (3) haven't "been afforded access to any tribunal, much less charged with and convicted of wrongdoing," partly because there's nothing to charge them with or convict them — we just want to detain them as enemy combatants, not try them for unlawful combat. They are held (4) "in territory over which the United States exercises exclusive jurisdiction and control" — imagine that for security reasons, we need to keep them at a base that's at least as controlled by us as Guantanamo is.
It sounds like they'll probably get to file their petitions, strain our courts, impose more burdens on our soldiers, and possibly even risk the disclosure of secret material.
Litigation will become a tactic of warfare. As I understand it, soldiers generally think they have an obligation to continue trying to harass their captors — for instance, by trying to escape — even once they're captured. Here we'd be giving them a cheap (for them) and safe way of doing that. If I were the other side's general, I'd actually teach my soldiers how to file habeas petitions (not everyone would have to know how to do that — there'd just have to end up being some soldiers in every prison camp who can write the petition on their comrades' behalf). This would be a very substantial burden, and one that to my knowledge we've never had to labor under.
Now there are three possible responses to this:
First, one can argue that, sure, this would be very expensive and burdensome, but that's the price we pay for justice. But I don't see any reason why this is a necessary price — one that the Constitution or an Act of Congress requires us to pay. In war, there is always the risk of injustice; innocents even unfortunately die, with no legal process for every bombing or attack to decrease that danger. It seems to me that people on the field of battle must run the risk of being erroneously detained as well as being erroneously killed. The constraints to that have traditionally been moral and political, not judicial; I see no reason why this should change.
Second, one can argue that there's really no such burden, since the military can always avoid habeas review of detentions just by keeping people outside Guantanamo, in places where the U.S. government has less complete control (for instance, on a base leased from a friendly country, which at least has the power to kick us out when it wants to). But what's the point of that? And beyond that, as I argue below, it isn't even clear under the Court's decision that this would indeed be enough to avoid the Court's judgment.
Third, one can argue that the military can avoid habeas review of detentions just by providing them with some modest "access to [a] tribunal" — for instance, a brief hearing before a military tribunal, such as that contemplated by article V of the Geneva Convention. This might indeed be a much lesser burden on the military, since it may involve only a brief hearing by military officers with highly truncated rules of evidence. And the military may often engage in such hearings in any case.
This would be the best spin that could be put on the Court's decision. But from the Court's opinion, it isn't clear whether such hearings would be sufficient (since they seem to be just one factor out of four). Even if they are, it isn't clear what sort of military process is sufficient to avoid any need for civilian review (which is what the writ of habeas corpus contemplates). And if they can be highly truncated, it isn't clear how much of a benefit they really will provide to anyone.
Finally, one can say that that is a different case, and we shouldn't let hypotheticals involving 50,000 detainees affect the judgment in a case involving several hundred detainees. But can entitlements on habeas corpus, which are individual rights, really turn on that? "If you're one of up to X detainees, you have an individual right to habeas corpus; but once more than X people are detained, you lose that right" — I can imagine the Congress enacting such a statute, but it would be a mighty odd rule for a court to come up with on its own.
So that's the source of my misgivings about the Court's Guantanamo decision. Let's hope that my concerns eventually prove groundless, and litigation does not indeed become one of the enemy's weapons of war.
UPDATE: Will Baude at Crescat Sententia responds. I don't think his analogy is quite right -- the right to trial for civilian crimes is very clearly established; the question here is whether we should in the first place recognize a novel right to civilian review of military detention of aliens captured overseas. Still, I thought it would be helpful to link to the argument.
What exactly does the Guantanamo Detainees case mean?
In Rasul v. Bush today, the Court held that the Guantanamo detainees are entitled to have their detention reviewed, presumably by civilian courts, even though they're not U.S. citizens, and they're being held outside the U.S. Johnson v. Eisentrager, a 1950 case involving a similar petition brought by detained Nazi soldiers, seemed to hold the contrary -- but the Court distinguished Johnson on four grounds:
"[The Guantanamo detainees] are not nationals of countries at war with the United States." (In Eisentrager, the Court concluded that peace had not been officially declared.)
"[T]hey deny that they have engaged in or plotted acts of aggression against the United States."
"[T]hey have never been afforded to any tribunal [even a military one, as in Eisentrager], much less charged with and convicted of wrongdoing."
"[T]hey have been imprisoned in territory over which the United States exercises exclusive jurisdiction and control."
A big part of the Court's decision focused on the fourth item -- but as Justice Scalia argues, the government's "exlusive jurisdiction and control" over Guantanamo isn't really that different from the government's exclusive jurisdiction and control over occupied Germany. Guantanamo has been controlled by the U.S. longer than German bases were (I suspect that today Germany has more legal authority over U.S. bases in Germany -- certainly it has more de facto authority, since if the Germans wanted to kick us out, we'd surely go, whereas we're not leaving Guantanamo even though Castro does want us out). But it's hard to see why that should make a difference.
But even if the fourth item is a possible ground for distinguishing Rasul from Eisentrager, the Court doesn't (unless I've missed something) explain whether exclusive jurisdiction and control is necessary for habeas, sufficient for habeas, or particularly important for habeas. What if the detainees had been kept in Afghanistan instead, or at a military base in no-longer-occupied Germany? I don't see how one can figure out from the Court's opinion whether they would then be entitled to petition the civilian courts for hearings. And the government does want to know this, since it wants to know where they should be kept.
Book drive for Baghdad University library:
Prof. Steven Taylor (PoliBlog) is running this, and it seems like a worthy project:
I have volunteered to help Dr. Safaa al-Hamdani, a biology professor at Jacksonville State University (another school here in Alabama) in a book drive to collect texts to help populate the Baghdad University library, which, between post-war looting and multi-decade neglect by the Saddam regime is in serious need of help.
While I am focusing my efforts on my university, and other schools in Alabama with which I have contact, I thought a note to the Blogosphere wouldn't hurt.
While books from any discipline are welcome, Dr. al-Hamdani notes that there is a special need for science, math and medical texts. Also, he asks that books no older than five years be collected, as given the cost of shipping we want to make sure we are sending usable books. Also, funds to help ship the books are also in need.
If you can help, please [email me at the address given] here.
If you are able to help, books or donations could be sent directly to me.
There is a brief news story about the book drive here.
Rats!
Well, it turns out that the Moore/Letterman exchange I mentioned last week is indeed apparently fictional. (As I mentioned in the original post, "Don't know if it's true, and I won't assume that it is. But it's at least a good joke.") Nathan Florea says he has a more accurate transcript, which is very different, and he points to a file containing the relevant clip.
I couldn't get the file to work for me -- I saw the video, but not the audio, and I don't read lips much. But, especially given my original skepticism about the original version, I suspect that Mr. Florea is right. Another beautiful story ruined by ugly fact . . . .
Does federal law bar military detention of U.S. citizens
alleged to have been fighting for al Qaeda or the Taliban? That was one of the issues in Hamdi and in Padilla.
A federal law, 18 U.S.C. 4001(a), says "No citizen shall be imprisoned or otherwise detained by the United States except pursuant to an Act of Congress." Padilla and Hamdi argued that as a result they couldn't be detained unless they were accused of having violated some federal criminal statute.
Not so, the government argued, the post-September 11 Authorization for Use of Military Force authorized the President "to use all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned, authorized, committed, or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons." Such "necessray and appropriate force," the government reasoned, includes the power to detain enemy combatants, as well as the power to shoot them on the battlefield -- military force has always been understood to include the power of military detention.
Five of the Justices in Hamdi -- Justice O'Connor, joined by Chief Justice Rehnquist, Justice Kennedy, and Justice Breyer in the plurality, plus Justice Thomas in his dissenting opinion -- took the view that the Authorization allowed military detention at least of citizens who are "'part of or supporting forces hostile to the United States or coalition partners' in Afghanistan and who 'engaged in an armed conflict against the United States' there." That's why Hamdi lost on the statutory question.
But what about Padilla, who is alleged to be an enemy combatant, but who apparently wasn't engaged in an armed conflict against the United States in Afghanistan? Well, four of the Justices in Hamdi -- Justices Souter and Ginsburg, who partially concurred in Hamdi, and Justices Scalia and Stevens, who dissented -- disagree with the view I give above, and think that the Authorization doesn't apply even to Hamdi. It follows that they think it shouldn't apply to Padilla, either.
And in Padilla, which was disposed of on procedural grounds, Justice Stevens's dissent said, in footnote 8, that "I believe that the Non-Detention Act . . . prohibits -- and the Authorization for Use of Military Force Joint Resolution . . ., does not authorize -- the protracted, incommunicado detention of American citizens arrested in the United States." And the dissent was joined by Justices Souter, Ginsburg, and Breyer, who was in the plurality in Hamdi. So it sounds like five Justices think that Padilla should win on this statutory issue.
Now there is some question as to whether the five Justices' view of the 4001(a)/Authorization interplay in Hamdi is binding precedent. Lakewood v. Plain Dealer Publishing, 486 U.S. 750, 764 n.9 (1988), says that "when no single rationale commands a majority, 'the holding of the Court may be viewed as that position taken by those Members who concurred in the judgmen[t] on the narrowest grounds,'" and seems to reject the notion that one can add up votes from the plurality and the dissent. On the other hand, I suspect that lower courts will conclude that the five Justices' views are indeed binding on them.
On the other hand, I suspect that many lower courts would be reluctant to mix four Justices' views from one case (Hamdi) with one extra Justice's views in another (Padilla), especially when those views came in a footnote to a dissenting opinion written by another Justice (though, to be sure, an opinion that Justice Breyer did join without reservations). So in future cases involving Padilla -- I assume that Padilla can refile his case in the proper district, and thus avoid the procedural problem that led the Court to reject his claim -- lower courts would be free to conclude that Padilla loses on the 4001/Authorization question. What the Supreme Court will do with that, when and if Padilla's case comes back to the Justices, is impossible to tell, especially given that it could take years (assuming Padilla continues to be detained for that long), and some of the Justices might retire by then.
Justices Scalia and Thomas:
Note that Justices Scalia and Thomas are about as far apart as possible in the Hamdi case. Justice Scalia would say that the military essentially has no power to detain citizens, except when Congress suspends habeas corpus, or when the citizens are promptly tried through the civilian criminal system. Justice Thomas would say that the President has very broad, nearly unreviewable, power in this situation.
This is just further evidence that the "Justice Thomas follows Justice Scalia in lockstep" argument that some have made is simply a slur on Justice Thomas. We've seen lots of cases where Justice Thomas has taken a different view from Justice Scalia — consider his opinions on the scope of the Commerce Clause, the scope of the Ex Post Facto Clause, the protections offered to anonymous speech, the Excessive Fines Clause, crossburning, and more.
In many cases, of course, the two agree: They were appointed, after all, by conservative Presidents, and come from the same conservative legal movement. We should be no more surprised by this agreement than by, say, Justice Brennan's and Justice Marshall's frequent agreement.
But cases such as Hamdi show that Justice Thomas has his own views, which do indeed differ in many important ways from Justice Scalia's; and he can forcefully and eloquently express them. Many people will of course disagree with his decisions, either the separate ones or the ones on which he joins Justice Scalia (or vice versa). But they should disagree on the merits, rather than by casting aspersions on his ability or willingness to think independently.
Detention cases:
See here for Larry Solum's summary and roundup of reactions.
Radio and TV:
Unless plans change, I should be on (1) Warren Olney's To The Point radio show today (see here for the station list and times), and on (2) the Abrams Report (MSNBC). I should be talking about the Guantanamo cases, Hamdi, and Padilla on both shows.
Note that TV networks often cancel such interviews at the last minute, which is why I say "unless plans change."
UPDATE: MSNBC did indeed cancel -- that's the TV biz for you.
Breyer v. Scalia, Pragmatism v. Formalism:
Eugene makes a good point (below) about the way that Breyer's and Scalia's positions gives room to both liberal and conservatives to take a position seemingly at odds with their ideologies.
I would add that there is a way in which Breyer's and Scalia's votes are completely unsurprising: Scalia's position is in line with his longtime formalism, and Breyer's is consistent with his longtime pragmatism. The plurality opinion that Breyer joins is suffused with pragmatism. The plurality finds that the mushy Mathews v. Eldridge test applies (despite the fact that, according to Thomas' dissent, none of the parties cited Mathews even once), and then engages in an ad hoc balancing process designed to make sure that Hamdi gets to challenge his detention but that the government is not unduly burdened.
Scalia, meanwhile, finds that the Constitution does not allow the government to hold a citizen without detaining him, unless it suspends the writ of habeas corpus. He finds that the Constitution and the common law defeat the government's claims, so there is no role for a balancing test. His view is that this may not be the most efficient or pragmatic approach, but it is the one that the law provides. If people don't like that, their representatives can change the law.
What's interesting here is that this split is not as unusual as some might imagine. Yes, this court is split 5-4, along conservative/liberal lines, in many cases (think Bush v. Gore). But in some notable cases it has been split 5-4 along formalist/pragmatist lines. One of the biggest cases of the last few years is Apprendi v. New Jersey, in which the Supreme Court held that juries, not judges, must impose increases in penalties for a crime beyond the prescribed statutory maximum. That case was 5-4, with Stevens, Scalia, Souter, Thomas and Ginsburg posed against Rehnquist, O'Connor, Kennedy, and Breyer. The exact same lineup occurred in Blakely v. Washington, which came down last Thursday and imperils the federal sentencing guidelines. As for Hamdi, the reason that the five formalists (Scalia, Stevens, Souter, Thomas, Ginsburg) didn't win is that one of them (Thomas) found his formalism taking him in the opposite direction — he alone adopted the government's position, across the board.
I'm not claiming that formalism v. pragmatism will always (or even often) trump other fault lines, but I do think it's interesting that this split has arisen in such big cases as Apprendi and Hamdi.
Military detention cases:
Marty Lederman, a very knowledgeable lawyer and Court-watcher, posts his thoughts at SCOTUSBlog.
Justices Scalia and Breyer:
I've only read the Hamdi case so far, but here's a tentative thought (subject to revision as I read the other cases and rethink the matter) — two significant facts in this case are that Justice Scalia voted against the government, and Justice Breyer voted (partly) in favor of the government.
This is because these votes may well change the political dynamics within the conservative and liberal movements. I know there are quite a few conservative lawyers and policy wonks who are uneasy (whether rightly or wrongly) with broad assertions of military powers even during wartime. And I'm pretty sure there are quite a few liberal lawyers and policy wonks who are uneasy (again, whether rightly or wrongly) with what they see as a September 10th attitude towards civil rights during wartime.
But many such people may find it hard to argue these positions within their own movements, because (1) they may themselves be unsure of their positions, and (2) it's always hard to argue to one's friends something that seems like it's supporting "the other side." I'm not speaking here of fear of professional retaliation or such things — I'm speaking of the natural and often laudable human tendency to question one's own views when they contradict those that are held by people one likes and respects, and of the natural human tendency not alienate one's friends by seeming to join their political enemies. The tendency is only a tendency; many conservatives have disagreed with some of the Administration's actions in this field, and many liberals have agreed with the Administration. But I suspect that some in both camps have been reluctant to do so, for the reasons I note.
In such situations, having allies that are authoritative within one's own movement can greatly embolden dissenters within those movements. It's much harder for conservatives to harshly criticize fellow conservatives for adopting a position that Justice Scalia has adopted. A conservative who quietly holds such seemingly "liberal" views would thus be reinforced in those views, and emboldened to voice them. Many of his fellow conservatives will still disagree with him; but he'll suspect that the disagreement will be more cordial, and less firm, if he can enlist Justice Scalia on his side.
Likewise, I suspect, for many liberals who can enlist Justice Breyer on their side. Breyer is probably not as liberal on constitutional issues as Justice Scalia is conservative (though that's of course hard to measure). I also suspect that he's not as important to liberals as Justice Scalia, who has long been one of the leaders of the conservative legal movement, is to conservatives. Still, his votes on race preferences, on federalism, on many (though not all) criminal justice cases, on many (though not all) church-state cases, and in other fields make him quite respected by most liberals. So a liberal lawyer will thus feel more comfortable making at least mildly pro-Administration arguments (recall that Justice Breyer voted partly for the Administration and partly against it here) when he can point to Justice Breyer's vote.
Again, I stress that I'm talking here just of factors that may influence how firmly people hold their views, and how vocal they are about those views — they're unlikely to vastly sway large groups of people (in part because most liberals voted against Justice Breyer's views, and most conservatives voted against Justice Scalia's). Furthermore, I'm speaking here only of effects in legal or policymaking circles; I'm not sure how much the public at large is influenced by Justice Breyer's or Justice Scalia's views.
But these are important circles. It matters how often conservatives are willing to make arguments skeptical of military power to other conservatives, and how often liberals are willing to make arguments that support military powers to other liberals. And I think that Justice Scalia's and Justice Breyer's votes will indeed affect the frequency of such intramovement arguments — arguments that I think are on balance good, both for the country and (at least in the medium and long run) the movement — and thus have significant extralegal effects as well as purely doctrinal ones.
Strong Language:
I've had time to give today's opinions only a quick review, but I was struck by the dissent's language in Rumsfeld v. Padilla. The majority didn't reach the merits, because it found that the case had been filed in the wrong jurisdiction. Stevens' dissent (joined by Souter, Ginsburg, and Breyer) focused on the jurisdiction/venue issue, but (because in his view the Court should have reached the merits) his dissent ends with his view of the merits. Here it is, in its entirety (except that I have omitted the footnotes):
Whether respondent is entitled to immediate release is a question that reasonable jurists may answer in different ways. There is, however, only one possible answer to the question whether he is entitled to a hearing on the justification for his detention.
At stake in this case is nothing less than the essence of a free society. Even more important than the method of selecting the people's rulers and their successors is the character of the constraints imposed on the Executive by the rule of law. Unconstrained Executive detention for the purpose of investigating and preventing subversive activity is the hallmark of the Star Chamber. Access to counsel for the purpose of protecting the citizen from official mistakes and mistreatment is the hallmark of due process.
Executive detention of subversive citizens, like detention of enemy soldiers to keep them off the battlefield, may sometimes be justified to prevent persons from launching or becoming missiles of destruction. It may not, however, be justified by the naked interest in using unlawful procedures to extract information. Incommunicado detention for months on end is such a procedure. Whether the information so procured is more or less reliable than that acquired by more extreme forms of torture is of no consequence. For if this Nation is to remain true to the ideals symbolized by its flag, it must not wield the tools of tyrants even to resist an assault by the forces of tyranny.
This is pretty strong language. And it seems quite possible that, in another case where venue was proper, one or more of the five who didn't reach the merits would agree.
Update:
Scalia's dissent in Hamdi v. Rumsfeld suggests he would be a fifth vote for the Padilla dissent's position on the merits. He says that, unless the government suspends the writ of habeas corpus (which it has not done), the government must charge a citizen it is holding with a crime. It cannot detain a citizen without charging him. He ends this part of his dissent by noting:
Absent suspension of the writ, a citizen held where the courts are open is entitled either to criminal trial or to a judicial decree requiring his release.
He notes that this would apply to Hamdi and Padilla (because both are U.S. citizens). And he ends his dissent by saying:
Many think it not only inevitable but entirely proper that liberty give way to security in times of national crisis-—that, at the extremes of military exigency, inter arma silent leges. Whatever the general merits of the view that war silences law or modulates its voice, that view has no place in the interpretation and application of a Constitution designed precisely to confront war and, in a manner that accords with democratic principles, to accommodate it.
The cyberporn case (Ashcroft v. ACLU II)
wasn't announced today, I'm told; that means it'll come down later this week. Likewise for Alvarez-Machain, the foreign torts case.
Guantanamo detainees apparently win, 6-3,
which is to say that they are entitled to a civilian court's hearing their habeas petitions. I say "apparently" because I haven't yet read the opinion; will blog more as I read it. I'm pretty shocked by the result, but I may be less shocked when I read the details.
BREAKING NEWS: Supreme Court Grants Review in Raich v. Ashcroft:
This morning, the Supreme Court announced that it was granting the government's petition for certiorari in Raich v. Ashcroft. In Raich, the Ninth Circuit held that the application of the Controlled Substance Act to persons who cultivated their own cannabis for medical use, or had caregivers cultivate it for then at no charge, was unconstitutional because it exceeded the power of Congress under the Commerce Clause. Assuming a normal briefing schedule, the oral argument should be some time after mid-October.
Raich will represent the third great Commerce Clause case in 15 years. They seem to come in five year intervals. Lopez in 1995, Morrison in 2000 and now Raich in 2005. A ruling for the government in Raich would, in my view, represent the effective repudiation of Lopez and Morrison, for the government's reasoning would allow Congress it to reach whatever activity it chooses provided that its statutory scheme was sufficiently large enough. In other words, by the government's theory, the more power that Congress claims, the more justified is its claim of power. Therefore, if the Court reaches the merits, whatever it decides in Raich v. Ashcroft will be a landmark decision with enormous importance for the future of federalism.
Update: FULL DISCLOSURE: It occurred to me that some readers may not know that I have been one of the principal attorneys in the case since its inception.
Update: A reader writes: "Not being a lawyer myself, I am sure I missing something simple and basic, but your statement wasn't enough for me to understand which side of the case you are working on." A fair queston. I argued the case on behalf of Angel Raich and Diane Monson in the Ninth Circuit.
Sunday, June 27, 2004
Stars and Bars:
Today's L.A. Times story about Sam Raimi, the director of Spiderman and Spiderman 2, started with these paragraphs:
Most of the furnishings in Sam Raimi's office on the Columbia lot seem accidental -- things that have survived the siege of finishing "Spider-Man 2." There's the big monitor on a cart stuffed with playback devices, the tinfoil taped to the windows to keep sunlight (and inquiring eyes?) out, the well-worn couch and coffee table. But what fills the wall behind his desk is clearly no accident -- an American flag that's about as long as Raimi, at 5 feet 9 inches, is tall.
Since Hollywood is a part of our nation where the "stars and bars" in most directors' lives are not hung on the wall, and given that the very last images of his film feature a pair of such flags waving in the breeze after his hero has created them on a typical web-slinging swing down a Manhattan avenue, the question seems inevitable: What do the flags mean to Raimi? . . .
Now, as best I can tell, the only standard meaning of "stars and bars" is the first Confederate flag (thanks to Wikipedia for the image):

A few dictionary checks (for instance, one through dictionary.com) confirmed that this is the only standard meaning of "stars and bars." Am I missing some deep joke or reference here? Or did the author just err?
I mention this because I think this minor error (if error it is) is relevant to a broader point I'd like to make about writing; but before I build too much on this, I'd like to make sure that it is indeed an error. So if you have a plausible explanation for why the story might be right after all, please let me know at volokh at law.ucla.edu.
Sunday Song Lyric:
Eugene's post on the infamous Cuyahoga River fire brings to mind the R.E.M. song, " Cuyahoga" off of "Life's Rich Pageant." The lyrics are somewhat dense (as is typical for R.E.M. tunes). Nonetheless, I suspect the song was inspired -- at least in part -- by the myths about the 1969 fire discussed in Eugene's post from Tuesday. As the fire occurred 35 years ago this week, it seems a fitting Sunday Song lyric, even if it didn't make the latest R.E.M. greatest hits compilation. Let's put our heads together and start a new country up
Our father's father's father tried, erased the parts he didn't like
Let's try to fill it in, bank the quarry river, swim
We knee-skinned it you and me, we knee-skinned that river red
This is where we walked, this is where we swam
Take a picture here, take a souvenir
This land is the land of ours, this river runs red over it
We knee-skinned it you and me, we knee-skinned that river red
And we gathered up our friends, bank the quarry river, swim
We knee-skinned it you and me, underneath the river bed
This is where we walked, this is where we swam
Take a picture here, take a souvenir
Cuyahoga
Cuyahoga, gone
Let's put our heads together, start a new country up,
Underneath the river bed we burned the river down.
This is where they walked, swam, hunted, danced and sang,
Take a picture here, take a souvenir
Cuyahoga
Cuyahoga, gone
Rewrite the book and rule the pages, saving face, secured in faith
Bury, burn the waste behind you
This land is the land of ours, this river runs red over it
We are not your allies, we can not defend
This is where they walked, this is where they swam
Take a picture here, take a souvenir
Cuyahoga
Cuyahoga, gone
Cuyahoga
Cuyahoga, gone.
(Last Sunday's) Sunday Song Lyric:
This is the Sunday song lyric I had tried to schedule for posting last week. Alas, I goofed, so here it is.
On June 12, 1963, civil rights activist Medgar Evers was assassinated in Mississippi. This event, and the subsequent deaths of four young girls in a church bombing, inspired Nina Simone — the "High Priestess of Soul" — to write " Mississippi Goddam." The song rarely received much radio airplay, but she would regularly perform the protest song in live performances, introducing the song by announcing: "The name of this tune is Mississippi Goddam, and I mean every word of it." Alabama's gotten me so upset
Tennessee made me lose my rest
And everybody knows about Mississippi Goddam
Alabama's gotten me so upset
Tennessee made me lose my rest
And everybody knows about Mississippi Goddam
Can't you see it
Can't you feel it
It's all in the air
I can't stand the pressure much longer
Somebody say a prayer
Alabama's gotten me so upset
Tennessee made me lose my rest
And everybody knows about Mississippi Goddam
This is a show tune
But the show hasn't been written for it, yet
Hound dogs on my trail
School children sitting in jail
Black cat cross my path
I think every day's gonna be my last
Lord have mercy on this land of mine
We all gonna get it in due time
I don't belong here
I don't belong there
I've even stopped believing in prayer
Don't tell me
I tell you
Me and my people just about due
I've been there so I know
They keep on saying "Go slow!"
But that's just the trouble — "do it slow"
Washing the windows — "do it slow"
Picking the cotton — "do it slow"
You're just plain rotten — "do it slow"
You're too damn lazy — "do it slow"
The thinking's crazy — "do it slow"
Where am I going
What am I doing
I don't know
I don't know
Just try to do your very best
Stand up be counted with all the rest
For everybody knows about Mississippi Goddam
I made you thought I was kiddin' didn't we
Picket lines
School boy cots
They try to say it's a communist plot
All I want is equality
for my sister my brother my people and me
Yes you lied to me all these years
You told me to wash and clean my ears
And talk real fine just like a lady
And you'd stop calling me Sister Sadie
Oh but this whole country is full of lies
You're all gonna die and die like flies
I don't trust you any more
You keep on saying "Go slow!"
"Go slow!"
But that's just the trouble — "do it slow"
Desegregation — "do it slow"
Mass participation — "do it slow"
Reunification — "do it slow"
Do things gradually — "do it slow"
But bring more tragedy — "do it slow"
Why don't you see it
Why don't you feel it
I don't know
I don't know
You don't have to live next to me
Just give me my equality
Everybody knows about Mississippi
Everybody knows about Alabama
Everybody knows about Mississippi Goddam
That's it!
Online Bluebook and ALWD CItation Manual Exercises,
from the Interactive Citation Workstation. I checked out the Bluebook exercises, and they look like a pretty good tool for Bluebooking practice. There are also exercises that teach the ALWD Citation Manual. Both seem to be free to LEXIS student users.
If any of you can recommend other free online resources for this, please let me know. Also, if you have had bad experiences with the ICW exercises, please let me know as well. I plan on recommending these (and others) in a future edition of my Academic Legal Writing book, and I want to make sure that they're worth recommending. So far they seem pretty helpful.
Saturday, June 26, 2004
Nonunanimous and less-than-12-member criminal juries:
There's been a lot of discussion about the implications of Blakely v. Washington (decided last Thursday) for various sentencing schemes; I have nothing to add to that. But I did want to flag one issue: What does Justice Scalia's opinion suggest about nonunanimous and less-than-12-member criminal juries?
When most people think of the right to trial by criminal jury, I suspect they think of unanimous 12-member juries. But the Supreme Court has held that the constitution generally does not require either a 12-member jury, or that the 12-member jury be unanimous. (Smaller 6-member juries do have to be unanimous.) Oddly, the unanimity requirement has been applied to federal juries, because of a one-Justice concurrence by Justice Powell in the early 1970s. (This is one of the few ways in which the Bill of Rights has been applied differently to states via the Fourteenth Amendment than to the federal government.) For the key cases on this, see Apodaca v. Oregon, Johnson v. Louisiana, and Williams v. Florida; the nonunanimous jury cases were 5-4 (Justices Douglas, Brennan, Stewart, and Marshall dissenting), and the less-than-12-member jury case was 8-1 (Justice Marshall dissenting). In practice, as I understand it, the unanimity requirement is the norm in nearly all states, and most states use twelve-member juries (at least in fairly serious cases). But according to the Court's precedents, that's not a constitutional command.
Justice Scalia's majority opinion in Blakely, though, twice quotes Sir William Blackstone's 1765 formulation of the jury trial right as providing for "the unanimous suffrage of twelve of his equals and neighbours." Both times, the opinion mentions this while discussing what the Jury Trial Clause of the Sixth Amendment (incorporated against the states via the Fourteenth Amendment) commands.
Now the Court is of course only talking about the scope of the jury trial guarantee -- the extent to which it applies to sentencing factors -- and not the size or voting requirements of the jury. Many or all of the Justices in the majority might not have seriously considered whether the "unanimous suffrage of twelve" requirement really should be a constitutional command.
Still, the opinion, especially its references to Blackstone, does stress the importance of the guarantee's original meaning, and does take the view that the Sixth Amendment generally constitutionalizes the common-law jury trial right. This suggests that at least some Justices -- and perhaps a majority -- may be willing to revisit the nonunanimous jury issue (which, as I mentioned, was 5-4 when the Court decided the matter, and on which a change of course would affect only a few states) or even the jury size issue.
Incidentally, for whatever it's worth, at least one news account (by David Savage in the L.A. Times) also thought the unanimity reference was important, though without discussing the details I mention above.
Many thanks to the guest-bloggers:
Many thanks to Cass Sunstein, Glen Whitman, and Neal Whitman for guest-blogging while I was out of town — I much appreciated their posts, and I hope you did, too. Please check out Glen's and Neal's own blog, Agoraphilia. (I'd recommend Cass's blog, too, except he's one of the few law professors who still don't have one . . . .)
Blogging for Monday and Tuesday:
I got over 50 responses to my Jews and "Jewish People" post; I hope to post some brief thoughts on the subject Tuesday (though unfortunately I won't be able to respond individually to each message).
Several people also pointed out that the author of the Slate Kerryisms column has posted a response to various criticisms of the column, including my own criticisms. I'll blog about that Tuesday, too. The response was posted last Tuesday, but I was out of town at a conference from Wednesday to Friday, and thus couldn't react more promptly.
The Supreme Court will be announcing its decisions on Monday, including possibly the military detention cases (Hamdi and Padilla), the Guantanamo cases, and the latest cyberporn case (Ashcroft v. ACLU II), though it's possible that it will save some of these for later in the week. I hope to blog quite a bit about them Monday, which is why I'm saving the other items until Tuesday. (If the Court decides to announce some of the cases Tuesday, I'll bump the other stuff until Wednesday or later.)
Judge Calabresi apologizes:
InstaPundit has excerpts from some news articles on this. I think an apology was indeed warranted (see here and here).
But as I told the New York Sun reporter who first broke the story, I think this is all that can be done and all that needs to be done here. It would surely have been much better if Judge Calabresi hadn't made his statements; but now that they have been made, an apology is the only sensible remedy.
Some people say that he should recuse himself from various cases involving the Bush Administration, but I doubt that this is really called for: The statements didn't tell us more than we already know about many judges, which is that they really don't like George W. Bush -- if we recused all judges who had strong political sentiments from all politically charged cases, we wouldn't have a lot of judges left. Nor do I think that the comments were egregious enough to warrant some more formal reprimand from the court. The apology was thus both the right thing to do, and the tactically smart thing to do. You can accomplish a lot with a prompt apology.
Incidentally, if anyone has a pointer to a copy of the letter of apology, I'd love to post it; I doubt it has anything much more enlightening than what the newspapers say, but I think it's generally good to have the original documents as well as the media-filtered versions.
FDR's Incomplete Success
With or without written constitutions, all nations have constitutive commitments, some codified in some form, others just widely understood as such. Randy Barnett asks, rightly, the sense in which these are "commitments" and "constitutive." They're commitments in the sense that they're taken (politically, that is) to be binding, and not to be subject to change with the political winds. The United States is firmly committed to some kind of social security program, in a way that it's not committed to particular appropriations, or the Toxic Substances Control Act, or Head Start, or Americorps, or the Superfund statute. These commitments are "constitutive" in the sense that they help define, and hence constitute, the nation's self-understandings. The self-understanding of the United States would not allow it to accept a proposal to nationalize the automobile industry or to repeal the laws forbidding racial discrimination by private employers. (If you don't like these examples, choose your own; there are many other possibilities)
The idea of constitutive commitments doesn't serve an argumentative purpose, so far as I can tell, but it might help illuminate a nation's political and even legal culture as it changes over time. It might also help clarify what particular debates are really about. In 1970, the Aid to Families With Dependent Children (AFDC) program lacked constitutional status, but it was a constitutive commitment, and some judicial decisions appeared to be influenced by that fact (the decisions involved statutory interpretation, not constitutional law). By 1990, the AFDC program was a mere policy. Changes in the other direction are also common; the Americans With Disabilities Act has probably moved, in a short time, into the category of the constitutive commitment (not its particular provisions, but the general idea).
FDR wanted the Second Bill of Rights to stand as a constitutive commitment. While it would be wrong to say he failed, he didn't really succeed. The nation is committed, at least in principle, to some of the rights he listed (eg the right to free from domination by monopolies) but not to others (including my least favorite, the farmers' rights provision, which fits uneasily with the right to be free from domination by monopolies),
Thanks much to Eugene for the forum, and to emailers for the many excellent comments, criticisms, and suggestions; I've learned a lot.
Friday, June 25, 2004
SUICIDAL THOUGHTS:
For longer than I care to admit, I've been working on an economic theory of suicide. (If you actually read the paper, I encourage you to skip the empirical section, which still needs lots of work.) Other economists have tackled the issue of suicide, though the field is still dominated by psychologists and sociologists.
Oddly, no economic papers that I know of directly address the question of how suicidal persons choose their suicide methods (though some have addressed it indirectly, by modeling suicidal persons as choosing their probability of death). Yet the choice-of-methods question lies at the center of public policy debates. For instance, would restricting access to guns reduce the number of suicides? Gun control advocates usually say, "yes, obviously," while opponents say, "no, because people who want to kill themselves will just find another way." Who's right? I say neither.
The innovation of my approach is to treat the suicidal person as engaging in a search for suicide opportunities, akin to a job-seeker's search for job opportunities. Suppose a job seeker gets a lousy job offer. Should she take it now, or should she turn it down and continue the search? Naturally, the answer depends on how likely it is that she'll get a better job later. The lower the chances of a good offer later, the more likely she is to settle for the lousy offer now.
Similarly, a suicidal person can be characterized as engaging in a kind of passive search for opportunities to die. Suppose he has the chance to kill himself by a non-preferred method - say, overdosing on pills. But he would prefer to kill himself with a gun (over 70% of male suicides use guns). Whether he's willing to use the pills now depends, among other things, on his chances of getting the opportunity to use a gun later. The lower the chances of a gun later, the more likely he is to use the pills now.
Counter-intuitively, the argument indicates that a policy decreasing the availability of a suicide method (like guns) could actually increase the suicide rate. But to be fair, the model's predicted effect is ambiguous - the suicide rate could go up, go down, or stay the same. On the one hand, suicides increase as people substitute into less preferable but more readily available methods. On the other hand, suicides decrease because they will have fewer opportunities to use their more preferred methods. Which effect predominates? A priori, we can't say. It depends on the strength of the subject's preference for one method over another, the magnitude of the drop in availability in the preferred method, the availability of less preferable methods, and so on.
Past studies have tried to find a statistical connection between availability of guns and suicide rates, with little success. Some show a connection between guns and gun suicides, but few if any show a connection between guns and total suicides. What's going on? The natural response is the old "people who want to kill themselves will find a way" theory. But that theory is implausible, because plenty of evidence shows that suicidal persons have strong preferences over suicide methods. The notion that people will casually switch from one method to another relies on the assumption that they regard different methods as perfect substitutes. I don't buy it.
My theory provides an alternative explanation for the absence of a statistical connection between guns and suicide - an explanation that depends upon, instead of denying, people's preferences about methods. People do prefer some methods over others, but they will expand the set of methods they're willing to use at the margin in response to changes in perceived availability. As a result, any change in availability creates offsetting effects that will at least partially cancel out.
In the future, I hope to blog about the applications of my suicide model to terrorism. But since my blogging stint here at the VC is almost over, you'll just have to visit Agoraphilia to get that part of the story. I want to thank Eugene for the invitation to blog here - it's been great fun, and the feedback has been excellent.
Acronym Stacking
In my posting on almost-recursive acronyms, I noted that the company Cygnus, whose name expands to "Cygnus, Your GNU Support," was not guilty of what I referred to as acronym stacking. This is the name I give to an acronym including a letter that abbreviates a different acronym; as I like to think of it, the first acronym is stacked on top of the second one. The first stacked acronym to catch my attention was the name of an issue-oriented political group called ACT-UP, an acronym for "AIDS Coalition to Unleash Power." Aside from the awkwardness of the phrase unleash power for the sake of having a meaningful acronym, my complaint was that you couldn't tell what the A stood for. Yes, it stood for AIDS, but the A in AIDS stands for acquired. Shouldn't this group more properly be known as AIDSCT-UP? Hard to pronounce, sure, but that's not my problem. If you want to make a clever acronym, you still have to play by the rules; that it's difficult to do is no excuse. It's the same kind of aesthetic that goes for sonnets or haikus. And Cygnus beats ACT-UP in this regard, because its namers were able to create an interesting acronym that respected the acronym of GNU by incorporating it whole into the company name.
That's my prescriptive take on how acronyms should be. From a descriptive standpoint, I'd say that if an acronym (such as AIDS) can be abbreviated by its initial letter, that's just an indication of that the word has become so thoroughly ordinary that speakers hardly remember that it's an acronym. I don't know how I'd test this hypothesis, since there are so few stacked acronyms to begin with, but that's my suspicion.
David Price sent me a good example of a stacked acronym, which is also an example of an almost-recursive acronym. He writes:
I was a little surprised to read your post on Volokh this evening, since I'd just been discussing this very kind of acronym a few days ago with one of my fellow interns at the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF).
EFF puts on an annual free concert in San Francisco, called the "EFF Freedom Fest." The name of the event, I'm sure you've noticed, can also be abbreviated as "EFF." The 'E' in this acronym expands to "EFF", but *that* "EFF" stands for "Electronic Frontier Foundation."
"EFF" as an abbreviation for "EFF Freedom Fest" is therefore both almost-recursive and a product of acronym-stacking.
And now that we've wandered back onto the subject of recursive acronyms, Jonathan Ichikawa gave another example in a comment: A Dilbert cartoon in which Dilbert and Wally talked about "The TTP Project." This is another example that's interesting for two reasons. One is that it's a recursive acronym with a letter from the middle (i.e. the second T), not from the front, giving rise to the recursion. The other is that it's a redundantly expanded acronym which is redundantly expanded on both ends. Of course, since it was intended to be a joke, I can't really count it as a real linguistic example, but it was fun nonetheless.
And speaking of "it was fun," I've enjoyed guest blogging here this week. Thank you, Eugene, for the invitation, and Conspiracy readers for your feedback. My future posts will not be appearing on Agoraphilia, but on Literal-Minded ("linguistic commentary from a guy who takes things too literally"), the linguistics-related blog that I'm starting. Cheers!
WORTH TEN SECONDS OF YOUR TIME:
I'm always skeptical about whether petitions - especially online petitions - ever have any effect whatsoever. They're probably even less meaningful than online polls, which is to say, hardly meaningful at all except as a measure of how much publicity they got in certain circles. But at least I agree with this one, which says the presidential debates should be organized by a non-partisan (rather than bipartisan) commission. The aim is to improve the chance of third-party candidates being included and, as Roderick Long puts it, "to make the debates less like press conferences and more like actual debates."
The Real Tragedy of Bill Clinton for Democrats:
On Balkanization Jack Balkin offers an insightful analysis of why Bill Clinton was reviled by so many Republicans:
Clinton understood that the Democrats could get back in the White House if they appealed to parts of the coalition of voters that had elected Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush. And so he set out consciously to do that. He fractured the existing winning coalition by producing a combination of economic policies designed to appeal to middle class voters while accepting certain elements of the values agenda that had played so well for the Republicans. He focused on issues like crime and welfare, emphasized his populist roots and religious sensibilities, while at the same time maintaining strong ties to secularism, feminism, and civil rights. In this way Clinton threatened to create a new winning coalition by borrowing the rhetoric of his political opponents and becoming a more "Republican version" of a Democrat. My purpose here is not to enter into a discussion of why some conservatives hated Clinton (and I will refuse to do so). Instead, I note Jack's observation because it is ALSO the reason why Clinton was reviled by the more left-wing constituents of the Democratic base. A Democrat with less personal charisma would have been abandoned by his alienated base, but they were forced to like it or lump it.
Indeed, what made Bill Clinton a potentially transformative president like FDR and Reagan (and so threatening to Republicans) was precisely his personal appeal to the electorate. Like FDR and Reagan, he was simply not beholden to the disparate elements of his own party coalition for his electoral success. They were beholden to him for delivering them to the White House, and potentially beyond (and many in his party resented him for it at the time).
All this is why I believe Clinton's personal weaknesses were so tragic, not for him but for his party, and why he was not the transformative figure he might well have been. When Clinton's character weaknesses crossed the line to leave him both politically and legally vulnerable to his political opponents, he then was forced to abandon this centrist strategy of triangulation and to rely on his base to save his presidency, thereby ending, at least for now, any transformative move by Democrats towards the center.
Even if you deny that he moved left, it is undeniable that the party, after Clinton, abandoned the strategy that Jack so accurately describes in the above quote, thereby preventing it from exploiting the strategy that Clinton proved so electorally effective. Had Clinton not been so slippery about the truth, or had kept his sexual activities outside the vicinity of workplace harassment (about which he could be deposed) or sexual subordination, he would surely have remade the Democratic Party in his image.
As it is, the Democrats have now reverted to their pre-Clinton pattern, with an extra-strength dose of 60's antiwar revivalism for good measure. Note that Hillary is not participating in this tack to the left in foreign policy, and the Democratic base is giving her the same pass they gave Bill, albeit with more enthusiasm perhaps because she is not dissing them on domestic policy and they trust her more. Query, was Hillary really to the left of Bill as she appeared to her supporters and detractors alike, or was she merely the "good cop" to Bill's "bad cop" to Democrats and vice versa to Republicans. (What a team they made!)
Now there is one huge counter argument to Jack's story and mine: Bill and Hillary's early commitment to a radical reform of the health care industry. Now I know it was supposedly short of a "single payer system" and therefore supposed to be "moderate." But it was a major policy shift to the left and, regardless of how reasonable it may have appeared tactically ex ante, it was largely responsible ex post for the Republican take over of the House of Representatives in '94, long before the Clinton personal scandals gained any real traction. I am not sure what to make of this twist. Perhaps Clinton's triangulation strategy only became honed and effective with someone like Newt Gingrich as his foil. In other words, perhaps Bill Clinton's strength was in tactics rather than strategy. I am open to suggestion about this.
Regardless of how the first two years of his administration is interpreted, however, the tragedy remains the same. The difference between Bill Clinton and both Al Gore and John Kerry is that Clinton's political skills transcended his party's coalition, whereas (to date) both Gore and Kerry are entirely dependent upon that coalition and therefore not free to maneuver in a manner that would capture the broad middle of the electorate.
If I am right about all this, then two further mysteries remain. Why did the Democrats, including the left, close ranks around Clinton when his ouster would have meant the elevation of Al Gore to the presidency, clearly giving Democrats a substantial edge going into the 2000 election? Clinton's claim that impeachment was a partisan coup has always neglected how it was against the interests of Republicans to pursue his removal from office successfully--and perhaps this is why they failed in the end to convict him, though this outcome was hardly so likely that Republicans could count on it and it was Republican "moderates" who saved him. Perhaps Democrats are so viscerally averse to permitting any Republican victories that they would cut off their political noses to spite their foes? I really do not know.
The second mystery is why Democrats, especially those on the left, remain so loyal and affectionate towards the man who either betrayed their principles (when triangulating) or betrayed their chance to form a winning coalition (by his solely personal and sexist self-aggrandizement). Why is he not in disgrace with them, just as Gingrich lacks standing with the most partisan Republicans for having "blown it" big time. Is Clinton simply forever "The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance" by winning back the White House while driving conservatives nuts? Or is there some underlying schism in the Democrat psyche? Again, I really do not know.
Perhaps Jack does.
DEPENDENCY? IT DEPENDS ON YOUR DEFINITION:
For the coming school year, home-schooled debaters will be tackling the resolution, "That the United States should change its energy policy to substantially reduce its dependence on foreign oil." I'll be speaking at a home schoolers' debate camp later this summer, which gives me an incentive to become better informed about this important subject.
But for now, I'll present my initial reaction to the wording of the resolution itself - specifically, the ambiguity of the word "dependence." There are two obvious ways of defining dependence: first, in terms of the gross amount of oil we import from abroad (or from a particular region); or second, in terms of the fraction of our oil that we import from abroad (or from a particular region).
The difference matters, because some policies will decrease one form of dependence while increasing the other. Suppose, for instance, that a new energy policy succeeded in substantially reducing American demand for oil. Other things equal, the outcome would be a reduction in the world price of oil. As a result, the marginal oil wells - those that were profitable at the higher price but unprofitable at the lower price - would have to shut down. And where are such oil wells located? Mostly outside the Middle East, in places like the United States and the North Sea. Oil is incredibly cheap to produce in the Middle East, for a variety of reasons. So in the new equilibrium, a larger fraction of the world's oil production would take place there. America would be importing a smaller amount of oil (reducing our dependency under definition 1), but a larger fraction of the oil we still consumed would come from abroad, and from the Middle East specifically (increasing our dependency under definition 2).
So which definition should we care about? There's not a clear answer; it depends on the real goal. Suppose that our goal is to deprive Saudi Arabia and other terrorist-breeding states of oil profits. The proposed policy would decrease the total profits of the oil industry (because of the lower price), but Middle Eastern countries would sell a larger share of it. Put simply, the Middle East would get a larger slice of a smaller pie, with an ambiguous overall effect on profits (at least based on theory alone - better information could possibly allow a more precise prediction). Remember that the next time someone tells you that driving an SUV helps fund the terrorists.
(Incidentally, this post is not intended as a criticism of the debate resolution. Ambiguity of this kind can be interesting fodder for debate.)
Why do "Constitutive Commitments" Matter?
I believe that Cass is describing a very real social phenomenon. There surely are, and have always been, some positions or "norms" that are sufficiently "beyond the mainstream" as to disqualify someone from national office. These norms are "effectively binding" in the sense that one publicly disavows them at one's peril. While these norms remain stable over time, they can also be contested and eventually supplanted. All this sounds perfectly reasonable and plausible as a description of social norms, but I am still left wondering:
(a) In what sense is such a norm accurately described as a " commitment";
(b) In what sense is such a norm " constitutive";
(c) What argumentative purpose is served by invoking the concept of "constitutive commitment"? That is, what does it add to otherwise familiar normative or descriptive claims about rights, law, justice, etc.?
Clarifying these three matters would go a long way to helping me better understand the normative and/or descriptive claim Cass is making about the Second Bill of Rights.
Update: Larry Solum offers his take on constitutive commitments here.
Taking FDR Seriously
Thanks to Randy Barnett, and assorted emailers, for excellent questions and comments about constitutive commitments and FDR's Second Bill of Rights. Constitutive commitments first: They're not part of the formal constitution and they're certainly not for judicial enforcement. They nonetheless matter, because they have sufficiently wide and deep political support that they're effectively binding -- unless and until there's a major transformation in public values.
It would be nice to have a clear sense of necessary and sufficient conditions for constitutive commitments, but lacking these, let's make a rough first cut: A constitutive commitment is in place if over a significant period of time, a presidential candidate could not seriously question that commitment without essentially disqualifying himself. This means that the commitment must have both wide and deep support (and not just among academics, elites, or the media; a strong political majority is needed). We can imagine hard intermediate cases and the definition leaves ambiguities; but the prohibition on racial discrimination in employment, the antitrust laws, and some kind of social security program are evident examples -- and so too, I think, with a ban on the nationalization of industries and on federal taxes above a certain rate (eg Kennedy-era levels). Any nation will have some constitutive commitments that some reasonable people will reject; and reasonable people sometimes get those commitments to change over time.
On the sense in which FDR meant his Second Bill to contain "rights": He wasn't much of a theorist (Trotsky famously criticized him for just that reason; "Your President abhors 'systems' and 'generalities'"), and he saw (positive, in the sense of legally protected) rights as instruments for protecting the most important human interests. Randy asks whether the Second Bill should be seen as protecting "natural rights." To say the least, the natural rights tradition has multiple strands; a good contemporary version is elaborated by Amartya Sen (see his Development As Freedom). A possible position: If we believe that human beings have certain rights by virtue of their humanity, it's plausible to say that those rights include a decent chance to achieve well-being by their own lights and also a minimal level of security if, for one or another reason (eg disability, illness, atrocious luck), that chance is not enough. Roosevelt's focus was on decent opportunities and minimal security, and while his Second Bill of Rights was an innovation, he can claim clear antecedents in Montesquieu, Blackstone, and even Madison.
New Civil Justice Reform Blog:
The Manhattan Institute has launched a new civil justice reform blog, PointOfLaw.com. I will be a contributor, posting occasionally on issues such as the admissibility of expert testimony (while I'm on-topic, if your law firm doesn't have a copy of The New Wigmore: Expert Evidence, now is the time to correct that oversight). My posts on PointOfLaw are likely to be longer, more complex, and perhaps of less general interest than my V.C. posts. Here's an excerpt from the MI press release:
PointofLaw.com is a web magazine sponsored by the Center for Legal Policy at the Manhattan Institute that brings together information and opinion on the U.S. litigation system. Focusing on America's civil justice system, the website includes original discussions featuring some of the nation's top legal scholars, an ongoing forum on liability issues, a bibliography of important books and articles, and links to topical legal news stories. There is no subscription fee.
It is no secret that America is an increasingly litigious place. (Its tort liability system, for example, consumes more than two percent of its gross domestic product, a higher percentage than in any other developed nation.) And as the role of civil justice grows, so does the demand for reliable, timely information and opinion about it.
PointofLaw.com intends to satisfy that demand. Aimed both at experts on civil justice and at newcomers to the field, the magazine incorporates two major components:
Forum - continually updated blog by a group of distinguished contributors, containing thoughts, opinions, news and more
Library - archives of articles, books, and news items, selected and recommended by the editors of PointofLaw.com—an invaluable resource for learning about the civil-justice system
Both components can be organized by topic, so that researchers, journalists, students, and policy-makers can quickly find information on the following issues and others:
asbestos
class actions
employment law
ethics
government litigation
medical malpractice
reform proposals
scientific evidence
Another highlight is the monthly Featured Discussion, in which two experts exchange views on a topic of interest. Next month, Walter Olson of the Manhattan Institute and Michael Krauss of George Mason University School of Law will initiate this series by discussing federal legislation to stop lawsuits against firearms manufacturers.
The magazine's editors are Walter Olson and James Copland, both of the Manhattan Institute. Bloggers and contributors include David Bernstein, Ted Frank, Stephen Bainbridge, Lester Brickman, Michael DeBow, Richard Epstein, Michael Krauss, and Richard Painter.
ECONOMY AND CULTURE:
Last week, I attended a Liberty Fund conference on "Liberty & Diversity," where I met historian David Beito and conspirator David Bernstein, among many others. Interestingly, I was the only economist in the bunch, which may have given me a peculiar perspective (it usually does). These are some of my thoughts, which I expressed at the conference, on the question of whether the interests of cultural groups might justify some kind of state involvement in meeting them. (Just to be clear, I don't claim these thoughts are terribly original; this has been Tyler Cowen's bailiwick for quite a long time.)
Many forms of cultural involvement have the form of an investment, since they involve some personal expenditure of time, money, or effort in return for the benefits of group membership. Examples include becoming fluent in a language that's not in everyday use, learning how to perform a certain dance or make a particular food, or relocating in order to live in closer proximity to other members of the group.
The simple laissez-faire argument for keeping the state uninvolved is that individuals can decide for themselves whether the benefits of cultural involvement are great enough to justify the costs. If a culture withers, it's because individuals aren't gaining enough from the culture to make it worth their while - in which case the culture should wither, just as unwanted consumer products get discontinued.
The problem with that argument is that there may be some cultural products that involve positive externalities, perhaps even rising to the level of public goods (in the economic sense of that term). Suppose my investment in a cultural product - say, relocating to a certain neighborhood - produces benefits to everyone in the group, including myself. But if my private benefit from relocating is smaller than my private cost, I will choose not to contribute, even though the total benefits to everyone involved exceed my private cost. I might choose to free-ride by visiting the neighborhood from time to time, enjoying its ethnic ambience, and then heading back home. If too many people follow their private incentives in this way, the community never develops (or doesn't develop as much as it could), and we are all worse off.
The standard ECON 101 remedy for a public good or positive externality problem is to propose some form of state support, such as subsidies for cultural activities (perhaps in the form of a rent discount). But taking ECON 102 reveals some important objections to the standard remedy:
First, there is the problem of distinguishing between free riders and honest hold-outs. If I refuse to contribute to the community, maybe it's because I'm selfishly collecting the benefits while dodging the costs - or maybe I don't actually value the community that much (or at all). Many people seek to escape their cultural backgrounds, partially or completely, because they actually prefer aspects of other cultures. In some cases, the alleged public good might even be regarded as a "public bad" by subsets of the group (e.g., women in a male-dominated culture). Also, the proposed policy might burden people who were never members of the culture in the first place; this would certainly be true of a subsidy financed out of general government revenues.
Second, it's not true (as some textbooks claim) that public goods never get provided privately. People can be incredibly clever in finding ways to provide public goods without coercion. Probably the best known example is the financing of broadcast TV through advertising. Private housing developments, which create a means of excluding non-contributors, transform public goods into "club goods." The open-source software movement (which, admittedly, I know little about) is arguably yet another example of private provision of public goods. The absence of state intervention need not spell the death of a cultural public good, as long as people are clever enough to search for other institutional devices.
Third, there's the public choice objection: any potential market failure in production of cultural goods has to be weighed against potential government failure if the state becomes involved. There is no reason to think state actors will be neutral arbiters of the value of cultural goods; rather, they will be influenced by the all-too-familiar phenomenon of special interest rent-seeking. Even if a cultural practice does not meet the criteria for being a true public good (say, because non-contributors can be excluded from the benefits), that will not prevent group members from lobbying for subsidies and special protections at the expense of the rest of society, including other cultural groups.
INACTIVITY IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE:
Apropos of my post on the virtue of inactivity in politics, reader Carl Edman emailed me the following quotation: "[Titus Antoninus Pius's] reign is marked by the rare advantage of furnishing very few materials for history; which is, indeed, little more than the register of the crimes, follies, and misfortunes of mankind."
— Edward Gibbon, The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, vol I., ch. 3, pt. 2
Watch my Backformation
Someone I know once told me,
- I like to peoplewatch."
In May 2003, a gossip column had a quotation from Ashton Kutcher, concerning a party that George W. Bush's daughters had attended at his place in 2001. Kutcher said,
- The Bushes were underage drinking at my house.
These two sentences caught my ear because of the verbs in them: peoplewatch and underage drink. These verbs are a particular variety of one of my favorite word-formation processes, backformation. Backformation is the reverse of adding an affix (i.e prefix or suffix) to a word (or if we're not just talking about English, doing any kind of derivational operation on a word, whether it's affixing, or repeating a portion of the word, or changing the vowels, etc.). Instead of the affixed word coming into existence after the original word, the affixed one is the original word, and the un-affixed version comes later.
For example, consider first an ordinary case of derivation: the adjective sexual. This is derived from the noun sex by adding the suffix -ual. Now consider the adjective homosexual, and complete the following old-style SAT analogy:
sex : sexual :: ? : homosexual
The answer is homosex, a well-attested noun meaning "sexual activity between members of the same sex." The adjective came first, not the noun, though in a hundred years I'm guessing most English speakers will assume it was the other way around. (Just as they do with the verb edit, which actually entered the language after the noun editor.)
Examples (1) and (2) above are a special case of backformation that I've started to notice. They are backformations resulting from this sequence of events:
First, a noun form of the verb, i.e. gerund or agentive noun, is combined with some other word to make a compound word. The other word could be a noun that would ordinarily appear as the verb's direct object, as in peoplewatching (gerund) or peoplewatcher (agentive). Or the other word could be an adjective modifying the noun, as in underage drinker.
Second, a reanalysis of the compound word occurs, such that [A [B C]] is reparsed as [[A B] C]. Continuing with the earlier examples, [people [watch er]] becomes [[people watch] er], and [underage [drinker]] becomes [[underage drink] er].
Third, the actual backformation itself:
watch : watcher :: ? : [[people watch] er]
drink : drinker :: ? : [[underage drink] er]
And now we end up with the new verbs people-watch and underage drink, as evidenced by the fact that we see them in infinitives ( to peoplewatch) and finite verb forms (that is, verb forms with a tense, such as past progressive, as in were underage drinking). Sweet!
My enthusiasm was not shared when I brought these examples up in an introductory linguistics class I taught last year. One student dared to dispute my claim that underage drink was being used as a verb in (2). Yeah, yeah, she said, it's appearing in a finite verb form all right, but the thing is, in English gerunds and progressive participles sound the same! Ashton Kutcher might have said, "They were underage drinking" just because he's familiar with the term "underage drinking" and doesn't know or care about the difference between a gerund and a participle. He would never, this student argued, say something like "She underage drinks all the time." In short, underage drink may be a verb in a technical sense, but it's not a verb with full rights and privileges of ordinary verbs. She had a good point.
So just now I did a couple of Google searches to see what I found for simple past and 3rd person singular present forms of underage drink and peoplewatch. I found fewer than 50 hits for underage drank, underage drinks, and peoplewatched; zero for peoplewatches. (Compare this to 190K for underage drinking and 450K for peoplewatching.) For some people, at least, these new verbs are starting to do more of the things that verbs can do, but these words have a long way to go before they totally fit in.
My final thoughts on these backformations is that there is an even more special subclass of them: those whose source verb is transitive. Peoplewatch is an example. Aside from seeing these verbs in infinitives or in tensed forms, I've found one more thing that (I claim) immediately gives away that a backformation has occurred: It has to have happened if a new direct object can appear after the verb, taking the place that used to be reserved for the direct object that now appears in front. Here are a couple of examples:
- We can fact-check your ass! (heard in several places)
- We don't just cherrypick the best ones. (heard on a radio commercial)
I hypothesize that any time you see this kind of competing direct-object structure, you will find that the backformed verb has achieved full verb status, and can be used with all tense/person/number suffixes.
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