Author Archive | Dale Carpenter

Are the Democrats Likely to Take One Chamber or Two?–

I’ve been looking at which party is going to control the Senate after the election, and I’m a bit surprised at some of the juxtapositions. The Friday prices on the Iowa Electronic Markets show a 83.5% chance of Democrats gaining control of the House and a 33% chance of gaining control of the Senate (i.e., […]

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Another November Surprise?–

The four military papers — the Army Times, Air Force Times, Navy Times and Marine Corps Times — will on Monday call for the resignation of Donald Rumsfeld (tip to Instapundit). These papers are owned by a subsidiary of Gannett, so that represents little more than the opinion of their editorial staff or the publisher. […]

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The Big November Surprise: Saddam?–

As I write this on Saturday, Nov. 4, I can’t help but think that we might be in for a big November surprise that may bode ill for the Republicans in the 2006. The focus of the news on Sunday and Monday might look very different than it does today. According to news reports, the […]

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The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change.–

There is a new report on global warming done by the reputable economist Nicholas Stern. The Stern Review’s conclusion (tip to Instapundit and TCS): Using the results from formal economic models, the Review estimates that if we don’t act, the overall costs and risks of climate change will be equivalent to losing at least 5% […]

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Barack Obama’s real estate ties.

The big story on some of the local TV news shows tonight is about Barack Obama’s ties to Rita Rezko, the wife of Tony Rezko, Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich’s former chief fundraiser. Tony Rezko has been indicted in a massive scandal involving giving government jobs and contracts to Blagojevich’s contributors. Apparently, the Rezkos live in […]

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Evidence from Scandinavia on gay marriage, social conservatism, and slippery slopes:

William Eskridge and Darren Spedale, coauthors of the book “Gay Marriage: For Better or For Worse? What We’ve Learned From the Evidence” (Oxford University Press, 2006), have looked at marriage rates and other evidence of the social effects of recognizing same-sex relationships in the 17 years since Scandinavian countries began doing so. In an op-ed […]

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The Third Way in New Jersey:

The New Jersey court gave the state legislature 180 days to do one of two things: either (1) amend the state marriage laws to permit same-sex couples to marry or (2) create a parallel statutory system “which will provide for, on equal terms, the rights and benefits enjoyed and burdens and obligations borne by married […]

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Third Way Result in New Jersey Marriage Case:

In what looks like a Vermont-style ruling, the New Jersey Supreme Court has unanimously ordered the state to grant all of the privileges and rights of marriage — but not necessarily the word “marriage” — to same-sex couples. The opinion is here. The legislature has 180 days to act. The court leaves open the possibility […]

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More on that Minneapolis bus driver:

Three days ago, I posted about a decision of Minneapolis transit officials to accommodate a bus driver’s religious objection to driving a bus with an external ad for a local gay magazine. Now transit authorities have partially reversed themselves. From the AP: Metro Transit said Friday that it inadvertently sent the wrong message about tolerance […]

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Foley and the Homophobic Mind:

Here’s my take on one aspect of the scandal involving former Rep. Mark Foley. It’s an excerpt from a somewhat longer column: The Foley mess reaffirms some things we have long known about the nature and characteristics of anti-gay prejudice. William Eskridge, a Yale law professor, has written that anti-gay prejudice has been marked historically […]

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Quote of the day:

“Hastert and Boehner need to get on the same page or Republican troubles will continue to mount.” — From an editorial in The Hill, October 5, 2006.

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