The Volokh Conspiracy - In Ohio and Missouri, No last minute shift to Republicans in late exit polls.--

In Ohio and Missouri, unlike Virginia, there have been no last minute shifts toward the Republicans in late exit polls v. early exit polls.

The mid-afternoon exit polls showed Democrats leading 50-48 in Missouri and 57-43 in Ohio.

My recomputations from CNN's page show the final exit polls (computed from the age and gender breakdowns) at 41.7%-42.0% for DeWine v. 58.0-58.3% for Brown. In Ohio, the early difference of 14% widened to 16%.

In Missouri, the final exit polls were 48.0-48.2% for Talent and 50.0-50.2% for McCaskill, unchanged from the early exit polls. On the other hand, the percentage of women polled was fairly high (54%).

	[Jim Lindgren, November 7, 2006 at 7:19pm] Trackbacks In Ohio and Missouri, No last minute shift to Republicans in late exit polls.-- In Ohio and Missouri, unlike Virginia, there have been no last minute shifts toward the Republicans in late exit polls v. early exit polls. The mid-afternoon exit polls showed Democrats leading 50-48 in Missouri and 57-43 in Ohio. My recomputations from CNN's page show the final exit polls (computed from the age and gender breakdowns) at 41.7%-42.0% for DeWine v. 58.0-58.3% for Brown. In Ohio, the early difference of 14% widened to 16%. In Missouri, the final exit polls were 48.0-48.2% for Talent and 50.0-50.2% for McCaskill, unchanged from the early exit polls. On the other hand, the percentage of women polled was fairly high (54%).